|
|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
c**s
发帖数: 3796 | 1 如果各方消息确切。 ９月放开排期到2008年某个时候（这部分肯定批不了），同时分
流真实名额给EB３。 | c****r
发帖数: 969 | 2 我也觉得，新人能交485也很高兴，3类的烙印往前移动也高兴，name check确实也花几
个月的时间，错过大潮交485的也不会一下就被批
但是问题是，有那么多SO剩下吗？ 这两个月排期都前进很多，用了不少SO，如果下个
月在到07年7，8月份，这些加起来不少啊，SO如果有3万6的话，也不是很多，能把大潮
的都二类都解决了还有富足给3类？
【在 c**s 的大作中提到】
: 如果各方消息确切。 ９月放开排期到2008年某个时候（这部分肯定批不了），同时分
: 流真实名额给EB３。
| c*********n
发帖数: 1371 | 3 我听人说有这么个说法，如果SO要流向EB3，前提是EB2必须C.
【在 c**s 的大作中提到】
: 如果各方消息确切。 ９月放开排期到2008年某个时候（这部分肯定批不了），同时分
: 流真实名额给EB３。
| s*****m
发帖数: 2024 | 4 分流给EB， 是不是ROW的EB3会占用很多阿
【在 c**s 的大作中提到】
: 如果各方消息确切。 ９月放开排期到2008年某个时候（这部分肯定批不了），同时分
: 流真实名额给EB３。
| s**********a
发帖数: 890 | 5 如果火箭扇子的说法没问题，如果今年的SO能清空大潮，那就要看CP的DEMAND了吧
根据剩余SO来定排期。而且现在停止处理新495的CASE了吧。SO不是更多？
【在 c**s 的大作中提到】
: 如果各方消息确切。 ９月放开排期到2008年某个时候（这部分肯定批不了），同时分
: 流真实名额给EB３。
| c**s
发帖数: 3796 | 6 为什么不公布DEMAND DATA是重大疑点。
火箭扇说要停止处理新CASE，那样剩余名额会更多。EB３I吃绝大头，EB３C能分一两百
个算不错了。
【在 c****r 的大作中提到】
: 我也觉得，新人能交485也很高兴，3类的烙印往前移动也高兴，name check确实也花几
: 个月的时间，错过大潮交485的也不会一下就被批
: 但是问题是，有那么多SO剩下吗？ 这两个月排期都前进很多，用了不少SO，如果下个
: 月在到07年7，8月份，这些加起来不少啊，SO如果有3万6的话，也不是很多，能把大潮
: 的都二类都解决了还有富足给3类？
| c**s
发帖数: 3796 | 7 肯定是这样。特别剩不多不少那种情况。 ２００９年老中EB２才分到３００剩余名额
，可怜那。
大家能不能都到处打听打听O这最后两个月的计划。
【在 s*****m 的大作中提到】
: 分流给EB， 是不是ROW的EB3会占用很多阿
| s****t
发帖数: 427 | 8 I guess the SO should go to EB3 ROW first, which has 44,000 remaining? if
EB3ROW is not C, EB3 I could not get anything?
【在 c**s 的大作中提到】
: 为什么不公布DEMAND DATA是重大疑点。
: 火箭扇说要停止处理新CASE，那样剩余名额会更多。EB３I吃绝大头，EB３C能分一两百
: 个算不错了。
| c**s
发帖数: 3796 | 9 44,000 remaining?
EB３ROW没必要CURRENT吧，一起前进就行
【在 s****t 的大作中提到】
: I guess the SO should go to EB3 ROW first, which has 44,000 remaining? if
: EB3ROW is not C, EB3 I could not get anything?
| r********n
发帖数: 1162 | 10 I think it is worth explaining why I believe that spare visa that fall to
EB3 will go to EB3-ROW first. I know that some people do not share this view
. It may be a subject that we agree to disagree on.
The law setting out the fact that a country may not exceed 7% is given under
INA 202 (a)(2):
The law which appears to be used for spillover says the following:
There is an argument that INA 202 (A)(5) quoted above only deals with Fall
Across.
In that case INA 202 (a)(3) contains the same language.
Either way, the argument below is valid.
In EB2, since Mexico, Philippines and ROW are all Current and they have no
further demand, the spare visas are allocated to EB2-IC, since there are no
"qualified immigrants" who may otherwise be issued such visas.
For EB3, in contrast, Countries within EB3-ROW represent "qualified
immigrants", since they have demand and they have not yet reached their own
7% limits.
Spare visas cannot be allocated to EB3-I (who have reached their 7% limit)
until either there is no further demand from EB3-ROW or every Country within
EB3-ROW has reached its own 7% limit.
As much as EB3-I is constrained by the 7% limit, EB3-ROW is constrained by
the overall 28.6% limit of visas available to EB3.
To put this into context, in FY2010, EB3-I received 3,036 visas. Within EB3-
ROW, excluding South Korea, only 5 Countries were able to receive even 1,000
visas.
Worse for EB3-I, no Countries in ROW use their full allocations in EB1/2 &
EB4/5 and the 7% limit is calculated on the overall total.
For simplicity, taking 9,800 as the the 7% limit for EB, then Pakistan, who
used the most EB3 visas at 1,571 only used 3,058 visas in EB overall. They
could use an additional 6,742 spillover visas to reach 9,800.
Excluding South Korea, of ROW Countries, Canada used the most overall EB
visas at 5,893, so even they would be able to use an additional 3,907 visas
to reach the overall 7% limit.
Based on last year, even EB3-P would be able to consume more visas - they
share the same Cut Off Date as ROW and are constrained by it from receiving
more visas.
【在 c**s 的大作中提到】
: 44,000 remaining?
: EB３ROW没必要CURRENT吧，一起前进就行
| | | r*********k
发帖数: 183 | 11 it makes sense to me.
Unused visa will flow into EB3-ROW first in EB3 category.
view
under
【在 r********n 的大作中提到】
: I think it is worth explaining why I believe that spare visa that fall to
: EB3 will go to EB3-ROW first. I know that some people do not share this view
: . It may be a subject that we agree to disagree on.
: The law setting out the fact that a country may not exceed 7% is given under
: INA 202 (a)(2):
: The law which appears to be used for spillover says the following:
: There is an argument that INA 202 (A)(5) quoted above only deals with Fall
: Across.
: In that case INA 202 (a)(3) contains the same language.
: Either way, the argument below is valid.
| a******1
发帖数: 201 | 12 SO went to EB2I even before EB2C reached our quota.
view
under
【在 r********n 的大作中提到】
: I think it is worth explaining why I believe that spare visa that fall to
: EB3 will go to EB3-ROW first. I know that some people do not share this view
: . It may be a subject that we agree to disagree on.
: The law setting out the fact that a country may not exceed 7% is given under
: INA 202 (a)(2):
: The law which appears to be used for spillover says the following:
: There is an argument that INA 202 (A)(5) quoted above only deals with Fall
: Across.
: In that case INA 202 (a)(3) contains the same language.
: Either way, the argument below is valid.
| d**********y
发帖数: 18 | 13 如果是引用别人的说法，还请注明出处吧！否则是不是有误导之嫌？
http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showthread.php?4-EB2-Predictions-
第110页，Spectator的帖子
http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showthread.php?4-EB2-Predictions
-%28Rather-Calculations%29/page110
Today 09:10 AM #2748
Spectator
Spectator is offline GC-Guru Spectator will become famous soon enough
Join Date Oct 2010 Posts 338
Who Gets Spillover in EB3?
I think it is worth explaining why I believe that spare visa that fall
to EB3 will go to EB3-ROW first. I know that some people do not share this
view. It may be a subject that we agree to disagree on.
The law setting out the fact that a country may not exceed 7% is given
under INA 202 (a)(2):
INA: ACT 202 - NUMERICAL LIMITATION TO ANY SINGLE FOREIGN STATE
(a) Per Country Level. -
(2) Per country levels for family-sponsored and employment-based
immigrants. - Subject to paragraphs (3), (4), and (5) the total number of
immigrant visas made available to natives of any single foreign state or
dependent area under subsections (a) and (b) of section 203 in any fiscal
year may not exceed 7 percent (in the case of a single foreign state) or 2
percent (in the case of a dependent area) of the total number of such visas
made available under such subsections in that fiscal year.
The law which appears to be used for spillover says the following:
(5) RULES FOR EMPLOYMENT-BASED IMMIGRANTS-
(A) EMPLOYMENT-BASED IMMIGRANTS NOT SUBJECT TO PER COUNTRY LIMITATION IF
ADDITIONAL VISAS AVAILABLE- If the total number of visas available under
paragraph (1), (2), (3), (4), or (5) of section 203(b) for a calendar
quarter exceeds the number of qualified immigrants who may otherwise be
issued such visas, the visas made available under that paragraph shall be
issued without regard to the numerical limitation under paragraph (2) of
this subsection during the remainder of the calendar quarter.
There is an argument that INA 202 (A)(5) quoted above only deals with
Fall Across.
In that case INA 202 (a)(3) contains the same language.
(3) Exception if additional visas available. - If because of the
application of paragraph (2) with respect to one or more foreign states or
dependent areas, the total number of visas available under both subsections
(a) and (b) of section 203 for a calendar quarter exceeds the number of
qualified immigrants who otherwise may be issued such a visa, paragraph (2)
shall not apply to visas made available to such states or areas during the
remainder of such calendar quarter.
Either way, the argument below is valid.
In EB2, since Mexico, Philippines and ROW are all Current and they have
no further demand, the spare visas are allocated to EB2-IC, since there are
no "qualified immigrants" who may otherwise be issued such visas.
For EB3, in contrast, Countries within EB3-ROW represent "qualified
immigrants", since they have demand and they have not yet reached their own
7% limits.
Spare visas cannot be allocated to EB3-I (who have reached their 7%
limit) until either there is no further demand from EB3-ROW or every Country
within EB3-ROW has reached its own 7% limit.
As much as EB3-I is constrained by the 7% limit, EB3-ROW is constrained
by the overall 28.6% limit of visas available to EB3.
To put this into context, in FY2010, EB3-I received 3,036 visas. Within
EB3-ROW, excluding South Korea, only 5 Countries were able to receive even 1
,000 visas.
Worse for EB3-I, no Countries in ROW use their full allocations in EB1/2
& EB4/5 and the 7% limit is calculated on the overall total.
For simplicity, taking 9,800 as the the 7% limit for EB, then Pakistan,
who used the most EB3 visas at 1,571 only used 3,058 visas in EB overall.
They could use an additional 6,742 spillover visas to reach 9,800.
Excluding South Korea, of ROW Countries, Canada used the most overall EB
visas at 5,893, so even they would be able to use an additional 3,907 visas
to reach the overall 7% limit.
Based on last year, even EB3-P would be able to consume more visas -
they share the same Cut Off Date as ROW and are constrained by it from
receiving more visas.
Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.
view
under
【在 r********n 的大作中提到】
: I think it is worth explaining why I believe that spare visa that fall to
: EB3 will go to EB3-ROW first. I know that some people do not share this view
: . It may be a subject that we agree to disagree on.
: The law setting out the fact that a country may not exceed 7% is given under
: INA 202 (a)(2):
: The law which appears to be used for spillover says the following:
: There is an argument that INA 202 (A)(5) quoted above only deals with Fall
: Across.
: In that case INA 202 (a)(3) contains the same language.
: Either way, the argument below is valid.
| n***s
发帖数: 10056 | 14 I was like, wow, this guy's english is so good.
【在 d**********y 的大作中提到】
: 如果是引用别人的说法，还请注明出处吧！否则是不是有误导之嫌？
: http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showthread.php?4-EB2-Predictions-
: 第110页，Spectator的帖子
: http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showthread.php?4-EB2-Predictions
: -%28Rather-Calculations%29/page110
: Today 09:10 AM #2748
: Spectator
: Spectator is offline GC-Guru Spectator will become famous soon enough
: Join Date Oct 2010 Posts 338
: Who Gets Spillover in EB3?
| L***a
发帖数: 3674 | 15 Actually，his english IS good.
Simply check his replies to many other people on this board. | s****t
发帖数: 427 | 16 Maybe rocketsfan is Spectator.:)
【在 d**********y 的大作中提到】
: 如果是引用别人的说法，还请注明出处吧！否则是不是有误导之嫌？
: http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showthread.php?4-EB2-Predictions-
: 第110页，Spectator的帖子
: http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showthread.php?4-EB2-Predictions
: -%28Rather-Calculations%29/page110
: Today 09:10 AM #2748
: Spectator
: Spectator is offline GC-Guru Spectator will become famous soon enough
: Join Date Oct 2010 Posts 338
: Who Gets Spillover in EB3?
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
