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发帖数: 20742 | 1 http://insider.espn.go.com/college-football/story/_/id/7211166/
roncos-worthy-playing-bcs-title-cfb
For three years I have been banging the drum for the Boise State Broncos, bo
thered by the fact that perception has too often trumped reality. It's frust
rating to me that Boise is still more closely associated with its blue turf
and "Statue of Liberty" thriller against Oklahoma in 2007 than the fact that
its senior class is 46-2 during the last four seasons (with those two losse
s coming by a combined four points).
The idea that any one-loss team, including the Alabama Crimson Tide, would p
ass an undefeated Broncos team in the BCS standings at season's end -- which
looks like a likely possibility at the moment -- is both misguided and unfa
ir. Just because this team doesn't play in a power conference like the SEC d
oesn't mean it isn't deserving of making the Allstate BCS National Champions
hip Game or capable of beating an Alabama or LSU Tigers team on a neutral fi
eld with the championship on the line.
I've gone through four points here to show where perception has hidden reali
ty, and made the case for why the Broncos deserve a title shot:
1. Quarterback play
Perception: Kellen Moore is a system quarterback who's limited in size and a
rm strength
Reality: Moore is better than any quarterback in the SEC
Go ahead and ask the Georgia Bulldogs, Virginia Tech Hokies, Oregon Ducks, T
CU Horned Frogs and 42 other opponents. Moore has more wins than any other s
ignal-caller in the history of college football for a reason -- he is really
good. His statistics are so good that they're almost too silly to reference
, most notably his 128-to-24 touchdowns-to-interceptions ratio. His accuracy
, anticipation, feel and pocket awareness are second to none, and that inclu
des Andrew Luck. If Moore were 6-foot-2 and 215 pounds, he'd be joining Luck
atop every NFL team's draft board.
In many ways, Moore is a microcosm of his football program. Doubted because
he is not prototypical in nature, he has been undeniably productive, incredi
bly sound and smart. He has taken on all comers in his four years and lost o
nly two games, both by field goals. Simply put, he's better than any passer
an SEC team can run out of the tunnel this season.
2. Schedule strength
Perception: Boise just beats up on weak conference opponents
Reality: Boise beats everyone, and at a rate better than any team in footbal
l
I know what the Boise haters' next point is going to be, so let me address i
t right away. No, the Broncos' playing the likes of the Air Force Falcons, U
NLV Rebels and New Mexico Lobos in conference isn't the same as what Alabama
does in the SEC in playing the Arkansas Razorbacks, Tennessee Volunteers an
d LSU. And yes, it would be much harder for Moore and Co. to post a 46-2 rec
ord against a more challenging league slate than what they face now.
But Boise's performance in its games against top competition is hard to deny
. The Broncos have won seven of their last nine games against ranked opponen
ts, and only two of those were on the blue turf (Bama is 5-4 during their la
st nine, for reference). They were the last team to win in Eugene, Ore., and
thumped an SEC team in its home state. During the last four seasons they ha
ve beaten the Pac-10 champ, ACC champ and Mountain West champ, and this year
, the team leading the SEC East. And oh yeah, they beat the Big 12 champ in
that Fiesta Bowl game in 2007.
Projecting BCS success
Projected win odds for the Broncos, Cardinal and Cowboys against LSU and Ala
bama (on a neutral field).
Team
vs. LSU
vs. Bama
Boise State
34.7
30.4
Stanford
37.3
33.1
Oklahoma St.
29.3
25.3
That record should be proof enough that the Broncos would be capable of hang
ing with even the best SEC teams on a neutral field, but in case you needed
more, I checked in with the folks at AccuScore to see how Boise fares in the
ir projections. The Broncos fare well, as it turns out, projecting to beat L
SU 3.5 times out of 10 and Alabama three times out of 10, numbers just shy o
f Stanford's projected chances against each team and ahead of the No. 2 Okla
homa State Cowboys' chances.
Lastly, consider this stat: Boise State has trailed for only 74 minutes duri
ng its past 48 games. No matter what level of competition you're playing aga
inst, that is a staggering number.
3. Top-end talent
Perception: Boise is a program full of 2-star recruits who can't hang with t
he blue-chip powerhouses of the SEC
Reality: The Broncos' roster is loaded with NFL talent
AP Photo/Rick Osentoski
Doug Martin is one of several players on Boise's roster with NFL potential.
In Todd McShay's 2012 preseason NFL draft manual, Boise State had six prospe
cts listed, including a second-round defensive tackle, running back and offe
nsive tackle, and mid-rounders at cornerback, quarterback and tight end. All
six prospects have done nothing but improve upon their draft standing this
season, and it wouldn't be a surprise if a few other Broncos find themselves
picked in the later rounds.
By contrast, Oregon, which lost by a field goal in the BCS title game last J
anuary, had one player selected in last April's draft and had just three pro
spects crack McShay's preseason manual.
In the interest of fairness, it's worth noting that Alabama is loaded with N
FL talent, with 10 prospects earning preseason draft-eligible grades from Mc
Shay (including eight on defense). However, only one other SEC team had as m
any prospects as Boise's six, and that was the South Carolina Gamecocks. In
the highly vaunted SEC, both the Vanderbilt Commodores and Mississippi State
Bulldogs had zero prospects, while the Auburn Tigers, Florida Gators, Kentu
cky Wildcats, Tennessee Volunteers and Ole Miss Rebels had two or fewer. LSU
, a team loaded with talented underclassmen, also had just one draft-eligibl
e prospect ranked.
It's time we got this portion of the Boise narrative correct: The Broncos ar
en't undersized and unathletic; they have NFL-caliber talent decorating thei
r success story.
4. On-field production
Perception: Boise is a finesse team that relies on trick plays
Reality: Boise is a dominant, balanced team on both sides of the ball
Boise State plays really good defense, and of the top-five teams in the BCS,
no one compares to the offensive and defensive balance of the Broncos. Bois
e State ranks in the top 13 in both total offense and defense, as well as in
scoring offense and defense. The only team in the BCS top five within reach
of that statistical dominance is the Stanford Cardinal, at No. 8 in total o
ffense and No. 18 defensively.
College football on WatchESPN
Check out the tons of college football matchups this and every weekend on Wa
tchESPN, plus these midweek contests:
? Wednesday: Miami (Ohio) vs. Temple
? Thursday: Virginia Tech vs. Georgia Tech
? Thursday: Ohio vs. Central Michigan
I am sure defenders of the low-scoring Alabama-LSU matchup from last week wi
ll point to the tough defenses both teams face in the SEC as to why they are
n't present in both categories. But lost in the narrative of the two teams'
excellent defenses (and I am not arguing that they are anything but) is the
fact that for every sound defensive play in that game, there were missed kic
ks, poor punts, worse passes and 12-men-in-the-huddle penalties that contrib
uted to an offensive output that created a combined 15 points (and only 12 i
n regulation).
Boise, on the other hand, scores touchdowns. Want proof? Georgia, the sevent
h-stingiest defense in America (according to yards per game allowed), gave u
p five to the Broncos in what was the Bulldogs' largest in-state loss in fiv
e years -- 35-21. Go ahead and re-watch the way Moore carved up a good Bulld
ogs defense and tell me he wouldn't be able to move the ball against Bama or
LSU.
There is no doubt in my mind that Boise State would beat both LSU and Alabam
a on a neutral field at least three out of 10 times, if not more. For once,
the computers spit out the data to back this up (see AccuScore projections,
above right). The Broncos are a senior-laden, battle-tested group that is lo
aded with future NFL players. Their chances of winning a BCS title game matc
hup against the Tigers or the Tide are as good as any of the top contenders'
, and in a one-game winner-take-all scenario, I think they could come away w
ith the victory.
It's about time we got the chance to know for sure. | l****a
发帖数: 143 | 2 如果大树和牛仔都输了，真应该给他们一个机会。赢牛狗还是很精彩的，全场太祖长拳
，很有高手风范。OL那些5年级的口袋扎的很稳，moore出手也快。防守到还没遇到什么
挑战，牛狗开打前自废武功，没有power run，保守的play call，进攻乏善可陈。
反正不是冠军赛就是糖碗了，碰到大巴马和大lsu，两条线能不能hold住就是关键了。 |
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