G***G
发帖数: 16778 | 1 I collect this from website. Hope it can help you with your technical
trading.
Candlestick Pattern:
Doji
(O = C )
Doji Yesterday
(O1 = C1 )
Doji and Near Doji
(ABS(O – C ) <= ((H – L ) * 0.1))
Bullish Engulfing
((O1 > C1) AND (C > O) AND (C >= O1) AND (C1 >= O) AND ((C – O) > (O1 – C1
)))
Bearish Engulfing
((C1 > O1) AND (O > C) AND (O >= C1) AND (O1 >= C) AND ((O – C) > (C1 – O1
)))
Hammer
(((H-L)>3*(O-C)AND((C-L)/(.001+H-L)>0.6)AND((O-L)/(.001+H-L)>0.6)))
Hanging Man
(((H – L) > 4 * (O – C)) A... 阅读全帖 |
|
m*****a
发帖数: 2609 | 2 哈，跑版的帖子就是管用，谢谢各位大牛发言。我就一起回复了，省着大家浪费时间一
个个看。
嗯，谢谢veral的资源，我会慢慢学，有好的想法再分享。不过说起来这个option真有
点daily trading的感觉，已经影响我的本职工作了。希望这只是ER期间才有的。否则
，就得不偿失了。
Tigerniu，我觉得你说的哪里例子是小概率事件吧。是，遇到了就倒霉了。但你当时卖
的时候也想过可能会被买走，甚至被exercise的吧。只是你没想到会是$50这么多：）
。但这种merge的传闻就是这么大影响，而且是可遇而不可求的。我个人认为Sell
short term call似乎还是不错的，相对风险小的选择（对比sell put, buy put, buy
call)。
Zooie，谢谢提醒。我希望的是细水长流型，所以尽量不赔钱的情况下去赚钱。可能不
会出现2X, 3X，但是损失了，worst case也就是option的钱。昨天看那个视频另一个好
的建议是：如果你有1万，可以买, say, 100股某个stock；当你决定不买stock，而是
改买call时，你不应该用1万元都来买call，而... 阅读全帖 |
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n***i
发帖数: 777 | 3 API report shows quite bearish
•US crude stock inventory build of 9.9 million barrels -- EST (2.5
million build) bearish
•Cushing build of 1.8 million
•Distillate +2.7 million barrels -- EST (-1.2 m) bearish |
|
z***e
发帖数: 5600 | 4 No more fed hike for quite a while, bearish for banks
Banks likely hurt in the big moves in the fixed income market, bearish for
banks
banks London branch may need to be separated etc, bearish for banks |
|
n*****k
发帖数: 2801 | 5 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: neohawk (neohawk), 信区: Military
标 题: 水木上一个硅谷男征婚被人拍惨了
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Jan 24 01:59:43 2012, 美东)
英语一塌糊涂还非要用英语装，笑死了。电视上的东西都是基于生活原型啊，真的有这
样的人。
GG本科国内名校，全奖美国前15计算机硕士, 硅谷工作几年,非常踏实, 勤奋,做事认真
负责；入美籍, 父母教师。身高175cm, 68kg，外表85～90%; 从美公司内部调回北京工
作。 看起来端正干净,身体非常健康(几乎不近视); 不吸烟无不良嗜好，很爱干净，酷
爱音乐运动(2项校队); 主因硅谷电脑业理工科集中女生极少+本人要求又高, 22出国+
12年留美未婚. GG 象多数山东人一样重情义，非常真诚（father from Shandong). 收
入比在中国或美国的80%的美国人高. 硅谷是美国人的梦想之地。加州空气比北京好10
倍（PM2.5低10倍, good environment is priceless. 环境 indi... 阅读全帖 |
|
M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 6 GLD CLOSING PRICE [+AFTER HOURS] ON 20120906 was: 164.8700
SHORT-TERM RATING FOR GLD: ESSENTIALLY NEUTRAL (55.7% CONFIDENCE)
("SHORT-TERM" is usually within two(2) weeks, sometimes longer.)
(One should wait for 75% CONFIDENCE or higher to go long/short.)
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN, i.e. -0.4234 (-0.30%)
Short-Term Price Target: 164.4466
IN CASE OF SHORT SQUEEZE, expect price to peak at/below 168.4971
SOME RECENT HISTORICAL REFERENCES:
SHORT-SQUEEZE DETECTED ON 20120906,AS SHOWN BY SHAR... 阅读全帖 |
|
x*******1
发帖数: 28835 | 7 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: neohawk (neohawk), 信区: Military
标 题: 水木上一个硅谷男征婚被人拍惨了
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Jan 24 01:59:43 2012, 美东)
英语一塌糊涂还非要用英语装，笑死了。电视上的东西都是基于生活原型啊，真的有这
样的人。
GG本科国内名校，全奖美国前15计算机硕士, 硅谷工作几年,非常踏实, 勤奋,做事认真
负责；入美籍, 父母教师。身高175cm, 68kg，外表85～90%; 从美公司内部调回北京工
作。 看起来端正干净,身体非常健康(几乎不近视); 不吸烟无不良嗜好，很爱干净，酷
爱音乐运动(2项校队); 主因硅谷电脑业理工科集中女生极少+本人要求又高, 22出国+
12年留美未婚. GG 象多数山东人一样重情义，非常真诚（father from Shandong). 收
入比在中国或美国的80%的美国人高. 硅谷是美国人的梦想之地。加州空气比北京好10
倍（PM2.5低10倍, good environment is priceless. 环境 indi... 阅读全帖 |
|
M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 8 GLD CLOSING PRICE [+AFTER HOURS] ON 20120906 was: 164.8700
SHORT-TERM RATING FOR GLD: ESSENTIALLY NEUTRAL (55.7% CONFIDENCE)
("SHORT-TERM" is usually within two(2) weeks, sometimes longer.)
(One should wait for 75% CONFIDENCE or higher to go long/short.)
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN, i.e. -0.4234 (-0.30%)
Short-Term Price Target: 164.4466
IN CASE OF SHORT SQUEEZE, expect price to peak at/below 168.4971
SOME RECENT HISTORICAL REFERENCES:
SHORT-SQUEEZE DETECTED ON 20120906,AS SHOWN BY SHAR... 阅读全帖 |
|
n*****k
发帖数: 2801 | 9 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: neohawk (neohawk), 信区: Military
标 题: 水木上一个硅谷男征婚被人拍惨了
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Jan 24 01:59:43 2012, 美东)
英语一塌糊涂还非要用英语装，笑死了。电视上的东西都是基于生活原型啊，真的有这
样的人。
GG本科国内名校，全奖美国前15计算机硕士, 硅谷工作几年,非常踏实, 勤奋,做事认真
负责；入美籍, 父母教师。身高175cm, 68kg，外表85～90%; 从美公司内部调回北京工
作。 看起来端正干净,身体非常健康(几乎不近视); 不吸烟无不良嗜好，很爱干净，酷
爱音乐运动(2项校队); 主因硅谷电脑业理工科集中女生极少+本人要求又高, 22出国+
12年留美未婚. GG 象多数山东人一样重情义，非常真诚（father from Shandong). 收
入比在中国或美国的80%的美国人高. 硅谷是美国人的梦想之地。加州空气比北京好10
倍（PM2.5低10倍, good environment is priceless. 环境 indi... 阅读全帖 |
|
s**********x
发帖数: 4593 | 10 【 以下文字转载自 NCAA 讨论区 】
发信人: xiaok1981 (xiaokzhu), 信区: NCAA
标 题: 水木上一个硅谷男征婚被人拍惨了 (转载)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Jan 24 14:05:27 2012, 美东)
发信人: neohawk (neohawk), 信区: Military
标 题: 水木上一个硅谷男征婚被人拍惨了
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Jan 24 01:59:43 2012, 美东)
英语一塌糊涂还非要用英语装，笑死了。电视上的东西都是基于生活原型啊，真的有这
样的人。
GG本科国内名校，全奖美国前15计算机硕士, 硅谷工作几年,非常踏实, 勤奋,做事认真
负责；入美籍, 父母教师。身高175cm, 68kg，外表85～90%; 从美公司内部调回北京工
作。 看起来端正干净,身体非常健康(几乎不近视); 不吸烟无不良嗜好，很爱干净，酷
爱音乐运动(2项校队); 主因硅谷电脑业理工科集中女生极少+本人要求又高, 22出国+
12年留美未婚. GG 象多数山东人一样重情义，非常真诚（father from S... 阅读全帖 |
|
s**w
发帖数: 499 | 11 http://www.mitbbs.com/club_bbsdoc/Daily_market_prediction.html
每天收盘前出对第二天以后的预测。
自俱乐部成立以来的预测：
Aug. 11, 2011
今天大盘高开高走，各指数均有巨大升幅。成交量进一步缩小，显示市场逐步摆脱恐慌
。虽然VIX还处在比较高位，但是随着利空被price in,像前几天那样大幅连续狂跌的情
况应该已经过去。以后市场就算还要跌，也会是一个正常的升跌幅度。VIX会逐渐下落
。IV也会降下来。
从NDX日线图看，市场冲出前三天拉锯的区域，显示短期还会向上。
5-day RSI:
SPX 43.5，Dow 42.1，rut 42.2，Nasdaq composite 44.3，NDX 45.5.
从底部形成的感觉看，5-day RSI能到55-60.
如果市场一天升，一天跌的话（明天跌），则可能要多等一两天。
如果明天继续升，则在5-day RSI 55-60左右可以close position.
明天以后的情况不是一定不会继续升。只是看不清。要是碰到第二天期指大低开，就很麻烦。
Aug. 12, 201... 阅读全帖 |
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a**i
发帖数: 608 | 12 Hedge Fund Bears Win Bets in Euro Crisis
Published: Thursday, 6 Oct 2011 | 1:17 PM ET
By: Sam Jones
Bearish hedge fund managers have reaped some of their biggest gains since
the collapse of Lehman Brothers amid the market turmoil triggered by the
eurozone debt crisis.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
August and September have seen funds run by industry giants Brevan Howard,
Caxton Associates and GLG Partners reap strong gains as stock markets ... 阅读全帖 |
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h********1
发帖数: 50 | 13 1）bullish和bearish是相对于价格而言，同一个股票10块钱bullish，涨到15块可能就
会变成bearish.
2) leadership
SP500里面哪一个板块最强哪个板块最弱，DOW30 里面哪些component 领涨领跌。比如
上周五，DOW指成员intel 和 JP Morgan 季报好于预期，还没开盘就已经红了，最强的
leader领跌，是很bearish的信号。今天早上开盘前，healthcare利好消息，IBM收盘以
后将有earning
report, 可以开盘等2分钟看一下这两个强者的表现，再进仓。
3）Multiple Scenarios
市场在很多时候难以判断，是因为大家对未来的走势存在分歧，几条路径都有可能成为
现实，
具体哪个，bulls和bears要先较量一番，所以最好事先能把各种可能性都演习一遍。
这几个原则也适用于swing trade |
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f******s
发帖数: 713 | 14 9/10 买进DBA,26.95. 请大家多提批评建议！
基本面上我长期看好农产品，上两个10年先是高科技泡沫，然后是房地产和石油，现在
是债卷。我觉得农产品有成为下一个泡沫的潜力，首先农产品是大众货物，和石油一样
，大资金炒作可能有高利润；最近一年内气候，农产品短缺的新闻越来越多了；大家可
以少开车住小房子，但谁都的吃饭，总需求只能增加；对美国而言农产品价格上涨是件
好事，这些都是我在基本面上的理由。
技术上DBA差不多两年都在consolidation,今年后半年DBA走势强劲，周线稳步上升，
DBA本身也在沿着周BB上沿上升，比较bullish,选择现在买进是因为DBA接近前期高点，
可能突破，并且DBA在7月有个周线的bearish reversal with high volume,一般来说这
个很bearish,但 DBA在四周内突破了bearish reversal的高点，我觉得这个很bullish.
按理说我应该等DBA回调，但我觉得DBA很强，还是上车好。stop设在26.5 -- 最近的
consolidation上沿，目标有点难设，因为DBA假如突破了的话上面没有... 阅读全帖 |
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m*z
发帖数: 2356 | 15 Important Results
Theoretical performance: Bearish continuation
Tested performance: Bearish continuation 71% of the time
Frequency rank: 91
Overall performance rank: 89
Best percentage meeting price target: 40% (bull market, down breakout)
Best average move in 10 days: 4.58% (bull market, up breakout)
Best 10-day performance rank: 20 (bull market, up breakout)
All ranks are out of 103 candlestick patterns with the top performer ranking
1. "Best" means the highest rated of the four combinations o... 阅读全帖 |
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b*****h
发帖数: 3386 | 16 Two scenarios discussed by mainstream wavers.
Bullish scenario is labelled in grey.
The below is the post several days ago.
Today, June 1st, 2010, we are probably entering 3(iii), the most
dreadful waterfall is beginning IF the bearish model is correct (in
green and blue).
================================================
发信人: badfish (badfish), 信区: pennystock
标 题: Re: re: 【TA讨论】5月大盘 （05/2010）
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri May 28 12:52:12 2010, 美东)
1) BTW, FYI, the above chart is the bearish scenario:
B... 阅读全帖 |
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b*****h
发帖数: 3386 | 17 Bears were pondering if wave ii (direction:up) was finished
two days ago, and if the exciting wave iii was coming. However,
Today market made a new high in this wave ii, and hold very well.
Clearly, wave ii isn't finished yet, if it is in wave ii.
At this point, both bearish and bullish views are still valid.
If tomorrow, $SPX can decisively break SMA200, the odds will
favor bulls for a couple of weeks.
In even longer term, the current bearish count will not be
invalidated until $SPX break 1175,... 阅读全帖 |
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C****a
发帖数: 1639 | 18 来自主题: _pennystock版 - 版块分析 5/25/2011
Obviously in recent two days, cyclicals are back and non-cyclical goes into
a correction, after leading the market for two months. This might be a good
news for bulls. Actually energy shows some strength in this week, but I am
a little too bearish-biased on energy and materials. Without positions in
energy and materials in this week, it is very difficult the beat the market.
Technically, XLE got stuck between MA30/MA50, we probably need a breakout
of one side to confirm the trend. ... 阅读全帖 |
|
s**w
发帖数: 499 | 19 Aug. 15, 2011
今天大盘走势强劲，各大指数均有较大升幅。成交量萎缩。RUT转强。NDX日线图显示上
升图形。从VIX和P/C ratio看，市场恐慌还没完全消除。
5-day RSI:
SPX 54.2，Dow 54.8，rut 52.7，Nasdaq composite 53.8，NDX 54.1.
从5-day RSI来看， 市场已经接近或达到通常这种情况下的反弹水平（5-day RSI到50-
60）。
但是NDX日线图还完全看不出转折的迹象。就是说，在这里有点两个方向都没把握的感
觉。操作上好像空仓观望或持股观望都可以。
这是一个close call.
在考虑各种因素，概率后，决定还是以NDX日线图为依据，维持短期趋势向上的判断，
直到NDX日线图出现转折信号。
但是随时注意反转迹象。明天NDX 2180 是重要点位。如果被向下打破，我的model自动
进入空仓观望状态（neutral 偏bearish)。
Aug. 16, 2011
今天大盘低开，盘间有反弹，但卖盘沉重迅速将大盘打至关键点位NDX 2180以下，后虽
有反弹，各大指数均以较大跌幅收盘。VIX和P/... 阅读全帖 |
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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 20 【 以下文字转载自 TraderSuccess 俱乐部 】
发信人: MB80528 (肥猫(Contrarian)[食MM而肥]), 信区: TraderSuccess
标 题: 今天 TraderSuccess(tm) 电子信的内容 (March 22, 2011)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Mar 23 13:02:39 2011, 美东)
有免费的 eMail Newsletter:
欢迎订阅。
http://StockCounsel.com/pm/user/subscribe.php
=================================================
MCP Now Bearish (March 22, 2011)
We now confirm that MCP is over-extended and bearish.
http://yhoo.it/eEiguu
Here is the latest forecasts (as of last night, March 22, 2011):
SYMBOL, DATE... 阅读全帖 |
|
M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 21 【 以下文字转载自 TraderSuccess 俱乐部 】
发信人: MB80528 (肥猫(Contrarian)[食MM而肥]), 信区: TraderSuccess
标 题: 今天 TraderSuccess(tm) 电子信的内容 (March 22, 2011)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Mar 23 13:02:39 2011, 美东)
有免费的 eMail Newsletter:
欢迎订阅。
http://StockCounsel.com/pm/user/subscribe.php
=================================================
MCP Now Bearish (March 22, 2011)
We now confirm that MCP is over-extended and bearish.
http://yhoo.it/eEiguu
Here is the latest forecasts (as of last night, March 22, 2011):
SYMBOL, DATE... 阅读全帖 |
|
L******f
发帖数: 5368 | 22 NEW YORK (Reuters) - PIMCO's Bill Gross, who runs the world's largest bond
fund, said on Friday the only way he would reverse his "short" position on U
.S. government-related bonds and purchase Treasuries again is if the United
States heads into another recession.
Since the news on April 11 that Gross turned more bearish on government debt
including Treasuries, reflecting his growing worries over the country's
fiscal deficit and debt burden, Treasury prices have been soaring.
On Friday Treasury ... 阅读全帖 |
|
X****i
发帖数: 1877 | 23 【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: XiuShi (致力为花街散财，造福散户), 信区: Stock
标 题: Re: 善意提醒：今天在日内高峰附近买股的牛牛要小心了。
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Oct 8 22:03:03 2014, 美东)
软件新增到总共40个股票提款机，今天运作的很不错。
至于个别股票的未来高峰谷底目标价，不想在这里码太多字。
所以最好自己去看软件给的最新更新的高峰谷底价预测吧。
今天市场情况较特殊，所以软件提供了8+18=26个新机会。
软件今天抓了超多的买卖新机会。所以很满意了。总结如下：
今天上涨用掉了2/3的上涨波动空间，再涨今天的一半就看跌。
如果股市明天大幅上扬，短期的顶就出现，否则大概是星期五。
Time & DATE: Right At Close of Market, October 8, 2014
SUMMARY OF TRADING SIGNALS FROM STOCKSAFARI FREEWARE:
All Signals Came During Market Hours, October 8, 201... 阅读全帖 |
|
M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 24 【 以下文字转载自 TraderSuccess 俱乐部 】
发信人: MB80528 (肥猫(Contrarian)[食MM而肥]), 信区: TraderSuccess
标 题: 今天 TraderSuccess(tm) 电子信的内容 (March 22, 2011)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Mar 23 13:02:39 2011, 美东)
有免费的 eMail Newsletter:
欢迎订阅。
http://StockCounsel.com/pm/user/subscribe.php
=================================================
MCP Now Bearish (March 22, 2011)
We now confirm that MCP is over-extended and bearish.
http://yhoo.it/eEiguu
Here is the latest forecasts (as of last night, March 22, 2011):
SYMBOL, DATE... 阅读全帖 |
|
f******e
发帖数: 6488 | 25 【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: qiuzhihaoyue (秋之皓月), 信区: Stock
标 题: Daily Review 2009-09-16
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Sep 16 17:14:13 2009, 美东)
http://tradingisart.blogspot.com/2009/09/daily-review-2009-09-16.html
6. $SSEC Daily:
A red big hammer, so, the previous gap filling doji got an bearish
confirmation, that doji now can be read as a reversal doji. Daily candle has
a long bottom tail, so, itself requires a bearish confirmation tonight... (
This candle is a break down candle, the doji is a reversal s |
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x*********n
发帖数: 28013 | 26 是这样考虑的。
1. 考虑到前期的整盘幅度，这样的防火量，其实肯定放不完。bearish
2. 考虑到均线MA20， 这里的确有support，而且上一波是在这里结束的。bullish
考虑这2点操作。
现阶段不能过分bearish，像前几天一样，一味的出货，橙色警报和红色警报的时候应
该把货放出来了。
所以，
现在可以小量加仓。今晚继续跌，继续加，加到SM30 均线。
加什么，我就不说了，我以前会说，骂的人太多了，明明share information，结果被
几个追着骂。 |
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o*****c
发帖数: 241 | 27 My long-term SP model turns bearish yesterday with score -20 because the
breath thrust component turns neutral from bullish. This model has captured
all major market movements since its debut in 01/2007. The real-time
performance is even better than historical testing from 1962 to 2006.
Components:
This model has ten components and I use voting mechanism to make the final
long/short/neutral decision. Models components signals right now,
bearish: VIX, Interest Rate, Trending, Support/Resistant
Ne |
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s********n
发帖数: 1962 | 28 I actually don't think those sentiment survey is as good as stock board. :)
to Upward,
I do look at the stock board, but not only the stock board. This are also
Daqian, Hutong9, and Tader1688. Some green people start turning bullish
recently, particularly on financial stocks. That's a good sign for bears.
But most HHs are still bearish, which makes me worry a little bit as a
bear. And there are many people like you and me looking for bearish signs,
which makes me worry even more.
On the other ha |
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h*******y
发帖数: 864 | 29 Do you go to bed every night after praying for double dip recession?
It's not that I think the double-dip recession won't happen. In fact, it is
now more likely than ever given that G20 has recently ditched their
collective commitment to Keynesian deficit spending in favor of fiscal
austerity. But I just find that you are so bearish that you only read
bearish news and viewpoints. |
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s********n
发帖数: 1962 | 30 I said I have no idea where USD will go in 2011 or early 2012.
For this kind of short term, I am neither bullish nor bearish,
I simply don't know, especially when the US debt limit issue
is still hanging there. For sure, US won't default. However,
by how much they eventually raise the debt limit will have a
huge impact on where USD will go in August and thereafter.
I am bearish for USD in long-term --- in a time frame of 10 years.
China, Europe, Japan all got their own problems. Japan is doomed.... 阅读全帖 |
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h*******y
发帖数: 864 | 31 You guys are so bearish. I thought I was bearish enough to move 40% of my
money into cash last few months when the S&P was above 1300. Apparently
not when comparing to all cash people on this board.
That said, one month Shibor rate is again 7.37% today (and this time it
can't be explained with Chinese new-year effect). So I may move a
little bit more into cash this month.
But 70-100% in cash/bond? It is like you are certain without any
reasonable doubt about your market timing skills. What is yo... 阅读全帖 |
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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 32 【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: MB80528 (肥猫(Contrarian)[食MM而肥]), 信区: Stock
标 题: Re: 贡献INTC的一个分析结果给大家
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Jan 22 00:52:33 2013, 美东)
INTC: BULLISH IF PRICE <~ 21.1424; BEARISH IF >~ 22.2697
AMD: BULLISH IF PRICE <~ 2.3665; BEARISH IF >~ 2.9003
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/Stock/34573551.html |
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m*x
发帖数: 31 | 33 缩量上涨比较bearish。因为，当股价上涨的时候，人都有take profit的冲动，所以取
利的人会增加，做空的人也会增加。这时候，如果股价要持续上涨，就要克服相应的卖
压。一般来说，在阻力位，或者套牢盘比较多的地方，卖压会很重。所以，真正的上涨
需要放量，也就是要把在阻力位做空的，和套牢的解决掉。
也许你会问，那为什么会有缩量上涨突破阻力位的情况出现呢？我觉得，一是在阻力位
没有足够的空方，原因可能很多。二是套牢盘比较少，或者可能很多套牢盘已经在前期
割肉。
下跌的时候，正常人的本能是继续死捂，尤其在缓跌的时候。所以缩量是正常的。不能
说明bearish或者bullish。
看盘比较无聊，随便说说，呵呵。 |
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s*****b
发帖数: 90 | 34 我也说说我的看法，情大家指教，讨论。
1） 首先起始的setup是一个Reverse Head and Shoulder, 最早可以在right shoulder
开始建仓， stop在head 下面一点。
当然，突破neck line, 进行追加，也可以，但是如果neck line上面出现whipsaw, 就
一定要小心了，牛市的时候，可以耐心一点， piggy bearish market， 就要在neck
line下面， 或者right shoulder下面放stop.
2）如果突破了，传统的target是是head到neck line的距离， 41->45, 45->49.
这就是为什么49的位置， 出现了比较长时间的盘整。
大牛市， 可以继续等等， 画好38.2%的stop,
piggy bearish market, 就take profit吧。
3）盘整后，就有了trend line, 这比较重要，看trendline.
后来49 gap up, 有会测了一次，成功反弹，这个gap的上下边缘，都可以成为entry和
stop的位置。
4）pink trendline破了以 |
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d*******k
发帖数: 56 | 35 let's wait N see how the market interprets O8's speech.
Bearish Investors Position For Near-Term Crash & Burn At Delta
DAL – Delta Air Lines, Inc.
Bearish option traders bombarded Delta with pessimistic strategies today
after the firm stated total December traffic declines 7.5% versus the same
time in the previous year. Despite the decline in traffic, shares of the U.S
. carrier are up nearly 6% to $12.82, perhaps because ‘load factor’ – or
the percentage of available seats filled with passenger |
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N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 36
UDN is the bearish one. GLD sometimes functions like 2X bearish. SLV 3X. |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 37 After Thursday night's Fed move, Friday USD index opened high but ran a
extremely bearish pattern. back to the consolidation zone. yesterday it
closed below that bearish candlestick at 80.55. I would say USD is "颓势尽显
". crossing below 80.22 could spark a short sell signal. I anticipate it
will find its way down to 78 level.
General market coming to a short stop but it's a good buying opportunity if
you missed the earlier 8% run. economy related commodities such as oil and
steel will show streng |
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s****r
发帖数: 31686 | 38 和操作普通仓位一样， 该take profit就take
如果过于bearish的话， take profit 之后马上卖出靠近的call, 充分hedge
如果不很bearish的话， take profit 之后等待反弹， 再卖call
个人浅见， 仅供参考
本人曾经使用covered call连续防守一只巨龌龊的股票 |
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i**y
发帖数: 1170 | 39 People were extremely bearish on it since 8.5, check the posts. Now people
are still extremely bearish on it at <7.5
Of course it will go up one day but that does not mean your observation is
correct or can justify your statement.
it. |
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g*****u
发帖数: 14294 | 40 上周五的Bearish engulfing一点Bearish气息也带不来吗？
有点不敢持仓，一旦水下，有rotation机会也没法动了。 |
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N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 41
I'm as bearish as ever, and I smell a surge is coming to my bearish picks
aka gold / silver / oil / agriculture. |
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T*********s
发帖数: 17839 | 42 bearish OE means more bearish future |
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b******r
发帖数: 16603 | 43 MAs look all awful before earnings
CandleStick Bearish Engulfing on 4/26/2010
MACD short term bearish..
whatever...TA is lagging and losing to FA big time. |
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r*m
发帖数: 16380 | 44 how did you conclude I am on the bull side?
It's never black and white for me.
My positions change graduly, after a big down day like today, I simply
became a little less bearish (or a little more bullish).
If market rally again monday, then I will become more bearish. |
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n********k
发帖数: 218 | 45
Things have changed - you have to adapt to that. Timing is crucial - LT I am
still bearish. But if FED infuse huge amount of money, why would you be
bearish? Everything will be inflated. |
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b******r
发帖数: 16603 | 46 摘录片断
The setup on the weekly chart still looks very heavy - The market moving
lower following the bearish weekly reversal which was posted two weeks ago:
As discussed previously this was the third bearish weekly reversal pattern
posted this year. Each one being posted from a marginally lower high (
January 1,150, June 1,131 and August 1,129). This seems to be a signal that
the market has lost the momentum associated with the ‘09 uptrend.Looking at
the market broadly a large Head and Shoulders l |
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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 48 It is team work and proprietary.
I just use the results.
But the results are generally very good.
Better than anything else I am aware of.
I do not have surprises or anxiety at all.
For example, it has given no bearish signal
and has kept me from the bear camp since
August 26, 2010 when buy signal for the
broad market was given.
Amazingly, latest shows market still not bearish.
SYMBOL, DATE, PRICE, FORECAST, PERCENT
SPY, 20101020, 118.1300, 0.0647, 0.1
SPY, 20101019, 1... 阅读全帖 |
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s********u
发帖数: 1054 | 49 我看你的预测也经常错得离谱， 不过 最难能可贵的是每次错了也根本无所谓， 继续
回来说。 最近一次预测是说周五大盘先高开再大跌, 结果如何自然大家都清楚了。
说AAPL 技术图形短期内BEARISH 这是地球人都知道吧。不过除非是做超短线的， 没有必要理会短期的CHART 看起来怎么样。 AAPL 9月也有1波PULL BACK， 先是跌下290， 大夫当时说AAPL很 BEARISH， 大夫还是说的算准的， AAPL又有一周多从280+跌到278， 然后继续北上了 |
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