G****s
发帖数: 3523 | 1 【 以下文字转载自 Quant 讨论区 】
发信人: winetricks (winetricks), 信区: Quant
标 题: IT bubble差不度又要爆掉了吧 (转载)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Apr 10 11:39:48 2012, 美东)
发信人: winetricks (winetricks), 信区: JobHunting
标 题: IT bubble差不度又要爆掉了吧
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Apr 10 11:25:11 2012, 美东)
想想码侬的工资比矿工都高，真是不可思议啊 |
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q*****g
发帖数: 245 | 2 【 以下文字转载自 JobHunting 讨论区 】
发信人: herifu (herifu), 信区: JobHunting
标 题: 01年dot com bubble 破裂对半导体产业有什么影响？
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Dec 3 01:51:38 2014, 美东)
俺是个硬工。想请教一下，01年dot com bubble 破裂的时候，硬工遭受了多大的影响
？我觉得现在码农这行正处在新一轮的泡沫里，而且许多分析对泡沫破裂的担忧越来越
大。我在想硬工别到时候成为tech界最惨的一群，没享受过码农的待遇，却跟着码农一
起被lay off 掉。 |
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J*L
发帖数: 2659 | 3 今天做完weight，突发奇想去游泳。
谁知道进去wet area就看到hot tub 超多bubble，变成bubble bathtub 了。hoho
这还没什么，讨厌的是从那出来的人，不冲水就往pool里跳。真扫兴 |
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f*****g
发帖数: 15860 | 4 saw it, hehe. i guess i would do the same.
if i remember correctly, it's still quite far away from bubble, and even you
enter the bubble, it's still next to nothing (get buy-in back). even if you
manage to survive to 30th or so, still barely any $. MTT is all about final
table or top 5, the rest gets some candies only.
his over shove is actually not wise, at a 6-max table, and most ppl got 30+
bb (still deep), AA is so powerful to take some chips. but over shove? how
much chance another guy like |
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d*****0
发帖数: 1500 | 5 哥推的原因还有一个是，因为桌上的人都比较conservative，利用bubble时的
aggression积攒些chips便于后面更好的名次。
是不是说这里2～3bb raise/reevalue更好些。
还是说这里BUBBLE的shove是纯-EV。如果说30人进钱圈，剩下33人，哥是绝对不会推的
。请问高手，你们这里的人数的threshold是多少 |
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c*****t
发帖数: 817 | 6 最优打法下13bb没有raise的道理。shove or fold。关键是做到了完美的balance，如
果你AA和JT都shove的话。。
你的情况假设别人的calling range是AJ+, KQ+, 99+。大约是7%的牌。
后面4个人，被call的机会是1 - 0.93^4 = 25%。
手里没POKERSTOVE。但是简单假设JTs面对这个calling range有30%的机会。
手里13BB，锅里2BB。
75%的机会，你直接多2BB。
25%的机会被call。然后equity是27BB * 30% = 8BB。被call了输5BB。
所以你的EV 是2*0.75 - 5*0.25 = 0.25 BB。cash game的话是正的。
tourney bubble也没有那么可怕，最多ICM的chip value系数也就到1.2而已。也就是说
你手里的1个chip值外面的1.2.这样你的EV是 2*0.75 - 5*1.2*0.25 = 0. 正好0. 何况
你还没到bubble。
如果桌子都是紧B的话，推了是对的。如果桌子上都是好手的话。也应该推。因为好手
的callin... 阅读全帖 |
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d*****0
发帖数: 1500 | 7 筹码相对较深时 玩得松一些 利用位置 攻击些weak pot没有问题。但是，20个big
blinds的时候，已经到了没有太多发挥余地的情况，这个时候按照一般的abc的打法就
是需要打得紧。尤其是还有没几个人就进钱圈的时候，这个时候如果筹码处于不上不下
，一定要紧到令人发指。象楼主A7那手，我猜是后位一个偷正好撞墙，索性运气好
double up。到bubble的时候，一定要站起来看看邻桌的短筹情况。aa输掉只能说
unlucky，但是很多情况下，AJ，JJ，这样的牌，在bubble的时候也是需要放弃的。 |
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s*********1
发帖数: 30 | 9 刚买了bath&body works的bubble bath ， 放了整整四个瓶盖多的量，泡沫也不怎么多
，想问问大家，哪个牌子的bubble bath泡沫比较多，像电视里那样的厚厚的泡沫。。
。谢谢：） |
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q**y
发帖数: 64 | 10 【 以下文字转载自 shopping 讨论区 】
发信人: qbcy (qbcy), 信区: shopping
标 题: Price Error! $0.96 EO Bubble Bath, French Lavender, 12-Ounce Bottles (Pack of 3)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Aug 27 02:52:10 2010, 美东)
$0.96 EO Bubble Bath, French Lavender, 12-Ounce Bottles (Pack of 3) @
Amazon.
http://www.dealmoon.com/deals_90745.html#90745 |
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L********n
发帖数: 1941 | 11 昨晚上新录的哈，难得唱首欢乐小曲儿 ：D
one take
"Bubbly"
Will you count me in?
I've been awake for a while now
You've got me feelin' like a child now
'Cause every time I see your bubbly face
I get the tingles in a silly place
It starts in my toes
And I crinkle my nose
Wherever it goes
I always know
That you make me smile
Please stay for a while now
Just take your time
Wherever you go
The rain is falling on my window pane
But we are hiding in a safer place
Under covers staying dry and warm
You give me feelings tha... 阅读全帖 |
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b********6
发帖数: 35437 | 13 【 以下文字转载自 ebiz 讨论区 】
发信人: beetle1986 (beetle), 信区: ebiz
标 题: 数码相机可以用bubble mailer寄吗？
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Dec 16 21:15:54 2011, 美东)
一个卡片机
用bubble mailer会不会压坏？
谢谢 |
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f******s
发帖数: 288 | 14 正在看amazon上的review，都非常搞笑。。。
http://www.amazon.com/Crayola-Washable-Colored-Bubbles-Flamingo
这是粉红色的两条，还没看其他颜色是什么效果
－－－－－－
If you want pink floors, clothes, hands, children, pets, etc, I highly
reccomend this product. oh and the liquid looks like blood all over you when
you are using them as well, which you know, is a great look for children.
－－－－－－
I had my children wear plastic smocks and rainboots to use this product.
However, I don't think that a Hazmat suit would have been protection enough!
W... 阅读全帖 |
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A*********u
发帖数: 8976 | 15 Bubble其实挺乖的
跟别的狗玩也很gentle
但是有的狗很讨厌
玩起来又抓又咬的
一般我就会拉开
今天那个主人居然说"take it easy, they are just playing"
最后Bubble大获全胜
把那个咬跑了，哈哈 |
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i**********g
发帖数: 661 | 16 【 以下文字转载自 SanFrancisco 讨论区 】
发信人: BOXSTER (死了都不卖), 信区: SanFrancisco
标 题: 很好听的歌 - Bubbly
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Aug 23 04:03:14 2007)
据说是MYSPACE捧红的
Colbie Caillat - Bubbly
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PWfB4lurT4 |
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a**d
发帖数: 5 | 17 Hi, friends,
Though Mr. Greenspan has said on the last federal reserve meeting that current
housing boom is not a bubble, there are still a lot of different opinions on
the web. I do agree with him that the housing market is more a local sectors
than a united national market. But how can we judge if our local market is a
bubble or not? I live in seattle area, the house price has gone up a lot in
recent years. I wonder if any experts can provide some insight on this topic.
Thanks in advance
adad |
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c******e
发帖数: 111 | 18 your example can't approve it is a bubble. I am curious
what is people's definition of "housing bubble" now.
would you like to explain yours? |
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g****t
发帖数: 31659 | 19 【 以下文字转载自 PDA 讨论区 】
发信人: guvest (我爱你老婆Anna), 信区: PDA
标 题: 关于filter bubble..美国搞文科的真是牛
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Dec 6 22:23:15 2012, 美东)
很久以来,觉得GooG不太对劲,MS老是给我一个self satisying的幻觉.
前几天在本站发了个贴.经人推荐,去看了filter bubble一书.
牛,实在太牛了.没看过的推荐去看.
难怪人家律师挣那么多.人的approach直接就是in principle的,
而且可以把事情说的很清楚.
这Web搞了20年,多少巨大的钱忽悠进去,最后成了一个广告平台.
美国的网络,这么搞下去,说不定还他妈不如土共管制的呢. |
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o****o
发帖数: 8077 | 20 i used to use:
symbols(x=vector, y=vector, circles=vector......)
where you use the circles=vector to control the radius of your bubbles, very flexible, you can overlay the bubbles on other figures, such as a county map... |
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w*******y
发帖数: 60932 | 21 I found this in Walgreen's upcoming ad for next week. They will be offering
Scotch Bubble Mailers 3/$1 in the following sizes:
Cushion, 6x9 or 8.5x11 in.
Bubble, 4x7 or 10.5x15 in.
Photo, 5.75x8.5 in.
Limit 6, except in ID or NM
The coupon is attached below but should also be in the weekly ad and the
associate at the register should have it as well.
This is a great deal for anyone who needs mailers. This is much cheaper then
you will find at Staples or comparable stores and cheaper then the doll... 阅读全帖 |
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w*******y
发帖数: 60932 | 22 Hello my first deal post. You have to go into your local Lowes to get this.
They have the "Scrubbing Bubbles One Step toilet bowl cleaner kit" that goes
for between $10 & $14 for $3.98. It will be on an end cap and not in the
isles, in the isle it will be $9.99. So only buy 1 and on the inside of that
box will be a coupon for $3 off of the kit, go back in and get the next kit
for $0.98 after the coupon it taken off. I bought 4 yesterday, one at $3.98
and three at $0.98 each. Average price for al... 阅读全帖 |
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w*******y
发帖数: 60932 | 23 Target.com offers:
- Disney Princess bubble packs (also known as "Squinkies") are $6.00 each or
2 for $9.00 ("Buy one Disney Princess, get another 50% off"). Their regular
price is $9.99 each!!!
- Free shipping if you have a Target credit card or your purchase is over $
50.00
To find this offer:
- Go to Target.com
- Search for "Disney Princess bubble pk" and select the packs you want -
there currently are 4 different packs (10 squinkies each)
FYI: If you search for these packs as "Squinkies" the... 阅读全帖 |
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G*******s
发帖数: 10605 | 24 【 以下文字转载自 SmartShopper 俱乐部 】
发信人: GoRockets (火箭加油), 信区: SmartShopper
标 题: Fisher Price Bubble Mower $14.76, Megabloks 80pc Lrg Mega Bloks Bag $15
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Feb 10 21:49:35 2012, 美东)
Amazon.com offers Fisher Price - Bubble Mower for $14.76 which qualifies for
FSSS. Get Megabloks 80pc Lrg Mega Bloks Bag for $15 so shipping is free if
you purchase both.
http://userquote.com/forum/index.php?topic=1090.msg1348#msg1348 |
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c**i
发帖数: 6973 | 25 Short-Seller Jim Chanos: Red Flag Over China; Charlie Rose talks to James
Chanos of Kynikos Associates about the coming property bubble in China.
BusinessWeek, Apr. 19, 2010 (cover date).
http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/10_16/b4174010646611.htm
("They're on this treadmill to hell because 50% to 60% of GDP is
construction * * * they're really hooked on this sort of heroin of real
estate development.")
Note:
(a) Please read the sidebar titled "Next stop: China’s Times Square" in
China |
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b**********n
发帖数: 2812 | 26 I’ll Tell You When Chinese Bubble Is About to Burst: Andy Xie
2010-04-25 19:00:00.1 GMT
Commentary by Andy Xie
April 26 (Bloomberg) -- “My maid just asked for leave,” a friend in
Beijing told me recently. “She’s rushing home to buy property. I suggested
she borrow 70 percent, so she could cap the loss.”
It wasn’t the first time I had heard such a story in China.
Some friends in Shanghai have told me similar ones. It seems all the
housemaids are rushing into the market at the same time. |
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k*****r
发帖数: 21039 | 27 大伙还没搞明白吗。大部分就是些会点matlab的作家, 科技民工。
看国内4代，空天飞机，根本靠的就是自己的人才。 611真要搞个米国博士回来，肯定
是成事不足败事有余。
我国成飞，华为，高铁为代表的高科技企业的疼飞，和在米国科技民工的萎缩和没落，
证明了米国的博士就是个subprime bubble。 建议以后教育部从严审查海外学历，理工
科的一律补考研究生入学的数学I，通过才能认证。
师。 |
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l*****7
发帖数: 8463 | 29 The housing market in the USA is still a huge bubble:
1) 3/4 of the forclosed houses are still not on the market yet:(
2) Millions of houses are supposed to be foclosed and yet not foclosed
because of the Federal government do not let the banks to forclose them:(
3) The ecomonic growth will be zero or negative in the USA for at least 10
or more years:( It is unfortunate, but just very true reality:(
4) The housing price can go down another 40-60% from the current price
within the next 5-10 year... 阅读全帖 |
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S***a
发帖数: 3956 | 30 事实说明very likely
发信人: DSJS (DSJS), 信区: Military
标 题: Re: Fitch says China credit bubble unprecedented in modern
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Jun 17 00:15:17 2013, 美东)
This is very unlikely. |
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m*****5
发帖数: 23482 | 31 这东西是大扩招搞出来的BUBBLE，不光是米国了，中国啦，阿拉伯国家啦，大学一扩招
就是扩大文科系科这种马上就可以扩招来钱的学科，至于学生的出路，学校才不管呢 |
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b********n
发帖数: 38600 | 32 Put a monkey in front of a computer and they'll pump that bubble. Housing is
one of the best conduits. |
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i******r
发帖数: 1175 | 34 So goes with Canadian dollar, inflated real estate bubble will be busted.
At 60-70/bbl, a lot of Canadian company in oil industry will go bankrupt.
Canadian dollar is heading back to 60-70 cent US. |
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w*********r
发帖数: 42116 | 35 perky: Tits that stay in place, no saggage. very lively, jaunty and
energetic
bubbly: a really happy |
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l*****7
发帖数: 8463 | 37 泥马，
美股就是个巨大的bubble！！！
DOW 需跌五到八千点，NASDAQ需跌三千点！！ |
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发帖数: 1 | 38 【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: sanshi29 (坨坨), 信区: Stock
标 题: Big fat ugly bubble
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Sep 26 21:31:58 2016, 美东)
trump如是说
哈哈 |
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c**i
发帖数: 6973 | 40 Jason Dean, China Gets a Warning on Bubbles in Housing. Wall Street Journal,
Dec. 4, 2009.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB125989454940376061.html
Note:
(a) Wang Shi 王石
(b) Vanke 万科集团
www.vanke.com
Quote: "Wang Shi, chairman of China Vanke Co., said government stimulus
measures enacted a year ago to keep China's economy from being sucked into
the global recession have helped to cause a fundamental turnaround in a
property market that was severely ailing before the global financial crisis
hit. * |
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c**i
发帖数: 6973 | 41 (1) Dexter Roberts, Mania on the Mainland; Think the U.S. real estate bubble
was bad? China's could be
worse. BusinessWeek, Dec. 30, 2010.
http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/10_02/b4162030091917.htm
("One difficulty in handicapping the likelihood of a nasty pullback is the
opacity of the data.")
Excerpt in the window of the print: Chinese who has the moneyare desperately
snapping up partments
for fear prices will rise further
Note:
(a) swing (vt): "to succeed in doing, making, or havin |
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c**i
发帖数: 6973 | 42 Phred Dvorak, Housing Rebound in Canada Spurs Talk of a New Bubble.
Wall Street Journal, Feb. 3, 2010.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703808904575025100730017666.html
My comment:
(a) Please only read the first three paragraphs AND paragraph 8 which
mentions China fleetingly.
(b) The print but not the online edition had a figure comparing annual
change of US and Canada housing price for the past decade, which shows US
market popped two years ago, while Canadian market moved down a |
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M*V
发帖数: 3205 | 44 "In the past it was tulips, then we had dot-coms, now it's China. Everyone
wants a piece of it."
These are the rather concerning words of Gordon Chang, author of The Coming
Collapse of China. Yes, the man is literally talking his book. That doesn't
make him wrong. Hear him out as we all try to piece together the riddle that
is China's grand foray into capitalism.
Before everyone breaks into their familiar "China is a fraud" vs. "China is
the future" camps, let's reconcile the two ideas by inject... 阅读全帖 |
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N****g
发帖数: 5172 | 45 我想要的物品:
3个 Apple ipad case $44 each, bubble mailer分开包装
单张面值:
可接受的价格(必须明码标价！):
$43
物品新旧要求:
new
邮寄方式要求:
my usps label
买卖双方谁承担邮寄损失(Required if not code only):
before after
付款方式说明:
noncc-paypal
其他补充说明:
现货only，PM zip pls
广告的有效期:
物品来源:
我的联系方式:
bbs
二手交易风险自负！请自行验证是否合法和一手卡！: |
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T****a
发帖数: 1816 | 46 220个 #0 bubble mailer，如附件，应该是#0的，本来是打算寄CD光盘用的。
$0.12 each+ YL
另外还有8×200 = 1600 fedex label 免费送，
还有两包fedex的air pouch也免费送。
另外，我在中部。 |
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J*********o
发帖数: 302 | 47 bubble mailer 75个
胶带50米一卷
一共15，自己出label. |
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r***h
发帖数: 100 | 48 二手交易风险自负！请自行验证是否合法和一手卡！:
我想卖的物品:
Kraft Bubble Mailer. Size 6x9， 西部的请进
单张面值:
可接受价格(必须明码标价！):
买多了， 大概有200 来个。
买 200 个， ask$10+ 运费。
买 100 个， ask $6.00 + shipping
物品新旧要求:
邮寄方式要求:
usps，
买卖双方谁承担邮寄损失(Required if not code only):
付款方式说明:
non cc paypal
其他补充说明:
广告的有效期:
物品来源(Required for All Cards!):
我的联系方式:
Warranty期限:
能否证明是合法的一手卡?(Required for All Cards!):
state and zip:
ca |
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w*****u
发帖数: 857 | 49 由于朋友送的跟自己买的重了，想转让这个全新未开封的tub，是绿色的，男女baby都
适宜。全名叫做 Summer Infant Lil Luxuries Whirlpool, Bubbling Spa & Shower
Tub (Green)
想卖45刀包邮。有意者请站内联系。谢谢！ |
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