r******g
发帖数: 4002 | 1 On May 30th, I made a prediction that shocked the readers of TownHall. I
predicted a Romney landslide- with Obama leading in every poll.
I did not make that prediction as a political columnist, or as the former
Libertarian Presidential contender, or the 2008 Libertarian Vice
Presidential nominee. I relied on my career as a Las Vegas oddsmaker. Long
before I got into politics, I started out as the Network Oddsmaker and NFL
Analyst for CNBC (then known as Financial News Network). I've made my livi... 阅读全帖 |
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r******g
发帖数: 4002 | 2 On May 30th, I made a prediction that shocked the readers of TownHall. I
predicted a Romney landslide- with Obama leading in every poll.
I did not make that prediction as a political columnist, or as the former
Libertarian Presidential contender, or the 2008 Libertarian Vice
Presidential nominee. I relied on my career as a Las Vegas oddsmaker. Long
before I got into politics, I started out as the Network Oddsmaker and NFL
Analyst for CNBC (then known as Financial News Network). I've made my livi... 阅读全帖 |
|
m****g
发帖数: 3975 | 3 http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/blog/2012/nov/02/americans-v
Americans would like to vote out Obama, but Romney makes it difficult
Sandy may have tipped the balance back in favour of the president days
before the US election
Share
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Barack Obama
Barack Obama, whose campaign has a revived momentum. Photograph: Jewel Samad
/AFP/Getty Images
On the BBC a few weeks ago the New York Times pundit David Brooks explained
to his British audience that American vo... 阅读全帖 |
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t***5
发帖数: 1057 | 4 全文在这里：
A just-released USA Today/Gallup Poll finds swing state voters are now split
48-48 between President Barack Obama and Republican candidate former
Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney — and that Obama has a four point “bounce”
since the last poll in October:
Voters in swing states are evenly split between President Obama and GOP
nominee Mitt Romney, according to a new poll from USA Today/Gallup.
The poll released late Sunday finds 48 percent of likely voters in the
nation’s key battlegrounds bac... 阅读全帖 |
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c****i
发帖数: 7933 | 5 Who am I?
I was born in one country, raised in another. My father was born in another
country. I was not his only child. He fathered several children with
numerous women. I became very close to my mother, as my father showed no
interest in me. Although my father deserted me and my mother raised me, I
later wrote a book idolizing my father, not my mother. Later in life,
questions arose over my real name. My birth records were sketchy. No one was
able to produce a legitimate, reliable birth certif... 阅读全帖 |
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m*********a
发帖数: 3299 | 6 BOSTON – Ashley Wagner was controversially named to the United States women
's Olympic team on Sunday despite her disappointing fourth-place finish at
the U.S. Championships this weekend.
Related Stories
Wagner makes US figure skating team despite falls The Associated Press
Wagner gifted spot on U.S. squad for Sochi Reuters
Jeremy Abbott, Jason Brown selected to U.S. Olympic figure skating team
Yahoo Sports
Gracie Gold's triumph is Ashley Wagner's tragedy at U.S. figure skating
c... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 7 http://online.wsj.com/articles/shire-gets-revised-abbvie-takeov
AbbVie Nears $54 Billion Shire Deal
Deal Would Be Latest 'Inversion' Play
By Hester Plumridge
connect
Updated July 14, 2014 2:13 p.m. ET
LONDON—U.S. drug maker AbbVie Inc. ABBV -0.02% is close to clinching
a deal to buy Dublin-based Shire SHPG +2.23% PLC for more than £
31 billion ($53.6 billion), in what would be one of the largest so-called
inversion deals through which U.S. companies are seeking a lower corpo... 阅读全帖 |
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s********t
发帖数: 4150 | 8 (CNN)—It's over. Donald Trump is the Republican nominee.
He just added Nevada to the growing list of caucus primary wins, and while
he needs more delegates to clinch it, who the heck can stop him now?
He is leading in national polls and in many state polls; he's succeeded in
upending rivals such as Ted Cruz, Jeb Bush and Ben Carson; and there's no
one in sight who can stop him. The only question is when will the GOP
embrace him? The answer: no time soon.
The establishment doesn't like him becaus... 阅读全帖 |
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x****d
发帖数: 2239 | 9 I'd be very surprised if GOP deny Trump because he is 29 short of 1237.
If they do that, there is no way GOP can win back WH as single party. |
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h****n
发帖数: 3447 | 10 我倒是觉得很有可能他们会做掉Trump。他们到现在为止的努力不就是为了阻止Trump拿
到足够的票数吗？就算很多时候大家都觉得已经不可能阻止了，他们都没放弃，最后达
到目的，然后放弃？
我觉得Trump必须拿到足够票数，不能幻想其它的。Kasich理论上都已经完全不可能拿
到票数了还在竞选，共和党中央还不去提醒一下，这不是扯吗？因为他们就是要做掉
Trump. |
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T******r
发帖数: 90 | 12 这个projection太扯了
纽约95个代表只给trump71个？Trump在纽约可是60%+ !
媒体故意放这种projection来扰乱视听而已
the
he |
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g****e
发帖数: 1829 | 13 the poll was based on landline with average age 54. These people are most
pro-trump in NY. |
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H***l
发帖数: 1936 | 14 Lying Ted搞dirty trick最在行了。 |
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m****g
发帖数: 2215 | 15 25/42
Wisconsin (April 5): Forty-two delegates are at stake, and it’s winner-take
-all on the congressional district and state level. Trump led in the most
recent poll, but with only 30 percent, and he had a very high unfavorable
rating.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/will-donald-trump-clinch-th |
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x****d
发帖数: 2239 | 16 Trump urged to be more serious as Wisconsin contest looms
---------------------------------------------------------------
By Steve Holland
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Donald Trump is facing pressure to adopt a more
serious tone in his U.S. presidential campaign from Republicans worried that
a string of missteps may do him lasting damage in remaining state-by-state
contests needed to clinch the nomination.
Those who have marveled at Trump’s rise are cautioning the front-running
New York billionaire as... 阅读全帖 |
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m****g
发帖数: 2215 | 17 Be patient. Even Hillary has not clinched her nomination with all the
democratic establishment behind her. |
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m********g
发帖数: 10469 | 18 Exit polls: Wisconsin GOP voters want nominee with most delegates, not
majority
By Nick Gass
04/05/16 05:46 PM EDT
WARNING: Early exit polls are incomplete, and they should be interpreted
with caution. They only include interviews with voters who cast ballots
earlier in the day, which could underrepresent certain groups. And the
networks don’t release full results before polls have closed statewide;
they only tease out certain numbers, some of which will shift significantly
in the final survey.
... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 19 BREAKING: GOP Makes Major Nomination Announcement – Things Are About to Get
MESSY
13 Apr, 2016 by Sierra Marlee
Candidates and supporters alike have been focused on the number 1237, the
number of delegates a candidate needs to clinch the nomination. But a new
announcement from the RNC may change everything.
From Western Journalism:
For Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump, something magical
just happened to his magic number.
For weeks, Trump and his rivals have been fixated on ... 阅读全帖 |
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m****g
发帖数: 2215 | 20 http://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-donald-trump-keeps-large-lead-
There, Trump leads Cruz and Kasich as the CBS News Battleground Tracker
begins looking at the contest, 49 percent to 31 percent for Cruz and 16
percent for Kasich. At the race's current pace, Trump would need a sizable
win there -- as well as strong performances in between -- to clinch the
nomination outright. |
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m****g
发帖数: 2215 | 21 http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/ted-cruz-campaign-nervous
Ted Cruz is speaking confidently about knocking off Donald Trump to take the
GOP nomination, but his top staffers admit they’re getting nervous.
In interviews, several aides, speaking on the condition of anonymity,
expressed growing alarm that Cruz would lose Indiana’s primary on Tuesday
— an outcome that would be a major blow to his hopes of holding Trump below
the 1,237 delegates needed to clinch the GOP nomination on the party
co... 阅读全帖 |
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a****0
发帖数: 548 | 24 Trump是个非常讲义气的人。不但现在帮胖州长搞funderraising还胖州长竞选总统时欠
下的债务，而且当上总统后会委任胖州长为AG。看下面AP的新闻：
TRENTON, N.J. — Gov. Chris Christie’s decision to endorse Donald Trump
back in February brought him plenty of derision at the time. But it’s
bringing rewards now that it’s clear he bet on the winner.
With Trump having effectively clinched the Republican presidential
nomination following a bruising primary fight, Christie now sees vindication
of what had been a divisive choice in his home state and his inner circle.
T... 阅读全帖 |
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a****0
发帖数: 548 | 25 Trump是个非常讲义气的人。不但现在帮胖州长搞funderraising还胖州长竞选总统时欠
下的债务，而且当上总统后会委任胖州长为AG。看下面AP的新闻：
TRENTON, N.J. — Gov. Chris Christie’s decision to endorse Donald Trump
back in February brought him plenty of derision at the time. But it’s
bringing rewards now that it’s clear he bet on the winner.
With Trump having effectively clinched the Republican presidential
nomination following a bruising primary fight, Christie now sees vindication
of what had been a divisive choice in his home state and his inner circle.
T... 阅读全帖 |
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S**C
发帖数: 2964 | 26 There is one problem in the poll, the poll assumes whiter electorate than
2012. While it is certainly possible that Trump may bring more white working
class into this GE to temporarily reverse the trend which is less white on
every GE vs. previous one for a few decades, the trend is likely not his
friend, not to mention nomination clinching typically has boosting effect. |
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h*******u
发帖数: 15326 | 27 Polls
Election 2016
Video
Writers
More
up next: Trump Exposes Liberal Journalists Disdain for American Voters
now reading: Why Trump Might Win
636 Shares
Why Trump Might Win
AP Photo/Ted S. Warren, file
Why Trump Might Win
633 Shares
By Robert Reich
May 24, 2016
A new Washington Post/ABC News poll released Sunday finds Donald Trump and
Hillary Clinton in a statistical tie, with Trump leading Clinton 46 percent
to 44 percent among registered voters. That’s an 11 percent swing ... 阅读全帖 |
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f*g
发帖数: 184 | 28 My common sense prediction is that Donald J. Trump will be the 45th
President of United States of America. 理由很简单：
Trump在初选时的困难可和登天的难度相当：几乎全世界的所有主流媒体，国际上现有
和过去重要领导人、政客们、美国国内两党首脑、参议院和国会代表们，在数亿美元支
持的铺天盖地的反面媒体广告的助攻下，惊人一致地联手反对、攻击、诬陷一个毫无从
政经验的总统候选人。在这样极端挑战的条件下，Trump knocked out 16位共和党参选
人，于5/26/2016提前clinched the GOP nominee。
相反，Hillary几乎一直只有一个竞争对手，到现在也不能seal the deal。稍有常识的
人都知道，到GE，Trump和Hillary一对一竞争时，一定会sweeping victory。一个不太
恰当的比喻，就是体育比赛。Hillary和Trump比较，就是low energy,她都不敢和
Sanders debate，到时遇到Trump，一定... 阅读全帖 |
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发帖数: 1 | 29 Trump过1237，Carson赞扬美国人民的智慧。
Carson, who has been working closely with the Trump campaign, also discussed
Thursday's news that the New Yorker has now bypassed the 1,237 confirmed
delegates he needs to clinch the GOP nomination, saying that the news "says
a lot about the wisdom of the American people."
"The American people have been able to analyze and they recognize we have
two choices," said Carson. "We have the choice of continuing along the
progressive ideology of more government intervention,... 阅读全帖 |
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b*****d
发帖数: 61690 | 30 Hillary Clinton took aim at presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump on Monday
— just one day before California’s critical primary — as she hopes to
wrap up the Democratic nomination.
At a campaign rally in Lynwood, Calif., the Democratic front-runner chided
Trump for not supporting a higher minimum wage or pay equity — two major
issues that are pinnacles of Clinton’s campaign. She blasted Trump for what
she said is his name-calling and bullying of Americans, an attack that is
likely a preview of he... 阅读全帖 |
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s*********r
发帖数: 9493 | 31 居然靠波多黎各拿到了提名。
(CNN)Hillary Clinton clinched the Democratic presidential nomination Monday,
according to CNN's delegate and superdelegate count, and will become the
first woman in the 240-year history of the United States to lead the
presidential ticket of a major political party.
A strong showing in Puerto Rico's Democratic primary on Sunday and
additional support from superdelegates put Clinton, 68, over the top. She
has secured 1,812 pledged delegates and 572 superdelegates for a total of 2,
3... 阅读全帖 |
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m****g
发帖数: 2215 | 32 http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2016/jun/9/bernie-sanders-ted-cruze-best-vp-picks/
Mr. Trump appears vulnerable in North Carolina, Arizona, Georgia and perhaps
Utah — all states that Mitt Romney won in 2012. In order for Mr. Trump to
win in November, he must at least hold these states, while flipping others.
Mr. Trump — who’s brash remarks about a federal judge has created a crisis
among Republican leadership this week — needs a consistent, reliable
conservative to be on his ticket. One who ... 阅读全帖 |
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g********2
发帖数: 6571 | 33 September 6, 2016
Could California’s illegal voter registration drive torpedo Hillary’s
carefully laid plans for victory?
By Andrew Grant White
In February 2016, the California Governor and legislature did something
rather outlandish. They made a law (2015 Motor Voter Law) that allows all
CA illegals to apply for a driver’s license. This law combined with 2013
Assembly Bill 60 (automatic voter registration when getting a driver's
license) effectively results in allowing illegals to vote becaus... 阅读全帖 |
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g********2
发帖数: 6571 | 34 Clinton gives her take on Sanders supporters in leaked fundraising recording
'Half the people don’t know what that means, but it’s something that they
deeply feel.'
By Cristiano Lima
09/30/16 09:21 PM EDT
Updated 09/30/16 10:12 PM EDT
Leaked audio of a conversation between Hillary Clinton and donors during a
February fundraising event shows the Democrat nominee describing Bernie
Sanders supporters as "children of the Great Recession" who are "living in
their parents’ basement."
Speaking at a Vir... 阅读全帖 |
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h*******n
发帖数: 8906 | 35 It is not that difficult for trump to clinch PA |
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g********2
发帖数: 6571 | 37 Dear Democrats: Here Is Why You Lost
Thomas Wheatley
Law Student, Antonin Scalia Law School
11:30 AM 11/11/2016
Behold. The end of the 2016 presidential election. The sun has risen on
November 9, and Americans resume their daily lives.
The victor is Donald J. Trump, a businessman and television personality from
New York City, in an extraordinary upset with little, if any, historical
precedent.
Only a few weeks prior to election night, the Democratic candidate, former
Secretary of State Hillary C... 阅读全帖 |
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g********2
发帖数: 6571 | 38 Vox: No, The Electoral College Won’t Give Clinton The Presidency (And It’s
Not Going Away Either)
Matt Vespa
|
Posted: Nov 16, 2016 12:30 PM
Yes liberals, we hear you: Clinton is winning the plurality of the popular
vote, while Donald Trump took the Electoral College handily. It’s not fair
(to you). So, we’re all watching with disgust as you take your temper
tantrum to the streets, vandalizing buildings, and setting things on fire.
Do I empathize? Hey, I know how it felt to lose in 2012, but I n... 阅读全帖 |
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b*****d
发帖数: 61690 | 39 The Senate has clinched a deal reining in President Trump on Russia,
according to a key senator involved in the talks.
Sen. Bob Corker (R-Tenn.) said lawmakers have struck an agreement that
includes allowing Congress to weigh in before Trump can lift current
sanctions against Russia. He said staffers are now reviewing the legislative
language.
"I think we're there. We're going through the [legislative] language in here
now, but we've reached an agreement," Corker told a small group of
reporters. |
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V**********y
发帖数: 110 | 40 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=85_-U8w2lZY 很喜欢
Under the hood, the RS6 Avant will drop its usual V-10 engine in favor of a
new twin-turbocharged 4.0-liter TFSI V-8 engine that delivers a total of 560
horsepower between 5,700 and 6,700 rpm, and 516.29 pound-feet of torque
between 1,750 and 5,500 rpm. This engine is equipped with two large twin-
scroll turbochargers and an additional intercooler inside the cylinder-bank
valley – pretty creative use of space.
With the new engine the RS6 Avant will... 阅读全帖 |
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a**********u
发帖数: 28450 | 41 你是老杨的话，你会怎么回？翁不愧为才女，英文情书写的如此煽情，就是钟馗看了也
能变小生了.
Cold here, icy cold there. You belong to neither, leaves have withered.Your
face is pale and blue, a tearful smile. Something in your eyes,whispers
words of last good-bye. My heart sinks down, tears surge out.
此处冷，彼处更冷。枯叶凋零，君属何人。君面惨淡忧郁，含泪而笑。君热泪盈眶，喃
喃自语，难言再见。妾心沉落，泪涌似涛。
Hot summer. Cheerful Cocktail. You took my hand. We fled into another world.
You sat by my side, long hair tied behind, cool and killing. Smile floating
on the lemonade, soft and smooth... 阅读全帖 |
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S***a
发帖数: 199 | 42 还真把老杨当作美国人了， 老杨的中文功底肯定比 99% 大陆教育的人强，搞什么英文
，tnnd
你是老杨的话，你会怎么回？翁不愧为才女，英文情书写的如此煽情，就是钟馗看了也
能变小生了.
Cold here, icy cold there. You belong to neither, leaves have withered.Your
face is pale and blue, a tearful smile. Something in your eyes,whispers
words of last good-bye. My heart sinks down, tears surge out.
此处冷，彼处更冷。枯叶凋零，君属何人。君面惨淡忧郁，含泪而笑。君热泪盈眶，喃
喃自语，难言再见。妾心沉落，泪涌似涛。
Hot summer. Cheerful Cocktail. You took my hand. We fled into another world.
You sat by my side, long hair tied behind, cool and killing... 阅读全帖 |
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q****p
发帖数: 4536 | 43 Thanks. You probably are right. Since I never had this problem before, the
only situation happens recently is that so many things are happening and I
have been (very) stressful for a while even though i myself may not realize
it. But this can be reflected by my sleep. I might clinch my teech too tight
during sleep without awareness. My dentist also said this might be the
cause after he checked my joint. |
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c*****r
发帖数: 8227 | 44 【 以下文字转载自 Soccer 讨论区 】
发信人: catcher (Can I?), 信区: Soccer
标 题: 70:68 John Isner Won 美国人又要high
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Jun 24 19:50:39 2010, 美东)
After 11 hours and five absorbing minutes on court, John Isner wrote his name into the record books as the winner of the sport's longest ever battle when the giant American finally clinched the epic three-day, 183-game thriller 6-4, 3-6, 6-7 (7-9), 7-6 (7-3), 70-68. |
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a*******m
发帖数: 14194 | 46 希腊正式认怂了。
就看欧盟能不能牛逼一点了，德国人能不能牛逼一点了。
我对希腊的判断完全正确。
Greece Seeks $59.2 Billion Bailout in Effort to Keep Euro
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/greeks-under-gun-produce-reform-1
he government of Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras sought a three-year
bailout loan of at least 53.5 billion euros ($59.2 billion), in a last-ditch
effort to keep the country in the euro.
Related Stories
Deadline looms for Greece to submit bailout plan AFP
The Latest: IMF: Schaeuble says Greek debt will be discussed Associated... 阅读全帖 |
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b*****d
发帖数: 61690 | 48 Senate negotiators have clinched a deal that would double the number of
patrol agents and double the length of fencing along the U.S.-Mexico border,
giving the Senate immigration reform bill a major boost.
Sens. Bob Corker (R-Tenn.) and John Hoeven (R-N.D.) announced the agreement
Thursday afternoon and predicted it could secure the votes of as many as 15
Republicans for final passage.
The amendment is expected to cost more than $30 billion, and members of the
Gang of Eight expressed confidence ... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 49 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: cmvmei (cmvmei), 信区: USANews
标 题: 这个好笑：Who am I?
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Dec 22 20:59:06 2013, 美东)
Who am I?
I was born in one country, raised in another. My father was born in another
country. I was not his only child. He fathered several children with
numerous women. I became very close to my mother, as my father showed no
interest in me. Although my father deserted me and my mother raised me, I
later wrote a book idolizing my father, not my mother. Later in life,
que... 阅读全帖 |
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S*******h
发帖数: 7021 | 50 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: gemini2012 (双子AB), 信区: USANews
标 题: Leaked radio:希拉里在金主面前嘲笑三得子粉
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Sep 30 23:23:59 2016, 美东)
Clinton gives her take on Sanders supporters in leaked fundraising recording
'Half the people don’t know what that means, but it’s something that they
deeply feel.'
By Cristiano Lima
09/30/16 09:21 PM EDT
Updated 09/30/16 10:12 PM EDT
Leaked audio of a conversation between Hillary Clinton and donors during a
February fundraising event shows the Democrat nomi... 阅读全帖 |
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