b********n
发帖数: 38600 | 1 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: beijingren (to thine own self be true), 信区: Military
标 题: 床铺台湾电话就是要尝试阻止美元崩溃，并且破坏席大的一路一带
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Dec 4 19:52:08 2016, 美东)
Concerning Trumponomics in the coming year when he becomes Potus :
1° The reign of Putin as Taras Bulba of Syria and of Oligarchy big oil
outside the US is now a given.
The Duck won't change that.
Putin will rule in ME thanks to the Iran connection and even Erdogan wants
to join his PIVOT to Asia as pardner in fossil and new currency... 阅读全帖 |
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发帖数: 1 | 2 What a peaceful religion
This is a conundrum |
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T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 3 福林早已经认罪了，mueller现在要求推迟宣判两个月。
国会听证FBI探员认为福林没有意撒谎，可他居然认罪了，有猜测是被FBI威胁他儿子。
但法庭能判一个没犯法的认罪吗？
The Mystery of Michael Flynn’s Guilty Plea
He pleaded guilty to a crime FBI agents said he didn’t commit.
One of the stranger moments of Robert Mueller’s special counsel probe is
Michael Flynn’s Dec. 1, 2017 guilty plea for lying to the Federal Bureau of
Investigation. The former White House national security adviser pleaded
guilty to a single count of making false statements, even though then FBI
director Jam... 阅读全帖 |
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c****x
发帖数: 6601 | 4 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: cccpwx (flg政庇小学生), 信区: Military
标 题: 黄育川：奇怪现象——中美“贸易战”却无关乎中美贸易 ZT
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Nov 14 23:26:36 2018, 美东)
http://www.guancha.cn/HuangYuChuan/2018_11_15_479684_s.shtml
【10月23日，卡耐基基金会资深研究员、世行前驻华大使黄育川在复旦大学中国研究院
发表演讲。本文为演讲的第一部分。】
（观察者网 武守哲编译）我现在手上拿的这本书是我的专著《破解中国谜题（
Cracking the China Conundrum）》，它的副标题是“为什么传统经济智慧是错的”，
这本书最近会有汉语翻译版，它本来是写给西方人看的，但对中国的读者来说也大有裨
益，我们也需要思考，中国人对中美贸易的某些传统看法是不是也会犯错。
黄育川先生演讲现场
在书中我特别指出，西方人对中国经济的一些惯常理解都是错误的，如果理解出现了偏
差，那么在制定相应的经济政策的时候也会出错。今天我演... 阅读全帖 |
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b*****d
发帖数: 61690 | 5 50万也就是杯水车薪。美国国会太搞了。
NSF is spending 500,000 dollars per year on refreshments at meetings, even
though attendees are already compensated for food and other expenses,
Inspector General Allison Lerner said.
WASHINGTON (AFP) – Hundreds of millions of US taxpayer dollars have been
wasted on everything from doughnuts to rockets, auditors told Congress
Thursday as budget-minded lawmakers prepared to slash science funding.
For example, hundreds of millions of dollars are being spent each month on a
NASA... 阅读全帖 |
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a**********d
发帖数: 2293 | 6 这种情况的背后显然有多种原因。美国校方几乎可以肯定有些急于赚钱，结果录取学生
的时候没能仔细筛选，对大批外国学生前来就读造成的一些问题没有足够的思想准备和
应对措施。
中国学生、家长和中介这边问题也很大。不管怎么说，成绩单造假、托福GRE代考，来
了之后跟不上，这些事情怪罪不到别人头上。当然，美国人也不乏造假的，不过远没有
这么普遍。还有就是文化差异，比如中国的应试教育跟美国高等教育的分歧，等等。
China Conundrum这篇文章我扫了一遍，没特别仔细看。总体来说感觉写的一般，缺乏
深度，也不是特别公允，不过这些问题不妨碍文章里描述的现象的真实性。 |
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p********r
发帖数: 1980 | 7 你没听说信用危机的根源是在于中国人存款太多,早成了Greenspan的conundrum(就是他
升息,结果长期国债跌不下去,因为中国的存款都来买美元国债了),利率还是低,引发了
房产泡沫? |
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M***s
发帖数: 96 | 8 关键字：all unemployment is voluntary。
似乎不是那么难懂嘛。
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/nobel-for-explaining-why-markets-fail-2010-10-11
Nobel for explaining why markets fail
Commentary: Searching adds frictions and costs to the economy
＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — Three economists — including one rejected by
the Senate as too inexperienced to work at the Federal Reserve — have won
the Nobel prize in economics for their work in explaining why markets
sometimes don’t work so well.
Trio W... 阅读全帖 |
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c********h
发帖数: 191 | 9 When Greenspan marched to Capitol Hill on Feb. 16, the 10-year Treasury bond
yield was hanging around 4.1%, well below the levels of mid-2004 despite the
Fed’s 150 basis point hike in short-term rates that began on June 30.
Greenspan naturally paid a good bit of attention to this apparent disconnect
and pointed out that the phenomenon actually is global. In essence, he threw
up his hands and said “the broadly unanticipated behavior of world bond
markets remains a conundrum” ― i.e., a riddle with |
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U********f
发帖数: 2482 | 11 "Ninety-eight percent of the world is pessimistic on the U.S. dollar," says
Rogers with a shrug when asked to flesh out the conundrum of being long an
asset he thinks will end up being worthless. It's a trade, not a bullish
theme. Of course, Rogers never made a trade he wouldn't exit, and his long-
position on the dollar is no exception. "If it goes down, I'll have to sell
it," he says, adding, "if it goes up, I'll probably sell it." |
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g*****u
发帖数: 14294 | 12 Week of June 13-17, 2011.
The major indices had a notable rebound on Tuesday (June 14), only to be met
by a quick snapback to a new low the next day. Greek debt concern was once
again in the spotlight and appears to exert heavy pressure on the financials
with direct exposure as well as other risky assets. What seemed to be tale-
telling was the weakness in financial stocks at close on Tuesday (e.g., the
bearish engulfing pattern on BAC).
DOW30 blue chips such as MSFT,AXP,MCD showed strength on T... 阅读全帖 |
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c*****r
发帖数: 8227 | 13 1. Buy mid-sized and large stocks that are growing earnings and revenue
2. Buy large and mega-sized stocks that are paying consistent dividends and
have low debt-to-equity ratios
3. Read the news on your stocks once a week maximum, once a month minimum
4. The moment a stock disappoints you or makes you wish you hadn't bought it
, sell it. Immediately and regardless of price. Life is too short to hope
a bad decision reverses itself
5. Don't get In or Out of the market, but modulate your exposu... 阅读全帖 |
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I******r
发帖数: 265 | 14 so, the idea is that keeping cash at hand now is safer than investing in
stock or bond market, because the gain will be small while the loss might be
big.
it
at
★ 发自iPhone App: ChineseWeb 7.8 |
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g**********2
发帖数: 2408 | 15 thanks for sharing
it
at
t
, |
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f*********r
发帖数: 7485 | 16 其實我也是這麼想的 但周圍沒有人同意這種說法，直到看到這個帖子
多謝了
be |
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t****9
发帖数: 4491 | 17 Don’t worry too much about the U.S. or Europe, says George Soros.
The major uncertainty facing the world today is China, writes the
billionaire investor in a column for the Project Syndicate website. He says:
“There is an unresolved self-contradiction in China’s current policies:
restarting the furnaces also reignites exponential debt growth, which cannot
be sustained for much longer than a couple of years.”
The People’s Bank of China moved to rein in debt in 2012, but then the
world’s No. 2 eco... 阅读全帖 |
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a**********2
发帖数: 355 | 18 Today's US Research Highlights and Market Update
Market Intelligence – Morning Update
By Chris Hussey
Published 19 Mar 2014 6:26:35 am CDT
Stocks in Asia traded directionless Wednesday as calm returns to markets
after a bout of elevated anxiety mostly centered on emerging markets and geo
-political risks. News overnight was fairly scarce. Japan's Tankan survey
and February trade report point to an industrial complex that is hopeful but
quite frankly still falling short of the promised lift that... 阅读全帖 |
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R********3
发帖数: 166 | 19 http://finance.yahoo.com/news/texas-wants-gold-back-inside-1429
AUSTIN, Texas (AP) -- Forget Fort Knox or the Federal Reserve. Texas has
decided to start keeping its gold holdings within in its own borders. But
what makes sense politically in such a sovereignty-loving place is creating
a logistical conundrum.
Texas is the only state that owns an actual stockpile of gold, according to
public sector and financial industry experts — not just gold futures or
investment positions, but approximately 5... 阅读全帖 |
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v***g
发帖数: 126 | 20 Boehner dances between GOP, Dems on immigration
Boehner won raves and caucus members emerged predicting the bill would win a
majority of both parties and become law by the end of the year.
"The meeting was wonderful," exclaimed Democratic Rep. Luis Guiterrez of
Illinois.
"We are ready," said Rep. Xavier Becerra, D-Calif. "The speaker made it very
clear that he'd like the House to be ready as well."
"It was a meeting that gives us a lot of hope," said Rep. Ruben Hinojosa, D-
Texas, the Hispanic C... 阅读全帖 |
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m******e
发帖数: 4232 | 21 这周没什么安排，7/4长周末准备Packpacking to CONUNDRUM Hot Springs
泡野温泉，体力有剩的话可以顺便爬1-2座14er，从温泉上去不远了，一共三
天时间，有三人确定要去，一人考虑中，你要不要跟我们一起去啊？不是很辛
苦，我确定你的体力是可以的。 |
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s****r
发帖数: 742 | 22 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
logi (MU) 于 (Mon Jun 6 00:02:07 2011, 美东) 提到:
这是个26miles roundtrip的hike，本人倒是没有海拔问提。体力需要训练一下。我唯
一担心的是，夏
天打雷。我听说夏天爬山最危险的就是被雷击中，一般是一击致命。除了大清早出发之
外，还有什么
需要注意的吗？当然，目前就我一人，有感兴趣的同学可以联系一下。
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
maywhite (梅逐雨中黄) 于 (Mon Jun 6 00:26:35 2011, 美东) 提到:
你要去Hike那个汽车开的路么？26迈一天下来是要够体力才行。其实Hike Pikes Peak
有一条通常的路线，
单程6,7迈左右，一天下来没什么问题。别的高山还真是中午就要下山，以免被雷劈，
但Pikes Peak还好，
一有打雷，赶紧路上坐车下山也可以滴，那条车道总是很多车来车往。
☆───────────────────────────... 阅读全帖 |
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d*******e
发帖数: 412 | 23 The chicken came before the egg, researchers discover
http://www.express.co.uk/posts/view/186763/The-chicken-came-bef
But scientists claim to have finally discovered the answer to the
conundrum of what came first – the chicken or the egg?
Researchers at the University of Sheffield and the University of
Warwick have found that a protein called ovocleidin (OC-17) is crucial
in the formation of eggshells.
It is produced in the pregnant hen’s ovaries so the correct reply to... 阅读全帖 |
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s******r
发帖数: 27 | 24 “If you don’t mind paying a large water bill – if that’s a small
proportion of your income – there really is less of an incentive to save,”
said Quinn.
That would seem to be the case in places like Rancho Santa Fe. The community
near San Diego is considered one of the wealthiest in America, with a
median household income of $173,000 annually. It also has one of the highest
rates of water consumption in the state: Within the Santa Fe Irrigation
District, which serves Rancho Santa Fe and several n... 阅读全帖 |
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B******1
发帖数: 9094 | 25 1. Race should never be a factor in the admission process
Why? You did not substantiate the above claim with any reason. If this is
Okay with you, I could have said immigrants should never be admitted into
another country or once a slave, always a slave.
2. Education for the next generation? Give me a break, in the ideal world
every student gets the best possible education. In the real world with
limited resources, only the brightest and most capable students get the best
education, e.g. Ivy le... 阅读全帖 |
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C**********y
发帖数: 480 | 26 看这篇文章：
http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2014/09/01/friends-israel
有点长，一句话总结：胡萝卜加大棒，各议员的竞选经费10～15%来自犹太人，不听话
，下次对手会拿到这钱，差额就是20到30%！
This was a daunting challenge. Jews made up less than three per cent of the
American population, concentrated in nine states, and they voted
overwhelmingly Democratic. How could AIPAC, with such a small base, become a
political force in both parties and in every state?
Dine launched a grass-roots campaign, sending young staff members around the
country to search for ... 阅读全帖 |
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t*****r
发帖数: 4431 | 27 分享一篇朋友刚刚发给我的文章，有兴趣就读读：
BEIJING — At 30, Chen Kuo had what many Chinese dream of: her own apartment
and a well-paying job at a multinational corporation. But in mid-October,
Ms. Chen boarded a midnight flight for Australia to begin a new life with no
sure prospects.
Changing of the Guard.
Like hundreds of thousands of Chinese who leave each year, she was driven by
an overriding sense that she could do better outside China. Despite China’
s tremendous economic successes in recent years, she was lu... 阅读全帖 |
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c******s
发帖数: 1994 | 28 EARLY this morning—for viewers in China—the New York Knicks of the new
Taiwanese-American hero Jeremy Lin played against the Dallas Mavericks and
with them China’s current standard-bearer in the NBA: the 7-foot-tall Yi
Jianlian, a high draft pick who has proven a disappointment in America. Mr
Yi's Mavericks lost the game, 104-97, but the bigger loser was Chinese soft
power.
Mr Lin has quickly amassed a huge following among Chinese basketball fans (
and this country does love basketball). This po... 阅读全帖 |
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z**********i
发帖数: 9546 | 29 https://bbs.hupu.com/19323730.html
【美国CAVS之声】总决赛一触即发，美球迷热议骑士总决赛策略
由 拖鞋的脱 发表在虎扑篮球·骑士专区 https://bbs.hupu.com/cavaliers
DiscussionDiscussion on the Cavs' strategies going into the Finals
讨论一下总决赛的应对策略吧
1) Shumpert and JR will be CRUCIAL in terms of perimeter D and guarding KD.
If Lebron exerts too much energy trying to stop KD, he won't be as effective
. 2) Kyrie must OUTPLAY Curry- i'm confident he can do this. 3) TT has to
continue to out-rebound and dominate the glass. He also has to lock-in on
... 阅读全帖 |
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D***h
发帖数: 148 | 30 The question is only raised when the means cross the line. punishment in the
penn st case would be warranted by law. administrations are entitled to
impose penalty, too. ends/means conundrum does not apply here.
For your original case scenario or the Jack Bauer analogy, things are a bit
different. Antihero tones are easy on the ear, interrogation is bad, but
what if it saves life? defiant medical decisions are bad, but what if they
save lives? They are wrong, end of discussion. If JoePa did fabr... 阅读全帖 |
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l*****e
发帖数: 494 | 31 冬天 south fork攀冰回来，就琢磨着什么时候再去一趟科州，终于独立日假期得以成
行。先是自己到RMNP很悠闲的逛了两天，适应一下高原气候。
周五下午在 capitol接头点看到美白，一如我想象中的美丽聪慧，细心体贴，而且还很
贤惠。嗯，他们是我见过的最登对、养眼的couple之一。随后带去川味轩，吃了在外三
天以来最舒心的一餐。也推荐一下这家川菜馆哈。
周六一大早出发，上车后我一闭眼一睁眼就到了 aspen，休息片刻、吃完午餐。来到了
我们的目的地： conundrum creek trail。三天的backpacking，除了欣赏野花、山色
，也有冰冷雪水的刺激淌，还有营地附近的泡野温泉、爬石头山和雪坡、坐滑等等。当
然咯，一路的欢声笑语是必不可少的。
周二一大早，美白在时间非常紧的上班途中放我在租车点，告别后开车去参观CO
Springs的空军学院和奥林匹克训练中心，Red Rocks Amphitheater和Boulder。
没有美白couple的热情接待、体贴照顾，还有一位朋友的大力相助耐心解答提供行程建
议、配齐基本设备，另一位朋友的好朋友安排的Boulder游，... 阅读全帖 |
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m******e
发帖数: 4232 | 32 这次的CAMPING不高，所以并不很冷，而且不需要淌水，上次去的Conundrum基本
在雪山下，而且要淌过雪水的小溪，比较痛苦是真的。 |
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L***0
发帖数: 1283 | 33 castle peak & conundrum peak, both 14ers. 路上碰见两个trail runner，跑得很轻
松，估计也是下周要去Leadville。还碰到两个hiker，下周去跑pikes peak marathon
。其中一个已经跑过26次pikes peak。
上几张今天的照片。 |
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L***0
发帖数: 1283 | 34 其实这两个14er离的很近。我把包放在Castle Peak，空手去了一趟Conundrum。爬得还
是有点挑战，中间爬了一个shortcut，可能有class 4，还犹豫了一下。当时把手套摘
了，手指抓岩缝里，心想以前gym里练的都要用上了，tmd没绳子啊！It's the kind of
stuff I wouldn't want my family see me doing. 下山的时候从snow field滑下，
把pocket knife拿出来当ice axe用，用力地插进雪里。有点险，雪再陡就控制不住了。
有个父亲带11岁的女儿上了castle peak，很牛。我估计都不会在我女儿那么小的时候
带她上这个。 |
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H**p
发帖数: 2504 | 35 Arcane Conundrum(spell?), I guess so. It doubles the casting time, easier to
interrupt. Migraine also can do this, but it's an elite and I think fedora
already has crippling anguish as elite. |
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C**********u
发帖数: 661 | 36 I agree with you.
Both Da Vinci and Michelangelo should be gay. see www.wikipedia.org
"Leonardo appears to have had no close relationships with women except for his friendship with the two Este sisters, Beatrice and Isabella.[56] He drew a portrait of her while on a journey which took him through Mantua, and which appears to have been used to create a painted portrait now lost.[10]
Beyond friendship, Leonardo kept his private life secret. His sexuality has been the subject of satire, analysis, a... 阅读全帖 |
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wh
发帖数: 141625 | 37 也是以前几个id推荐的New Yorker的一个短篇小说，我当时打印了，到现在还没看……
发信人: megguan (🐳), 信区: LeisureTime
标 题: Re: 朝三暮四包子题
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Dec 31 18:29:04 2013, 美东)
吃！
今年最喜欢的书是george saunders的小说集tenth of december (最喜欢的是书里最后
一篇的同名小说；也在new yorker上登过)；今年最喜欢的电影是american hustle,
gravity还有一代宗师；最喜欢的歌是网络大俗歌what does the fox say?!
发信人: xiaobug (none), 信区: LeisureTime
标 题: Re: 朝三暮四包子题
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Dec 31 19:33:00 2013, 美东)
同喜欢这本书。那天和 aixiaoke 讨论了一下。他的小说我看得很压抑，想起了白先勇
的 芝加哥之死
原文链接（带图）：
http://www.newyorker.com/fi... 阅读全帖 |
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m******1
发帖数: 19713 | 38 自从2010年9月到这个版上来以后，开始认真琢磨摄影。在过去的一年里，觉得是对自
己对摄影的认识彻底颠覆的一年，不断地问自己什么照片才算好照片？好照片到底有没
有一个统一标准？？我觉得自己对这些问题的回答每天都在变化，每天都会有新的发现
，而每天也都有可能否认自己前一天的领悟。。有时候觉得自己进步了，找到摄影的真
谛了，而有时候又觉得自己误入歧途了，应该悬崖勒马。。
不多说了，是进步了还是误入歧途了，请大家评价一下。砖头无惧。:-)
先看看我去年的年终总结：
http://www.mitbbs.com/article0/PhotoForum/31314471_0.html
再看看今年的，今年我几乎没有碰过DSLR，因为觉得每次一端起DSLR，整个人都端起来
了，所以我今年总是刻意用小DC，想让自己放松、放松，再放松。。
一月至三月：空缺，三个月没碰照相机
四月：
心里文艺的火苗噌噌地蹿，也一直都认识到PS是自己的一个大弱点，于是回国两周，趁
着在国内没事干，把那本经典的Photoshop LAB Color: The Canyon Conundrum and
Other Adventu... 阅读全帖 |
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n**b
发帖数: 13203 | 40 同类产品，打分都差不多，为什么别的都给了Silver Award，偏偏GF2不给？
Olympus E-PL2 - Overall score 71%
If you frequently change your exposure settings or shoot a lot in low light
you might want to try the E-PL2 out before you commit to a purchase but for
everyone else the Olympus is a great combination of image quality and
portability.
Fujifilm FinePix X100 - Overall score 73%
The X100 is an exasperating conundrum of a camera, combining excellent image
quality, solid build and a superb viewfinder with sluggish operation a... 阅读全帖 |
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s**********r
发帖数: 533 | 41 看了一下，好像主要就是Dan Margulis的书
版上有没有人看过下面这几本的，谈谈感受。
Professional Photoshop: The Classic Guide to Color Correction (5th Edition)
Photoshop LAB Color: The Canyon Conundrum and Other Adventures in the Most
Powerful Colorspace
Modern Photoshop Color Workflow The Quartertone Quandary, the PPW, and Other
Ideas for Speedy Image Enhancemen
还有个低级问题。我显示器是100% SRGB. 把相机色彩空间设置成adobe rgb或者
photoshop里用lab色彩来调色有意义么。 |
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H****g
发帖数: 14447 | 42 Grada论文摘要
Frank Dikötter’s Mao’s Great Famine {henceforth “MGF”} is the
longest and most detailed study of the Great Leap Forward (GLF) famine to
appear in English to date.{…} The tone throughout is one of abhorrence and
outrage, and sometimes MGF reads more like a catalogue of anecdotes about
atrocities than a sustained analytic argument. In style and approach it
recalls Jung Chang and Jon Halliday’s controversial Mao: The Unknown Story
(2005); indeed, Chang leads the ”praise” for MGF on t... 阅读全帖 |
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c*****e
发帖数: 2073 | 43 《拉拉双周报》又如期和大家见面了！除了一些有关LGBT的新闻和信息外，增加了一个
《花痴点个名吧》的总结。因为近两周小编发现，版上花痴的童鞋不少哦。小编真诚的
认为，花痴是灰常正常的行为，不仅可以自己沉浸在花痴的世界里，而且还应该呼吁大
家有组织的一起来花痴。那么近两周版上有哪些人物荣幸的被花痴了？又有那些人花痴
了呢？小编小小总结了一些，希望被提名的童鞋不要介意。：）
让小编伤心的是，（玻璃心伤不起啊！）大家都说支持，可是为神马没有银投稿捏？是
包子不够大？小编在此在一起强烈呼吁，包子我们大大的有，希望大家踊跃投稿。其实
这个不难，只要平时看到自己喜欢有关les或gay的新闻和信息，把自己的概括和链接发
给我们就行。如果有相关的内容扩展就跟好啦～包子是不会少的哦，亲～
本期内容概览：
一楼
LGBT News:
A court’s conundrum: When same-sex partners want to split
New York’s Ali Forney Center Raises Awareness of NYC’s Homeless LGBT Youth
白宫正启动... 阅读全帖 |
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C***1
发帖数: 2264 | 45 By Laura Schaefer
Women have puzzled over it for years — why the heck do men do the things
they do? Why do they profess their love for you one minute, then ignore you
the next (say, when an Attila the Hun special turns up on TV)? Why can they
not remember our birthdays? Let science explain some of these conundrums —
and help you rev up your relationships!
1. Be patient with his memory
The hippocampus, where initial memories are formed, occupies a smaller
percent of the male brain than the fema... 阅读全帖 |
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t*******n
发帖数: 4445 | 46 印象最深的话，来自一个身为心理医生的母亲：
"I've often thought it's amazing that there are not more abused babies who
have colic. Frankly, it's much harder than taking care of psychiatric
patients." |
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G*****7
发帖数: 1759 | 47 what i really don't like about osx is the lack of a native, modern c++
compiler bundled oob with the official ide. of both options that come with
xcode, gcc 4.2 is senile, while clang 3.1 is young and naive. and being a
purist like all other mac users, i really do not want to tinker with fink or
mac ports or vm or dual boot... what a conundrum. do u feel the same,
fellow developers? |
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s******o
发帖数: 298 | 48 Cosmic Illusion
Some very distant black holes may be smaller than they seem.
by Vanessa Thomas
During the past few years, as astronomers have begun to find quasars from the
universe's early childhood, a cosmic conundrum has begun to surface. The
luminosities of these remote quasars are so high that they must have
incredibly massive black holes to power them. But no one can figure out how
such supermassive black holes could have developed so soon after the Big Bang.
In the June 27 issue of Nature |
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