s*********8
发帖数: 901 | 1 "The marketplace is saying that this is not just an Italian problem, this is
now becoming a European problem," Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock, said on
CNBC this morning. "Liquidity is vanishing."
We won't dwell on Europe today, as we all know the situation – too much
debt, soaring yields, and fragmented leadership. But it's worth noting the
opinion of the CEO and chairman of the world's largest asset manager, with $
3.3 trillion under management.
Fink noted the divergence of triple-A-rated Europea... 阅读全帖 |
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Z****g
发帖数: 13731 | 2 由衷佩服！另外请教一下空FIO的理由是不是Rsi出现divergence? |
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D*w
发帖数: 1011 | 3 烧大麻而死的都不知道有几拨了,现在还有人前仆后继
发信人: ManOf35 (stocktrader), 信区: Stock
标 题: 心得，于AMZN重击中。
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Apr 27 06:00:47 2007)
卖空AMZN在$43，补空于$49，$52，在$54无奈将空仓转为六月$60期权，损失$13，000
于$40，000 账面价值，与两天之内!!我一年才挣了$8000。。。。
回过头看看，又一次重温我写下的交易原则，我不知道违背了其中的多少条。哭皇天无
泪，恨咽雨有声。这两天，寸食难进，滴水勘饮，几乎未曾合眼。覆水已难收，花败可
再开? 我棰心自问，你在干什么。
交易其实很简单，良好的心理素质比交易技能更重要，每个人都可以成为warren
buffet如果他(她)能始终如一地秉承交易原则。从股票交易联想到人生，这使我想起一
句话，人的性格决定命运。伟人之所以成为伟人，在于他具有坚持原则的意志，倒不一
定是什么超凡的资质。无志者常立志，有志者立长志，其实这就是伟人和俗人的区别。
股票交易要遵循原则，作人难道不是这样吗?善有善报，恶有恶报，不是不报... 阅读全帖 |
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o**y
发帖数: 3065 | 4 英镑很诡异，和其他非美有一定的divergence。
记得昨晚最先突破的是英镑，每次都是暴突，不像澳币那么比较匀速的向上。英镑也不
完全算risk currency，要做多我觉得还是澳纽最佳。 |
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B*******n
发帖数: 20645 | 5 VIX chart shows positive divergence; inverted butterfly is formed.
Ready for some waterfall? |
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c*****r
发帖数: 8227 | 6 See the positive divergence?
Lesson: don't front run - let the leaders go first! |
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r*******u
发帖数: 143 | 7 Stock Research Trader
Sprewell Yu
Week ending: 01/28/2012
READING THE MARKET
Stocks continued to march to higher as break out stock holding up well and
move higher while the indexes were consolidating in healthy fashion. And
institutions were still putting money to work. On Wednesday, the Fed would
let the interest rate holding at their current low level until 2014 which
has sparked the rally, and on Friday there were divergence on the index, Dow
was pulling back while Nasdaq going higher. Anot... 阅读全帖 |
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c*******d
发帖数: 353 | 8 qqq: daily macd divergence bearish. Personally I don't recommend buy it at
this point. |
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s******t
发帖数: 12883 | 11 是金融挺起了大盘.
果果最后的表现,远不如pcln.
pcln王牌第一名. |
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i*u
发帖数: 299 | 12 Bonds market finished the worst week since July 2011 right before the debt
ceiling due; treasury sold off across the curve, the intermediate-term
yields jumped over 20bps for the week as the market continued to show better
-than-expected economic data. Where initial claims (351k vs. 355k est.)
remained at its downtrend position and retail sales ex-autos (0.9% vs. 0.7%
est.) continued to strengthen in February. Stocks rallied strongly as funds
were out flowing from the fixed income side; equitie... 阅读全帖 |
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i*u
发帖数: 299 | 13 Bonds market finished the worst week since July 2011 right before the debt
ceiling due; treasury sold off across the curve, the intermediate-term
yields jumped over 20bps for the week as the market continued to show better
-than-expected economic data. Where initial claims (351k vs. 355k est.)
remained at its downtrend position and retail sales ex-autos (0.9% vs. 0.7%
est.) continued to strengthen in February. Stocks rallied strongly as funds
were out flowing from the fixed income side; equities... 阅读全帖 |
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i*u
发帖数: 299 | 14 Stocks pullback modestly while bonds decelerated from its initial decline;
major indices finished almost flat for the week where the S&P500 down by
just half a percentage lower and the Dow Jones CBOT Treasury index added
only 0.4%. Commodity was the weakest asset this week as weighed on fall in
crude oil. Market sentiment was mostly on the negative side as economic data
showed weaker prints relative to market expectation; where housing market
remained weak on both new home sales (313k vs. 330k) ... 阅读全帖 |
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i*u
发帖数: 299 | 15 Weaker economic releases didn't cool down the steam of the bull; stocks
bounced quickly after three days sharp declines in the middle of the week.
Equities had been ridiculously strong so far this year, although the U.S.
economic condition is still questionable as the nonfarm continued to growth,
the S&P500 finished with the best first quarter gain since 1998. On the
other hand, the fixed income market took a small hit this quarter as the
Treasury yields rose across the curve, the 10-year is now... 阅读全帖 |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 16 bull spread is just for the ER, because the big IV drop after ER.
for routine hedge, i prefer back ratio spread. if it drop i don't lose $, if it go up, i'll make $. a straddle will
make it potential profitable if it goes down, but it has to go down/up a lot - i don't see it go down a lot with
RIMM. it has near $1b cash, still making $3 profit a year, it's already priced like going bankrupt. and most
importantly, weakly chart shows divergence. |
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s******g
发帖数: 67 | 17 熊熊们不要着急空，明后天天可能会小涨。
从小时图上看，
11-12号的第一波涨用了两大腿，两整天。 16-17号的第二波涨用了一天半，而且第二
波涨的第二腿很给力。说明牛牛越来越有劲。
再看跌，13号跌了不少，也很迅速，今天第二波跌更像是熊熊给牛牛挠痒痒。说明熊熊
越来越乏力。
明天如果不大概普荡的话，开盘很可能是小跌，然后开始第三波小涨。
为什么不是大涨？
日图上RSI已经negative divergence，牛牛应该越来越弱，下周应该会真正开始跌。 |
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s******g
发帖数: 67 | 18 刚才看了看znga的图。小时图上RSI出现negative divergence，说明跌势减缓，抬头有
望。但现在RSI还在30左右，还有得跌。要买znga至少要等涨一大波，RSI至少要在50，
甚至60以上了，然后跌下来以后再买。现在买就是给送钱。 |
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B*******n
发帖数: 20645 | 19 buy dip again?
positive divergence on 5 min chart.
price: lower low
rsi: higher low
volume: lower high
blahblahblah... |
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i*u
发帖数: 299 | 20 Market traded diverge against the weak economic data throughout the week
that most of the releases were on the lower end of analyst's expectation,
stocks soared after the Fed's speak on possible operation twist extension
this past week. From the technical front, the S&P bounced back strong after
breaking below its 200day moving average, at the same time that the market
went into the bearish extreme as shown on low readings from the percentage
of stocks above 50day moving average. However, the in... 阅读全帖 |
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t**********w
发帖数: 478 | 21 你看图，在80的时候正好是bullish divergence
我当时也没买到 |
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t**********w
发帖数: 478 | 22 首先感谢aegeanboat贴出的Dow的一年的图线标出“黄昏之星”，俺来数一下星星
黄昏之星预告灵验的：
2011年7月初 MACD 上升 BB顶部 短期dip
2011年7月下旬 MACD微升 BB顶部 长期correction
2011年9月初MACD 上升 BB顶部 短期dip
2012年1月下旬 MACD正但是slope下降 BB顶部 超短期dip
2012年3月下旬 MACD 弱 BB上部短期dip
2011年9月下旬 MACD bullish divergence的黄金交叉下行点 BB下部 短期下跌600点
后上升
不灵验的：
2011年9月上旬 MACD上升 BB下部 上升
2011年12月底 MACD上升 BB上部 上升
2012年4月中下旬 MACD黄金交叉上行点 BB均线 上升
有待验证的：
就是现在 MACD黄金交叉下行点 BB顶部
从中可以发现 没有三个指标一致而黄昏之星预告失败的情况；而另一个结论是 黄金交
叉要强过黄昏之星 这个也很好理解
所以必须要cross verification。现在是年线半年线月线的黄金交叉点下行信号俺觉得
已经很强了。孤立... 阅读全帖 |
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l***n
发帖数: 812 | 23 My 2 cents:
WNR accumulated a lot of cash thanks to the profitable spreads.
It has been reducing debts while returning values to investors. These are
all very helpful to its valuation especially in deleveraging macro env.
The risks are:
Volatile spreads will be translated to volatile prices. Hence, some
divergence on target prices, which are 25-30 a pop right now. So it doesn't
quite surprise me much people take some profits around $25.
But the positive momentum is still in play as long as sprea... 阅读全帖 |
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T*C
发帖数: 5492 | 24 The U.S. ended June with 60K completed foreclosures, a 24% drop Y/Y and the
lowest total since 2007, CoreLogic reports. While completed foreclosures and
REO sales have offset each other for most of this year, producing static
levels of foreclosure inventory, CoreLogic's Mark Fleming says they're
beginning to diverge again... So we could see foreclosure inventory rising
going forward." |
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Y******u
发帖数: 1090 | 25 Nikkei is better correlated with the inverse of Yen, which is correlated
with Dollar, which is again inversely correlated with spy.
The inverse correlation between dollar and spy didn't hold in July, when
both rose. That's where the divergence starts to show up in your chart. |
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k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 26
oil as a leading indicator, yes, at least for the most part of this cyclical
bull market since March 2009. But extra work is needed to spot its low and
high.
oil gave back 50% of its gain since its bottom in June and the market is
in the timing band for a turn according to my model, so it was a good spot
for oil to dictate the market to start a rally again, especially if we
have other secondary confirmations.
in a big picture, the simple fact that all risk-on assets have been moving
in the same... 阅读全帖 |
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k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 27
oil as a leading indicator, yes, at least for the most part of this cyclical
bull market since March 2009. But extra work is needed to spot its low and
high.
oil gave back 50% of its gain since its bottom in June and the market is
in the timing band for a turn according to my model, so it was a good spot
for oil to dictate the market to start a rally again, especially if we
have other secondary confirmations.
in a big picture, the simple fact that all risk-on assets have been moving
in the same... 阅读全帖 |
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s******s
发帖数: 1793 | 28 不错.
从图上看来当时已经形成非常明显的Divergence, 当时空的是高手. |
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t******y
发帖数: 6206 | 29 The divergence in the figure should be a down-trend; plus, if S&P breaks SMA
50 support next week, the pattern will become very bearish. |
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t******y
发帖数: 6206 | 30 The divergence in the figure should be a down-trend; plus, if S&P breaks SMA
50 support next week, the pattern will become very bearish. |
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s******s
发帖数: 1793 | 31 好象明显有divergence了,往上也不多了.这下完了. |
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p****a
发帖数: 4829 | 32 TA: possible negative divergence on daily chart. Long-term weekly chart
support is also at 70-90.
FA: PE < 20 for a still high growth company. Searching user's habits are not
going to change very quickly in short term. |
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N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 33
Classic PET shake to take advantage of the tax loss season to scare
as many weak hands away as possible. If you look at the money flow,
it has a positive divergence despite today's fast pull back.
PET also has to manage it for fiscal cliff. Last year's downgrade
panic sent gold soaring 20%. They probably don't want it to happen
again. Holiday's thin trading makes easier to manipulate so there
might be even wilder actions late in the month. |
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J*****n
发帖数: 4859 | 34 我再找一些常见的Pattern,可以用来看一个trend是不是力量减弱了。
比如MACD的divergence，如果发生了，则表示，trend目前力量在减弱。
有没有其他的这种类型的pattern可以用来看一个trend是不是减弱了。
谢谢。 |
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b******r
发帖数: 16603 | 35 Why WNR diverged with narrowing spread these days?
It no longer needs it? |
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a*******0
发帖数: 201 | 36 油跌，铜跌 欧元跌， 美元涨，只有股票撑着，我看撑不了多久。 |
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m*s
发帖数: 6855 | 37 其间的关系和逻辑是什么? 觉得经济学家也不定说的明白
不能光喊口号. |
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B*******n
发帖数: 20645 | 40 @17.55
very apparent positive divergence. |
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B*******n
发帖数: 20645 | 41 RSI positive divergence, so apparent. |
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B*******n
发帖数: 20645 | 42 wait for double bottom, MACD positive divergence.
just my 2 cents |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 43 it's double bottom with diverging RSI, volume consistent as well. a good
entry point. |
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k*****a
发帖数: 1463 | 44 BLOOMBerg上有采访，该关心的是他们数据的Divergence。 |
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B*******n
发帖数: 20645 | 45 positive divergence is forming |
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l*****u
发帖数: 3918 | 46 蝌蚪妹，昨天我学习了divergence。我感觉在PLug上看到了这个趋势。而且我比较了从
2月至今的图形，感觉这一轮的拉升似乎已经结束，昨晚我已经预感今天会跌。但是
somehow我又觉得这个股票还是满有潜力，总是要涨的，而且今天plug又公布了好新闻
。你怎么看？ |
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r*********C
发帖数: 2019 | 47 我还拿着。现在是水下。
我不懂divergence。我的粗浅看法是，这几天虽然不停地下跌，但量一直不上去，我更
相信是主力借市震仓。后市我还是看好。因为也没有什么坏消息，如果真有主力，一倍
都没拉够，你会走吗？当然，这是个人看法。我的plug仓位是３０％左右，还好。 |
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B*******n
发帖数: 20645 | 49 very bullish positive divergence.
BXZL, YMYD. |
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N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 50 Two straight days of high positive volume on gold miners. Could it
be just end of quarter operation or a real bottom? Could today's
action confirm yesterday's positive divergence? |
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