S*******W
发帖数: 1352 | 1 15k每周 艺龙都不敢这么画
: rev estimates:
: Q2 sales:
: 11k Model S
: 11k Model X
: 18k Model 3
: total Q2 rev: ~4.1b vs. estimate ~3.96b
: Q3 sales forecast:
: 11k Model S
: 11K Model X
: 50k Model 3 (15k/month delivery in July, ramping up slightly in Aug
and Sep)
|
|
s********o
发帖数: 861 | 2 【 以下文字转载自 SanFrancisco 讨论区 】
发信人: senorbueno (好好先生), 信区: SanFrancisco
标 题: Estimate Tax，可以随时交吗？
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Nov 28 13:40:40 2012, 美东)
刚看了规定。有些人必须交Estimate Tax。那些人必须在每个季度交一次，达到规定的
数额。
对于不必须交的人，如果自愿交，可以在12月哐嘡交一下吗？ |
|
n**b
发帖数: 74 | 3 不太清楚是怎么运作的。
2013年一月份是W2，下半年是IC，是否需要交estimated tax ？我看网上说：You only
have to pay if you think that you'll owe at least $1,000 in taxes for the
tax year.
关键是我现在还没拿到任何税有关的东西，也不知道需不需要交estimated tax？如果
需要，是要罚钱了吧？如果这样，应该需要拿到一些什么表格用什么软件来做呢？
一头雾水，谢谢！！！ |
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j*e
发帖数: 1987 | 4 麻省13年州税公司代扣的部分没交够，estimated tax 忘交了，rollover了几万401k到
roth也没交税，要被罚款了。现在马上补上一张2013的estimated voucher可以避免罚
款吗？（1/15是due date）
谢谢！
★ 发自iPhone App: ChineseWeb 7.7 |
|
b*****o
发帖数: 715 | 5 如果当年股票收益太多，是要提前付estimated capital gain tax，不然在来年保税的
时候会有罚金。
我的问题是，来年保税的时候，有什么凭证是可以证明自己已经付过estimated
capital gain tax呢？是IRS会给我寄某种form？相应的，在用软件比如turbo tax需要
导入什么信息呢？ |
|
g*******d
发帖数: 495 | 6 我留的那个连接里面说了有estimated payment。
我现在问题是，不知道自己是否会被罚款。因为这东西如果雇主没有给你withhold，自
己也不知道有这么个estimated payment，那么这罚款确实挺冤枉的。 |
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a****o
发帖数: 298 | 7 2015年
1-2月是independent contractor，照理需要交estimated tax，从3月份开始换工作，
是employee
请问还要交前两个月的estimated tax吗？ |
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f*******h
发帖数: 28 | 8 我去年TurboTax让我分四期，每期$7000左右交1040ES. 最后报税的时候还真差不多，
只补了$5000的税。但今年TurboTax要我每个季度交$16000的estimated tax，总共要预
交$64000税，感觉TurboTax疯了。你们都按TurboTax算出来的值交Estimated Tax吗？ |
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S****k
发帖数: 95 | 9 ...
Employment Second: Demand by applicants who are “upgrading” their status
from Employment Third to Employment Second preference is very high, but the
exact amount is not known. Such “upgrades” are in addition to the known
demand already reported, and make it very difficult to predict ultimate
demand based on forward movement of the China and India cut-off dates.
While thousands of “otherwise unused” numbers will be available for
potential use without regard to the China and India Employmen... 阅读全帖 |
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m******k
发帖数: 447 | 10 This estimate of "no significant budgetary impact" is good for 3012 to pass.
But check this out, the Senate form of 3012:
QUICK TAKE: Coons, Rubio Hope AGREE Act Will Gain Support
By Sara Sorcher
Updated: November 16, 2011 | 9:50 a.m.
November 16, 2011 | 8:50 a.m.
CORRECTION: An earlier version of this article misstated the amount of money
the bill could give to small businesses. It is $85 billion.
Amid deep disagreements in Congress over jobs legislation, freshman Sens.
Chris Coons, D-Del., and... 阅读全帖 |
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m*******l
发帖数: 12782 | 11 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
fakaoti08 (fakati08) 于 (Fri Nov 18 23:57:56 2011, 美东) 提到:
http://cbo.gov/ftpdocs/125xx/doc12561/hr3012.pdf
估计下面距离实际的Report应该不远了。
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
mobydick (白鲸) 于 (Sat Nov 19 00:18:57 2011, 美东) 提到:
This estimate of "no significant budgetary impact" is good for 3012 to pass.
But check this out, the Senate form of 3012:
QUICK TAKE: Coons, Rubio Hope AGREE Act Will Gain Support
By Sara Sorcher
Updated: November 16, 2011 | 9:50 ... 阅读全帖 |
|
j*e
发帖数: 1987 | 12 麻省13年州税公司代扣的部分没交够，estimated tax 忘交了，rollover了几万401k到
roth也没交税，要被罚款了。现在马上补上一张2013的estimated voucher可以避免罚
款吗？（1/15是due date）
★ 发自iPhone App: ChineseWeb 7.7 |
|
j*e
发帖数: 1987 | 13 啊，我如果强行寄一张支票+estimated tax voucher过去，他们不是还得credit到我的
税务账号上？难道把支票退回给我不成？或者把钱算成我2014的estimated tax，即使
我用的是2013的voucher？ |
|
j*e
发帖数: 1987 | 14 谢谢，我2013已经withhold的比2012的total应交tax少$200，但比2013的应交额少了好
几千，因为12月的时候rollover了一笔401k到roth，所以我今年报税的时候要补交好几
千的税。原来以为罚款计算的base是这好几千。
不过我看了一下麻省罚款计算公式，可能你是对的，罚款计算的base是2012 tax
liability -（2013 witholding+estimated payment），或者2013 tax
liability X 80% - （2013 witholding+estimated payment），两者取小的，这样对
我来说也就是按前者($200)算，而不是按后者（多好几千）算，几乎没有罚款了。 |
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a****i
发帖数: 978 | 15 estimated tax是让那些没有w-2 来witholding联邦税的人，预先付联邦税用的，以免
因为没有付联邦税而导致罚款。你有w-2可以witholding联邦税，不是必须要付
ESTIMATED TAX。你可以填W-4表，让你的HR帮你多WITHOLDING一些联邦税，这样明年
就不用补税了。 |
|
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b******k
发帖数: 2321 | 17 【 以下文字转载自 Living 讨论区 】
发信人: bookmark (hahaha), 信区: Living
标 题: purchase这个closing cost estimate怎么样？
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Sep 12 15:01:28 2012, 美东)
目前就找了一家银行做preapproval,他们顺便提供了这个closing cost estimate,各位
老手觉得如何？他家给的rate也不错似乎 30yr fix, 3.5% 要是closing cost也靠谱我
们也不想再到处找了 呵呵
loan costs:
1> origination fee: $0
2> points: $0
3> appraisal fee: $360
4> credit report fee: $10
5> tax service fee: $87
6> application fee: $395
7> processing/underwriting fee: $595
8> third party courier: $35
9> flood certifica... 阅读全帖 |
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q**********n
发帖数: 262 | 18 我们看了一个SFH, 单是visual inspection(不含内部结构inspection, 因为报告上写
着'We did not inspect the interior of finished walls or behind installed
finished cabinet work'), 白蚁加fugus的treatmeant 就需要>10k的estimation.
这个情况是不是在北加也是比较严重的? 或者说不能只看estimation数额, 要看具体是
什么样的damage?比如
要treat房子哪一部分? damage是白蚁还是fugus造成的?
既然visual inspection有不小的问题, 我们是不是一定要先找个company检查房子内部
结构, 然后再下offer?
谢谢?
另外谁能推荐我进tonyxu俱乐部啊? 我申请了两次都没进去. |
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r***q
发帖数: 229 | 19 看到小区里一房子上市，标价并不高，Redfin Estimate和标价近似。今天这房子有了
hot上标，Redfin Estimate立马高了20多万。很好奇这个估价是怎么算的，究竟准不准
？ |
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r***q
发帖数: 229 | 20 看到小区里一房子上市，标价并不高，Redfin Estimate和标价近似。今天这房子有了
hot上标，Redfin Estimate立马高了20多万。很好奇这个估价是怎么算的，究竟准不准
？ |
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l****0
发帖数: 503 | 21 【 以下文字转载自 Living 讨论区 】
发信人: ltp000 (ltp), 信区: Living
标 题: 大家帮忙看一下，275k的townhouse，good faith estimate 12K多正常吗？
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Dec 9 18:57:58 2010, 美东)
在华盛顿州，4.625% 30yr fixed, lender是wells fargo， 20% downpay，townhouse。
请问下他们所列的这个good faith estimate是不是就是closing cost？我看了以前版
友的经验，275k的房子，12k的cost貌似很高啊。我列一下具体的，请帮忙看一下是否
合理，多谢多谢！
1. appraisal fee 635
2. title services and lender's title insurance 1917.50
3. owner's title insurance 1155
4. government recording charges 220
5. transfer taxes 6270
6... 阅读全帖 |
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c********0
发帖数: 33 | 22 需要较贵的不是便宜的。车被撞聊，需要estimate求赔偿。不知这样是否合适，先整一
个贵的estimate再说。 |
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p*******o
发帖数: 6791 | 23 把握大的叫做estimate，没把握的叫guesstimate |
|
p*******o
发帖数: 6791 | 24 把握大的叫做estimate，没把握的叫guesstimate |
|
h****t
发帖数: 18 | 25 Could anyone give me some suggestions for the client
estimation for a web application. For example, a IS for a
city government. How to estimate the number of users for it.
Any papers, websites or other clues are welcome.
Thanks. |
|
a****a
发帖数: 21 | 26 I got a work flow tracking project,it's a very common business project on the
web involved several departments and 20 peoples with different role from these
departments will use it . I don't know how to estimate the cost and time
needed. is there any consult company can provide the cost and time estimation
for free? or should I provide requirement specification to them first?
what would be the most famous consult company in the country?
Thanks for any suggestion/comment. |
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a***m
发帖数: 74 | 27 Greetings!
I use fminsearch and fmincon in matlab to estimate parameters for a GARCH
model. The solution is not reliable: for example different initial values
result in different solutions, sometimes the optimization wouldn't be
reached. Because I need to estimate GARCH model for different sets of data,
it is impossible for me to debug or tweak solve for each dataset. I wonder
if there are better approach tothe problem. Any suggestions are welcome.
Many thanks! |
|
h****t
发帖数: 18 | 28 Could anyone give me some suggestions for the client
estimation for a web application. For example, a IS for a
city government. How to estimate the number of users for it.
Any papers, websites or other clues are welcome.
Thanks. |
|
m*****u
发帖数: 23 | 29 本人目前在找construction cost estimator,但不知道除了一般面试须注意的事项外，
还需特别准备些什么?请教高人指点下~~~
另外，estimator面试是不是一上来就要看图纸，作估价，若用的软件和招聘公司的不
一样，我该做些什么准备呢。。。
ps,本人是fresh grads，在美国没什么工作经验，有的也只是teaching assis 之类的
。。。 |
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m*****u
发帖数: 23 | 30 才过30，作estimator也有1-2年了，刚开始看见图纸相当兴奋，可现在渐渐地眼睛也酸
，人工作起来也没那么亢奋了，就是天天拖，希望deadline可以extend再extend。真不
知道自己能熬多久，公司就我一个做预算的，平常也就低头做事，投不完的标啊，感觉
越来越boring。
版上有类似经历的前辈吗？快点过来敲醒我吧，at least给我指点一下迷津，我接下来
除了estimate还能有什么前途啊？？（忘了说了，小硕一枚，女生） |
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r*****j
发帖数: 7481 | 31 所以要看你estimate的价格准不准啊。。。
我一般放出去的RFP到最后放出funding然后完成项目，价格不会差到从1M变成3M。
如果你实在不放心自己的estimate，只能做design-build,让contractor负责总的预算。
如果你是做design-bid-build还是要详细斟酌自己的估价。
其实有最简单的方法，就是IDIQ了，哈哈哈。contractor最爱。 |
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p*****e
发帖数: 310 | 32 Classification, Parameter Estimation and State Estimation: An Engineering
Approach Using MATLAB
http://mihd.net/t2r3lv
enjoy |
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r******e
发帖数: 40 | 33 y(t)=a+b*X(t)+c*X(t)*y(t-1)+error term
要estimate a, b and c.
太长时间没碰计量了。请问如何estimate? 有没有matlab程序？
多谢！ |
|
t****g
发帖数: 715 | 34 No endogeneity, OLS is ok to use. Once you get residuals, use residuals to
estimate variance_covariance to achieve efficiency.
If you know the serial correlation structure, say MA(1), then it is easy to
correct it; if you do not know the serail correlation structure, say, you
only know it is generally an ARMA, then you have to apply HAC or some non-
parametric estimation method.
The best thing to do, if you are willing to make assumptions on the
distribution of error term, is to apply MLE. |
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s***l
发帖数: 321 | 35 pretty well introduction.:)
a little more info that may be useful...
both MPEG and H261/3/+/L use block-based motion estimation.
in general, a macroblock (MB) is of size 16*16 and one
motion vector(MV) is assigned to one MB. another mode can also
be enabled, which applied 4 MVs are estimated for one MB,
which is split into four 8*8 blocks. a compressed MB consists of
MV(s) and residues, which is normally presented in SAD(sum of
absolute difference) as in MPEG and H26x. (although it is claimed
th |
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i****y
发帖数: 5184 | 36 Technically, you are responsible for understanding your own insurance policy
. The dentist's office, as a third party, did the estimate out of courtesy.
I bet the contract has a clause which says if the insurance covers less
than they estimate, you are responsible for the residual.
That said, you can definitely use the argument you identified below to
negociate with them. After all, you've received the serve (in full) but
haven't paid for it (in full), so you are in a very good negociating
p |
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a**r
发帖数: 19 | 37 【 以下文字转载自 Statistics 讨论区 】
发信人: acar (心中的阳光), 信区: Statistics
标 题: Question about consistent estimator
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Nov 6 06:09:21 2005), 转信
{Xn} is an ergodic Markov chain on Z+={0,1,2,...}
How to determine a consistent estimator of the transition
probabilities {Pij}?
Thanks! |
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g*****z
发帖数: 333 | 38 I am trying to estimate the variance of a normally distributed data set. All
the information I have about the data set is its mean, min, max and number
of points in the data set. Is there any algorithm to estimate the variance
from these information?
I did some experiments in R and tried some formulae. Two of them looked OK.
1. (mean - min)(max - mean)/18
2. [(min - mean)^2 + (max - mean)^2]/2/18
Is there any theoretical basis for those experimental results?
Thanks a lot for any suggestions and |
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i****e
发帖数: 78 | 39 目的是想确定option的vol skew （不想用implied skew)
用QQ plot只能看个大概，用hist bin，也不精确。
不知道有什么好办法从historical data里estimate
分布？一个办法是先假设一个分布，然后estimate模型系数。
不知道大家都什么好的办法没有。多谢！ |
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n*********3
发帖数: 21 | 40 You are given data for 10 different columns and 501 days (say 501*10
array). It is assumed that the prices satisfy the model:
dS_k =\SUM_{j=1}^r\sigma_(kj)dW_j k = 1, . . . , 10
where {W_j(t)} are independent Brownian motions. The number r is unknown a
priori. Using PCA method in MATLAB determine r and estimate the
coefficients {\sigma_(kj)}.
From PCA, now I have got r = 2. hence:
dS_k = \sigma_{k1}dW_1 + \sigma_{k2}dW_2, k=1,2,...10
How can I proceed to estimate the sigmas... |
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f******r
发帖数: 11 | 41 想要求covariance的robust estimator。比如S-estimator。请问R有什么方程可以求？
谢谢！ |
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a***m
发帖数: 74 | 42 In a multivariate linear regression model, if the observations are
correlated with a known pairwise correlation coefficient,
how would the parameter and standard error estimate deviate from the same
model with independent observations?
If the correlation is very small, are there ways to correct the parameter
and standard error obtained from the model with independent observations to
estimate the parameter and standard error for the model with correlated
observations?
Any help is appreciated! |
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m******a
发帖数: 35 | 43 estimation is as following:
y*=x'b+e, e follows N(0,sigma^2) , normal distribution
y*
a1=
y*0
How could I get the Ln[G(yj|Xj,a,b)] in order to implement the ML estimation
for a1 and a2?
Could anyone please help me ?
Many thanks |
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q**j
发帖数: 10612 | 44 not variance-bias trade off. should be MSE (mean square error) and bias trad
e off. an estimator is also a statistic, so it depends on sample. with diffe
rent sample, estimator has different value, so it has a variance.
an |
|
o******6
发帖数: 538 | 45 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
yqaz08 (yqaz08) 于 (Sun Mar 1 21:22:32 2009) 提到:
想用multivariate garch estimate不同indice之间的correlation matrix。发觉
matlab 好像不支持multivariate garch。请教各位sas大牛怎么在sas里做
multivariate garch estimation，有没有什么例子可以参考？
谢谢
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
geo223 (geo223) 于 (Mon Mar 2 17:15:48 2009) 提到:
James P. LeSage has a matlab toolbox, jplv7. inside the toolbox, there are
many functions about multi-garch.
http://www.spatial-econometrics.com/
look at |
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t****g
发帖数: 715 | 46 There are two probability distributions with known distribution functions.
In addition, samples of the two distributions can be easily drawn.
I need a measure to quantify the "distance" between these two distributions.
And if possible, the estimator of the distance is normally distributed, or
have a known distribution.
For example, I can use the Kolmogorov-Smirnov distance as the measure.
However, the distribution of the estimator is only known under the null that
the two distributions are ide |
|
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h******3
发帖数: 190 | 48 Help... Somehow I am stuck and cannot get the expected answer which is -xbar
*var(slope estimate) |
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l*********s
发帖数: 5409 | 49 Two questions.
1. " shrinkage improves MSE because of extra information provided as
constraints" , if so, this means in general true regression coefficients
disperse around the origin. However, true parameters are not known to us,
nor there are anything special about the origin.
2. bias-variance trade-off . The ML estimator of mean is fairly convincing,
however, I wonder whether this is inherently linked with shrinkage. I mean,
why not having estimators with reduced variance biased away from th... 阅读全帖 |
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A*******s
发帖数: 3942 | 50 sorry i didn't state my question clearly.
say we want to estimate population eigenvetors and eigenvalues based on an
observed sample. we rank our estimated eigenvalues or lambda_hats from largest
to smallest. Then for larger lambda_hats, say lambda_hat_1, it is biased
high, in other words, E[lambda_hat_1] > lambda_1. It is biased low for
smaller lambda_hats, say E[lambda_hat_n] < lambda_n
Why? or it is just my misunderstanding?
it |
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