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全部话题 - 话题: forecaster
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o******r
发帖数: 168
1
来自主题: JobMarket版 - 提供3类实习职位,职位如下
申请地址:
http://columbusxp.com/survey/index.php/267696/lang-en
Description: Operations Analyst
Operations Analyst Job Purpose: Accomplishes business objectives by
identifying and solving customer information and processing problems.
Operations Analyst Job Duties:
• Identifies project requirements by interviewing customers;
analyzing operations; determining project scope; documenting results;
preparing customer contracts.
• Develops problem solutions by describing requirements in a... 阅读全帖
p********l
发帖数: 214
2
We are searching for a talent to fill the role of Senior FP&A Manager in
Richardson, TX OR City of Union, CA. If you are interested in this role,
please send a copy of your resume to [email protected] Thanks

JOB DESCRIPTION
PART I
POSITION: Senior FP&A Manager
DEPARTMENT: Finance Team
LOCATION: Dallas, Texas
PART II
Principal Responsibilities
Senior FP&A Manager is responsible for forecasting, budgeting, analysis and
reporting process, pro... 阅读全帖
a**i
发帖数: 608
3
Residential Housing Ready to Awaken?
After half a decade of withering sales and slumping prices, there are strong
and diverse signs that the single-family housing market is poised for a
rebound.
In some metropolitan areas, the market has bottomed, with both sales and
prices on the rise and foreclosures on the decline.
This contrarian — and largely overlooked — thesis flies in the face of the
persistent gloom that has nagged the industry since 2007, when the subprime
crisis flared.
Industry analy... 阅读全帖
L*****e
发帖数: 2926
4
来自主题: Living版 - 利率
yes. there is a meeting and news conference at 2PM.
"Short-term will be still low. "
I guess short-term means 15-year fix?
http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2013/09/18/what-to-expect-from-t
By Victoria McGrane and Jon Hilsenrath
The Federal Reserve concludes its policy meeting later today, and it’s a
nail-biter. Fed officials are likely to emphasize they’re moving slowly and
carefully even if they do decide to start pulling back on their signature
bond-buying program, and will also seek to reassure... 阅读全帖
c**********e
发帖数: 1184
5
美国劳工部推迟至今天才公布的9月份非农就业报告远远低于预期,美国债及房贷二级
市场债券价格大幅上涨,导致相对应的房贷利率价格大幅变好!估计再过一个小时之后
各银行发布利率时,今天的房贷利率(特别是30年及15年固定的利率)会比昨天低0.
125%。
这份报告基本上确定了下面两个多星期内的利率走势,直到11月8日发布10月份就业报
告(再确定11月份的利率大势)。所以说这是一个锁定利率的机会,请大家不要错过!
- 148K actual vs. 180K forecast;
- Aug revised up to 193K from 169K, July down to 89K from 104K
- Unemployment rate 7.2 actual vs 7.3 forecast
- Participation Rate unchanged
- Private Payrolls 126k vs 180k forecast
- Market Reaction: Strong rally in bond & MBS market
G****n
发帖数: 145
6
长江各领域教授论文引用次数
Between trust and control: Developing confidence in partner cooperation in
alliances
[PDF] from cuny.edu…, BS Teng - Academy of management Review, 1998 - JSTOR
Strategic alliances have been recognized as arenas with potential for
opportunistic behavior
by partners. Hence, a firm needs to have an adequate level of confidence in
its partner's
cooperative behavior. In this article we examine the notion of confidence in
partner ...
Cited by 1749 - Related articles - BL Direct - All 9 v... 阅读全帖
M*****8
发帖数: 17722
7
来自主题: Stock版 - 股市可能再次下跌。
SYMBOL, DATE, PRICE, FORECAST, PERCENT
SPY, 20081020, 98.6900, -8.9523, -9.1
SYMBOL, DATE, PRICE, FORECAST, PERCENT
DIA, 20081020, 92.9000, -8.3296, -9.0
SYMBOL, DATE, PRICE, FORECAST, PERCENT
QQQQ, 20081020, 33.2200, -2.9920, -9.0
c***m
发帖数: 2630
8
Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS), is scheduled to release earnings for the
fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2009 on January 21, 2010.
Analysts EPS estimates for the quarter range from a low of $4.42 to a high
of $6.5 with a consensus of $5.34. The consensus EPS forecast has decreased
over the past week from $5.470 to $5.340 (-2.38%) and decreased over the
past month from $5.627 to $5.340 (-5.10%). Of the 23 analysts making
quarterly forecasts, 4 raised and 8 lowered their forecast.
EPS est
D****R
发帖数: 189
9
来自主题: Stock版 - U.S. Q4 GDP seen at +4.6 percent
(Reuters) - The median forecast is for fourth quarter gross domestic product
to quicken to an annual rate of 4.6 percent from 2.2 percent in the third
quarter. Forecasts range from a growth pace of 3.5 to 7.5 percent.
The median forecast for final sales of domestic product -- GDP minus change
in private inventories -- is for a rise to 1.6 percent from a 1.5 percent
increase in the third quarter.
FACTORS TO WATCH:
Economic growth in the fourth quarter likely accelerated to an annual rate
of 4.6 p
k********8
发帖数: 7948
10
来自主题: Stock版 - 财报分析简介 1
记得在哪儿看过一个报道,说是A股市场里一个很牛的私墓,因为盲目相信FA,结果当
年大涨到3000点就平仓了,之后的都是overpriced. 结果错过了到6000点的行情
最后被投资人骂死了
我的观点是:DCF再怎么做,在细心,也是蒙。你说你去forecast sales,是不是蒙?
你说你去forecast expense,是不是蒙?可能expense还算是比较好预测的,因为很多都
是recurring cost, 但是那个sales可是由不得你了,也就是说net由不得你了,到最后
forecast的结果就是all over the place.

TA
M*****8
发帖数: 17722
11
来自主题: Stock版 - No Reason For Big Broad Market Drop

I am usually too busy with other things.
But all the numbers were real.
Moreover, the FORECAST gives estimate of extent
of future movement before it exhausts. This can
be helpful in deciding where to exit.
For example:
http://www.mitbbs.com/article/Stock/33080305_3.html
SYMBOL, DATE, PRICE, FORECAST, PERCENT
WYNN, 20101012, 102.0000, -5.1786, -5.1
gave estimate of downside target roughly as
102-5 or $97 approx. where the downward movement
(i.e. -$5.1786) is likely to exhaust... 阅读全帖
i**y
发帖数: 1170
12
These idiot analysts are just finding excuses to dump AMZN, or to let you
dump AMZN.
AMZN got dumped because the forecast operating margin is only 3%-4.2%,
lower than the street forecast of 5%. But....
How could AMZN get a 5% operating margin next Q?
Its operating margin never reached 5% in recent quarters except for Q1
this year. It already forecast in Q2 that margins are on pressure in the
next few quarters due to hiring, free prime, lower Kindle price, and yet
these idiots put a 5% tag on it?... 阅读全帖
w******s
发帖数: 16209
13
来自主题: Stock版 - 关于V
V是我最近赌错的一个ER,昨天ER,到今天跌了3刀。我的bet是conservative bullish
。基本上歇菜。
在水下被逼着听了cc,读了读新闻。在这里记录些笔记。
基本面上V暂时还是不错的。现在影响股价的是以下几个问题
1. 预期有调升,但revenue方面比较谨慎。《---- 应该被cashflow 中和
2. Durbin 法规方面还没有结果 《--- 这个比较重要,好像visa 比master 卡这方面
受到的影响大,其实影响有限,但投资人在出结果前不放心。昨天cc里谈到的只是说政
府方面相信他们的数字。。
以上两点在下面转帖的barron的文章中都有提到
3 是竞争力的问题,ebay的paypal明显在mobile上占了先机。同时mastercard也总是
outperform visa。虽然增长率不错, wallstreet 希望看到更好听的股市 (mobile
方面cc里问到好几遍)
我的感觉这次er很solid,但整个business model和将来的竞争力被质疑。增长点可能
只是国际增长率和经济复苏的希望方面的增长。
牛的方面是如果短期Durbin解决,... 阅读全帖
l******n
发帖数: 9344
14
来自主题: Stock版 - GS 2011 prediction
Goldman Sachs 2011 Forecast: Stocks, Gold, Oil Higher
Goldman Sachs is bullish on the U.S. economy for 2011, and forecasts U.S.
stocks will see their third straight year of gains.
The investment banking powerhouse sees the S&P 500 [.SPX Loading... ()
] gaining nearly 25 percent to a level of 1450 in the next 12 months,
fueled by strong corporate profits, easy monetary policies and an improving
U.S. economy.
Goldman [GS Loading... () ] sees stocks gaining as the U.S. economic
gro... 阅读全帖
M*****8
发帖数: 17722
15
【 以下文字转载自 TraderSuccess 俱乐部 】
发信人: MB80528 (肥猫(Contrarian)[食MM而肥]), 信区: TraderSuccess
标 题: Re: 欧元接近短期高峰。 (转载)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Jan 21 15:53:55 2011, 美东)
SYMBOL, DATE, PRICE, FORECAST, PERCENT
FXE, 20110120, 134.2400, -0.6027, -0.4
FXE, 20110119, 134.1400, -0.7164, -0.5
FXE, 20110118, 133.3300, -1.8917, -1.4 <<--SHORT SQUEEZE
FXE, 20110114, 133.2300, -3.0833, -2.3
On 20110118 price went up yet forecast became much
less negative rather than the... 阅读全帖
t*********e
发帖数: 313
16
来自主题: Stock版 - NOK: 欧洲市场跌了7-9%。
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE70Q2ON20110127?feedType=R
(Reuters) - Nokia, the world's top cellphone maker by volume, warned of a
weak start to 2011 after its market share shrank again in the fourth quarter
, sending its shares sharply lower.
Stephen Elop, who took over as chief executive last September, said the
company faced significant challenges in its competitiveness and execution.
"These results point to the daunting task ahead of Elop in 2011," Geoff
Blaber from CCS Insight said. ... 阅读全帖
k********8
发帖数: 7948
17
CICC Says Global Banks Too Bullish on China Stocks as Pimco Buys
April 14, 2011, 1:22 PM EDT
April 15 (Bloomberg) -- China’s biggest investment bank is turning “
cautious” on the country’s stocks, just as six of its overseas rivals and
the manager of the largest mutual fund say it’s time to buy.
China International Capital Corp. predicts slowing economic and earnings
growth will limit equity gains after the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index
rose 6.2 percent this year, the best advance among majo... 阅读全帖
a*****e
发帖数: 1717
18
来自主题: Stock版 - 房屋数据出来了
saw one article about this
Options Highest Since 2007 Shows Gains Intact Amid Hedging (1)
(Updates with today’s S&P 500 level in seventh paragraph.)
By Jeff Kearns and Whitney Kisling
April 25 (Bloomberg) -- The end of the Federal Reserve’s
Treasury repurchase program is prompting options traders to pay
the most in four years for protection against stock declines, a
signal that proved bullish in the past.
The cost of three-month put options to sell the Standard &
Poor’s 500 Index ... 阅读全帖
M*****8
发帖数: 17722
19
来自主题: Stock版 - 周一反弹很有可能

...........................
It is already there:
Interpretation:
Forecasts below are produced at the end of each trading day. There
are two forecasting models and their results are shown as 1 and 2.
The FORECAST1 and FORECAST2 values show the magnitudes of future
price movements to expect once price direction reverses. PERCENT1
and PERCENT2 values are derived from FORECAST1 and FORECAST2.
Reliability is improved when both models 1 and 2 agree, i.e. both
positive or negative. As negativity or... 阅读全帖
M*****8
发帖数: 17722
20
来自主题: Stock版 - NFLX (有解释)
预测的使用说明:
下面一共有两个预测系统,1 和 2, 并列。
当然预测的结果会不同,否则一个够了。
当 FORECAST 和 PERCENT 数值很极端时,
未来的价格就会开始转向。正是起,负是跌。
所以在高峰时,数值一般是极端的高负数,
而在谷底时, 数值一般是极端的高正数。
关键是要等到数值够极端,风险才够低。
那什么数值算极端?
那就参考过去的预测,即第一行以下的数字。
看过去在主要的短期高峰和谷底时,
FORECAST 和 PERCENT 数值是多少,就有谱。
有趣的是,当股票价格达到高峰或谷底时,
一般来说,价格的未来移动幅度,
就大约是 FORECAST 和 PERCENT 的数值。
觉得如何? 解释的够不够清楚?
谁肯帮忙修改一下,让它变成更清楚?
SYMBOL DATE PRICE FORECAST1 PERCENT1 FORECAST2 PERCENT2
NFLX, 20110801, 263.1700, 6.0252, 2.3, 9.2269, 3.5,
NFLX, 20110729, 265.... 阅读全帖
k********8
发帖数: 7948
21
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/g/a/2011/09/30/blo
(Updates with latest market moves in sixth paragraph.)
World's Biggest Pension to Start Emerging Stocks Investment
Sept. 30 (Bloomberg) -- Japan's public pension fund, the world's largest,
will start investing in emerging market stocks by the end of the year as it
diversifies assets to maintain stable returns.
The Government Pension Investment Fund, which oversees 114 trillion yen ($1.
5 trillion), is in the final stage of deciding ... 阅读全帖
h*******u
发帖数: 37
22
Copper Traders See Rally Ending as China Use Slows: Commodities
Oct. 28 (Bloomberg) -- Copper traders and analysts are forecasting an end to
the biggest weekly rally since at least 1986 on concern demand will slow in
China while Europe’s lingering financial crisis limits growth.
Eleven of 23 people surveyed by Bloomberg say copper will drop next week,
eight predicted a gain, and four said prices will be little changed. The
last time respondents were mostly bearish, on Sept. 23, the metal slumped... 阅读全帖
M*****8
发帖数: 17722
23

.......................
JAMN not available. May have been reserved.
HGSI:
*** NOTE: ALL PRICE TARGETS & PROFITS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Cash Unit is $1,000. Simply multiply for larger sums.)
FORECAST FOR STOCK SYMBOL: HGSI, AS OF 20111104 (YYYYMMDD)
[AFTER HOURS] CLOSING PRICE ON 20111104 was: 9.6900
NEAR-TERM STOCK OUTLOOK & RATING FOR HGSI: MODESTLY BULLISH
Near-Term Price Potential is UP, i.e. 0.3363 ( 3.50%)
Near-Term Price Target: 10.0263
At 10.0263, profit per $1,000 investment is 34... 阅读全帖
M*****8
发帖数: 17722
24

..........................
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: CRUS AS OF 20111107 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111107 was 17.2200
STOCK RATING: ESSENTIALLY NEUTRAL
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN: -0.3318 (-1.90%)
Short-Term Price Target: 16.8882
At Price Target, profit is 19.2683 on $1000 investment. (+1.93%)
Close out >= half of your short position at about 16.8882
There i... 阅读全帖
M*****8
发帖数: 17722
25

......................
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: LLL AS OF 20111107 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111107 was 70.4900
STOCK RATING: BEARISH
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN: -3.3294 (-4.70%)
Short-Term Price Target: 67.1606
At Price Target, profit is 47.2322 on $1000 investment. (+4.72%)
Close out >= half of your short position at about 67.1606
There is a small chance ... 阅读全帖
M*****8
发帖数: 17722
26

......................
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: LULU AS OF 20111108 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111108 was 57.2000
STOCK RATING: ESSENTIALLY NEUTRAL
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN: -0.3716 (-0.60%)
Short-Term Price Target: 56.8284
At Price Target, profit is 6.4965 on $1000 investment. (+0.65%)
Close out >= half of your short position at about 56.8284
There is a ... 阅读全帖
M*****8
发帖数: 17722
27

..........................
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: NFLX AS OF 20111111 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111111 was 87.8500
STOCK RATING: MODESTLY BULLISH
Short-Term Price Potential is UP: 0.8453 ( 1.00%)
Short-Term Price Target: 88.6953
At Price Target, profit is 9.6221 on $1000 investment. (+0.96%)
Close out >= half of your long position at about 88.6953
There is a sm... 阅读全帖
M*****8
发帖数: 17722
28

.........................
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: EOG AS OF 20111111 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111111 was 104.0100
STOCK RATING: ESSENTIALLY NEUTRAL
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN: -1.1064 (-1.10%)
Short-Term Price Target: 102.9036
At Price Target, profit is 10.6374 on $1000 investment. (+1.06%)
Close out >= half of your short position at about 102.9036
There is ... 阅读全帖
M*****8
发帖数: 17722
29

....................
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: MS AS OF 20111129 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111129 was 13.1500
STOCK RATING: ESSENTIALLY NEUTRAL
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN: -0.0957 (-0.70%)
Short-Term Price Target: 13.0543
At Price Target, profit is 7.2776 on $1000 investment. (+0.73%)
Close out >= half of your short position at about 13.0543
There is a smal... 阅读全帖
M*****8
发帖数: 17722
30
寄信人: thewildwest (深水青蛙)
标 题: Re: Market Bullish
发信站: 未名空间 (Thu Dec 1 15:40:14 2011)
肥猫,你的预测很准,aapl真的到了388左右就不再上了!!~~
如果你方便的话,能帮我预测一下以下股票吗?
TIF SOHU PCX
这几个是我刚买的long的股票。TIF是赌ER失败,深水下。
多谢!
.......................
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: TIF AS OF 20111201 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111201 was 66.2500
STOCK RATING: MODESTLY BULLISH
Short-Term Price Potential is UP: 4.5... 阅读全帖
M*****8
发帖数: 17722
31

..................
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: MON AS OF 20111201 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111201 was 73.2000
STOCK RATING: SLIGHTLY BEARISH
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN: -2.1550 (-2.90%)
Short-Term Price Target: 71.0450
At Price Target, profit is 29.4399 on $1000 investment. (+2.94%)
Close out >= half of your short position at about 71.0450
There is a small ch... 阅读全帖
M*****8
发帖数: 17722
32

......................
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: GOOG AS OF 20111202 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111202 was 619.5000
STOCK RATING: BEARISH
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN:-19.1972 (-3.10%)
Short-Term Price Target: 600.3028
At Price Target, profit is 30.9882 on $1000 investment. (+3.10%)
Close out >= half of your short position at about 600.3028
There is a small chance... 阅读全帖
M*****8
发帖数: 17722
33

.......................
Don't over-commit, i.e. take too large a position
Wait for short-squeeze peak to average up
Wait for bear raid bottom to average down.
Always keep plenty of cash, remember, price just swings.
short/sell at peaks of swings and buy/cover at their bottoms.
Also, don't be greedy, begin taking profits when prices have
move 1/2 or more of forecast. Use trend lines.
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for larg... 阅读全帖
M*****8
发帖数: 17722
34

..........................
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: CRUS AS OF 20111107 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111107 was 17.2200
STOCK RATING: ESSENTIALLY NEUTRAL
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN: -0.3318 (-1.90%)
Short-Term Price Target: 16.8882
At Price Target, profit is 19.2683 on $1000 investment. (+1.93%)
Close out >= half of your short position at about 16.8882
There i... 阅读全帖
M*****8
发帖数: 17722
35

......................
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: LLL AS OF 20111107 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111107 was 70.4900
STOCK RATING: BEARISH
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN: -3.3294 (-4.70%)
Short-Term Price Target: 67.1606
At Price Target, profit is 47.2322 on $1000 investment. (+4.72%)
Close out >= half of your short position at about 67.1606
There is a small chance ... 阅读全帖
M*****8
发帖数: 17722
36

......................
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: LULU AS OF 20111108 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111108 was 57.2000
STOCK RATING: ESSENTIALLY NEUTRAL
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN: -0.3716 (-0.60%)
Short-Term Price Target: 56.8284
At Price Target, profit is 6.4965 on $1000 investment. (+0.65%)
Close out >= half of your short position at about 56.8284
There is a ... 阅读全帖
M*****8
发帖数: 17722
37

..........................
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: NFLX AS OF 20111111 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111111 was 87.8500
STOCK RATING: MODESTLY BULLISH
Short-Term Price Potential is UP: 0.8453 ( 1.00%)
Short-Term Price Target: 88.6953
At Price Target, profit is 9.6221 on $1000 investment. (+0.96%)
Close out >= half of your long position at about 88.6953
There is a sm... 阅读全帖
M*****8
发帖数: 17722
38

.........................
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: EOG AS OF 20111111 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111111 was 104.0100
STOCK RATING: ESSENTIALLY NEUTRAL
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN: -1.1064 (-1.10%)
Short-Term Price Target: 102.9036
At Price Target, profit is 10.6374 on $1000 investment. (+1.06%)
Close out >= half of your short position at about 102.9036
There is ... 阅读全帖
M*****8
发帖数: 17722
39

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*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: MS AS OF 20111129 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111129 was 13.1500
STOCK RATING: ESSENTIALLY NEUTRAL
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN: -0.0957 (-0.70%)
Short-Term Price Target: 13.0543
At Price Target, profit is 7.2776 on $1000 investment. (+0.73%)
Close out >= half of your short position at about 13.0543
There is a smal... 阅读全帖
M*****8
发帖数: 17722
40
寄信人: thewildwest (深水青蛙)
标 题: Re: Market Bullish
发信站: 未名空间 (Thu Dec 1 15:40:14 2011)
肥猫,你的预测很准,aapl真的到了388左右就不再上了!!~~
如果你方便的话,能帮我预测一下以下股票吗?
TIF SOHU PCX
这几个是我刚买的long的股票。TIF是赌ER失败,深水下。
多谢!
.......................
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: TIF AS OF 20111201 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111201 was 66.2500
STOCK RATING: MODESTLY BULLISH
Short-Term Price Potential is UP: 4.5... 阅读全帖
M*****8
发帖数: 17722
41

..................
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: MON AS OF 20111201 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111201 was 73.2000
STOCK RATING: SLIGHTLY BEARISH
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN: -2.1550 (-2.90%)
Short-Term Price Target: 71.0450
At Price Target, profit is 29.4399 on $1000 investment. (+2.94%)
Close out >= half of your short position at about 71.0450
There is a small ch... 阅读全帖
M*****8
发帖数: 17722
42

......................
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: GOOG AS OF 20111202 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111202 was 619.5000
STOCK RATING: BEARISH
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN:-19.1972 (-3.10%)
Short-Term Price Target: 600.3028
At Price Target, profit is 30.9882 on $1000 investment. (+3.10%)
Close out >= half of your short position at about 600.3028
There is a small chance... 阅读全帖
M*****8
发帖数: 17722
43

.......................
Don't over-commit, i.e. take too large a position
Wait for short-squeeze peak to average up
Wait for bear raid bottom to average down.
Always keep plenty of cash, remember, price just swings.
short/sell at peaks of swings and buy/cover at their bottoms.
Also, don't be greedy, begin taking profits when prices have
move 1/2 or more of forecast. Use trend lines.
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for larg... 阅读全帖
k********n
发帖数: 18523
44
ECB as Lender of Last Resort Would End Crisis for Silva
Nov. 11 (Bloomberg) -- The European Central Bank can stop the spread of the
continent’s financial crisis with “foreseeable, unlimited” purchases of
Italian and other government bonds, Portuguese President Anibal Cavaco Silva
said.
“The European Central Bank has to go beyond a narrow interpretation of its
mission and should be prepared for foreseeable intervention in the secondary
market, not as the central bank has done up to now,” Cavaco S... 阅读全帖
k********n
发帖数: 18523
45
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
dbmj (大变马甲) 于 (Fri Jan 6 11:23:14 2012, 美东) 提到:
http://blog.renren.com/GetEntry.do?id=795741387&owner=233307405
不知道为什么,决定在2011年结束之前完成我5年以来的第一篇中文写作;这么多年了,从
来没有用中文写过一片文章,希望文笔还没有生疏到无法表达自己经历和故事的地步.
2011年对于我来说是值得纪念的一年,在我生活中发生的事恐怕是很多人这一生都不可
能经历的.个人的财富从1月1号的10万美金到6月19号的接近2000万美金到今天的数字;
个人财富的变更让我学到了很多,对于人生的思考更加深刻了,同时也意识到生命中的变
数..两年前的我还在为我的第一份工作而兴奋不已,华尔街的名头,投资银行的魅力..参
加工作之前对于自己的职位有着那么多的期望;但是在工作两个月的蜜月期度过之后,每
天的生活其实就是在和幻灯片excel做无脑的交流..我至今仍然记得在纽约3点种在等同
事从西海岸发来文件... 阅读全帖
R*******9
发帖数: 996
46
来自主题: Stock版 - BIDU暴跌
苹果beated了,forecast 低于分析师预期,股价还是涨了那么多;
QCOM beated了,forecast 低于分析师预期,股价跌了那么多;
BIDU's result 基本上和分析师预期一致,而且forecast不差,股价跌了那么多。
不解...
B*******n
发帖数: 20645
47
来自主题: Stock版 - 小盘日内分析MAY16
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - Some Federal Reserve officials were not confident
enough about signs of an upturn in growth to alter their guidance that
rates were likely to stay exceptionally low until late 2014, according to
minutes of their April meeting released Wednesday.
Fed officials cited uncertainty surrounding the forecasts of the economy in
making no changes to the guidance, the minutes said. Some Fed officials
expressed more confidence about the durability of the recovery, while others
sa... 阅读全帖
a********t
发帖数: 4508
48
没有欺诈啊?
Underwriters cut forecast没欺诈啊?
给大客户不同的forecast也不算欺诈啊?forecast是underwriters的预期。所有人看到
的数据都是一样的。预期各人可以不同。
咱看到的各种分析报告和大客户看到的也不一样啊。

and
D******e
发帖数: 11265
49
来自主题: Stock版 - AAPL--panic sell down over 10%.
5 Reasons Apple Could Defy Skeptics In 2013 Despite Q1 Earnings Miss3
comments, 0 called-out Comment Now Follow Comments Following Comments
Unfollow Comments
Comment Now Follow Comments Following Comments Unfollow Comments 423
Apple CEO Tim Cook (Photo: Getty Images via @daylife)
Thanks to a rare earnings miss in its fiscal first quarter, Apple shares are
falling nearly 11% in after-hours trading, to $458, after rising almost 2%
Wednesday before the close. Investors were disappointed in partic... 阅读全帖
p*********r
发帖数: 4593
50
来自主题: Stock版 - AMZN牛一:Colin Sebastian
Here is another one. Pacific Crest on 4/12. You just feel they say something
for their position, definitely not for the real.
SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Inquiries with tech supply chain providers on
the Kindle Fire tablet has led Pacific Crest analyst Chad Bartley to raise
his revenue forecasts on Amazon.com Inc. AMZN -0.74% . In a research note,
Bartley said Friday that supply chain checks suggest that demand for the
Kindle Fire "is trending better than expected," and mostly due to sales of... 阅读全帖
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