g******t
发帖数: 18158 | 1 打烂老婊砸走狗的碧莲
Criticism of presidential forecasts[edit]
In a series of posts in 2011 and 2012, FiveThirtyEight criticized the
forecasting methods that relied on macro-economic modeling of the electoral
outcomes.[538 80][538 81] According to Silver, models based primarily on the
macro-level performance of the economy (such as unemployment, inflation,
and the performance of the stock market), presidential approval ratings (
when an incumbent is running for re-election), and the ideological
positionin... 阅读全帖 |
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g******t
发帖数: 18158 | 2 打烂老婊砸走狗的碧莲
Criticism of presidential forecasts[edit]
In a series of posts in 2011 and 2012, FiveThirtyEight criticized the
forecasting methods that relied on macro-economic modeling of the electoral
outcomes.[538 80][538 81] According to Silver, models based primarily on the
macro-level performance of the economy (such as unemployment, inflation,
and the performance of the stock market), presidential approval ratings (
when an incumbent is running for re-election), and the ideological
positionin... 阅读全帖 |
|
l*******g
发帖数: 27064 | 3 Conservatives care about logic. Liberals care about emotion. Conservatives
care about whether a program works or not. Liberals care about how
supporting a program makes them feel. Conservatives take the positions they
do because they believe they’re best for society. Liberals take the
positions they do because they make them feel and look compassionate or
superior to hold those positions.
Once you understand those basics, it’s very easy to see why both sides hold
the positions they do on most is... 阅读全帖 |
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r******g
发帖数: 691 | 4 “Americans who make $20,000 a year are made fun of by Samantha Bee for
going to Wal-Mart. ”
“These are all people who will knife one another in the back to get their
kids into $50,000-a-year all-white preschools. But they think they're less
racist than other Americans because of their pleasant interactions with Rosa
when she comes to clean. ”
“In the modern Democratic Party, out-of-work coal miners are constantly
denounced for their "privilege" by half-black girls at Yale -- who wouldn't
have go... 阅读全帖 |
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D**S
发帖数: 24887 | 7 He is more a White supremacist than a 大右派 although the line separating
these two is a fuzzy one. |
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T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 8 连多年前俄国人买老头房子都查，
Mueller Expands Probe to Trump
Business Transactions
The U.S. special counsel investigating possible ties between the聽Donald
Trumpcampaign and Russia in last year's election is examining a broad range
of transactions involving Trump's businesses as well as those of his
associates, according to a person familiar with the probe.
The president told the New York Times on Wednesday that any digging into
matters beyond Russia would be out of bounds. Trump's businesses have
involved Rus... 阅读全帖 |
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r******g
发帖数: 4002 | 9 New Yorker Kavanaugh allegation story has it all: 35 years ago. Accuser was
drunk. 'Significant gaps' in her memory, recovered recently with help of
lawyer. Memories fuzzy all 'round. Some say never happened. Accuser 'never
described incident until Brett's SCOTUS nomination.' |
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r******g
发帖数: 4002 | 10 New Yorker Kavanaugh allegation story has it all: 35 years ago. Accuser was
drunk. 'Significant gaps' in her memory, recovered recently with help of
lawyer. Memories fuzzy all 'round. Some say never happened. Accuser 'never
described incident until Brett's SCOTUS nomination.' |
|
发帖数: 1 | 11 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: newIdRobot (新器人), 信区: Military
标 题: Verizon 裁员4.4万，说好的maga呢?！
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Oct 5 14:08:43 2018, 美东)
http://www.khq.com/story/39230043/verizon-to-lay-off-44000-employees
minqidev发于 2018-10-05 11:28, 论坛: Chats&&华人闲话
标 题: Verizon 裁员4.4万， 外包到印度公司， 为什么？
这是什么节奏？？？ 不是要弄5G 了吗？ 这些工作应该留在美国
DearVerizonEmployees:
By this point you've no doubt heard that Verizon will pay you three
weeks salary for every year of service, if youleave the company
voluntarily. You're probab... 阅读全帖 |
|
发帖数: 1 | 12 考级的标准我前面已经概略提了：“刚开始的时候考音阶、视奏、音准、乐句，。。。
再上去考音乐性包括乐曲诠释。”。不好意思，说错了请您指教。
至于卡拉 OK 的评分，我真没接触过，不过据猜测嘛是基于 DSP 技术，分析歌者的频
率高低看看有没有走音，然后也可以分析是否合拍，这些都不难做到。当然啦，这是我
的猜测，请您指教。
添加1：除了频率与节奏外，卡拉 OK 能不能分析歌词有没有唱错？现在自然语言处理
的技术很先进，而且卡拉 OK 又不用管 semantics，它只管发音，照说绝无问题。只不
过中文是一种 tonal language，而唱歌的时候没有 tone，可能比对时的算法要修改一
下。当然啦，这也是我瞎猜，我什么都不懂，请您指教。
添加2：如果要做歌词分析，我们是要做比较聪明的 fuzzy match 还是 exact match？
当然啦，高级一点的卡拉 OK 应该可以分析歌词的意思，只要意思相近就可以。所以如
果歌者把“今宵多珍重”唱成“今夜多珍重”的话，也算过关。当然啦，我还是不懂，
只是瞎猜，脸皮厚，请您指教。
在线急等！ |
|
f**********n
发帖数: 29853 | 13 几个与唱歌艺术毫无关系的英文单词被生拉硬凑进来，何其可怜。
就如同番薯仔前面提的hearsay一样，你丫用个谷歌翻译看看中文翻译，后面就全靠脑
补，脑补不足，脸皮来凑。。。。。
: 考级的标准我前面已经概略提了：“刚开始的时候考音阶、视奏、音准、乐句，
。。。
: 再上去考音乐性包括乐曲诠释。”。不好意思，说错了请您指教。
: 至于卡拉 OK 的评分，我真没接触过，不过据猜测嘛是基于 DSP 技术，分析歌
者的频
: 率高低看看有没有走音，然后也可以分析是否合拍，这些都不难做到。当然啦，
这是我
: 的猜测，请您指教。
: 添加1：除了频率与节奏外，卡拉 OK 能不能分析歌词有没有唱错？现在自然语
言处理
: 的技术很先进，而且卡拉 OK 又不用管 semantics，它只管发音，照说绝无问题
。只不
: 过中文是一种 tonal language，而唱歌的时候没有 tone，可能比对时的算法要
修改一
: 下。当然啦，这也是我瞎猜，我什么都不懂，请您指教。
: 添加2：如果要做歌词分析，我们是要做比较聪... 阅读全帖 |
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发帖数: 1 | 14 考级的标准我前面已经概略提了：“刚开始的时候考音阶、视奏、音准、乐句，。。。
再上去考音乐性包括乐曲诠释。”。不好意思，说错了请您指教。
至于卡拉 OK 的评分，我真没接触过，不过据猜测嘛是基于 DSP 技术，分析歌者的频
率高低看看有没有走音，然后也可以分析是否合拍，这些都不难做到。当然啦，这是我
的猜测，请您指教。
添加1：除了频率与节奏外，卡拉 OK 能不能分析歌词有没有唱错？现在自然语言处理
的技术很先进，而且卡拉 OK 又不用管 semantics，它只管发音，照说绝无问题。只不
过中文是一种 tonal language，而唱歌的时候没有 tone，可能比对时的算法要修改一
下。当然啦，这也是我瞎猜，我什么都不懂，请您指教。
添加2：如果要做歌词分析，我们是要做比较聪明的 fuzzy match 还是 exact match？
当然啦，高级一点的卡拉 OK 应该可以分析歌词的意思，只要意思相近就可以。所以如
果歌者把“今宵多珍重”唱成“今夜多珍重”的话，也算过关。当然啦，我还是不懂，
只是瞎猜，脸皮厚，请您指教。
在线急等！ |
|
M****e
发帖数: 231 | 15 是不是adwords自动从exact match升级到fuzzy match? |
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W*******n
发帖数: 4140 | 16 Joke: Presidential Debate 2012, Act III
10/22/2012
By Limin Wang
In the evening of October 16, 2012, at the Smack Complex of Hofstra
University on Long Island, New York, President Obama and former governor
Romney had the second finger-to-finger presidential debate. Candy Growly
tried her hardest to moderate them.
Outside the debate building, large swarms of people had decided on their own
to join the show. Some said that they wanted to bring their own tough
questions. Some said that they wanted ... 阅读全帖 |
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W*******n
发帖数: 4140 | 17 Joke: Presidential Debate 2012, Act III
10/22/2012
By Limin Wang
In the evening of October 16, 2012, at the Smack Complex of Hofstra
University on Long Island, New York, President Obama and former governor
Romney had the second finger-to-finger presidential debate. Candy Growly
tried her hardest to moderate them.
Outside the debate building, large swarms of people had decided on their own
to join the show. Some said that they wanted to bring their own tough
questions. Some said that they wanted ... 阅读全帖 |
|
q**i
发帖数: 174 | 18 a ball joint is basically a bearing which attachs the end of your lower
arm to the wheel hub (rotor/wheel bearing). It physically sits right under nead the
strut, and to the inside of the hub.
a bad ball joint could cause a shimmy steering wheel, fuzzy steering, and
non-adjustable front wheel alignment.
once it is gone, it goes bad fairly quickly. The $150 parts quote sounds
reasonable. Labor depends on your particular vehicle. On most vehicles, it is
quite easy to take off the ball joint, but v |
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i****a
发帖数: 36252 | 19 minor accident $0
major accident $0
my personal experience
www.progressive.com has online quoting tool. From my previous tests,
single accident of $1400 and smaller did not affect rate. over $1400
about 15%.
but each case can be different. there is no clear rule on insurance
rate, not even insurance companies can tell you until they put in your
specific info into their mysterious computer fuzzy AI and gets a quote.
- 性別，年齡，位置，教育，專業，學校GPA，汽車類，汽車安全選項,
停車條件，保險選項, 土星第13月球的引力等等等等都可以影響保險費。
- 打電話給越多的 |
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t**********3
发帖数: 12623 | 20 车身笨拙，方向模糊，毫无路感反馈，电子控制复杂又fuzzy，电脑过度干预，燃油经
济性极差，湿滑路面表现还不如头重脚轻的F150 |
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t**********3
发帖数: 12623 | 21 赞扬：
前中后三个差速锁
Build quality非常非常好，奥地利的奔驰军工工厂制造
动力输出太狂野了
安全性无敌，秒杀一切
电子限滑系统很好，一般越野靠三个电子配合开放差速器都轻松秒杀之
喷喷：
锁差速器的那个三个按键实在比较fuzzy
锁差速器时需要在静止状态激活diff lock，再把车很慢很慢往前开直到灯亮才lock住
，如果油门给多了还伤差速器
锁中差和后差前轮就空转，所以手动锁就要锁三个，很麻烦很不人性化
总之，感觉这是hard core和military grade的东西，还是路虎和路巡的差速器对普通
用户更人性化。G这东西一般人买来装装B也很好，但是不懂不要折腾那三个diff locks
，打坏了换一个就是几千美元，女板斧来说说你的车吧。 |
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T**********2
发帖数: 2198 | 22 用过S3，感觉很多功能的创想思路很好的，但是Samsung ROM自己的service和Google的
多处重叠，而且有些很fuzzy的东西shortcut不shortcut，bug不bug的。总之，N4的简
洁确实让人耳目一新。 |
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g********d
发帖数: 19244 | 23 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
theislander3 (Peace de Wars) 于 (Mon Feb 18 02:38:13 2013, 美东) 提到:
赞扬：
前中后三个差速锁
Build quality非常非常好，奥地利的奔驰军工工厂制造
动力输出太狂野了
安全性无敌，秒杀一切
电子限滑系统很好，一般越野靠三个电子配合开放差速器都轻松秒杀之
喷喷：
锁差速器的那个三个按键实在比较fuzzy
锁差速器时需要在静止状态激活diff lock，再把车很慢很慢往前开直到灯亮才lock住
，如果油门给多了还伤差速器
锁中差和后差前轮就空转，所以手动锁就要锁三个，很麻烦很不人性化
总之，感觉这是hard core和military grade的东西，还是路虎和路巡的差速器对普通
用户更人性化。G这东西一般人买来装装B也很好，但是不懂不要折腾那三个diff locks
，打坏了换一个就是几千美元，女板斧来说说你的车吧。
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
yling (yling... 阅读全帖 |
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t**********3
发帖数: 12623 | 24 昨天说了触摸按键的种种不爽，再来谈谈整个多媒体系统设计的脑残
如果正在听FM收音机，想切换到AM，步骤是这样的，先按中控左上角的Audio键（图1）
，但是从Driver的角度，Audio键是被方向盘挡住的（图2）
按了Audio键中控液晶屏会显示这样的页面（图3），然后按液晶屏右下角的ALL，然后
显示现在可以选择进入的音频输入模式（图4）
这个系统的操作设计非常fuzzy，液晶屏不仅分辨率低而且反光严重，Avalon作为老头
车，视力普遍有各种问题的老年人看屏幕就更有障碍。我切身测试了一下，切换收音机
频段需要按3次，一共需要约4秒钟，并且这4秒钟里视线是离开行车路面前方的，这就
是设计细节带来的安全驾车隐患 |
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g********d
发帖数: 19244 | 25 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
theislander3 (Peace de Wars) 于 (Mon Jun 24 15:13:10 2013, 美东) 提到:
Toyota - Moving Forward
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
AAman (愤怒的生物博士后) 于 (Mon Jun 24 15:21:28 2013, 美东) 提到:
沙发
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
zpko123 (静芬) 于 (Mon Jun 24 15:22:35 2013, 美东) 提到:
请电哥务必客观公正，先谢过了
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
fightingxx (oo) 于 (Mon Jun 24 15:22:44 2013, 美东) 提到:
期待
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
nfty (he)... 阅读全帖 |
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s******t
发帖数: 1956 | 26 参考下文，目前美国各州最火的车型， F-150, Camry, Accord, Outback, Forster,
CR-V, Equinox, Escape, corolla等，都是销售大户。
As expected, the top five overall vehicles in sales — the Ford F-Series,
Chevy Silverado and Ram pickups, followed by the Toyota Camry and Honda
Accord — dominate the map. What's unexpected is some of the geographic
outlines, many of which follow old college sports conference boundaries; in
Big Ten land, Chevy rules, while Ford has the Big 12 to itself and Toyota
dominates the old Southeastern Confe... 阅读全帖 |
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t******n
发帖数: 6861 | 27 我想要的物品:
Britax carrier,large accessories的UPC
单张面值:
以下产品的UPC原件
生产日期要在April 2, 2012之后
Carrier里面一下任何一款
BABY CARRIER
BABY CARRIER ORGANIC
Large accessories里面以下任何一款
B-READY Second Seat
Stroller Bassinet
B-READY Lower Infant Car Seat Adapter
Stroller Board B-AGILE Double Rain Cover
BOB Revolution Cargo Conversion Kit**
BOB Sun Shield*
BOB Warm Fuzzy
BOB Weather Shield*
BOB Infant Car Seat Adapter*
BOB Travel Bag CAR SEAT TRAVEL CART
CAR SEAT TRAVEL BAG
B-SAFE Base CHAPERONE Base
CHILD BI... 阅读全帖 |
|
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m*r
发帖数: 37612 | 29 APPAREL
2-pc. Girls/Boys Or Infant/Toddler Girls And Boys Sleep Set $5.00
Boys 4-16 Legendary Gold Denim $6.00
Boys' 4-18 or Girl 4-16 1/4 Zip Fleece Pullover $4.99
Boys/Girls Sweater $7.00
Fleece Slippers $5.00
Girls 4-16 Embellished Denim $7.00
Girls And Boys or Infant And Toddler Boys And Girls Plaid Flannel Shirt $5.0
0
Girls/ Boys or Infant/ toddler Sherpa-Lined Hoodie $7.00
Kids 4-16 Licensed SleepWear $5.00
Men's Cozy Robe $14.99
Mens legendary Gold Jeans or Khakis $8.00
Mens or Womens Sh... 阅读全帖 |
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f**********g
发帖数: 27 | 30 在这里发过一次帖，咨询过问题。今年到现在看了这么久，终于没法继续淡定等待完全
尘埃落定，有几个问题想请教版上各位前辈。如果被熟人认出来，请一笑了之。
LD是ECE方面的fresh PhD，去年下半年毕业之后在找教职。背景见此帖：http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t0/Faculty/31422431.html
现在大概的情况是有一个工程学院排名60-70之间的学校口头offer快要finalize了，有
另外一两个面试（有排名30-40和前15的），还没有出结果，job talk讲得大多还不错
，chalk talk有的还不错，有的就比较一般，研究水平之外的最大的问题是，背后没有
很牛的network，去onsite的时候，social还显生疏。然后就是LD不愿意做博后。
最近纠结的问题是：
（1）如果从了现在收到offer的学校，心中可能有些不甘心。综合各个方面情况来看，
学校和系的排名对以后拿funding裨益不大，招学生也有点难度，tenure的压力大小不
详。——如果去了这个学校，是不是除了特别优秀拿了一堆funding和career之类的奖
，就不要... 阅读全帖 |
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d******0
发帖数: 22800 | 31 用电饭锅的brown rice档。 推荐MIJ的象印那个fuzzy neuro。 |
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s*******u
发帖数: 5796 | 32 今天儿子非常fuzzy，总是闹腾，烦死我了。我抱着他说：
儿子，有什么不高兴的事儿，你说出来啊，让妈妈高兴高兴。。。。
话音一落突然想起来上甲板看看，看完后果然心情舒畅多了。。。。 |
|
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h****x
发帖数: 1450 | 34 就是这个
Zojirushi NS-WAC18 Micom Fuzzy-Logic 10-Cup Rice Cooker and Warmer
$152 - 30% off coupon code LOVE2SAVE30 = $107 + Extra $20
Kohls Cash
用shopper还有%10,不过有人说不一定会有。我给$107+tax，还有Kohls的$20。 |
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y*********7
发帖数: 6 | 35 松下微电脑电饭煲，可定时，早上起床喝热粥，晚上到家有热饭！非常方便实用。白色
，型号SR NA10
有12小时保温，8个烧煮功能，包括煮粥和烘蛋糕。附送蒸隔。
买时$120，因为要搬家,现在卖$50。我们只用来早上烧粥，有另一个饭锅煮饭，所以这
个电饭煲还很新，非常干净实用。图片在此链接：http://www.flickr.com/photos/13951870@N02/?saved=1
我们在纽约皇后区雷哥公园。Rego Park.，请有兴趣的联系c*********[email protected]
Panasonic electronic rice cooker/warmer, 5.5 cup, white color, sell for $50.
Used for less than 6 months, in great condition. Best for setting up time in
advance and get cooked rice when you get home or get up from bed.
5.5cup rice cooker/warmer with ... 阅读全帖 |
|
p**x
发帖数: 6614 | 36 【 以下文字转载自 NextGeneration 讨论区 】
发信人: plex (daytona 675), 信区: NextGeneration
标 题: $10求一个Britax large accessory的UPC
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Oct 15 20:51:40 2012, 美东)
B-READY Second Seat
Stroller Bassinet
B-READY Lower Infant Car Seat Adapter
Stroller Board
B-AGILE Double Rain Cover
BOB Revolution Cargo Conversion Kit**
BOB Sun Shield*
BOB Warm Fuzzy
BOB Weather Shield*
BOB Infant Car Seat Adapter*
BOB Travel Bag
CAR SEAT TRAVEL CART
CAR SEAT TRAVEL BAG
B-SAFE Base
CHAPERONE Base
中的任何一个都行，多谢！
CHILD BIK... 阅读全帖 |
|
p**x
发帖数: 6614 | 37 【 以下文字转载自 NextGeneration 讨论区 】
发信人: plex (daytona 675), 信区: NextGeneration
标 题: $10求一个Britax large accessory的UPC
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Oct 15 20:51:40 2012, 美东)
B-READY Second Seat
Stroller Bassinet
B-READY Lower Infant Car Seat Adapter
Stroller Board
B-AGILE Double Rain Cover
BOB Revolution Cargo Conversion Kit**
BOB Sun Shield*
BOB Warm Fuzzy
BOB Weather Shield*
BOB Infant Car Seat Adapter*
BOB Travel Bag
CAR SEAT TRAVEL CART
CAR SEAT TRAVEL BAG
B-SAFE Base
CHAPERONE Base
中的任何一个都行，多谢！
CHILD BIK... 阅读全帖 |
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t***u
发帖数: 99 | 38 今天隆重推荐这款很适合夏天的瓜果汤，先来唬人的介绍：
节瓜 (《纲目拾遗》)
【来源】为葫芦科植物节瓜的果实。
【性味】《本草求原》：甘，淡。
【功用主治-节瓜的功效】①《纲目拾遗》：止渴生津，驱暑，健脾，利大小肠。
②《本草求原》：功同冬瓜，而无冷利之患。
益胃，长于下气消水。
眉豆
味甘、性平、咸、无毒，入脾、肾经；
具有健脾、止消渴、补肾、生精髓、和五脏、调营卫、理中益气之功效；
李时珍称“此豆可菜、可果、可谷，备用最好，乃豆中之上品”。
简单来说，这款汤健脾消暑，非常适合夏天。
材料：节瓜（fuzzy squash）1-2个，眉豆小半碗，章鱼干1-2个，龙骨（pork back
bone）约1磅。
做法：
1 节瓜洗净去皮切大块，眉豆，章鱼干洗净沥水，龙骨飞水
2 砂锅放6-8碗水烧开，下龙骨中火滚20分钟，再下其它材料
3 水开后中火滚10分钟左右，转小火煲1.5-2小时
4 大火滚即分钟，下盐调味
家里以前用花生米和冬菇煲这个汤，这次我换了眉豆，感觉口感更好；章鱼干是用来提
味的，没有也没关系；龙骨比较腥，所以一定要飞水处理干净，还要注意水和肉同温，
不然煲出 |
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a***c
发帖数: 728 | 39 可以的，我的Neural Fuzzy煮豆稀饭的时候盖子从来是干净的，做干饭的时候才需要洗
盖子 |
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t********g
发帖数: 208 | 41 有人用过这个型号吗？想换个电饭锅又一阵了，原来的是即普通，又简单的，最近开始
有点功能失调了。谢谢。 |
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c**********a
发帖数: 199 | 42 I bought one last month. My BF and I like it very very much!!! It is
definately worthy to but it. |
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p********2
发帖数: 9939 | 44 公婆要来了，4口人吃饭，得要个大电饭锅。大家推荐一个吧。我看到ebay上有10cup的
160块。Zojirushi NS-ZCC18WG 10 Cup Neuro Fuzzy rice cooker
会不会太大？ |
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x*****g
发帖数: 3463 | 46 在costco看见一个象牌的较低端产品，不过也有fuzzy logic啥的，型号貌似是NS-
WPC10。不知比起大同的间接加热的锅TAC-6G(SF)，那个煮饭更好吃？
多谢！ |
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L******d
发帖数: 2461 | 48 我的是NS-WAC18 Micom Fuzzy-Logic (Uncooked) 10-Cup Rice Cooker,用了几年后不
沾层坏了。用得挺小心的。那个内胆原厂的老贵，一气之下回国从淘宝掏了3个回来。 |
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b*******y
发帖数: 1240 | 50 software相关，我现在问题是会一些编程语言，用这些语言也做过不少活，但就是不够
focus，所以也可能成为一种劣势
thanks for all suggestions or help!
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