s******d
发帖数: 323 | 1 I see and actually share some of your concerns.
I'm bearish on LT bond too, but
you can't say there isn't a slight chance that what happens to Japan
could happen to US. In that case LT bond makes a lot of sense.
The beauty of the portfolio is that there is always 1 or maybe even 2
assets have gloomy forecasts, and yet it still preseve captial well.
In the meantime, it will help to overcome fear to make one fully invested,
instead of standing out there wondering or do "research" so that one
doesn |
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w***n
发帖数: 1519 | 2 先谢过楼主的包子。
我也是菜鸟，瞎说两句仅供参考：
1.看基金的组成，有没有你想要的资产组合，比例是不是你希望看到的；2.看基金成立
了多久，中间是否换过经理，太新的还不能信赖，得给它些时间先证明自己；3.看收益
，不光是1年2年手气好坏，得看5年10年是不是一直很稳定；4.看risk，max draw down
有多大，是你能接受的吗，你会忍受不了把它过早卖了吗；5.看expense ratio，几十
年下来这个有可能吃掉你相当一部分收益；6.其它种种不一而足。
具体到prpfx，这是根据Harry Browne的 permanent portfolio 一个比较早期的版本建
立的基金。具体内容可以自己google一下，你会发现prpfx的holding和Harry Browne
后来的版本并不完全一样（比如cash的部分是瑞士法郎，再比如里边塞了很高比例的
real estate和natural resource...）。不同的人看法不一样，我更喜欢prpfx的这个
版本，应为它稍微倾向的是一副gloomy 的前景，至少适合你用来对冲手里的growth
assets。prpfx的 ... 阅读全帖 |
|
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w****x
发帖数: 2483 | 4
darksteel, 这名字这么熟?? 在Amazon, 以前和他在一亩三分地聊过几道题
lolhaha不是鹊桥板块的某女吗?
火鸡?? Gloomy turky |
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d**e
发帖数: 6098 | 5 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
tallcuterich (高帅富) 于 (Wed May 16 10:12:09 2012, 美东) 提到:
做题做累了，昨天请了一天假，面试了几家公司。今天开始上班，休息休息，大家来说
说自己在招工版最佩服的人是谁？
我最佩服的有两个，一个来自北京的二爷，一个是来自成都的宇雯mm。
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
lolhaha (快了) 于 (Wed May 16 10:25:21 2012, 美东) 提到:
ZKSS
太抽象
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
tallcuterich (高帅富) 于 (Wed May 16 10:27:23 2012, 美东) 提到:
这两个人你都不认识，面试大牛啊，又谦虚，还搞竞赛，偶像，恩
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
StevenLow (CrossLayer) 于 (Wed M... 阅读全帖 |
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w****x
发帖数: 2483 | 6
han6, cloud7,
yuwenchengdu, darksteel,
autumn worm, gloomy turkey,
ballack,
ihas1337code |
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j*******r
发帖数: 201 | 7 This is the main concern of Pinterest. Great vision, but weak execution.
[在 gloomy (却与胡僧话落花) 的大作中提到：]
：时间不等人。你司的主要问题是execution。我还是不看好。
：
：........... |
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M****z
发帖数: 1058 | 8 两个面
1 我那时候讨论的是能变大的原因 估值是变大以后能有多大的事 对做startup而言 能
不能变大比能变多大事更重要的问题
2 p覆盖不少类别 可能我没理解你说的垂直是具体啥意思 但u比p还垂直一些吧？
[在 gloomy (却与胡僧话落花) 的大作中提到：]
：没有用的。vertical使用面太狭窄，，容易被其他社交网络挤死。16B justify不了
这个usage case...
：
：........... |
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W**********r
发帖数: 8927 | 9 venturebeat.com/2015/12/24/somewhere-way-way-under-the-rainbow-the-10-worst-
unicorns-of-2015/
Somewhere way, way under the rainbow: The 10 worst unicorns of 2015
Evernote: You know it’s been a bad year when people are publishing articles
speculating whether your company will be the first dead unicorn. (And are
debating whether Fab will beat you to the punch). But that’s what happens
when you change CEOs and cut your workforce by 5 percent. Things start to
look gloomy and the criticism piles up. |
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g****y
发帖数: 1172 | 10 【 以下文字转载自 SanFrancisco 讨论区 】
发信人: gloomy ( 天道短人道长,天既职性命，道德人自强), 信区: SanFrancisco
标 题: 诚聘通勤保姆
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Mar 10 13:36:44 2011, 美东)
住在mountain view, 想请一位通勤阿姨照顾女宝，简单家务。
6503363328。谢谢。 |
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m***y
发帖数: 14763 | 11 It's only for handymen. Actually, a lot of smarter handymen made great
property investment; LZ's is an example in case- nobody can break even
unless he DIYs the maintenance. A few home calls will eat up all the
profit.
On the other hand, this condo is overpriced already. The only hope for gain
is the house price would go even higher. Which could be wistful thinking.
First,the overall market is still gloomy; there are a lot of deals on the
street, why do you buy an overpriced one?
Second, people ... 阅读全帖 |
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w*****m
发帖数: 20421 | 12 最好不要暗色的，因为一碰掉漆就是白的了，而且很GLOOMY
除非是特别好的橱柜，白色的最好，现在也是实行这个 |
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m*****L
发帖数: 64 | 13 这个具体数据不重要，重要的是，谁也不知道那一两个真正的唐氏在哪里。
This is like a killer game. I almost laugh out in such a gloomy mood.
Sometimes I really doubt the meaning of these tests. I guess in our mother
or grandmother's time pregnancies must be simple and much less complicated. |
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c******r
发帖数: 3778 | 14 unknown=uncertainty。。。所以啊那个时候的新生儿死
亡率很高的。
确实，mm的情况有异常的概率要大于很多人，这个是事实，
要有一定的思想准备。但是即使如此，这个概率也不是非常
大，要有信心。
总结就是要一颗红心，两种准备。
祝福mm！
正的唐氏在哪里。
out in such a gloomy mood.
these tests. I guess in our mother
simple and much less complicated. |
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c*******u
发帖数: 12899 | 15 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
aprilxu (妞妞是个乖宝宝) 于 (Fri Mar 30 00:33:44 2012, 美东) 提到:
我已经很久很久不发帖了，自从我女儿确诊以后，我就再没有心思在网上发帖和回帖了
。这几天看了一些关于残疾孩子和流产的帖子，我忍不住想说几句我自己的经历，也算
是一种倾诉吧。
我女儿快三岁了，又漂亮又聪明，可是，她不会走路，而且永远也不会。她患有SMA (
Spinal Muscular Atrophy) 。这是一种genetic disorder，由于基因缺失身体无
法制造一种蛋白，严重影响她的运动神经元和所控制的肌肉，导致肌张力低下。SMA是
一种罕见病，发病率仅为万分之一，由于我和我老公都是携带者（我们都不知道，也没
有家族史），我们的孩子有四分之一的几率患病，我的女儿很不幸。
但是幸运的是，我的女儿不是最严重的情况。Type 1，也就是最严重的情况，孩子一般
不会活过两岁。我女儿属于type 2，医生没说能活多久，只是告诉我们，最终依靠仪器
，她也许能活到成年，能上college，但是... 阅读全帖 |
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k******a
发帖数: 2470 | 16 哦，看了gloomy的15个月娃的技能，我忽然记起我娃也有 认知技能。。。
唐老鸭，米老虎，长颈鹿，猴猴，牛牛（他能自己翻书找到牛牛的那一页）还有其他的
动物，我一般问，xx在哪里？他就去指。有的XX是墙上的贴画，有的是某本书里的，有
的是毛绒玩具。。。他都记得谁是谁。
会玩stickers！！我家玻璃上的stickers是小人自己粘上去的！----我个人认为这个蛮
难的，因为不仅要分清正反面，还要用两个手指捏着讲粘性的那面朝里。。。
也会玩橡皮泥，用铲子玩沙子，，，，，，，都不吃。
开灯关灯。还会玩电脑，鼠标用的相当熟练，经常把我的工具栏拖当上面，左面，右面
，我都不知道怎么拖回来。
===================================================================
我真是不是来bso的，有mm让我谈经验，真是汗，我还真没什么经验。因为我娃我基本都是放养的，没有专门的教。但是因为我全职在
家，然后真心比较喜欢小孩子，加上“天生愚钝”毫无家长意识，跟小孩子很能玩成一
片。我自己喜欢玩玩具，所以经常是我和小家伙各人玩各人的。平时和娃说话... 阅读全帖 |
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c*******u
发帖数: 12899 | 17 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
yufengeran (遇风而安) 于 (Wed Apr 4 14:09:49 2012, 美东) 提到:
宝宝七个多月，便秘12天用开塞露拉了一次，我知道宝宝版记录是11天，真没想到自己
家宝宝竟然破了这个记录，虽然不是啥好记录。宝宝便秘已经一个多月了，各种方法都
试过，还一直吃医生开的lactulose,都没有啥用。宝宝这两天又没有拉了，不知道下次
是啥时候再拉，我和宝爸真心着急啊，每天都为宝宝拉屎的事发愁，请各位JMS祝福我
家宝宝赶快大便正常吧。
沙发MM说的对，我家宝宝现在还是母乳，辅食就是吃oatmeal cereal,还有1-2阶段的果泥蔬菜泥，医生说先不能给肉和蛋，会更难拉屎。这两天我每天都给宝宝喝不少水，辅食基本都成了ｐｒｕｎｅ ｐｕｒｅｅ，也喝过ｐｒｕｎｅ ｊｕｉｃｅ，就是不拉，不知道为啥宝宝的便便这
棠亍br />
update
昨天刚求了祝福，咱们宝宝版的祝福简直神奇啊。虽然宝宝没动静拉屎，我们儿医有动静了，刚刚接到他的电话，说给约了专家，让我们带孩子去看看，不过约的是一... 阅读全帖 |
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G******i
发帖数: 5226 | 18 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
RyanCromer (RyanCromer) 于 (Mon Jun 11 11:58:19 2012, 美东) 提到:
宝宝的体重生长线一直就是接近90%的那条线张，胖得胳膊和藕节似的，肉逢的地方用
手扒开才行。虽然说宝宝这些都是baby fat, 胖些可爱健康，可是毕竟太胖也不是太好
。都说将来会慢慢瘦下来，可是那种小胖子还是有的，所以妈妈们都是怎么给宝宝控制
体重呢？
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
JeannaConne (JeannaConne) 于 (Mon Jun 11 12:04:13 2012, 美东) 提到:
慢慢就会瘦了，我女儿三个月的时候差不多7公斤，但是现在6个多月了，都不到8公斤
，还比上个月瘦了，我感觉是jumperoo运动了以后瘦了
Jumperoo 是fisher price的必备良品, 这个是等宝宝大一点玩的, 适合6months +,很
多大一点宝宝的妈妈想必也比较熟悉，我是在搞活动的时候买的，这个玩具... 阅读全帖 |
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s*******e
发帖数: 264 | 19 as an adult you let go or are deprived of so many opportunities for self-
improvement. yet you do not care even still experience fulfillment and
happiness which however are purely gained from the process of reproduction.
this is nothing but animal psychology shaped by natural selection. (actually
imho it is one of the reasons why the future of human race is so gloomy at
this stage of history.) |
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a***c
发帖数: 728 | 20 agreed. I was just chatting with my husband about this. I think we are
programmed. How can one be fulfilled and thrilled on a daily basis for years
while at the same time exhausted by raising offspring? But I'm not sure I
understand how you came to the conclusion "that's why the future of human
race is gloomy"
.
actually
at |
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d***1
发帖数: 14 | 21 之前在论坛看到一条有趣的加拿大留学生文章。那个作者以探究为何加拿大留学生论
文代写业务如此嚣张为由深入展开了讨论，一看论点却令人忍俊不禁。那个笔者认为加
拿大天气变化比较快，而且气候寒冷，容易使从中国来的加拿大留学生产生厌烦消极情
绪，因为抗拒写作业转而求助中介进行代写paper，并认为这是澳洲市场留学生代写业
务泛滥的主要原因之一。51due论文对此认为是没有多少根据的。
首先，如果说天气变化多端，英国可比加拿大更适合拿来做案例了。英国天气就像女人
变脸一样，甚至东边日出西边雨的情况也时常发生。而且常年大雾蒙蒙，怎么来看都是
个gloomy的气候，不会比英国气候上有什么优势。所以这个论点站不住脚。
其次，国内也不是哪里气候都那么稳定的啊。比如上海的有段时间天天气候变化无常，
经常让人摸不著头脑，才冷死了又热死了，还刮大风。东北更是夏天很烤，紫外线强，
冬天下大雪冷死。但是国内学生还不是每个省市年年都有人才状元，所以归根结底，这
个论点是不成立的，也只能做茶余饭后的笑谈罢了。 |
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d*******e
发帖数: 863 | 22 个人观点，无论对多亲近的人，也不能乱发脾气！不是什么放松的问题，是 anger
control, temper control, choose your words 等等的问题，从小就得训练。任何人
也没义务承受你的坏脾气。不高兴了可以抱抱，可以交流，可以哭，可以一起想办法，
但是绝不能无理取闹。
我妈就是那种在外面特好、在家里特凶的，我和我弟深受其苦，当然还有我爸。我弟长
大后性格比较 gloomy，我总觉得和我妈脾气不好有关，在家里总是很压抑。
娃儿现在和你们闹脾气，以后会不会对老公、孩子也这样？但是如果不想让娃整天臭脸
，家长要做足功课。比如，要尊重娃儿，要给她足够的关注，要平等待她，要多交流。
看点儿书吧，慢慢就悟了。 |
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d*******e
发帖数: 863 | 23 个人观点，无论对多亲近的人，也不能乱发脾气！不是什么放松的问题，是 anger
control, temper control, choose your words 等等的问题，从小就得训练。任何人
也没义务承受你的坏脾气。不高兴了可以抱抱，可以交流，可以哭，可以一起想办法，
但是绝不能无理取闹。
我妈就是那种在外面特好、在家里特凶的，我和我弟深受其苦，当然还有我爸。我弟长
大后性格比较 gloomy，我总觉得和我妈脾气不好有关，在家里总是很压抑。
娃儿现在和你们闹脾气，以后会不会对老公、孩子也这样？但是如果不想让娃整天臭脸
，家长要做足功课。比如，要尊重娃儿，要给她足够的关注，要平等待她，要多交流。
看点儿书吧，慢慢就悟了。 |
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q*d
发帖数: 22178 | 24 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
dangco (dangco) 于 (Fri Jul 13 04:23:25 2012, 美东) 提到:
海归前家庭收入接近40万美金，偶尔公司股票给力有时多点，平常花销大概生活费2000
刀左右纯吃喝，1年到头计划的花钱，不买奢侈品，能存在6万多吧
~~~你这个海归前的数字我怎么看不懂呢？ 40w就算40%的税，还能剩下24w吧，一年花
生活费就算3000*12 = 36000，也应该能存20w，而不是6w多吧。你一年交14w的房贷车
贷？
上海租房适合有家有口，条件中等偏上要1万一月
~~能租得起这么贵房子的人，都应该能买得起房了。。。
出去吃一家一次500以上，便宜的饭店不敢去，而且环境脏
~~2个大人加1个不会上学的小孩儿吃500？上海一般的中餐馆子没有这么贵吧。除非你
是去吃西餐，日餐等上档次的餐厅。你这种餐厅在美国也很贵，人均也得上百刀。自己
看下面的点评网介绍。
http://www.dianping.com/shoplist/all_1_10
综上，你挖坑还真给力。
☆─────... 阅读全帖 |
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v****o
发帖数: 978 | 25 Could the U.S. Default on its Debt?
By Dominick Armentano
The economic landscape still looks pretty gloomy despite, or because of,
massive increases in federal government spending by Congress. Want something
else to worry about? What if your government suddenly went "belly up" on
some or all of its public debt IOU's?
Impossible you say? Not really.
When individuals or businesses have long-run expenses that exceed
anticipated income—and have neither capital nor savings to fill in the gap
—they |
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a******a
发帖数: 231 | 26 Europe and US both come out bad news. Dow will see 4 digits again
China is also shaky. The market looks gloomy |
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g***l
发帖数: 18555 | 27 MM托了两周了,如果烦了,咱就血本无归了,全球经济一下又GLOOMY啦 |
|
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g***l
发帖数: 18555 | 29 油价今年上不去了,全球经济又GLOOMY了,谁还买电车啊 |
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c*****r
发帖数: 8227 | 30 WASHINGTON—A cornerstone of the global financial system was shaken Friday
when officials at ratings firm Standard & Poor's said U.S. Treasury debt no
longer deserved to be considered among the safest investments in the world.
S&P removed for the first time the triple-A rating the U.S. has held for 70
years, saying the budget deal recently brokered in Washington didn't do
enough to address the gloomy long-term picture for America's finances. It
downgraded U.S. debt to AA+, a score that ranks belo... 阅读全帖 |
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c*****r
发帖数: 8227 | 31 牛牛们注意了：这只是一个反弹！最后的胜利，是属于熊的！
原因，如下：
The risk of a double dip recession has climbed sharply as the economy
endures the double whammy of slowing growth and wild swings in global
markets, according to economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal over
the past week.
The 46 economists in the survey—not all of whom answer every question—put
the odds that the U.S. is already in another recession at 13%, while they
peg the chances of going that way in the next year at 29%—up from 17% only
a month ago.
... 阅读全帖 |
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v****e
发帖数: 19471 | 32 http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142405311190389590457654270
A top Goldman Sachs Group Inc. strategist has provided the firm's hedge-fund
clients with a particularly gloomy economic outlook and suggestions for how
these traders can take advantage of the financial crisis in Europe.
In a 54-page report sent to hundreds of Goldman's institutional clients
dated Aug. 16, Alan Brazil—a Goldman strategist who sits on the firm's
trading desk—argued that as much as $1 trillion in capital may be needed... 阅读全帖 |
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d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 33 The euro crisis is a direct consequence of the crash of 2008. When Lehman
Brothers failed, the entire financial system started to collapse and had to
be put on artificial life support. This took the form of substituting the
sovereign credit of governments for the bank and other credit that had
collapsed. At a memorable meeting of European finance ministers in November
2008, they guaranteed that no other financial institutions that are
important to the workings of the financial system would be al... 阅读全帖 |
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n**********d
发帖数: 270 | 34 帮主这一下是right on money. bear market's rally with most companies report
gloomy Q4 outlook. |
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k********8
发帖数: 7948 | 35 http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/78654222-8316-11e1-929f-00144fea
The chief executive of Best Buy has resigned after three years in which
investor confidence in the US electronics retailer and its ability to
compete against online retailers led by Amazon has eroded.
Brian Dunn, who joined Best Buy as a store assistant 28 years ago, had begun
reforms to tackle its faltering sales and profit growth but still struggled
to convince investors over the long-term outlook for the company.
“There was mutua... 阅读全帖 |
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e****i
发帖数: 2152 | 36
earning
Du Pont made 10 M this quarter compared with >400M the same period last year
UPS earning 1.06 per share down 6% from last year.
The economy is gloomy. |
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c*****r
发帖数: 8227 | 37 在大选前，
paint a gloomy economy picture (via diminishing wealth effect)
是必须的。。。
准备好弹药，在11月2日，周五，All In! |
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j********e
发帖数: 227 | 38 MM说已经price in了，可以涨了。即使beat就会涨嘛？MM说outlook gloomy！给我跌！
完全一赌博而已。 |
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发帖数: 1 | 39 看文要仔细
人家说了，near-term rally
"That could drive the market up to maybe around 2,050, but I don't
necessarily see new highs, and if new highs happen, they will happen with
very few stocks participating," he said.
But Faber is not so not gloomy: After that near-term rally, he expects
another decline around the globe.
The global economy is slowing down considerably, he said, and it is unlikely
the United States can maintain a better growth trajectory in the face of
weakness elsewhere. |
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a***m
发帖数: 5037 | 43 The bear is back. Marc Faber, the editor of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report
just made another gloomy call on the S&P 500, this time forecasting a 50%
downside to the benchmark index.
In an interview this morning on CNBC television, Faber said “I think we can
easily give back five years of capital gains, which would take the market
down to around 1,100.” Continuing, “The fact is, the market hasn’t really
been driven by genuine buying, but by stock buybacks, takeovers and
acquisitions, and market le... 阅读全帖 |
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g****y
发帖数: 1172 | 44 【 以下文字转载自 JobHunting 讨论区 】
发信人: gloomy ( 天道短人道长,天既职性命，道德人自强), 信区: JobHunting
标 题: 请教H1-B Transfer
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Jun 17 17:39:04 2010, 美东)
请教H1-B Transfer 的问题，新公司要开始办了，但是旧公司4月帮我file extension
，当时没有加急，所以还没有approve，我看到状态还是initial review, 我看到之前
有位大侠说这种情况Transfer会被据，是吗？那怎么搞？
不过我的H1-B其实9月底才过期
thanks, |
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M*******t
发帖数: 513 | 45 it is correct that the allocation proposed in HR 3012 is to be made in each
sub-category.
so, it is quite simple, the purpose of HR 3012 -
is -
EB3I wanted to rob the EB3 ROW, since it could not get any SO each year.
this is the only way to solve the big backlog in EB3I.
The consequence to EBC23:
EB3C, annual quote drops from 2500 to 1500 in year 2012, to 1000 in years
2013 and 2014. after 2014, all EB3's PD will be the same.
EB2C, not much difference if economy is still gloomy in foreseeable ye... 阅读全帖 |
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M*******t
发帖数: 513 | 46 法案里有这么一段话:
"For fiscal year 2012, 15 percent of the total number of immigrant visas
made
available under section 203(b) of such Act (8 U.S.C. 1153(b)) shall be
allotted to immigrants who are natives of a foreign state or dependent area
that was not one of the two states with the largest numbers of natives
obtaining lawful permanent resident status during fiscal year 2010 under
such section 203(b)."
什么是: "... one of the two states with the largest numbers of natives
obtaining lawful permanent res... 阅读全帖 |
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M*******t
发帖数: 513 | 47 it is correct that the allocation proposed in HR 3012 is to be made in each
sub-category.
so, it is quite simple, the purpose of HR 3012 -
is -
EB3I wanted to rob the EB3 ROW, since it could not get any SO each year.
this is the only way to solve the big backlog in EB3I.
The consequence to EBC23:
EB3C, annual quote drops from 2500 to 1500 in year 2012, to 1000 in years
2013 and 2014. after 2014, all EB3's PD will be the same.
EB2C, not much difference if economy is still gloomy in foreseeable ye... 阅读全帖 |
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p*******o
发帖数: 2726 | 48 From THE OH LAW FIRM:
All the blocks will be removed for the GOP's implementation of new
immigration policies for the next four years. The incoming new President
Donald Trump promised to support for the "legal" immigration and structly
enforce immigration laws against "undocumented" immigrants. Accordingly,
undocumented immigrant community, including DACA, will face gloomy future
ahead. For the legal immigration, the new government may introduce and
implement some reform of the current broken im... 阅读全帖 |
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s***t
发帖数: 115 | 49 May, 17th, 2001
shining and gloomy Sohu
we headed for Oxford circus, passing a closed theatre
identical posters everywhere, saying, tonight, thousands of gays around here
we snaked through them, dared not to see faces besides us, dared not to listen
to what they whispered
only aware of this: London night belongs to EVERYBODY,
no matter who you LOVE and go to bed with |
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c**i
发帖数: 6973 | 50 (1) Big spenders add sparkle to Chinese wedding market. China Daily, Apr.
3, 2009.
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2009-04/03/content_11125211.htm
Quote:
"By all accounts, the wedding train is in full-steam in China despite the
gloomy economic outlook.
"'The generation born in the 1980s, China's last baby boom period, is now
getting married. Such a population is huge enough to fend off the negative
impact of the financial crisis,' said Liu Yinan, chief wedding planner of I
Do! Wedding Service, |
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