k********8
发帖数: 7948 | 1 http://www.zerohedge.com/news/guest-post-keynesian-solutions-af
Submitted by Jim Quinn Of The Burning Platform
Keynesian Solutions - After Total Failure -Try, Try Again
“Lenin is said to have declared that the best way to destroy the capitalist
system was to debauch the currency. By a continuing process of inflation,
governments can confiscate, secretly and unobserved, an important part of
the wealth of their citizens. By this method they not only confiscate, but
they confiscate arbitrarily; and... 阅读全帖 |
|
c**i
发帖数: 6973 | 2 【 以下文字转载自 Taiwan 讨论区 】
发信人: choi (choi), 信区: Taiwan
标 题: Keynesianism
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Jan 8 14:01:05 2009)
(1) Peter Clarke, In the long run we are all dependent on Keynes. Financial
Times, Jan. 8, 2009.
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/d6383b40-dce1-11dd-a2a9-000077b07658.html
Quote: "After dining with a group of Keynesian economists in Washington, in
1944, Keynes commented: 'I was the only non-Keynesian there.'
My comment:
(a) The writer is a historian, rather than an economist. So I am unsure |
|
c**i
发帖数: 6973 | 3 (1) Peter Clarke, In the long run we are all dependent on Keynes. Financial
Times, Jan. 8, 2009.
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/d6383b40-dce1-11dd-a2a9-000077b07658.html
Quote: "After dining with a group of Keynesian economists in Washington, in
1944, Keynes commented: 'I was the only non-Keynesian there.'
My comment:
(a) The writer is a historian, rather than an economist. So I am unsure how
much in the analysis is credible.
(b) Today it is reported that the Congressional budget watchdog warns 1.2
t |
|
c**i
发帖数: 6973 | 4 【 以下文字转载自 Taiwan 讨论区 】
发信人: choi (choi), 信区: Taiwan
标 题: Keynesian?
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Jan 5 15:47:29 2009)
This posting is all about macroeconomics. The focal point is John Maynard
Keynes, a Briton who advocated government intervention (whose modern
counterweight is Milton Friedman of University of Chicago). The phrase at
issue is:
We are all Keynesians now
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/We_are_all_Keynesians_now
I subscribe to, because I am convinced of superiority of, market economy and
othe |
|
N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 5 【 以下文字转载自 Investment 讨论区 】
发信人: NeverLearn (24K Golden Bear), 信区: Investment
标 题: Keynesian endpoint within sight
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Jun 13 03:49:31 2010, 美东) |
|
N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 6
Stiglitz: ... even tho at a debt-to-GDP ratio of 130%, w/ a real interest
rate at 1-2% that's a small fractio of their GDP ...
Hendry: Hello, hoho, can I tell you about the real world? Greece's paying
7% on 2-year money! The price is falling in real time. We are talking
about 9%. What you refer to (1-2%) is the rate for non-cheating nations.
Hohoho, Hendry owns this denial Keynesian fool. |
|
N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 7 【 以下文字转载自 Investment 讨论区 】
发信人: NeverLearn (24K Golden Bear), 信区: Investment
标 题: Keynesian endpoint within sight
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Jun 13 03:49:31 2010, 美东) |
|
c**i
发帖数: 6973 | 8 This posting is all about macroeconomics. The focal point is John Maynard
Keynes, a Briton who advocated government intervention (whose modern
counterweight is Milton Friedman of University of Chicago). The phrase at
issue is:
We are all Keynesians now
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/We_are_all_Keynesians_now
I subscribe to, because I am convinced of superiority of, market economy and
other Republican idealism. So I have been bewildered by the Bush
administration's left turn. (China also turns left |
|
C******n
发帖数: 9204 | 9 new Keynesian的sticky price还有Taylor rule, endogenous growth, consumption/
production-based asset pricing, intangible capital等内容现在都是放在源于RBC
的Dynamics Stochastic General Equilibrium这个framework下。我提到的并不是
sticky price是否合理，而是framework问题。有Lucas critique解释为什么需要macro
with micro foundation。 |
|
g****y
发帖数: 323 | 10 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Keynesian
It would be a good idea to to read some fundamentals first so that all the
parties can share the vocabulary. A discussion cannot continue unless all
parties agree on some fundamentals.
Frankly speaking, I just started reading these because of CFA, and I think it
is a very interesting topic, some common vocabulary:
demand, supply, arregate, short-run, long-run, anticipated, unanticipated,
inflation, interest rate, employment, monetary policy, fiscal policy, |
|
c*****g
发帖数: 21627 | 11 By DAVID A. STOCKMAN
GREENWICH, Conn. -- The Dow Jones and Standard & Poor’s 500 indexes reached
record highs on Thursday, having completely erased the losses since the
stock market’s last peak, in 2007. But instead of cheering, we should be
very afraid.
David Stockman
Over the last 13 years, the stock market has twice crashed and touched off a
recession: American households lost $5 trillion in the 2000 dot-com bust
and more than $7 trillion in the 2007 housing crash. Sooner or later —
within a ... 阅读全帖 |
|
l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 12 linkedin上看到的一个评论,写的很好.
Kerem Oner commented on a discussion in TED: Ideas Worth Spreading -
Unofficial.
Charles Mcgivney Economics Supply side or Demand side. Who is correct?
Kerem Oner
Before I criticize Michael Josefowicz' post above, let me answer the
original question posed.
Demand siders, or Keynesian types (mainly neoclassicists), are blind to all
but their god: aggregate demand!.
What is aggregate demand? It is the total amount of goods and services
demanded in the economy at a given over... 阅读全帖 |
|
c*****r
发帖数: 8227 | 13 转一篇新鲜出炉的。没什么可说的，此次危机之后，可能的积极成果是让凯恩斯经济学
派的荼毒寿终正寝！
引子：“a federal contractor said he was told to use smaller, nonstandard
tiles that are harder and more expensive to install in order to increase the
cost of the project. That way, the government could claim the money was
moving out the door faster. The famous Milton Friedman line about government
ordering people to dig with spoons to employ more people comes to mind.”
Why the Stimulus Failed
New research on what actually happened to a trillion dolla... 阅读全帖 |
|
t*****e
发帖数: 224 | 14 Thank you for your reply. I was actually a little disappointed when I
waited three days in vain for any response.
It is a blind statement that Keynesian macroeconomics "failed empirical test
even qualitatively". It was said that Keynesians stumbled upon the
"stagflation" in US after the oil shock. Keynesians did experience trouble in
explaining stagflation at first, for they were all too used to considering
demand-side shocks only. But after corrections are made on the supply side,
Keynesian ec |
|
C*******r
发帖数: 10345 | 15 俺当年经济PhD时也好过这个奥匈学派一阵，读过Von Mises的anti-capitalist
mentality 和 Murray Rothbard的America's Great Depression. 最近又把Rothbard的
书翻出来了，大部头，找时间再读。
芝加哥学派的neoliberalism不是大政府主义，大政府主义是Keynesian. 现在巴马的经
济智囊团基本都是Keynesian(以Summers为代表，咸水派大将）。 其实Keynesian在经
济决策层中还是大多数，布什的首席经济顾问Mankiw也是，所谓neoKeynesian, 吸收了
一些neoliberalism的micro-foundation的方法，要证实大政府干预主义。 |
|
p******o
发帖数: 9007 | 16 Who the hell are you? Even most famous economists hold enormous respects for
Keynes. Of course not all economists follow him, there are two great
schools: (neo) classic and (neo) Keynesian. In effect, Keynesian indicated
the biggest flow in Classic, and spur the birth of New Classic, which takes
into Keynesian's major assumption, but provides a different solution. Grab
any economic books, you will find out.
Btw, who proved Keynes is wrong again and again? Don't tell me it is Hayek.
now |
|
n******e
发帖数: 43 | 17 I am speechless.
Keynesian economics was a dominant view in the 80s, and has been proven
wrong both theoretically (not satisfying conditions of rational expectation)
and empirically (look at France) in the last three decades. Politicians
like Keynesian economics because it is a convenient excuse for their
political agenda. Any elusive multiplier effects of Keynesian government
spending (or "investment" in BO's word) will be undone when stimulus is
eventually taken out of the economy. The wastes ... 阅读全帖 |
|
i*********e
发帖数: 783 | 18 我的水平很差，是半路出家学经济的，只好上网请教一下．不知道大家是否还知道有其
余的经济方面的论坛．
我们曾经的一道考试题,没有发答案，课堂上稍微说一下，我英语也不好，也不能完全
听懂.请教版上的各位前辈.万分感谢.
我自己的理解是: Okun's Law 是反映失业率和产出的关系的,失业率反映了劳动要素,
符合标准经典模型.但是我隐约记得在经典模型下,失业率就是自然失业率,所以此法则
不适用.
到底哪个对呢？
另有一道题
explain the following concept and discuss the role that their numerical
importance plays in basic Keynesian and classical models:
1)Keynesian multiplier
2)Okun's Law
3)Phillips Curve
4)Crowding out
5)multiplier
6)Balance of payment
7)M1 and M2 definition
概念的解释好办,第二问我不太明白
我的理解是1,4在经典模型下根... 阅读全帖 |
|
u****d
发帖数: 2578 | 19 QE Not Working， And Is Ending
*************************************************
Debt-Friendly Stimulus
Robert J. Shiller
20 March 2013
NEW HAVEN – With much of the global economy apparently trapped in a long
and painful austerity-induced slump, it is time to admit that the trap is
entirely of our own making. We have constructed it from unfortunate habits
of thought about how to handle spiraling public debt.
People developed these habits on the basis of the experiences of their
families and frien... 阅读全帖 |
|
b********n
发帖数: 38600 | 20 http://davidstockmanscontracorner.com/the-curse-of-keynesian-do
The Curse Of Keynesian Dogma: Japan’s Lemmings March Toward The Cliff
Chanting “Abenomics”
According to Takahiro Mitani, trashing your currency, destroying your bond
market and gutting the real wages of domestic citizens is a sure fire ticket
to economic success. Yes, that’s what the man says,
“I have no doubt that the economy is in a recovery trend if you look at the
long run….”
After two years of hoopla and running the BOJ’s print... 阅读全帖 |
|
t********9
发帖数: 441 | 21 其实ron paul的基本论点和很多人一致，不过就是要恢复金本位，打倒keynesian统治
一切的局面。类比一下，keynesian就像是喝酒，喝了之后兴奋啊，高兴啊，爽！然后
酒醒的时候难受，于是喝更多的酒。开始的时候酒醒的时候不会太难受，到后来就头痛
什么的都来了。也可以用毒品来类比。真正金本位被废除应该是1971年吧，所以从历史
上看，恢复金本位也未必是坏事吧。想想现代社会的发明，除了电子啊，计算机方面，
很多都是在70年代以前搞的吧，比如说飞机，汽车，也不是比以前高明太多。所以恢复
金本位绝对不是世界末日。不过颠覆了现在的体系，很多既得利益者肯定不同意罢了，
所以目前还看不到可能性。
真要恢复金本位的话，以下事情会发生。
1.股市不再具有现在这么强的投机性。因为货币不会无限贬值，很多人会把钱放到银行
而不是股市。因为股市是ponzi scheme，所以肯定暴跌。
2.老老实实工作的人将会获益，因为他们积累的存款到老了以后还是钱。（题外话，我
手里有sf chronicle 在1940年的报纸，上面租房信息都是$40左右。想象一个90岁的老
人那时候存钱到现在，老无钱养的感觉。 |
|
l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 22 Here are a few important developments that remain strangely ignored. I say
strangely, but most readers understand why some news becomes news and some
does not.
1) Iraq. The United States military between 2007 and 2009 crushed al-Qaeda
in Iraq. It destroyed cadres of radical Islamists and Baathists. It
stabilized the country. It was one of the most stunning military
performances in modern history, and helped to destroy the image of a
competent and scary al-Qaeda. Yet everything from the recapture... 阅读全帖 |
|
j***h
发帖数: 4412 | 23 【 以下文字转载自 CivilEngineering 讨论区 】
发信人: jeffh (Jeffh), 信区: CivilEngineering
标 题: 政府注资不能从根本上解决经济衰退
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Nov 27 13:18:19 2010, 美东)
相信 Keynesian经济理论的人强调政府一定要注资刺激经济，但是刺激消费不能解决一
切。美国经济中有一个根本问题是劳动力的技能与经济所创造出来的职位不能配套。
政府注资不能从根本上解决经济衰退
万维读者网 2010-11-26 19:23:20
万维读者网记者唯一编译报道：CNN Money刊登的文章说，按照美国官方的说法，这次
经济衰退已经结束了，可是为什么我们感觉不到呢？原因是自大萧条以来从没发生过由
金融系统开始的危机，这类危机复苏的时间比其他类型要长。
普通经济衰退从最低点到就业复苏通常是八个月；2001年那次经济衰退后经过38个月就
业才好转，这次可能需要五到六年时间。
上次经济衰退后美国的经济增长都不是持久性的，靠的是推高房地产价格来创造就业机
会。不过这些就业职位统统是建筑工或者房... 阅读全帖 |
|
d*****s
发帖数: 5610 | 24 Taylor是90年代初提出Taylor rule，这个rule的基础就是New Keynesian Macro, New
Keynesian Macro的一个结论就是货币政策短期是有效的。所以Taylor原来自己的理论
是认为货币政策是短期有效的，但是由于dynamic inconsistency的问题，而提出rule-
based policy， taylor rule。
在过去20年内，monetary policy的研究进展了很多，Taylor rule是个good start，是
解决dynamic inconsistency的一个办法，但并不代表monetary policy就应该遵循
Taylor rule。他当然可以批评，但是解决dynamic inconsistency的rule有很多种，哪
种最好还是debatable，何况这次危机是residential investment-deleverage driven
，最大的风险在deflation，所以联储不需要那么担心inflation yet。
如果楼主对最新货币政策感兴趣的话，可以看看michael woodf... 阅读全帖 |
|
c******i
发帖数: 4091 | 25 我说句不客气的，你拿着keynesian school的鸡毛当令箭，还整出优越感了。
austrian school的概念和理论知道一些吗？
你把keynesian school的基本概念和科学精神混为一谈，不知道的还以为你格林斯潘克
鲁格曼附体了。
我都给你举了后清和米国失业率的例子了，用不同的“定义”可以得到任何数据和结论
，但是这种结论是否符合事实，就是另一回事了。
你吧，还是参考名篇“社会主义倒牛奶和资本主义倒牛奶”来加强你的所谓“理论基础
”咩。
smart ass精屁还宝相庄严了，也不知吃了多少金粒餐。
呵呵 |
|
b*********n
发帖数: 2284 | 26 不用往外扔名词。说句伤人的话，你什么都不懂。我把什么keynesian school的基本概
念和科学精神混为一谈了？通货膨胀是keynesian school的基本概念吗？
不过只要你能记住CPI里面包含housing expense，以后也不要犯错误了，我这几个小时
也没白费。 |
|
b*********n
发帖数: 2284 | 27 是是是，你说的对。
我找稻草人去。看在我找稻草人辛苦，麻烦回答一下。
我把什么keynesian school的基本概念和科学精神混为一谈了？
通货膨胀是keynesian school的基本概念吗？ |
|
b*********n
发帖数: 2284 | 28 你是靠给人编排外号维持自尊心的吗？我承认我是野鸡学校行了吧。
我问你的问题怎么一个你都不回答呢：
我把什么keynesian school的基本概念和科学精神混为一谈了？
通货膨胀是keynesian school的基本概念吗？
还有我的逻辑错误，请指出，谢谢。
如果一个都答不上就说说李双双是怎么给我编排上的。好歹回答一个。 |
|
j*****v
发帖数: 7717 | 29 Subprime要拜猪党所赐啊
keynesian economics有联储在后面撑腰，学校里面教keynesian economics的有钱拿，
有诺贝尔奖拿。谁说美国没洗脑呐？ |
|
l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 30 Marc Faber: I’d Vote for Trump because “Clinton will Destroy the Whole
World”; Complete Interview Transcript
Saturday
Mar 2016
It’s All Relative
In a Bloomberg TV interview, the outspoken Marc Faber says “Given the
alternatives, I would vote for Mr. Trump, because he may only destroy the U.
S. economy, but Hillary Clinton will destroy the whole world.”
Note: I am having trouble inserting this video. But a complete transcript
follows.
Here’s a link to the key portion of the interview.
Complete Tr... 阅读全帖 |
|
m******d
发帖数: 3243 | 31 下次就投主党, really?????
你20万一年在主党眼里也不是中产。
Political Ideology: Democrat
The tax policy for the Democratic Party calls for raising certain taxes to
provide money for government spending, which in turn generates business. The
party platform asserts that government spending provides "good jobs and
will help the economy today."
Many Democrats are adherents to Keynesian economics, or aggregate demand,
which holds that when the government funds programs, those programs pump new
money into the economy. Keyn... 阅读全帖 |
|
L****a
发帖数: 572 | 32 The efficient market hypothesis (as well as DSGE) should be the fruit of the
new classical economics, which cannot be used to prove the failure of
Keynesian economics. In fact, Keynesian economics is about
non-efficient market.
Rational expectation looks really like a non-sense, but has the theory
of Rational Expectation already been fixed by Joseph Stiglitz's information
asymmetry ?
(George Soros)倡
近这场
学的基石——有效
近遭遇重创。美
长期资本管理公司
学复杂性
一般均衡
。在预测危 |
|
g*****u
发帖数: 14294 | 33 Perhaps it is a little far fetched to say Keynesian theories on Fiscal and Monetary polices have any direct impact on the namesake's own speculation activities. But, Keynes was a very successful investor/speculator. In fact, he is well recognized as one of the pioneers on the game-theoretic aspect of markets. You can google under words "Keynesian, Beauty Contest." |
|
r******o
发帖数: 1530 | 34 talking about "multiplier effect", doesn't ECON101 say we should reduce the
reserve requirement now to get THAT effect?
Again, pls don't mention Keynesian, I repeat this crisis is the failure of
Keynesian social experiment.
I'm a fan of Austrian School.
effect of direct goverment spending is much larger than that of tax cuts in
increasing demand, because some of the tax cuts will be saved rather than
spent. |
|
u****d
发帖数: 2578 | 35 Keynesian Solutions - After Total Failure -Try, Try Again
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/guest-post-keynesian-solutions
-after-total-failure-try-try-again
从大的格局看，美国赢得冷战，中国加入WTO，是全世界资本主义的重大胜利。不要动
辄用狭隘的民族主义来看待各国国力的此消彼长，要看到资本主义这种制度的深入人心
，和他自己的发展规律。
资本主义的核心是企业，或企业背后的资本家。资本家被永无止境的贪婪所驱使，会通
过其所控制的企业来完成利润的攫取。时间进入21世纪，发达国家的各种消费市场经过
多年发展，已经饱和。资本家采取的策略是充分利用中国加入体制的契机，在空间（全
球布局生产，极力压低成本）和时间（放松信贷，让发达国家，主要是美国普通民众以
未来收入作抵押，大举举债消费）两个轴上拼命扩张。
马克思早就指出，资本主义的根本矛盾是无序的扩大生产和民众有限的消费能力之间不
可调和的矛盾。他的药方是充满理想色彩的社会主义。
世界上的资本家们在... 阅读全帖 |
|
h*******a
发帖数: 573 | 36 You should open your eyes and stop spreading ignorance..
Paul Krugman was the only economist I know of who accurately predicted this
great recession and the Asian financial crisis back in 1997. Keynesian
economics has again and again proved its values during economic crisis. Mr.
Krugman did data analysis that showed government spending actually rose by a
mere 3% during the past two years, much less than what was needed by this
economy. The past two years was not failed Keynesian economics. It's ... 阅读全帖 |
|
t**********g
发帖数: 3388 | 37 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: upward (革命人永远是年轻), 信区: Military
标 题: 美国要加税了
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat May 18 19:21:10 2013, 美东)
QE Not Working， And Is Ending
*************************************************
Debt-Friendly Stimulus
Robert J. Shiller
20 March 2013
NEW HAVEN – With much of the global economy apparently trapped in a long
and painful austerity-induced slump, it is time to admit that the trap is
entirely of our own making. We have constructed it from unfortunate habits
of thought about how t... 阅读全帖 |
|
j***h
发帖数: 4412 | 38 相信 Keynesian经济理论的人强调政府一定要注资刺激经济，但是刺激消费不能解决一
切。美国经济中有一个根本问题是劳动力的技能与经济所创造出来的职位不能配套。
政府注资不能从根本上解决经济衰退
万维读者网 2010-11-26 19:23:20
万维读者网记者唯一编译报道：CNN Money刊登的文章说，按照美国官方的说法，这次
经济衰退已经结束了，可是为什么我们感觉不到呢？原因是自大萧条以来从没发生过由
金融系统开始的危机，这类危机复苏的时间比其他类型要长。
普通经济衰退从最低点到就业复苏通常是八个月；2001年那次经济衰退后经过38个月就
业才好转，这次可能需要五到六年时间。
上次经济衰退后美国的经济增长都不是持久性的，靠的是推高房地产价格来创造就业机
会。不过这些就业职位统统是建筑工或者房地产经纪人，随着这次房地产市场泡沫他们
全都要到别的行业找工作，因为房地产也不可能回到从前的水平了。
很多人指责这次危机的起源是房地产市场。但是房地产价格上涨其中有政治原因，就是
均衡越来越大的贫富收入水平。
80 年代时美国人收入差距很大，财富重新分配成为美国两大政党共同的目标，而如... 阅读全帖 |
|
j***h
发帖数: 4412 | 39 相信 Keynesian经济理论的人强调政府一定要注资刺激经济，但是刺激消费不能解决一
切。美国经济中有一个根本问题是劳动力的技能与经济所创造出来的职位不能配套。
政府注资不能从根本上解决经济衰退
万维读者网 2010-11-26 19:23:20
万维读者网记者唯一编译报道：CNN Money刊登的文章说，按照美国官方的说法，这次
经济衰退已经结束了，可是为什么我们感觉不到呢？原因是自大萧条以来从没发生过由
金融系统开始的危机，这类危机复苏的时间比其他类型要长。
普通经济衰退从最低点到就业复苏通常是八个月；2001年那次经济衰退后经过38个月就
业才好转，这次可能需要五到六年时间。
上次经济衰退后美国的经济增长都不是持久性的，靠的是推高房地产价格来创造就业机
会。不过这些就业职位统统是建筑工或者房地产经纪人，随着这次房地产市场泡沫他们
全都要到别的行业找工作，因为房地产也不可能回到从前的水平了。
很多人指责这次危机的起源是房地产市场。但是房地产价格上涨其中有政治原因，就是
均衡越来越大的贫富收入水平。
80 年代时美国人收入差距很大，财富重新分配成为美国两大政党共同的目标，而如... 阅读全帖 |
|
c**i
发帖数: 6973 | 40 (1) Lingling Wei, Beijing Guides the Yuan Higher; A Stronger yuan puts
downward pressure on inflation and buoys its case as a global currency. Wall
Street Journal, Sept 27, 2011.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB100014240
52970204422404576594490222289126.html
My comment:
(a) There is no need to read the report.
(b) It is unclear for the moment about Beijing's motive. To fight inflation
or to appease US Congress?
美国参议院将就中国操控人民币汇率投票. VOA Chinese, Sept 27, 2011
http://www.voanews.com/chinese/news/20... 阅读全帖 |
|
o**********e
发帖数: 18403 | 41 【 以下文字转载自 CivilSociety 讨论区 】
发信人: onetiemyshoe (onetiemyshoe), 信区: CivilSociety
标 题: 日本财务大臣不留神揭示这一切是如何结束：“战争” (转载)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Mar 27 11:07:22 2016, 美东)
发信人: beijingren (to thine own self be true), 信区: Military
标 题: 日本财务大臣不留神揭示这一切是如何结束：“战争”
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Mar 26 17:46:34 2016, 美东)
https://www.gc.cuny.edu/CUNY_GC/media/LISCenter/pkrugman/Meetin
Krugman.pdf
While this all started with a currency "war," it seems - according to a
stunningly candid transcript of Japan's finance ministe... 阅读全帖 |
|
s*********8
发帖数: 901 | 42 “Whenever you print money, people look for a refuge, gold,” says Rogers.
He points out that government will blame its mistakes on the press and the
people rather than itself.
The investor predicts gold will end in a bubble someday, when everyone is
buying. He would rather buy silver than gold now, but owns both.
Rogers calls out the flaws of Keynesian economist Paul Krugman. “He should
resign,” advises Rogers. “He doesn’t know anything about economics.” On
President Obama, Rogers says he doesn’t... 阅读全帖 |
|
x****u
发帖数: 12955 | 43
You are brain washed too. What's been practiced is: when economy is good,
the corporations want low taxes. When economy turns bad, the corporations
want public bailout. Where strict Keynesian economics would have required
corporation to pay more taxes, and government to run surpluses in good
economy to compensate and prepare for the deficit spending in bad economy. |
|
t**********8
发帖数: 1683 | 44 下一步需要投资新能源\新材料\电动汽车\新农业技术\节能环保\装备制造和新一代信
息技术
适当的军事凯恩斯计划(Military Keynesianism Plan)也是必要的. |
|
T**********1
发帖数: 2406 | 45 "non linear" means balance changes at different price point, unpredictably.
those who think they can achieve certain end results through administrative
means will not get what they wish for.
Human behavior/trade-offs are ranked, not mathematically quantifiable
between ranks. that is why the modern economists more often than not get
their economic predictions wrong, Keynesians and Neo-Classics/Monetarists,
alike.
so the best way to eliminate waste is not through administrative means,
because no ... 阅读全帖 |
|
b********n
发帖数: 38600 | 46 Shinzo Abe and the Three Magic Arrows
http://mises.org/daily/6793/Shinzo-Abe-and-the-Three-Magic-Arro
Despite claims to the contrary in the mass media, Japan’s economy is
continuing to suffer mightily under the leadership of Prime Minister Abe
Shinzo. Abe is from a famous family and he’s a convincing talker, so he was
able to bamboozle people into believing that he could make Japan prosper
with his three arrows. These metaphorical arrows stand for “monetary
stimulus,” “fiscal stimulus,” and “str... 阅读全帖 |
|
b********n
发帖数: 38600 | 47 http://charleshughsmith.blogspot.com/2014/11/anatomy-of-failing
Once the global economy rolls over into contraction, the tide will recede
and Japan's fiscal and monetary bankruptcy will become painfully apparent.
What do you get after 25 years of stagnation and Keynesian Cargo Cult
monetary stimulus? A failing state, that's what. The intellectually bankrupt
ruling Elites of Japan have no solution for Japan's slow stagnation, as
real reform would diminish their wealth and power. |
|
S*********g
发帖数: 24893 | 48 【 以下文字转载自 StephenKing 俱乐部 】
发信人: StephenKing (金博士), 信区: StephenKing
标 题: 不系安全带，John Nash今天车祸死了
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun May 24 11:17:59 2015, 美东)
John Forbes Nash, Jr.
Born June 13, 1928
Bluefield, West Virginia, U.S.
Died May 23, 2015 (aged 86) [1]
Residence United States
Nationality American
Fields
Mathematics
Economics
Institutions
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Princeton University
Alma mater
Princeton University
Carnegie Institute of Te... 阅读全帖 |
|
b********n
发帖数: 38600 | 49 Hey Paul, here's what you're looking for:
1) Debauch the currency with Keynesian Policies
2) Destroy People's Propensity to save, and mock the Concept of Delayed
Gratification
3) Heavily Tax Productive Citizens
4) Subsidize Lazy, Shiftless Citizens
5) Destroy the Culture though Mass Illegal Immigration
6) Prosecute Average Citizens for Minor Crimes
7) Allow Wealthy, Well-Connected Theives to Escape Punishment
Any Questions?... |
|
b*********3
发帖数: 1709 | 50 美国人民愤怒了
“As much as I'm against Obama and his policies (for throwing fuel on the
fire in attempts to put it out), STOP blaming him for this. This is DECADES
of reckless foreign policy, central planning, and Keynesian economics. You
are a fool if you believe Obama is solely responsible. Both Democrats and
Republicans defraud the people. One through warfare, and the other through
welfare.” |
|
