T****k
发帖数: 1374 | 1 2006.7-9 is already good enough, that means at least 3-4W leftover for EB2,
isn't that a nice dream?
BTW, anytime point when EB2C goes to 2008, there is a certain possibility that EB2C may go current. Before that date, Chinese has to be bound to India. Whereas India EB2 probably will never get C until CIR.
Three years have passed since All C in 2007.7, how many XDJM are still suffering for GC? But, think that: how many XDJM have never got the chance to even submit 485? Even if current trend cont |
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j*******1
发帖数: 16 | 2 I total agree with P838. Don't remind OB the 7% limit, which will result in
all leftover goes to ROW EB3. |
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c********o
发帖数: 341 | 3 Eb1 chinese was nonconcurrent in 2005. In that year, 6700 of EB1 was
approved.
"给一个参考数字，去年中国的EB1批了6千多，印度的EB1批了9千多。意思是除了自己国
it is true, if ROW EB1, Chinese EB1, and India Eb1 stay the same as last
fiscal year, or at least the total increase is less than 42900(FY2014 Eb1
quota)-39058(FY2013 EB1 actual allocation)=3842.
however, let's take a look at the EB1 inventory in July 2013 and july 2014:
ROW EB1 increased by 3873
Chinese Eb1 increased by 1379
India increased by 3628
the sum of increase in E... 阅读全帖 |
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l**k
发帖数: 1755 | 4 Well, there is an scenario (quite likely). If Chinese EB1/EB2/EB3+FB >7%
before spillover this year, quite possible since EB1 will have more
applications this year, then EB2C won't get any leftover from FB at all, if
Mr.O follow NIU's proposal of enforce 7% first before apply vertical
spillover rule.
Most spillover (no matter how much) will flow to other countries less than 7
% limit (but have EB3C and other kinds of backlog) before go to EBB2C and
EB2I. If I understand correctly, this is ver |
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k*******0
发帖数: 256 | 5 I think July will stop (to use first spill over portion for india), Aug may
move forward a little as india alredy catch up and still hace leftover quota
. |
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a********h
发帖数: 819 | 6 This simply depends on how many China FB leftovers this fiscal year
It's an estimate
so reach limit or not reach limit depends on this estimate. |
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J*****e
发帖数: 422 | 7 谁能科普一下： EB今年能用多少 FB 的 剩余名额？怎么个用法？
EB1自己的用不完， 所以， 就该EB2用。 EB2用不完， 再EB3用。 是不是？ |
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l*******r
发帖数: 218 | 8 O大用的只是预测的批准数，April 排期08.22.2005，May排期是09.22.2005。
April2005 380*0.25=95 EB2C May2005 985*0.75=739 985*0.25=246。Totalis 834
On May 27 inventory data, Sept 2005 657, Aug. 2005 40. which means, 657-246=
411 Sept 2005 not approved, but was assumed by O as approved visa. Same as
the 40 Aug. 2005 EB2Cs.
Same thing will surely happen in June.
那个预测与实际批准数有一定的出入。假如今年只有8000剩余名额，老印吃了全部，最
后老中《7%，O大明年又承认他有失误，哪有怎样，既成事实了。
Of course, if there is huge amount of leftover, the sorry could be different
. I believe |
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y******a
发帖数: 510 | 9 1. 15000-20000 spillover visa?
2. 15000-20000 from eb2w ?
3. would be some from eb1, later?
4. any leftover can be shared from fbC? |
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s***3
发帖数: 742 | 10 I got a similar prediction in late 2009.
This year EB1 (C&I& ROW) will use more than that in 2009.
Eb2 Row will use less than last year, not much from EB3 ROW. more from EB4
and less from Eb5, I predict the spillover from EBs will be the same.
2009 FB leftover is a big plus for EB2C&I.
PD cut-off date in Sept will move forward to at least late March, 2006.
|
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T****k
发帖数: 1374 | 11 This is from IV: Insider News: Approximately 15K to 20 leftover for Sep.
I was talking to my friend who has some friends in the office of Charles
Oppenheim. I heard from the friend that there is not much demand for
Family Based Visas, so we can expect a good spillover from FB to EB next
year. Regarding August 2010 Visa Bulletin, whatever spillover that has
come so far to EB2 Ind/China is only around 50% of the total spillover
estimated so far. Retro countries will get the remaining 50% spillover |
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y******u
发帖数: 90 | 12 我现在的H1B在5年的时候到期，PERM pending已经超过了两年。请问renew H1B的时候
是只可以延6年中剩下的一年？还是可以在这一年的基础上再加因为PERM pending超过
一年所允许的一年，一共两年。也就是可不可以leftover？
还有，有人有DIY H1B renew的流程吗？比如步骤，需要填那些表什么的。
谢谢了 |
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f**********e
发帖数: 29 | 13 请问你怎么知道明年有35000剩余名额？今年可是有10000从family leftover |
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m********n
发帖数: 953 | 14 Most people also forgot that there were about 10K spillover this year came
from Family spillover from last year. This year DOS probably faced big
pressure from FB people and he moved the dates for FB very aggressively to
avoid waste in there. I am pretty sure there won't be much leftover from FB
this year for EB to use in 2010-2011. |
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g******c
发帖数: 218 | 15 based on earlier posts from several sources, FB has no leftover in FY09. So
the 9K EB2 I/C got in FY09 won't be available. EB3 to EB2, both I and ROW,
probably will be the same. So that's another 6K to 10K adding to the
demand. Unless something dramatic happens, I just don't see cutoff date
will move beyond 1/1/2007 by the end of FY11.
sad, go to sleep. |
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m******k
发帖数: 92 | 16 for recent months, family cut off date had big jump, are you sure eb can
still get big leftover from fb? |
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m*****u
发帖数: 19562 | 17 anybody knows the ULR for the monthly leftover table for EB2C? |
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G****y
发帖数: 3537 | 18 I second this. I have posted some discussions in recent couple days. All these factors are negative.
There are only one positive: ROW EB2 leftover: FY 2009 PERM (ROW) only has 16000 (EB2/EB3). FY 2008 is 35000, FY 2007 is 60000+. FY 2010 PERM has not been published yet, very possibly between 16000 and 35000. So it may have large ROW EB2 left for spillover. |
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G****y
发帖数: 3537 | 19 Yes, what you are saying is right. I do not have a definite feeling about
large ROW EB2 leftover either.
EB3-ROW porting to EB2-ROW will be reflected on PERM data too. ROW NIW is
unpredictable.
not |
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B*******s
发帖数: 690 | 20 I agree with SinoGator.
There should have some 剩余名额. Not sure about FB, but from EB2/EB3, US
economy is still really bad. EB2/EB3 for all other countries should have
some leftover. |
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f*******e
发帖数: 4531 | 21 A while ago, someone has made a clear analysis which showed that the visa
spill over to EB2-I/C in FY 2010 did not really come from EB2-ROW. The visa
actually came from FB spill over from previous year and possibly leftovers
from EB4 and EB5. This is a solid evidence that EB2-ROW remained strong.
I hope I was wrong.
BTW, because of there is no FB spill over this year, the left overs from
other EB category, if there is any, could be very limited. As the PD gap
between eb2-i and eb2-c grows big... 阅读全帖 |
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A****S
发帖数: 978 | 22 EB2 ROW and EB1 should have more leftover than we expected due to the change
of 140 processing time.
After careful research, I found ROW EB2 with PD later than Oct.2010 didn't
get any approval yet.
The earliest PD for the approved ROW EB2 is 10/3/2010.
The average EB2 ROW GC apprvoal time was 50-100 days in the latter of FY
2010. (It was 450 days in FY 2007-2008)
Now it has been increased to 180 days or even more! |
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a***n
发帖数: 665 | 23 on this point (eb-1/s spills over to its country then back if still any
leftover), i think 张哲瑞 is probably right.
anyone can either confirm or dis-confirm? |
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p***e
发帖数: 29053 | 24 according to 张哲瑞律师
http://www.mitbbs.com/ym_article/hooyou/31104997.html
由于经济危机，EB-2 PERM的申请人减少了。总体而言，根据我们的实践，2010年提交
的PERM申请总数虽受整体经济影响减少了， 但是受AUDIT的案件比例也大大减少。
这一申请减少的趋势将影响到没有签证名额可用或者使用过量的国家，特别是中国和印
度出生的申请人。较少的申请人意味着这些国家的申请人将从中受益。不过，未使用的
名额并不直接转移到同类别名额使用过量的国家。相反，一个国家剩余的名额将直接“
顺延”到下一个优先类别，EB-3类别。因为名额顺延的结果，最终有一些名额还会返回
EB-2类别。而当这些额外的名额对所有国家的EB-2申请人开放后，缺名额国家的申请人
受益最大。这背后有如下的推理
so EB2C can only eat EB1 and FB left over....... |
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b****p
发帖数: 239 | 25 Did he mention how he will use this leftover btw China and India? any idea
how further the PD date will progress?
Really appreciate! |
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g**e
发帖数: 6127 | 26 仔细读了皮匠的文章，我觉得应该是可以延三年的。他提到“可以把没用完的 H-1B 合
起来一起延，但是最多不能超过三年”， “唯一要注意的是，在 Cover Letter 中把
你想延几年的理由阐述一遍，免得碰到个业务不熟的 VO，给你办的稀里糊涂”。
另外你提到如果PD current了即使140批了也不能延H1的说法有点不太对。按照皮匠的
说法，只有“极端情况下，I-140 批准且排期当前而 PERM/I-140 尚不足一年，不满足
六年之后延 H-1B 的条件”，就是说140批了，pd current，但是perm/140从file开始
到h1b过期的日期少于一年，这种情况才不能延h1b了。
大部分情况下我想大家的perm和140早就批了，所以即使是pd current，只要140批了，
也能
延一年H1B。
他文章最后的FAQ写的比较清楚
1) What is your PD?
If it is less than one year (to 6-year H-1B expiration) AND I-140 has not
been approved, you're out of... 阅读全帖 |
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t********y
发帖数: 360 | 27 "In fact, India had already reached its 2011 EB2 allocation
by April, 2011, and China is well on track to utilize its entire allocation
in July."
每个国家自己的名额要quarterly分配，所以上半年排期推进慢，中印都指着unused
number，那么凭什么印度4月就把自己的用完了，而中国的要等到7月，两边都是有很多
人排队的，很明显，这样子在开始分unused number时，assign的排期里中国人就尽可
能的少了，至少从5月到7月，中国就一个也拿不到，因为自己的还没用完。
需要O正面回答为什么印度4月就把自己的用完了，而中国的要等到7月。这个就是最最明显的不公平，即使是最后还是中印按PD分leftover，那么至少开始分的时候，两国都得把自己本来的名额用完，这样可以最大限度的减少中国的损失。
NIU不是请了一个AILA的律师写质问信吗？那么中国这方的意见也需要POST到AILA去。这个文章必需反驳。 |
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c********r
发帖数: 520 | 28 这个是关键！ 每次都被黑， 这次至少发出声音。
allocation
最明显的不公平，即使是最后还是中印按PD分leftover，那么至少开始分的时候，两国
都得把自己本来的名额用完，这样可以最大限度的减少中国的损失。
。这个文章必需反驳。 |
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t********y
发帖数: 360 | 29 "In fact, India had already reached its 2011 EB2 allocation
by April, 2011, and China is well on track to utilize its entire allocation
in July."
每个国家自己的名额要quarterly分配，所以上半年排期推进慢，中印都指着unused
number，那么凭什么印度4月就把自己的用完了，而中国的要等到7月，两边都是有很多
人排队的，很明显，这样子在开始分unused number时，assign的排期里中国人就尽可
能的少了，至少从5月到7月，中国就一个也拿不到，因为自己的还没用完。
需要O正面回答为什么印度4月就把自己的用完了，而中国的要等到7月。这个就是最最
明显的不公平，即使是最后还是中印按PD分leftover，那么至少开始分的时候，两国都
得把自己本来的名额用完，这样可以最大限度的减少中国的损失。
NIU不是请了一个AILA的律师写质问信吗？那么中国这方的意见也需要POST到AILA去。
这个文章必需反驳。 |
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t********y
发帖数: 360 | 30 下面是我其他帖子的回复post过来，希望NIU representatives看到：
每个国家自己的名额要quarterly分配，所以上半年排期推进慢，中印都指着unused
number，那么凭什么印度4月就把自己的用完了，而中国的要等到7月，两边都是有很多
人排队的，很明显，这样子在开始分unused number时，assign的排期里中国人就尽可
能的少了，至少从5月到7月，中国就一个也拿不到，因为自己的还没用完。
需要O正面回答为什么印度4月就把自己的用完了，而中国的要等到7月。这个就是最最
明显的不公平，即使是最后还是中印按PD分leftover，那么至少开始分的时候，两国都
得把自己本来的名额用完，这样可以最大限度的减少中国的损失。
NIU不是请了一个AILA的律师写质问信吗？那么中国这方的意见也需要POST到AILA去。
这个文章必需反驳。
一样都是两千八，为什么印度能比中国提前3个月用完？然后5月开始分大饼，只分印度
不分中国，这不是赤果果的FAVOR印度是什么。我们先不说按PD分，就说这个，他们能
justify吗？
这个文章其实提供了证据 -- 白纸黑字说了印度比... 阅读全帖 |
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a****l
发帖数: 8211 | 31 you just said the unfortunate truth. Even more unfortunately, his boss
wouldn't even yell at him for wasting the visa, since those "wasted eb2"
will simply go to eb3 and there are way more than plenty of pre-approved eb3
to consume any leftover. Therefore, from his boss's perspective, moving
slowly is perfectly fine, if not encouraged.
more |
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c***3
发帖数: 527 | 32 About 10000, as there are still are leftovers from C-I's own quota. |
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r********n
发帖数: 1162 | 33 if they have approved all the approvable cases and sill have leftover, they
can give to eb3 india. |
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m**********u
发帖数: 197 | 34 Why EB3I moved 1 month again? I can not believe their FB have that much
leftover to spill to EB3I |
|
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c**s
发帖数: 3796 | 36 发信人: poise (Go Hokies), 信区: EB23
标 题: just found out one horrible thing
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Jul 12 12:14:05 2011, 美东)
EB2C: 4k left
EB2I: 6k left
we can get 40% of the SO.
If we don't have enough SO to clear all 4k, we need to use all our own
quota
next year for the leftover.
then after 2007, EB2I vs EB2C ratio is 10:1. 90% all SO in 2012 will go
to EB2I.
bad news to us. |
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p***e
发帖数: 29053 | 37 EB2C: 4k left
EB2I: 6k left
we can get 40% of the SO.
If we don't have enough SO to clear all 4k, we need to use all our own
quota
next year for the leftover.
then after 2007, EB2I vs EB2C ratio is 10:1. 90% all SO in 2012 will go
to EB2I.
bad news to us. |
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p***e
发帖数: 29053 | 38 Conclusion, if the leftover is cleared by the SO this year,we can use our
own quota to advance the PD to the middle of 2008. if not, next year PD will
be still in late 2007. |
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n***s
发帖数: 10056 | 39 Our EB1 has no leftovers. There were over 4000 EB1C every year. The quota is
~2800. |
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p***e
发帖数: 29053 | 40 yes, total 141k, used : 12k including July.
at least 141k-20k=21k left over...... EB3,EB5 and EB1 will use some of them
in Aug and Sep.
but the leftover SO >>10k of EB2I and EB2C before Aug 2007!!!
but why Mr O only moved the AUG PD for one month? don't understand. It will
waste a lot of SO this year!!!
on |
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H**E
发帖数: 620 | 41 total annual EB2 category = 140k;
average monthly number = 140k/12 = 11.7k;
the leftover in September = 19k available - 11.7k usage - 1 k CP = 6.3 k.
if 6.3k SO to EB2IC, the cut-off date will be close to 07/7 but wont' clear
it all. Am I too conservative ? |
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m**********u
发帖数: 197 | 42 Why nobody notice about this post? From Aug VB EB3I moved 1 month to this VB
EB3I moved 1 month again, I do not think this is an coincident, O is
intended to do this and his explaination of indian FB leftover is not make
sence this time. I think if noone care about this and he will do some think
big for EB3I next year!!!!! |
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H*V
发帖数: 2770 | 43 does the law allow combination of FB and EB? any leftover of either FB or EB
should go to spillover but not its own country, right?
should
get |
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H*V
发帖数: 2770 | 44 does the law allow combination of FB and EB? any leftover of either FB or EB
should go to spillover but not its own country, right?
should
get |
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N*******r
发帖数: 1098 | 45 FY12 still have 20,000+ H1B available,and could last 20 wks if you count
consumption 1K per week. If so, it does have leftover in this year. It means
there are lots more SO in FY12. Good news. |
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s*****c
发帖数: 753 | 46 What you say is exactly I hate.
Right, we don't try to fight for our share but just wait for others leftover.
If we have the power to prevent 3012's passing, we can use that as leverage
to amend the law from 7% to 14%. India would benefit from that law change
as well. |
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s*****c
发帖数: 753 | 47 Actually, how about make sure the 27% rule is enforced and just amend the
bill to regulate the spillover visa number allocation like in HR3012? Like,
no single country can get more than 70% of the spillover. Which will
remove the tie between EB2I and EB2C.
leftover.
leverage |
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n***s
发帖数: 10056 | 48 Someone said USCIS used some leftover visas from past year in Oct. |
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b*****n
发帖数: 185 | 49 快很多？是不是因为SO? 所以EB3(ROW I C)要想current, they have to wait untill
EB2(I C) current and have SO leftover for them to eat?
★ Sent from iPhone App: iReader Mitbbs 6.88 - iPhone Lite |
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