r****7 发帖数: 5 | 1 一些小想法,主要从技术分析得到的观察,抑或是trend following.
现在市场大势并不明朗但下行概率大于上行。从Jesse Livermore的哲学来讲不要跟大
势做斗争。所以我的原则即为大势下行不买涨,大势上行不买跌。毕竟跟大势同向的
sample pool要更大些,概率上也更in your favor.
如果是短线玩家的话个人感觉Option的风险比股票要小很多,提供免费的leverage,而
且操作更为灵活。不过有个前提,不论call/put都买deep in the money的,这样实际
上vega和theta的效果极大程度上被log(S/K)或者log(K/S)给消除了,甚至都不及bid/
ask所产生的差价大。举个例子,Citibank6月到期@37的put的ask在周五收市只有5.55
,周五C的close=31.6也就是说1个半月的time value只有0.15,0.15/5.55 = 2.7%。如
果更deep ITM, @40六月到期ask = 8.45,time value只有0.05已经
说远了,入市时间不久,尚不足... 阅读全帖 |
|
w*******y 发帖数: 60932 | 2 MeronaWomen's Faux Wrap Knit Dress Collection - 2 Color Choices (Quaint
Berry or Tiger Stripe) - Reg. $24.99, Sale $15.00 or $13.50 with 10% Savings
Code ~ and with Free Shipping at target.com. You pay any Sales Tax. Today
's Deal for 11/12/10
Sizes: X-Small, Small, Med, Large, X-Large, XX-Large
Not bad for work, or dressing up for going out at night. : )
Use this Code At Checkout for Savings: 4IKCC8AJ
Thx. X2D : )
Deal LINKY:
http://www.target.com/Merona-Faux-Wrap-Dress-Collection/dp/B00489... 阅读全帖 |
|
|
P******l 发帖数: 1648 | 4 要先破bear flag那个channel才能震荡上行
所以说明天有一个大熊掌 就没戏了
NAZ今天碰neckline 马上下跌
如果上行怎么走
naz等着
spy 121-125是无人区 还可以拉 也去碰neckline
差不多是200MA位置
之后各指数一起震荡 应该还要double bottom
总之比去年九月难多了 |
|
U********f 发帖数: 2482 | 5 day trading rules
Gap(intraday) up/down rule: after the first relative big gap (for example, >
2p for ER2), there will be a small window (usually less than 10 minutes) for
trapped position to cut or for new position to setup, because most time
there will be another gap after the small window. Gap means MM's action.
Retailers cannot cause gap unless force cut loss.
trend line theory: when trend line break, will have big move. Either break
up or down.
extreme theory: market always go to extreme, a... 阅读全帖 |
|
H******i 发帖数: 4704 | 6 Many thanks!
Gap(intraday) up/down rule: after the first relative big gap (for example, >
2p for ER2), there will be a small window (usually less than 10 minutes) for
trapped position to cut or for new position to setup, because most time
there will be another gap after the small window. Gap means MM's action.
Retailers cannot cause gap unless force cut loss.
trend line theory: when trend line break, will have big move. Either break
up or down.
extreme theory: market always go to extreme, and t... 阅读全帖 |
|
w*******y 发帖数: 60932 | 7 Target Daily Deal
Use coupon code C4XLD4LP ( X2D) to get price to $18.00.
Link:
http://www.target.com/gp/detail.html/?asin=B0040HGANU&ref=sc_hero_txt
Features
Sizing: Women Sizing
Material: 52 % Cotton, 45 % Nylon: 3 % Spandex
Material Lining: 100 % Polyester
Care and Cleaning: Tumble Dry Low, Machine Wash Cold
Garment Length: Below Waist
Neckline Style: Collared Neckline , Notched Lapels Collar
Long Sleeves , Finished, Banded, Buttoned Cuff(s)
Closure Style: Button Down, Front Tie, Belt Closure... 阅读全帖 |
|
w*******y 发帖数: 60932 | 8 At six dollars the Neck Genie is 58% off.
Product Features
* No pain - No expensive surgery
* Helps reduce double-chin or neck folds - No more loose or hanging skin
* Firm, lift and smooth your neckline in just two minutes a day
"Neck Genie Neck Line Slimmer Takes years off your appearance. Gently firms
the underlying muscles of the neck and tightens the skin for a dramatic lift
. Dramatic results in just 2 minutes a day! Neck Genie will give your face a
lift resulting in tighter and... 阅读全帖 |
|
w*******y 发帖数: 60932 | 9 Mossimo Supply Co. Juniors & Plus-Size Lightweight Twill Pea Coat - Assorted
Colors (Black, Green, Brown, Red, Orange, Gray, Purple & Blue. Plus Size:
Brown, Green, Ebony, Brick. List Prices $39.99 - $44.99, Sale Price $19.99
or $17.99 with 10% Saving Code! You pay any sales Tax. Today's Daily Deal
for 11/11/10~
Juniors Sizes: X-Small, Small, Med, Large, X-Large, XX-Large
Plus Sizes: 1, 2, 3, 4
Use this Code At Checkout for Savings: 4IKCC8AJ
Thx. X2D : )
Deal LINKY:
http://www.target.com... 阅读全帖 |
|
L******w 发帖数: 970 | 10 来自主题: _Stockcafeteria版 - 关于头肩顶 去年六月的假头肩顶持续时间太短,我印象中跨度时间4到6个月比较准;去年那次尽管
长均线都还向下,但是短均线都向上,现在无论长短均线都往下压。就算这次头肩顶
confirm了,也不一定就到得了目标价,to be conservative,就neckline-(head-
neckline)/2. 我还是不太看好后市,今天基本上是妞妞的最后希望了,就算在这个位
置上反弹,或转势,也还要震荡一段时间把均线拉拉平,凑凑紧,才会有一波大涨。唉
。刚写完,大盘就强力反弹啊。 |
|
发帖数: 1 | 11 (新闻周刊)时尚的金正恩夫人喧宾夺主,击晕了中国民众,在大陆民间造成想吃天鹅
肉的轰动
Kim Jong Un Wife's Stylish Fashion Sense is a Hit in China
Christina Zhao
,
Newsweek•March 28, 2018
Kim Jong Un’s wife stunned the Chinese public with her stylish fashion
choices while accompanying the North Korean leader on his surprise visit to
China this week. Ri Sol Ju, North Korea’s first lady, was seen in at least
three different outfits during the unofficial two-day Beijing trip to meet
China’s President Xi Jinping.
Many citizens took to W... 阅读全帖 |
|
m******1 发帖数: 19713 | 12 片片来了!!
20万女人今日低胸上阵加入“波震日”
Women Drop Necklines for Boobquake Day
By Julie Bolcer
Boobquakex390 (Photos.com) | Advocate.com
Does the sight of cleavage trigger earthquakes? The world will learn the
answer Monday as thousands of women participate in Boobquake Day, a young
American woman’s response to an Iranian cleric’s claim that immodest dress
causes the earth to shake.
According to ABC News, “It all started a week ago, when Purdue University
senior Jennifer McCreight, 22, wrote a blog post about |
|
发帖数: 1 | 13 美國製Vera Wang婚紗, 只有試穿過, $ 350 USD 可試穿!! 地點在馬里蘭州
象牙色緞面, 尺寸2號, 完全沒有改過,所以買家有修改空間
照片請見http://dim.pixnet.net/album/set/15064748
意者請傳短訊a href="/cdn-cgi/l/email-protection" class="__cf_email__" data-cfemail="dab599bba8b5b69aecefedf7e2efe3f7ebeaefe3">[email protected],
------------
New, never worn on a wedding
Color: Ivory, Ruched bodice
Neckline: Strapless Silhouette: A-Line
Sleeve Style: Sleeveless
material: Super Satin
Never Altered (give you the freedom on alteration)
RN99259, made in USA
includ... 阅读全帖 |
|
r***e 发帖数: 2670 | 14 原来我今天已经13周,比大夫算得要大一周。Due on Jan 7 2013
看见了孩子的鼻梁,那个neckline 也很薄。头部发育也正常。他/她一开始就在那儿跳
舞,然后很快入睡。好好玩。
也听见了心跳,但是不知道为什么不测量一分钟多少下,Technician说是他们不测,汗
一个。但是至少我听起来很快很强力!
我问能不能看到男女,被告知太早了,不准,下次再看。。
从5,6周就开始spotting,断断续续到11周才停止,中间又出现腰酸,反正一直都很紧
张。
总算松口气啦! |
|
s******2 发帖数: 461 | 15 I think you confused it with Christening Dress.
The bishop dress evolved from the bishop neckline used in ancient nightgowns
or undergarments into a comfortable, fashionable girls dress. |
|
q******r 发帖数: 154 | 16 technically it has broken 7.5 neckline a couple weeks ago. It gona to drop
sooner or later. |
|
T*********s 发帖数: 17839 | 17 confirmed?
watch neckline ~10850 |
|
N********n 发帖数: 8363 | 18 Head and shoulder neckline breaks down. |
|
f******e 发帖数: 6488 | 19 bears laugh too early
most of the chart here shows wrong neckline |
|
f******e 发帖数: 6488 | 20 if bulls can not retake and maintain above this neckline
i will leave |
|
f******e 发帖数: 6488 | 21 the neckline is retaken! |
|
T*********s 发帖数: 17839 | 22 秋之皓月
can you draw a chart to show this H$S
the neckline and future direction |
|
T*********s 发帖数: 17839 | 23 touched neckline and drops again
lower than 20MA now |
|
b*******e 发帖数: 24532 | 24 如果还有,可能今天的break neckline followthrough 后面会有更大打击。 |
|
L****n 发帖数: 12932 | 25 CRM had run it's course. coming back to look at it, big rise on Sept.20 has
every sign of a bull trap. it's one of the oldest bull, the run up pretty
much last from Feb 09. those that load up along the way are ready to sell.
seller has dominated the field everyday for a week now. yesterday's action
is ominous - punctured the neckline with a distribuion day. today some
bargain hunter jump in, but fail to move back above the neck. It has been on
my short-list since sept.24 (a gravestone star). i d |
|
r*m 发帖数: 16380 | 26 今天SPY 60 min chart算是完成了一个1-2-3 trend change的过程,因此至少短期对牛
牛不利,特别是ChiOsc还很高,see dashed red line,此后都有不同程度的pullback
,也因此收盘前的反弹可以看作back test Double Top neckline (see SPY 15 min
chart at bottom),不排除明天继续下跌的可能。总体上,我认为pullback to Fib 23
.6% at $115.15到Double Top textbook target $114.77之间还是有可能的。
另外一个对牛牛特别不利的是今天有个extremely low TICK,有些exchanger甚至
report今天有个record low TICK。下面的图应该很清楚,红色虚线远远多于绿色虚线
,换句话说就是几天内a lower low or lower close almost guaranteed。
牛牛的希望有两个,不过我权衡再三,认为这两个希望也许不能都往牛里解释,当然牛
牛有知情权,所以这里一并说明一下。
从八... 阅读全帖 |
|
b*******e 发帖数: 24532 | 27 感觉LV很危险啊,你的保护措施不能丢啊,
double top + neckline broken? |
|
b*******e 发帖数: 24532 | 28 stay away from bidu, that is a must for me at this moment:-)
Not like LVS, It has dropped below the neckline for 3 days, confirming the
new correcton if not downtrend. Just my thinking. And huzi, remember to
protect your LVS as well, I still feel concern for it. |
|
P******l 发帖数: 1648 | 29 订的newletter今晚盘后说要买掉一个position (pay July call)
上次另外一个position破neckline后回来探resistence 之后继续下跌
吃了一次亏
这次自己上午反弹时已经处理掉了 |
|
P******l 发帖数: 1648 | 30 Difficult to have inner peace while shorting. Got to watch closely and take
profit quickly.
William O'Neill has a book about this.
short in 2 scenarios
50 day MA broken with big vol
H/S neckline broken. |
|
i*u 发帖数: 299 | 31 两周前我有考虑过这个问题,但现在我可以确定这是一个failure HnS。
原因来自volume,一个downward HnS的right shoulder需要low volume来support,意
思是大家在最后关头还在盯着市场,不敢进退。知道neckline breakouts之后,volume
会特涨,说明investers确定了这个下跌的形势,大家都在panic。
但现在这个right shoulder的volume比head还要多,说明卖家已经short过了,同时买
家对市场optimistic而进行低处吸纳过了。这时候该做的action都做完了,很难会有更
大的selling pressure往下压,除非有更差的市场信息出现。 |
|
S******t 发帖数: 8388 | 32 now it is better that when you called. but still under the neckline. |
|
P******l 发帖数: 1648 | 33 蝌蚪解盘 为啥在这doji
碰50天线了 上有阻力 下有支撑 大盘需要找到出路
symmetric triangle again
no vol from here to 125. if there is a lot of bearish bias(bull advisor 40.
9% bear advisor 36.6%. most bearish biased since sep 2010), spy can go up
to touch neckline following naz. |
|
s******g 发帖数: 67 | 34 如果那样的话,假突破H&S的neckline后,反弹就快结束了? |
|
B*******n 发帖数: 20645 | 35 USO hits the neckline now. |
|
P******l 发帖数: 1648 | 36 Yes. retail best. tech is worst because of aapl.
aapl broke neckline from head&shoulder for 2 days now which means the top of
aapl confirmed. How can mkt rally without aapl at least behavioring ok?
XLK -0.24 (-0.82%)
XLV -0.08 (-0.19%)
XLU +0.02 (0.06%)
XLF +0.02 (0.09%)
XLI +0.04 (0.10%)
XLB +0.04 (0.10%)
XLP +0.04 (0.11%)
XLE +0.12 (0.16%)
XLY +0.21 (0.43%)
|
|
P******l 发帖数: 1648 | 37 very scary.
spy at the cliff of neckline $153.77
if this head and shoulder is broken. measured move target spy $147.77 |
|
u**********n 发帖数: 8905 | 38 Head and shoulder pattern, neckline has broken today. |
|
b*****p 发帖数: 9649 | 39 neckline被破了,smart money are gone.... |
|
b*****p 发帖数: 9649 | 40 where is the neckline? Thanks! |
|
l*********m 发帖数: 16971 | 41 As one of the sexiest models in the world, when Miranda Kerr visited the
City of Love, she pulled out all the stops to turn heads.
And the Australian beauty drew attention to her cleavage in a dramatically
low-cut white dress at the Stella McCartney show at Paris Fashion Week on
Monday.
The 30-year-old looked confident and stunning in the dress, which featured a
low-cut neckline, dropped-waist and a modest midi-length.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-2438771/Miranda-Ke |
|
P******l 发帖数: 1648 | 42 we are very safe here at market new high.
Looks at 1987(neckline broken first) and 1929(second high after more than 1
month slow downward movement), if there is a crash, got to drop quite a lot
slowly first. There will be enough days to exit.
the |
|
c********n 发帖数: 1793 | 43 it is below the neckline, and might further go down. |
|
c********n 发帖数: 1793 | 44 头肩形状还不是很像,若是11/18则是右肩膀的低点,这样的neckline是倾斜的,现在
已经是肩膀下了
(若有不同意见,请补充!)
我要谢谢分享,但是个人不选这个股,因为日平均交易量不到30万。 |
|
L****n 发帖数: 12932 | 45 this is the neckline of a reverse H&S formation. Once broken, it become
support.
|
|
s***m 发帖数: 6197 | 46 But the price today breaks off the neckline. Does that matter? |
|
s***m 发帖数: 6197 | 47 Can the pattern on the daily chart be considered as IHS?
And it breaks the neckline today. |
|
L****n 发帖数: 12932 | 48 寄信人: XXXXXX
标 题: 求教股神
发信站: 未名空间 (Thu Dec 4 11:36:20 2014)
来 源: 208.
股市小白一个,介于对您的膜拜,一看到您提到入QIHU,我就马上入了,这几天一直
在跌,你看多久会涨回来啊,需持有多久那个点出? 还是现在割肉出?血汗钱一瞬间
都蒸发了 %>_<%
拜谢!
======================
I said don't look to own QIHU unless it's about the broken neckline - 75.
don't short either.
if you bot in on the day i mention in this post(it was meant as a joke, NMBL
is much better than QIHU), you are down <5%. you should hold a firm 8% loss
limit. still time to wait for a small rebound to exit. it h... 阅读全帖 |
|
c*******e 发帖数: 154 | 49 我就是发信的白痴,好伤心。。。自己太蠢了,割完这股,以后都不来这里了。。
感谢大夫在版面的点拨,我以为大夫冷血无情,因为一直都没有收到回信,现在幸亏
来搜了一下版面才发现这个贴,不然还在流血等着啥时候能反弹
可是还是不懂
求善良的好心人看到了指点一下我该怎么办
大夫的意思是只要lose < 8 就赶紧出? 近期不会rebound了?
近期是指多少天?大概多久才能回到 68.X 啊?
寄信人: XXXXXX
标 题: 求教股神
发信站: 未名空间 (Thu Dec 4 11:36:20 2014)
来 源: 208.
股市小白一个,介于对您的膜拜,一看到您提到入QIHU,我就马上入了,这几天一直
在跌,你看多久会涨回来啊,需持有多久那个点出? 还是现在割肉出?血汗钱一瞬间
都蒸发了 %>_<%
拜谢!
======================
I said don't look to own QIHU unless it's about the broken neckline - 75.
don't short either.
if... 阅读全帖 |
|
|