m*****o
发帖数: 2084 | 1 是的，就是这么回事。
我们以前中学政治课本上讲的，都是对的。
民主党，共和党，都他妈一回事，谁给他钱，他就是谁的党。
现在穷人和中产没钱给他们，大资产家，吸血鬼给他们钱，
你说他们是谁的党？
就这样吧，不扯了。 |
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w*********i
发帖数: 3092 | 2 大盘今天被Nonfarm payroll和EU的debt余波冲击了一下，这个影响是两天还是一周，
我倾向于前者，所以这个短暂调整以133.2为底线，差不多那个位置buy dip吧 |
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c*****r
发帖数: 8227 | 3 这么多不利因素合力作用，Fed恐怕也是无力回天了。。。
By David Rosenberg
1. The Philly Fed index: The Philly Fed index came in at -12.9 in July
and in the past three months has averaged -11.8. Rosenberg writes that an -
11.8 average over three months has "coincided with the U.S. economy tipping
over into recession seven of the eight times that such a negative reading
has occurred over such a time frame."
2. Retail sales: Retail sales crumbled in June falling 0.5 percent,
declining three months in a row. Looking b... 阅读全帖 |
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T*C
发帖数: 5492 | 4 呵呵，明早8:30有nonfarm payrolls数据，估计好不了 |
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m***9
发帖数: 1671 | 5 "nonfarm payrolls" 跟 “private payroll” 是什么意思啊？有什么区别？ |
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k********f
发帖数: 6033 | 6 Nonfarm 包含government job. |
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p****p
发帖数: 3360 | 7 弄不好大跌。失业率7.4%还不错，可是nonfarm payrolls比预期少了不少。 |
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b*****p
发帖数: 9649 | 8 估得很准！
Breaking news: US August nonfarm payrolls at 169,000 vs. 180,000 est.;
unemployment rate at 7.3% vs. 7.4% est. |
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s***m
发帖数: 6197 | 9 这个不好说,万一GS这次剧本反着来呢
周五的走法很奇怪
数据没出来前,大家都知道nonfarm payrolls的数据会不太好,盘前走高
数据出来以后,大家都没预料到会那么差,还没开盘就跌下来了,但是最后大盘还收绿了
这是想让大家觉得2014还是可以BTFD吗?
单纯从SP的图来看, 现在形成了一个bear flag
是不是会先跌一跌,然后再来个爆拉呢? |
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G********p
发帖数: 3504 | 10 U.S. employment fails to rebound strongly from winter chill
REUTERS 8:30 AM ET 2/7/2014
* Nonfarm payrolls rise 113,000 in January
* December payrolls revised up slightly to 75,000
* Unemployment rate falls to 6.6 percent from 6.7 percent
* Average hourly earnings up, work week steady |
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c*******o
发帖数: 3829 | 11 失业率降到6.6
Nonfarm Payroll 120,000 -14,0000 |
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m*****y
发帖数: 3981 | 13 小， a small butterfly can kill a big bull and a big bear, both. |
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n*******3
发帖数: 347 | 14 没啥关系。热钱涌进美股，新高在望。 顶多有个3-5%的回调，然后一直涨到五月。 |
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O**l
发帖数: 12923 | 16 我觉得开大的可能性大
主要现在预期非常低 再加上其他数据貌似2月要比一月稍好 |
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l****e
发帖数: 2315 | 17 二月的远低于预测大盘大涨，涨还是跌只能听大盘说。 |
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c*******y
发帖数: 1630 | 18 miss.
there is a leading indicator of NFP.
anyway, NFP lottery is really just LOTTERY. only god knows. |
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n*******3
发帖数: 347 | 19 See. No matter the number is good or bad, MM just wants to push the market
higher. |
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N******s
发帖数: 10555 | 20 是啊，从前面天气原因就能看出来mm意图，新高可期， |
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d******5
发帖数: 4273 | 21 Financials on the move as rate hike draws nearer
This morning's strong nonfarm payroll report may put to rest the idea
of a continuing economic slowdown and puts on the table a rate hike
maybe as soon as September.
The 10-year Treasury yield is up nine basis points to 2.40%.
The KRE +1.5%, KBE +1.6%, and the XLF +1.1% amid a flat S&P 500.
Regional banks: Regions Financial (RF +3.3%), KeyCorp (KEY +2.5%), PNC
Financial (PNC +1.9%), SunTrust (STI +2.3%), U.S. Bancorp (USB +2.2%),
Zions (ZION +3.7%... 阅读全帖 |
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d******5
发帖数: 4273 | 22 Financials on the move as rate hike draws nearer
This morning's strong nonfarm payroll report may put to rest the idea
of a continuing economic slowdown and puts on the table a rate hike
maybe as soon as September.
The 10-year Treasury yield is up nine basis points to 2.40%.
The KRE +1.5%, KBE +1.6%, and the XLF +1.1% amid a flat S&P 500.
Regional banks: Regions Financial (RF +3.3%), KeyCorp (KEY +2.5%), PNC
Financial (PNC +1.9%), SunTrust (STI +2.3%), U.S. Bancorp (USB +2.2%),
Zions (ZION +3.7%... 阅读全帖 |
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m********3
发帖数: 4806 | 23 真的吗？每个月都要新增25万多个职位呢，就业人口增长的比这还快？
这是来自Bureau of Labor Statistics的数据，怎么看怎么水，干统计这行的同志没谱。
Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 257,000 in January, and the
unemployment rate
was little changed at 5.7 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
reported today.
Job gains occurred in retail trade, construction, health care, financial
activities,
and manufacturing.
Household Survey Data
The unemployment rate, at 5.7 percent, changed little in January and has
shown no net
change since October. The nu... 阅读全帖 |
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y****o
发帖数: 1088 | 24 NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL CONSENSUS FORECAST PREVIOUS
MONDAY, MAY 4
10 am Factory orders March 2.4% 0.2%
TUESDAY, MAY 5
8:30 am Trade deficit March -$43.0 bln -$35.4 bln
10 am ISM nonmanufacturing April 56.5% 56.5%
WEDNESDAY, MAY 6
8:15 am ADP employment April -- 189,000
8:30 am Productivity Q1 -1.4% -2.2%
8:30 am Unit labor costs Q1 4.0% 4.... 阅读全帖 |
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l*********m
发帖数: 16971 | 25 A meeting between Greece's Prime Minister, Alexis Tsipras, and the head of
the European Union's executive arm failed to yield an agreement to release
vital loans. Later in the day, Greece told the International Monetary Fund
that it would postpone a payment due Friday and bundle it together with
three other payments at the end of the month. |
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b*********n
发帖数: 13256 | 29 上月的revise成这样：
Nonfarm 173,000 -> 136,000 -21.4%
Private 140,000 -> 100,000 -28.6% |
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t****y
发帖数: 3494 | 30 04:00 ECB President Draghi Speaks
08:15 ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Oct)
10:00 Fed Chair Yellen Testifies
10:00 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Oct)
10:30 Crude Oil Inventories
14:30 FOMC Member Dudley Speaks
19:30 FOMC Member Stanley Fischer Speaks |
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r*****3
发帖数: 403 | 32 One last call before the Federal Open Market Committee
The market will be looking for reassurance regarding the start and pace of
the Fed's tightening cycle while waiting for the FOMC meeting on
December 16. Fed futures are assigning a 74% probability of a rate hike in
December and data this week could provide clues about the start and speed of
future increases. The week will be packed with Fed speak, as FOMC members
Evans (Tuesday), Lockhart and Williams (Wednesday) will talk about the state
of... 阅读全帖 |
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c**t
发帖数: 9197 | 33 Prior Consensus Consensus Range
Nonfarm Payrolls - M/M change 215,000 200,000 175,000 to 245,000
Unemployment Rate - Level 5.0 % 4.9 % 4.8 % to 5.0 %
Private Payrolls - M/M change 195,000 195,000 165,000 to 235,000
Participation Rate - level 63.0 %
Average Hourly Earnings - M/M change 0.3 % 0.3 % 0.2 % to 0.4 %
Av Workweek - All Employees 34.4 hrs 34.5 hrs 34.4 hrs to 34.5 hrs |
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l*****e
发帖数: 3343 | 34 1. U.S. nonfarm payrolls report: Friday 8:30ＡＭ， Cons jobs growth of 161,
000 , the unemployment rate is forecast to dip to 4.9%, while average hourly
earnings are expected to rise 0.2%
2. U.S. ISM PMI surveys： 10:00AM ET, on Wednesday. The gauge
is expected to inch down 0.3 points to 50.5.
3. European Central Bank policy meeting： interest rate decision 7:45AM ET,
on Thursday, The consensus is that the ECB will leave interest rates on
hold and reaffirm
4. China manufacturing PMIs
9:00PM ET ... 阅读全帖 |
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n*******s
发帖数: 17267 | 36 不定什么时候MM就开拉，然后编个说辞，周五 nonfarm 比方说，坐稳了等就是了 |
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发帖数: 1 | 38 习近平说几句场面话大家把根本问题都忘的一干二净。
忘记了10年牛市，忘记了庞大的债务，忘记了加息，忘记了通胀，忘记了unemployment
,忘记了nonfarm payroll...... |
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m*********u
发帖数: 1491 | 41 【 以下文字转载自 JobHunting 讨论区 】
发信人: meiguolaotu (美国老土), 信区: JobHunting
标 题: U.S. job growth surges, unemployment rate near six-year low
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Jul 3 19:34:12 2014, 美东)
By Lucia Mutikani
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. employment growth jumped in June and the jobless
rate closed in on a six-year low, decisive evidence the economy was growing
briskly heading into the second half of the year.
Nonfarm payrolls increased by 288,000 jobs last month and the unemployment
rate fell to 6.1 percent ... 阅读全帖 |
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m*********u
发帖数: 1491 | 42 【 以下文字转载自 JobHunting 讨论区 】
发信人: meiguolaotu (美国老土), 信区: JobHunting
标 题: 美国就业市场创6年来新高
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Jul 6 11:56:57 2014, 美东)
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-jobs-data-seen-reinforcing-0510
By Lucia Mutikani
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. employment growth jumped in June and the jobless
rate closed in on a six-year low, decisive evidence the economy was growing
briskly heading into the second half of the year.
Nonfarm payrolls increased by 288,000 jobs last month and the unemployment
rate fel... 阅读全帖 |
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G****a
发帖数: 10208 | 43 America’s Most Livable States
10. Maryland
> Future livability score: 18.5
> Full-time employment: 3rd best
> Job creation index: 24th best
> Outlook on life in five years: 16th best
Maryland is the state with the 10th-best outlook in the country, according
to Gallup’s Future Livability survey. The state has the wealthiest
population in the nation based on median household income, according to
recent Census data. Also, just 8.4% of Maryland households live below the
poverty line, compared to the... 阅读全帖 |
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j****3
发帖数: 228 | 44 那是因为你long,很多专业人士都short了，今天nonfarm payroll数据不好，股市大跌
，再完美不过了。 |
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s****y
发帖数: 18685 | 45 最新发布
http://www.businessinsider.com/state-economy-ranking-july-2015-
1. North Dakota
2. Colorado
3. District of Columbia
4. Texas
5. Washington
6. Massachusetts
7. Utah
Utah is home to four Fortune 1000 companies, the largest of which is the
Huntsman chemical corporation.Utah's job market is booming. The number of
nonfarm payrolls in the state grew by 4.3%, the fastest growth rate in the
country. Meanwhile, Utah's 3.5% unemployment rate was the third lowest.
8. New Hampshire
9. New York
10. Oreg... 阅读全帖 |
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m*********u
发帖数: 1491 | 46 【 以下文字转载自 JobHunting 讨论区 】
发信人: meiguolaotu (美国老土), 信区: JobHunting
标 题: 美国就业市场创6年来新高
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Jul 6 11:56:57 2014, 美东)
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-jobs-data-seen-reinforcing-0510
By Lucia Mutikani
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. employment growth jumped in June and the jobless
rate closed in on a six-year low, decisive evidence the economy was growing
briskly heading into the second half of the year.
Nonfarm payrolls increased by 288,000 jobs last month and the unemployment
rate fel... 阅读全帖 |
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m*********u
发帖数: 1491 | 48 【 以下文字转载自 JobHunting 讨论区 】
发信人: meiguolaotu (美国老土), 信区: JobHunting
标 题: U.S. job growth surges, unemployment rate near six-year low
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Jul 3 19:34:12 2014, 美东)
By Lucia Mutikani
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. employment growth jumped in June and the jobless
rate closed in on a six-year low, decisive evidence the economy was growing
briskly heading into the second half of the year.
Nonfarm payrolls increased by 288,000 jobs last month and the unemployment
rate fell to 6.1 percent ... 阅读全帖 |
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X***i
发帖数: 177 | 50 Since it becomes a big issue now, what do you guys thing about it? For those
who have no idea about what is happening, let me first briefly explain the
issue here (I skip the political part).
1. Facts
Based on the recent release from the BLS:
Total employment rose by 873,000 in September.
Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 114,000 in September.
2. A brief background
The issue is that there are two surveys. The first estimate of employment
comes from the survey of households; the secon... 阅读全帖 |
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