r*m
发帖数: 16380 | 1 SHORT-TERM: TWO RELIABLE TOP SIGNALS TRIGGERED, BULLS BETTER TAKE SOME
PROFITS
今天有两个top signals触发了，考虑到在10/15 Market Recap里提到的the first
possible pivot date around 10/21 to 10/22，因此真有可能今天就是top了。我知道
，这么说可能大部分人都不会相信，我也不敢相信，不过，根据6.5.2c Week
Seasonality Watch，下周很多半是red week，所以牛牛在这里take some profits，可
能不会有大错吧，特别是follow SPY ST Model的，因为这个model is designed to
stay in a trend as long as possible，因此是没有take partial profit的信号的，
要自己找机会，我觉得现在应该是时候了。
0.0.2 Combined Intermediate-term Trading Signals, 3 point val... 阅读全帖 |
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t*********7
发帖数: 900 | 2 熊市还是牛市？这是现在萦绕在每个人脑海里的问题
MA200已经在后视镜里了，周线MA50我们也已经伸出了一根脚趾头， 所以技术上说，我
们已经一只脚踏入熊市，这应该不会有多少异议
不过呢，讨论这些熊尸，牛尸对俺们这些偷鸡的没什么意义，那是08，大笨，Cramer，
老蛇，酷马这些人要操心的
俺们只要紧紧盯住MM漏在地上的钱，捞了就跑
这么说来，俺们，哦，俺指的是没有来得及反水的牛牛，还有没有机会呢？
今天手LOD，俺很开心，MDD哦，NYDNV：NYUPV = 73，史上第二高，MM用力过猛，明天
可能会给逃命的牛牛留下点机会
还有啊，$NYMO，哇， -136，就是08年大崩盘，$NYMO到-100也会弹一弹的，这回好像
还没恐慌到那个地步，不过也许29年真的要来啦，不过MM也不是超人，而且MM 通
常都会给犯错的散户改过的机会的，所以，所以，后面你们就看着办吧
http://www.hutong9.net/viewthread.php?tid=82384&extra=page%3D1&styleid=7 |
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w*******o
发帖数: 6125 | 3 我觉得Hindenburg Omen可以概况为一句话
人心散了，队伍就不好带了
人心散了: The 52week high and 52 week low divergence.
队伍就不好带:Negative $NYMO: Kind of like money outflow.
BTW: This is the real-time chart for the Omen
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$NYMO&p=D&b=5&g=0&id=p20489603975
//我的工具箱里面有用的links还是不少的，hehe |
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m*****u
发帖数: 5534 | 4 老蛇正在全力做多中，两倍SSO
他说：（6/12）
我暂时不清楚我们在哪里。但是，在没有形成决定性的新低前，图形并不熊，特别是
NYMO又oversold了，所以我个人觉得我们现在是在蓝色实线的可能性比较大。操作上，
如果明天还跌，最好跌破06/06的low，那么我会尝试着buy dip，理由是NYMO是少数几
个不能与之argue的信号之一。
所以，明天如果继续跌，全力买入吧！ |
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b*****h
发帖数: 3386 | 5 【 以下文字转载自 pennystock 俱乐部 】
发信人: badfish (badfish), 信区: pennystock
标 题: 2 bearish candlesticks in SPX daily
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Mar 3 14:41:26 2010, 美东)
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=D&yr=0&mn=3&dy=0&id=p60422546575
one grave stone after one shooting star
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$NYMO&p=D&yr=1&mn=0&dy=0&id=p20680177980
Now I'm sure updated $NYMO after market will indicate a surely overbought
market. |
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k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 7 http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$NYMO&p=D&yr=9&mn=6&dy=0&id=p0
the market was in an extreme panic mode yesterday. the possibility for an
intermediate low was very high. That's why I deployed 50% money, 25% for
SP500 index and 25% for russel 2000 index.
yesterday, RSI was the lowest, similar to 911, since 87 crash |
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y***r
发帖数: 16594 | 8 1. 以前上过图了,上一轮下跌的目标是10800.只要是从FIB和measured move算出来的。
另外10800也是很重要的一个支撑区。
2.量
3.MACD，另外，这一轮反弹目标1320，是50MA和FIB 50。边走边看吧。
4.USO大势已去。http://www.mitbbs.com/article/Stock/31369653_3.html
5.其他有一些很suttle的东西比如VIX和CPC。VIX没到35，CPC 5日均值没有到1.2，不
过NYMO和MAMO都是超负荷低了。 |
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j****l
发帖数: 1440 | 9 Lower high and lower low since June. |
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t*****s
发帖数: 2933 | 10 good,one of bear signs. thanks for sharing.
but, divergency means nothing sometime... |
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k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 11 I would say not to sell now
the market is in a situation even more panic than 08
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$NYMO&p=D&yr=9&mn=6&dy=0&id=p0
a rebounce is due. remember, the bear market rally can be very violent
those big corporations have been holding their cash till this moment to
rob your shares. |
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P******l
发帖数: 1648 | 12 整理一下各路高手观点
如果这是底 那就这几周的事了 要盯紧了
IBD 去年这时候也是almost no growth stock leader 金矿公司当道 几周后 mkt
rally并且成功
schaeffer说^vix 不破50 就没事 死叉多数情况短期1 week很惨 2week worst 中
期(3 months)不错 少数情况如2007-2008
现在看市场是按去年夏天还是2008走
大熊
spx 666 again
HQ 有一种可能是漫漫熊市
捞底分两种看法
bigbigbee 破前低 血洗捞底牛牛后 大盘站稳5MA才能买
老蛇 目前是反弹 08/09的lows最终是会破的，至少NYMO形成positive divergence
以后，才可能真正bottom
qiuyueshifu 破08/09 low 概率很小 (真破1100 就是大熊了)
zijing 大熊已走 |
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P******l
发帖数: 1648 | 13 kedou should be in full cash
speculators day trade
watch ^vix NYMO rally and followup
after 2008, IBD doesn't count followup day(4-10 days after first rally
attempt) any more, market totally changed these days. |
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k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 14 has been running in a pattern almost identical to the one
from last November to Janurary
check it out and it may give you some suggestions |
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j****l
发帖数: 1440 | 17 support!
NYMO/TRIN system does give a buy signal. |
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j****l
发帖数: 1440 | 18 support!
NYMO/TRIN system does give a buy signal. |
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b******r
发帖数: 16603 | 21 -87.23
out of BB and lowest point since May 17th. |
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s**********o
发帖数: 14359 | 22 如果是一般小熊市的话，明天应该反弹点，
如果继续跌就毁了，真的要大熊宝殿了。 |
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b******r
发帖数: 16603 | 23 down to -140 last Aug. But anyway, big leg down followed by bottom
range market, so no rush. enough chance to get in. |
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b******r
发帖数: 16603 | 24 market breadth indicators加上一些对CPCE/CPCI/CPC的观察，
广大没有系统的屌丝们用来捞捞SPY的底，可能能提高不少正确率。
逃顶的准确率还是不成。 |
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b******r
发帖数: 16603 | 25 说个大盘的吧，回测基本是有效的。
$NYMO 日线，BB(20,2)，掉出下沿，基本能V杀回，大盘跟着涨。
在出下沿当天盘后上SPY或者类似的。 |
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F********r
发帖数: 878 | 27 NYMO is -54, VIX is 17.4. Dawn is probably not far away. |
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t*****e
发帖数: 380 | 28 如果数点数天数很容易被误导。
看看momentum指标：
vix，nymo，nysi，nya50r，nya200r和nyhgh
你会看到区别的。 |
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S**U
发帖数: 7025 | 29 Huh? Read "Turning the Wheel of Dharma Sutra", the first teaching of Lord
Buddha. The Buddha claimed that nothing is beyond his awakening, including
God. There is no need for Buddha to search for God, according to Buddhism.
Gods seeked out Lord Buddha's advice, as many sutras told.
"Turning the Wheel of Dharma Sutra":
"As long as my knowing and seeing how things are, was not quite purified in
these twelve aspects, in these three phases of each of the four noble truths
, I did not claim in the wo... 阅读全帖 |
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S**U
发帖数: 7025 | 30 【南传中部】第41经 萨罗村婆罗门经
萨罗村婆罗门居士众白世尊曰∶「卿瞿昙!以何因、何缘，于此有一类有情，身坏命终
后，生于恶生、恶趣、堕处、地狱耶?又，卿瞿昙!以何因、何缘，于此有一类有情，身
坏命终后，生于善趣、天界耶?」
世尊曰∶「居士等!因非法行、非正行，如是此有一类有情，身坏命终后，生于恶生、
恶趣、堕处、地狱。居士等!因法行、正行，如是于此有一类有情，身坏命终后，生于
善趣、天界也。」
彼等曰∶「我等依卿瞿昙之略说，不能详细分别理解其意义。如是卿瞿昙能为我等说法
则甚幸也，我等则依瞿昙之略说，得详细分别理解其意义。」
世尊曰∶「居士等!若然，汝等谛听、善思惟之，予将说之。」
萨罗村之婆罗门居士众应诺世尊∶「卿!愿乐欲闻」
世尊言曰∶
「居士等!依身有三种非法行、非正行，依口有四种非法行、非正行；依意有三种非法
行、非正行。居士等!云阿依身有三种非法行、非正行?于此有一类杀生者∶残忍、手涂
血，专事杀戮、对于生类无慈悲心。又有不与取者∶凡他人之财物，或在村里、或在森
林，不与而盗取者也。又有爱欲邪行者∶凡为母所护，为父所护，为父母所护，为兄弟
所护，为姊妹所护，为亲族所护，有... 阅读全帖 |
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S**U
发帖数: 7025 | 32 Based on the result of desire.
SN56.11 Setting in Motion of the Wheel of Dharma Sutra
"Bhikkhus, these two extremes ought not to be cultivated by one gone forth
from the home-life. What are the two? There is devotion to indulgence of
pleasure in the objects of sensual desire, which is inferior, low, vulgar,
ignoble, and leads to no good; and there is devotion to self-torment, which
is painful, ignoble and leads to no good.
"The middle way discovered by a Perfect One avoids both these extremes; i... 阅读全帖 |
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Y**u
发帖数: 5466 | 33 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
bdbd (kakali) 于 (Thu Jul 14 06:22:59 2011, 美东) 提到:
佛在无我相经里面说色不是我，因为如果是我的，我就不会让它有病苦。 我觉得这个
论据不充分。 就好象买座房子，我不会盖房子，房子自己会漏，但是我可以住在里面
，所以它还是我的。 房子不是我，但是是我的。。。。。。
谁来开示一下。
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
nibbana (卍) 于 (Thu Jul 14 08:34:22 2011, 美东) 提到:
经里说not self，你说的是not mine。
房子是你现在拥有的，但不是你。色也不是你。
http://www.accesstoinsight.org/tipitaka/sn/sn22/sn22.059.nymo.h
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
SeeU (See you) 于 (Thu Jul 14 11:26:54 20... 阅读全帖 |
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Y**u
发帖数: 5466 | 34 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
stonebench (stonebench) 于 (Mon Aug 22 00:58:36 2011, 美东) 提到:
(二)如是我闻。一时。佛住舍卫国祗树给孤独园。尔时。世尊告诸比丘。于色当正思惟
。色无常如实知。所以者何。比丘。于色正思惟。观色无常如实知者。于色欲贪断。欲
贪断者。说心解脱。如是受．想．行．识当正思惟。观识无常如实知。所以者何。于识
正思惟。观识无常者。则于识欲贪断。欲贪断者。说心解脱。如是心解脱者。若欲自证
。则能自证。我生已尽。梵行已立。所作已作。自知不受后有。如是正思惟无常。苦．
空．非我亦复如是。时。诸比丘闻佛所说。欢喜奉行
石记：观色无常，则于色贪欲断。观受想行识无常，则于受想行识欲贪断。
问题：是欲贪断，还是五蕴断？ 还是两者是一回事？
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
runsun (runsun) 于 (Mon Aug 22 01:14:46 2011, 美东) 提到:
☆────────────────... 阅读全帖 |
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b*****h
发帖数: 3386 | 36 来自主题: _Stockcafeteria版 - 1120 嗯，去年底横盘的最高点，被突破后反测的位置大概就在1118-1120附近。
上个礼拜我觉地顶就在1120附近， 不过后来跌了几天，卸掉了不少超买
的势头，现在不好说了。盘后再看看$NYMO, $SPXA50R. |
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b*****h
发帖数: 3386 | 37 Market often continues to go a little higher for next couple of days
with negative divergence of many strength indicators.
By looking at the chart, almost every time, market goes a little higher
after
the indicator peaks first. The extreme case happened around last March-May,
when market had a strong momentum. Now I don't think it will replay again.
The width of the peak should be more similiar to the recent ones.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$NYMO&p=D&yr=1&mn=0&dy=0&id=p20680177980 |
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b*****h
发帖数: 3386 | 39 just a reminder, $NYMO and a few other breadth indicators usually
won't have updates until 5:00pm PST, sometimes less than 1 hour
after market close.
Either way, what you see in the early day is the previous trading day's
result. |
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b*****h
发帖数: 3386 | 40 You can, but the daily $NYMO chart from stockcharts.com is avaliable
only after market close. Most often I need to wait at least 1 hour. |
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C*G
发帖数: 7495 | 41 stockcharts的nymo的ratio是ajusted的吧？
dow 的小时线M-O 还是正的
hiahia |
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b*****h
发帖数: 3386 | 42 来自主题: _Stockcafeteria版 - 双顶？ 1200 or 1100, it's not what I'm looking at.
When about 90% of s&p 500 are above their 50 moving averages for 1 week,
with weak internals, such as $NYMO, it is high to me. If SPX reaches 1200
without correction in between, there would be 99% of them are above SMA50,
which never occurred in the past 5 years. Maybe it occurred long time ago.
If this crazy bull would run like that, it only makes me more bearish. |
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h**v
发帖数: 2010 | 43 这个看的是超买的NYMO指标。昨天已经达到极点，所以我做出今天要跌的判断，今天继
续爬高，让我比较吃惊，连着出掉两笔小多仓。这个指标一般是比较靠谱的，还是觉得
要跌。 |
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w*****y
发帖数: 2182 | 44 14800附近是师傅的dow range 附近, 图上看下周初再来个血跌,造成nymo的pd, 可能才
会到底, 不过那样好象就破了师傅的range了, 不好再看新高, 但这波下跌不是弱股领
先,所以这里很tricky,看看劳动节会发生什么事 |
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b*****h
发帖数: 3386 | 45 回头从MACD上看去年12月底到1月初的rally真弱。 |
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b*****h
发帖数: 3386 | 47 a leading diagonal count orginally proposed by alphahorn is getting more and
more attention:
This count is more aligned with your view, and $NYMO will form a postive
divergence at the bottome.
another count is the bearish count in the first post.
either one points to a new low.
&
Bespoke
decline |
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y*****l
发帖数: 5997 | 48 转贴老蛇
06/17/2010 After Bell Quick Summary
Remember the Extreme High NYMO Reading Chart I show you in the yesterday’s
After Bell Quick Summary? Here is the most recently chart, even more similar
to the January high 2009 market by blue cycle? Well, for fun only, as from
my experiences similarity seldom works.
I’m a little little little bit bearish toward tomorrow, the reason, when SPX up while TNX down 2.8%, short at today’s close and cover at tomorrow’s close, you’ll have 65% chances.
As for the s... 阅读全帖 |
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p**********r
发帖数: 108 | 49 RSI, MACD divergences are most important.
$NYMO positive divergence is important for identifying bottoms.
Cobra's blog is the best (not one of the best) for collecting
and presenting those kinds of technical indicators. For TA
indicators, just go there, one-stop shopping. :)
http://cobrasmarketview.blogspot.com/ |
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x********u
发帖数: 228 | 50 MCCLELLAN OSCILLATOR TURNS NEGATIVE ... On January 6, I wrote an explanation
of the McClellan Oscillator and its longer-range version which is the
Summation Index. The Oscillator measures short to intermediate momentum in
NYSE market breadth. It's the difference between the 19- and 39-day EMAs of
NYSE net advances. Readings over 100 market are overbought while a drop to -
100 is oversold. Chart 6 shows the NYMO rallying from oversold readings
during November and pulling back from an overbought r |
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