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全部话题 - 话题: propensity
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m****a
发帖数: 9485
1
来自主题: Belief版 - Pew Study on Mormons in America
“To be honest, I found the strong sentiment that ‘working to help the poor
’ is essential to being a good Mormon refreshing and a little surprising,”
said David Campbell, an LDS Church member who is an associate professor at
the University of Notre Dame and who consulted with the Pew Research Center
on the new survey. “As a Mormon, I would hope it would be that way, but I
wasn’t sure what to expect. It’s good to see the church’s genuine
compassion for the poor and needy reflected in these number... 阅读全帖
R********n
发帖数: 657
2
钱霖亮
【内容提要】区别于以往宗教社会学研究通过访谈已皈依基督教的欧美中国留学生来重
建他们信仰转换的论述,并探讨这一转换的理由,本文的田野调查个案深描了一个居住
在香港基督教社区里的基本上是非基督徒的内地留学生群体与基督教组织和人员互动的
动态过程。这一动态过程展示了在被积极传教的情况下,这群内地留学生如何做出了有
限地接受或拒绝宗教影响的反应,在这些反应背后有着复杂多样的个人理由。了解这些
个人理由的多样性和复杂性,并且透过这些个人理由审视香港—内地这一特殊的地缘与
社会脉络,发掘这个个案与其他个案相比的“另类性”,有助于更进一步地理解留学生
们在不同社会情境下所做出的信仰选择背后的理性考量。
【关键词】香港 基督教 留学生 宗教
一、 引言
改革开放以来,越来越多的中国学生到海外留学,而他们留学生涯中的宗教经历近
年来也越来越受到媒体和学术界的关注。不少报道都指出,许多留学欧美国家的中国留
学生皈依了基督教(金鑫,2005;唐黎标,2006)。学界对这一现象的研究主要集中在
讨论这些留学生在异国他乡选择皈依基督教的各种原因(Wang, 2004; Yang, 1998
, 199... 阅读全帖
T*****n
发帖数: 2456
3
来自主题: Reader版 - 最近在读Karl Popper的书
我发现这个版不错,干货很多,而且比较安静。Leisure版人太多啦,一不注意贴子就
被大水冲走了。。。
最近在读Karl Popper的科学哲学的书。Karl Popper这个人的介绍可以看wiki
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Karl_Popper
Sir Karl Raimund Popper (28 July 1902 – 17 September 1994), an Austro-
British philosopher. He is generally regarded as one of the greatest
philosophers of science of the 20th century.
记得八零年代后期卡尔波普在中国大陆也比较风靡,很多人谈到他的科学哲学。我家里
有一本中文版的《猜想与反驳》,就是那时候买的。他的最著名的理论,大概就是他的
科学观,问题产生科学,科学是可以“证伪”的。现在有兴趣来系统地读读他的作品。
我收集了一些书,列了一个书单:
1. The Logic of Scientific Discovery
2. P... 阅读全帖
l**********t
发帖数: 5754
4
来自主题: TrustInJesus版 - 【福音派版本】罗马书1:22-32

去行。
32 Who knowing the judgment of God, that they which commit such things are
worthy of death, not only do the same, but have pleasure in them that do
them.
"
Though this passage is variously explained, yet the following appears to me
the correctest interpretation, — that men left nothing undone for the
purpose of giving unbridled liberty to their sinful propensities; for having
taken away all distinction between good and evil, they approved in
themselves and in others those things which they ... 阅读全帖
g****m
发帖数: 996
5
Religion and Psychiatry
Irvin Yalom
宗教与精神病学
欧文亚隆

The American Psychiatric Association awarded Irvin Yalom the 2000 Oscar
Pfister prize (for important contributions to religion and psychiatry.) Here
is his acceptance speech delivered at the American Psychiatric Association
annual meeting in May 2000 at New Orleans. A version of this lecture has
been published in the American Journal of Psychotherapy (number three –
2002)
美国精神卫生协会将2000年奥斯卡菲斯特奖颁给欧文亚隆,奖励他在宗教与精神病学方
面做出的重要贡献。下面是他在2000年5月新奥尔良举行的美... 阅读全帖
j*******7
发帖数: 6300
6
【 以下文字转载自 LeisureTime 讨论区 】
发信人: jsolomon (凬貳癲), 信区: LeisureTime
标 题: 胡涣:对我影响最大的几本书(1)《圣经》 (转载)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Jan 13 19:40:16 2013, 美东)
【 以下文字转载自 Lei 俱乐部 】
发信人: jsolomon (凬貳癲), 信区: Lei
标 题: 胡涣:对我影响最大的几本书(1)《圣经》
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Jan 13 19:39:44 2013, 美东)
1
大约在五年前读到威廉.詹姆士(William James)的教育著作 Talks to Teachers on
Psychology,非常钦佩其对人类意识和认知这些极为复杂的过程的深刻理解。后来在书
店见到詹姆士的另一本名著 The Varieties of Religious Experience (以下简称为
Varieties), 正好宗教也是我感兴趣的话题,于是毫不犹豫地买下来。但是一读之下并
没有抓住我的注意力,于是这书就在书架上高高的地方被供起来。前... 阅读全帖
l**********t
发帖数: 5754
7
来自主题: TrustInJesus版 - 右脸左脸

好问题。
马 太 福 音
5:38 你 们 听 见 有 话 说 , 以 眼 还 眼 , 以 牙 还 牙 。
5:39 只 是 我 告 诉 你 们 , 不 要 与 恶 人 作 对 。 有 人 打 你 的 右 脸
, 连 左 脸 也 转 过 来 由 他 打 。
“有 人 打 你 的 右 脸 , 连 左 脸 也 转 过 来 由 他 打 “ 是针对“ 以 眼 还
眼 , 以 牙 还 牙”说的。重点是不要报仇 (“不 要 与 恶 人 作 对”)。
JFB Commentary on ver 39
"Our Lord's own meek, yet dignified bearing, when smitten rudely on the
cheek (Joh 18:22, 23), and not literally presenting the other, is the best
comment on these words. It is the preparedness, after one indignity, not to
invite but to submit m... 阅读全帖
J*******g
发帖数: 8775
8
来自主题: TrustInJesus版 - 金正恩vs耶和华
http://www.clearbibleanswers.org/questionsanswers/100-how-can-g
How can God PUNISH a person’s family to the 3RD AND 4TH GENERATION?
QUESTION 17
IS IT FAIR FOR GOD TO PUNISH THE INNOCENT? HE SAID, "VISITING THE INIQUITY
OF THE FATHERS UPON THE CHILDREN UNTO THE THIRD AND FOURTH GENERATION OF
THEM THAT HATE ME"! (EXODUS 20:5)
Only four times in Scripture this phrase is recorded. In Exodus
20:5, Exodus 34:7, Numbers 14:18, and Deuteronomy 5:9. These are all in the
writings of Moses. In E... 阅读全帖
m******n
发帖数: 6673
9
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
milkswan (好花堪折直须折) 于 (Sat Jul 2 16:00:05 2011, 美东) 提到:
承蒙老版主慷慨解囊,白山黑水版发100包子祝老乡们及亲朋好友在长周末过得开心,然后在随后的工作和学习中,精力更足,进步更大。
-------------------------------------------------------
update
鉴于许多老乡还不知道家乡版的存在,为了广为告之,决定加大奖励力度,增加到200个包子。
希望老乡们工作学习之余,也到家乡版逛逛,有什么开心不开心的事,也可以披个马甲上来说说。
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
eImo (elmo) 于 (Sat Jul 2 16:04:01 2011, 美东) 提到:
re
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
andysun (nn) 于 (Sat Jul 2 16:15:35 2011, 美东... 阅读全帖
m******n
发帖数: 6673
10
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
milkswan (好花堪折直须折) 于 (Fri Sep 9 07:56:52 2011, 美东) 提到:
明月易低人易散,归来呼酒更重看。
堂前月色愈清好,咽咽寒螀鸣露草。
卷帘推户寂无人,窗下咿哑唯楚老。
南都从事莫羞贫,对月题诗有几人。
--苏轼《中秋见月和子由》
老乡们节日好,周末愉快
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
JackJones (六-穷折腾-六) 于 (Fri Sep 9 08:45:25 2011, 美东) 提到:
re
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
tuniu (俏大妈) 于 (Fri Sep 9 08:54:02 2011, 美东) 提到:
祝老乡们节日好,周末愉快!
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
Dwayna (慢性子) 于 (Fri Sep 9 09:31:51 2011, 美东) 提... 阅读全帖
p***y
发帖数: 34
11
来自主题: Biology版 - paper help
1. Implementing a congestive heart failure disease management program to
decrease length of stay and cost.
J Cardiovasc Nurs. 1999 Oct;14(1):55-74.
Knox D, Mischke L.
2. Using Propensity Scores to Construct Comparable Control Groups for
Disease Management Program Evaluation
Disease Management & Health Outcomes: 2005 - Volume 13 - Issue 2 - pp 107-
115
Linden, Ariel; Adams, John L; Roberts, Nancy
email: d*******[email protected]
Thanks a lot!
n******d
发帖数: 680
12
来自主题: Biology版 - paper help,有包子奉上
麻烦版上哪位大能给个此文的全文PDF,有包子奉上。
非常感谢。
MAbs. 2014;6(6):1518-32. doi: 10.4161/mabs.36242.
Russell body phenotype is preferentially induced by IgG mAb clones with high
intrinsic condensation propensity: relations between the biosynthetic
events in the ER and solution behaviors in vitro.
Hasegawa H1, Woods CE, Kinderman F, He F, Lim AC.
l*****n
发帖数: 17
13
来自主题: ChineseMed版 - 求文章
我做研究需要借阅这篇文章,可是在学校的文献检索中无法拿到全文。如果哪位同学能
拿到此文章的电
子版本,是否能发给我b******[email protected]?谢谢!
这篇文章发表在2011年2月的Statistics in Medicine上。
Generalized propensity score for estimating the average treatment effect
of multiple treatments
k****h
发帖数: 944
14
来自主题: Economics版 - 如何model 这个
Thanks. Actually as long as all regions are ex ante identical, there would
be no migration among jurisdictions, regardless of the utility functions of
A and B. Because in equilibrium, all regions should have the same policies.
But i doubt that it is reasonable to simply add up two-period lifetime
utilities of all residents in both periods. Still for the same reason, the
population has propensity to move, and thus the composition may change. The
government has not much reason to concern the welfa
A2
发帖数: 588
15
Thank you, sir!
z*****r
发帖数: 967
16
来自主题: Economics版 - 来点严肃的宏观讨论
In short, the poor and the middle class.
The poor and middle class have the highest consumption propensity, much
higher than the rich. If the government redistribute the wealth to the poor
and middle class by offering jobs to them and by taxing them less, they will
get more wealth and higher spending power.
By the way, I oppose the idea of taxing everyone the property tax and
capital gain tax at the same rate (it's your second assumption). The ideal
tax policy should tax those who own more than
z***c
发帖数: 32
17
在做一个项目,是observational studies, 存在causal direction 不清楚的问题,做
了一个方向的causal assumption。现在想在模型里面在使用IV 或者PS的方法来控制一
下selection 的bias.
课题还用到了time series,应变量是一个事件发生与否,重要的变量有一个是地理距离
与医疗机构的远近,以及health service 的characteristics。
这种情况下,不知道用哪个方法比较好,IV或者PS?
不知道自己有没有说清楚!希望高手指点一下。
谢谢了
v****o
发帖数: 6
18
I suggest to use both...
z***c
发帖数: 32
19
为什么呢?能不能指点一下
c********n
发帖数: 112
a*********n
发帖数: 602
21
The path out of capitalism's second crisis
By Edmund S. Phelps
director of the Center on Capitalism and Society, Columbia University, and
winner
of the 2006 Nobel Prize in Economics
In countries operating a largely capitalist system, there does not appear to
be a
wide understanding among its actors and overseers of either its advantages
or its
hazards. Ignorance of what it can contribute has in the past led some
countries to
throw out the system or clip its wings. Ignorance of the hazards has ma... 阅读全帖
l*****n
发帖数: 17
22
来自主题: Economics版 - 求文章
我做研究需要借阅这篇文章,可是在学校的文献检索中无法拿到全文。如果哪位同学能
拿到此文章的电
子版本,是否能发给我b******[email protected]?谢谢!
这篇文章发表在2011年2月的Statistics in Medicine上。
Generalized propensity score for estimating the average treatment effect
of multiple treatments
a*********n
发帖数: 1331
23
因为data是secondary data,不是自己收集的,sampling不可能。只能用统计方法减少
bias的影响。
统计上基本上三种方法(如果还有其它好方法,请指正):
1、Heckman Two Steps
2、Propensity Scoring
3、Simultaneous Equation Modeling
各自适合什么情况,都有哪些优点、缺点?
有书/文章推荐吗?
b**s
发帖数: 589
24
来自主题: Macromolecules版 - First practical plastic magnets created
The new polymer was developed by Naveed Zaidi and his colleagues in
Durham's organic electroactive materials group. The team created the new
polymer from two compounds, emeraldine base polyaniline (PANi) and
tetracyanoquinodimethane (TCNQ). They chose PANi because it is a metal-like
electrical conductor that is stable in air. TCNQ was chosen because of its
propensity to form charged particles called free radicals........ X-ray
diffraction data showed an increase in the alignment of the poly
m****a
发帖数: 604
25
time series和econometrics学透了
-实践还是很重要的。
比如time series correlation 和cross-sectional correlation同时出现,你怎么消
除?很多时候,如果你试图都消除,会面临obs不够的问题。如果只能消除一个,怎么取舍?
efficiency 和unbiaseness之间怎么取舍?比如FamaFrench BM-size分组 VS
propensity score match,一个更efficient,一个更unbias,那用哪个?
z***c
发帖数: 32
26
来自主题: Statistics版 - Propensity score or Instrumental Variable?
在做一个项目,是observational studies, 存在causal direction 不清楚的问题,做
了一个方向的causal assumption。现在想在模型里面在使用IV 或者PS的方法来控制一
下selection 的bias.
课题还用到了time series,应变量是一个事件发生与否,重要的变量有一个是地理距离
与医疗机构的远近,以及health service 的characteristics。
这种情况下,不知道用哪个方法比较好,IV或者PS?
不知道自己有没有说清楚!希望高手指点一下。
谢谢了!
/贴在economics版上没有人理,到这里来碰碰运气。赫赫
z***c
发帖数: 32
27
来自主题: Statistics版 - Propensity score or Instrumental Variable?
谢谢楼上的。我同意你的看法。觉得相对来说IV好像更没有限制一点。但是同样的,
觉得找到一个好的IV又好像是根本不可能的感觉。还是谢谢了。
s*****h
发帖数: 232
28
来自主题: Statistics版 - Propensity score or Instrumental Variable?
agree. at least you can validate any of the possible IVs.
1. IV provides better balance of patient characteristics than treatment
variable.
2. IV is associated with treatment.

select
z***c
发帖数: 32
29
来自主题: Statistics版 - Propensity score or Instrumental Variable?
To sotough,
Thank you for your reply.
per your answer, can you tell more on how to validate IVs?
My understanding is that the decision of choosing IV is based on some prior
knowledge driven assumption. Isn't that true?
Also, IVs should be directly related to treatment but not the outcomes?
Please correct me if I am wrong. These methods are new to me. Thanks a
million.
o******6
发帖数: 538
30
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
violetfanlin (简单就是力量) 于 (Sun Mar 1 01:42:28 2009) 提到:
想知道为什么:Logistic regression is used extensively in the medical and
social sciences as well as marketing applications such as prediction of a
customer's propensity to purchase a product or cease a subscription.
将这个模型运用于这些领域是不是合理和符合实际呢?如果是,是由怎样的process和
method来prove的呢?
谢谢大牛们!
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
samleelyz (小蓝脸儿) 于 (Sun Mar 1 10:02:43 2009) 提到:
我不是大牛,我觉得用logistic regression是不
W**********E
发帖数: 242
31
来自主题: Statistics版 - 谁做过PROPENSITY SCORE的SIMULATION?
data sim;

do i=1 to 200;
/***generate x covariates****/;
x1=rand("normal",50,10);
x2=rand("normal",30,6);
x3=RAND('POISSON',10);
/***generate treatment***/;
lp=.5+0.65*x1-0.5*x2-0.8*x3+rand("normal",0,1);
p=exp(lp)/(1+exp(lp));
grp=RAND('BINOMIAL',p,1) ;
/***geenrate outcome***/;
y=5.9+1.2*x1-0.9*x2-0.9*x3-0.8*grp+rand("normal",0,0.8);
output;
end;
run;
proc logistic data=sim descending;
mo
s*r
发帖数: 2757
32
来自主题: Statistics版 - 谁做过PROPENSITY SCORE的SIMULATION?
change this
4) GENERATE OUTCOME
Y=C0+C1*X1+C2*X2+C3*X3+。。。。+BETA*GROUP;
into
y = beta* group
y*****5
发帖数: 62
33
来自主题: Statistics版 - 谁做过PROPENSITY SCORE的SIMULATION?

associated
更小偏差
W**********E
发帖数: 242
34
来自主题: Statistics版 - 谁做过PROPENSITY SCORE的SIMULATION?
Yes. weighting is one way. adjusting it as covariate is another way. or
matching etc.

as
b**********i
发帖数: 1059
35
来自主题: Statistics版 - 谁做过PROPENSITY SCORE的SIMULATION?
#simulation =200 太小,先调到 2000看看
b**********i
发帖数: 1059
36
来自主题: Statistics版 - 谁做过PROPENSITY SCORE的SIMULATION?
照我下面的做,你给个包子吧。
在loop外面加个loop,1000/500都随你。然后求个group effect 的mean。 monticarlo
simulation parameter estimate 也是random的不是。 您老就搞一个dataset就想歪
诗大街啊。
s*r
发帖数: 2757
37
来自主题: Statistics版 - 谁做过PROPENSITY SCORE的SIMULATION?
you really like this cofounding

associated
更小偏差
s*r
发帖数: 2757
38
来自主题: Statistics版 - 谁做过PROPENSITY SCORE的SIMULATION?
感觉应该大多数data都应该是这样

monticarlo
s*r
发帖数: 2757
39
来自主题: Statistics版 - 谁做过PROPENSITY SCORE的SIMULATION?
要不你做quantile stratification
把数据分组之后,在每个组里运行
proc glm ;
model y=grp x1 x2 x3;
run;
看grp effect的average是不是要比在所有data里面运行同样model的估计值更接近true
value
感觉这样的comparison比较公平
b**********i
发帖数: 1059
40
来自主题: Statistics版 - 谁做过PROPENSITY SCORE的SIMULATION?
不好意思,本事没有学人家要包子,哈哈。也不知道有什么用。
s*r
发帖数: 2757
41
来自主题: Statistics版 - 谁做过PROPENSITY SCORE的SIMULATION?
求电子书用
b**********i
发帖数: 1059
42
肯定有,需要run一下propensity model来adjustfy 一下
D*********2
发帖数: 535
43
来自主题: Statistics版 - Google 面经
二面,没啥好说的,输的心服口服,实力不行。桑心那~准备专心写thesis了。准备tech面试真是体力活。
1. what are the modeling techniques you have used?
2. what's the difference btw fixed effect model and mixed model? fixed effect Vs. random effect, how would you choose in practice/in your projects.
3. what are the techniques you use in longitudinal models/ survival models.
4. lots of questions about GLM: error structure, link function, estimation method, etc.
5. experience about SAS and R
6. experience of data manipulation
7. say you built a ... 阅读全帖
p********a
发帖数: 5352
44
对了,如果用PROPENSITY SCORING来选择CONTROL GROUP, BY AGE SEX GENDER
CLINICAL INDEX,是否正确?
a*********n
发帖数: 1331
45
来自主题: Statistics版 - propensity scoring怎么做
用哪些软件可以做?怎么做?
s*********e
发帖数: 1051
46
来自主题: Statistics版 - propensity scoring怎么做
any major statistical software should work.
again, it is not about software but about methodology.
a*********n
发帖数: 1331
47
来自主题: Statistics版 - propensity scoring怎么做
谢谢。怎么做?
b**********i
发帖数: 1059
48
来自主题: Statistics版 - propensity scoring怎么做
问题问的太不可专业,打回重写,哈哈。版主看来要做个问问题的模板。。。。。。。
。。。
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