T*********I
发帖数: 10729 | 1 好日望头，好日望头。
Muslim migrants amuse themselves by flipping up a woman’s dress in France.
As one migrant flips up the woman’s dress, the rest of the migrants outside
the store laugh hysterically.
A second assailant then slaps the woman in the butt.
The entire episode was captured on film and posted online.
Via Vlad Tepes (via Gateway Pundit): |
|
s*********r
发帖数: 9493 | 2 这个“理论”没什么新鲜的，我也不是第一个提出来的。很多Pundits都表达过类似观
点。
这两位校领导行为的后果之一就是让学生们（尤其是橄榄球队）突然意识到，“原来我
们是如此的有力量". |
|
|
b*****d
发帖数: 61690 | 4 Every show has an end. Just like "The Apprentice" — gripping the first few
few seasons, tired and contrived in the last — Donald Trump's campaign is
aging toward death, one reckless outburst at at time. Although the casual
political junkie wouldn't know by the looks of most polls, the media fetish
with The Donald and his cultish following.
With primaries a bit less than 50 days out, at this point, previously
skeptical pundits have assumed not only that Trump is the front-runner in
the GOP primar... 阅读全帖 |
|
T*********I
发帖数: 10729 | 5 要求不能太高。pundits就这个水平了。
我给nbc去个函，推荐加州猫去msnbc，至少比chris强。
加州猫至少列举的是什么十大理由，八大政绩，别管列举的质量多差、重复多多、笑话
百出，至少比chris动不动谈自己的腿部高潮要牛逼些吧？ |
|
b**********s
发帖数: 9531 | 6 所谓pundit都是一个套路的，通过人口分析，政策分析以及相关分析再加上一些模型，
然后得出结论，比如：如果骂了非法移民，就得罪的西移。
他们的方法表面上批了曾科学的外衣，但被trump发现了漏洞。当然不会只有trump发现
漏洞，但trump还有能力执行，那是另外的事了。
事实是，前面那么“如果骂了非法移民，就得罪的西移。”的结论是不对的。有两处不
对：
1。有些西移死活不会投共和党的，所以无所谓得罪与否
2。很多西移对非法移民不敢冒，比如没有非移亲戚，或者他自己工作也被非移抢了，
这些人不但不被得罪，反而支持。
3。这个结论隐含了另外一个结论，就是其他都一样，西医飘少，就总票少。这个“其
他都一样”是伪命题，比如trump反非移，说了很多人心里话，这些人会有更多的支持
trump，就算西移票减少，总票不一定少。
类似的就是股票分析，现在股票分析都搞不定，人群是更会变化的，怎么可能预测呢？
tear |
|
T*********I
发帖数: 10729 | 7 Thank you, Governor Rick Scott.
Political pundits are shocked that Donald Trump is leading in the polls. The
same thing happened in 2010 when I entered the Florida gubernatorial race
against the already anointed and establishment-endorsed sitting Republican
attorney general. One establishment member even said to me, “How can you be
governor? I don’t know you.” |
|
l******d
发帖数: 1633 | 8 还是有几个pundits 说rubio有希望upset trump的
cnn 的 bob beckel坚信这一点 |
|
s*********e
发帖数: 1814 | 9 媒体嘲笑，不信Trump要让墨西哥出钱修美墨之墙的承诺，自己却恰恰在扮演墨西哥的
角色——媒体出钱帮Trump竞选美国总统，而且相当成功
Trump在Iowa的第二名被媒体看成了失败。上一次一个非教徒，大嘴巴的纽约人，08年
的Rudy Giuliani在这个州只拿到了4%的选票。这个州大量的evangelical教徒远在投票
之前就已经决定投给谁，即使这样，Ted Cruz还要靠作弊才拿到第一。比Trump票还要
少的Rubio却被媒体当胜利者追捧。
Why does the mainstream media heap such scorn and disbelief on Donald Trump
over his promise to build a great wall along the border with Mexico — and
make Mexico pay for it? After all, Donald Trump has built a winning
presidential campaign — and made the media pay for it... 阅读全帖 |
|
T*********I
发帖数: 10729 | 10 说明这些pundits的标准是旧的，而TRUMP带来的这个movement和老百姓是新的动态。该
修正他们自己的标尺了。 |
|
b*****d
发帖数: 61690 | 11 The president warned the country is threatened by a “poisonous political
climate,” acknowledging many of the problems he pledged to address in his
2007 campaign announcement remain unsolved.
President Obama on Wednesday returned to Springfield, Ill. — where he
launched his first White House campaign nine years ago — to call for the
unity and civility in politics that has eluded his presidency.
Obama’s speech to the Illinois State Assembly comes amid a torrid political
season, in which firebrand ... 阅读全帖 |
|
|
s********t
发帖数: 4150 | 13 "Trump did something stupid again."
"Is it gonna hurt him?"
"Probably not."
"It may even help him a bit." |
|
|
b********n
发帖数: 38600 | 15 "This is the Republican front-runner, dissing the pope, unfriending
countries, becoming outraged when people confront him with his own words.
This guy could well be the Republican nominee, while serious news outlets
dismiss Bernie Sanders as not being a serious contender.
They say if Bernie wins, he won’t be able to push his liberal agenda
through Congress. But if Hillary wins, no liberal agenda will be making it
through Congress, and if a Republican wins, no liberal agenda will be making
it thr... 阅读全帖 |
|
t*******d
发帖数: 12895 | 16 Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump 45m45 minutes ago
People (pundits) gave me no chance in South Carolina. Now it looks like a
possible win. I would be happy with a one vote victory! (HOPE) |
|
c*******e
发帖数: 5818 | 17 虽然，这家伙可能也就睡4个小时，cruz的眼睛基本是肿的。
再一个，fox对trump很不友好，其它台还算可以。都对rubio不错，这家伙背台词真流
利，几个台的采访基本说的一样，但好像还没有意向主动攻击trump，we'll see
都对cruz很差，好像都觉得cruz够呛了，话里话外，你为吗不下去。
许多pundits 还是很delusion，只有几个开始觉得应该面对现实，他们的hope 是
rubio 一对一对trump。
RNC 的chairmen 还行，貌似还很公平。
总之，今年都叫trump 给搞的不知所措，还有些垂头丧气。trump还得努力earn it，不
容易。 |
|
n******g
发帖数: 17225 | 18 媒体有Cruz的死硬派也是不能理解。GOP establishment现在也反Cruz,甚至更恨Cruz希
望他早退。
难道这几个pundits支持Cruz纯粹因为ideology？ |
|
T*********I
发帖数: 10729 | 19 TRUMP尽力就好。须知pundits不会服输一定要证明TRUMP被打败了。可是选民不会太在
意debates。
debate重要，但是选总统又不是选律师。 |
|
c*******e
发帖数: 5818 | 20 这是真正一眼看明白的人，trump的voter 比较忠，小清新rubio原来还有反面的trump
形象，现在也一身泥，还嘴不干净，他的voter may be more shocked。
今早CBS 有个女pundit 说，rubio doing these，not only the problem of too late
, but actually too much, the counter
reaction maybe hurt him more than trump.
所以，rubio智商，情商也不行，gop一施压，这家伙就张嘴开咬，咬也行，就是咬的有
些下撕烂。 |
|
c*******o
发帖数: 8869 | 21 昨天有个pundit说中央有意让他推选，以之为交换，推他竞选如表腾出来的senator位
置，，.... |
|
q*****n
发帖数: 2570 | 22 Exit Poll: 6 In 10 Super Tuesday GOP Voters Support Trump’s Muslim Ban
As the Super Tuesday exit polls roll in, as we have learned on previous
election nights, Donald Trump’s proposal to temporarily ban foreign Muslims
from entering the United States is wildly popular with Republican voters.
Throughout the Super Tuesday states, a full 60% of Republican voters back
the Trump plan. Forty-percent want illegals deported, which is the law.
It is important to keep in mind that after Trump proposed t... 阅读全帖 |
|
x****d
发帖数: 2239 | 23 From Guardian:
The Hispanic attorney (29, Florida)
‘He has demonstrated that he is, at heart, a caring person’
On paper, I probably look like a guaranteed Cruz or Rubio vote. I’m a
millennial woman, my parents immigrated from Castro’s Cuba, I work as a
trial attorney in Miami and I’m a born-again Christian. But I’m voting for
Donald Trump, and I’ve convinced all my friends and family to do so as
well.
My sister worked for him and has spoken glowingly of him for years, just
like everyone else who... 阅读全帖 |
|
l******d
发帖数: 1633 | 24 没看出啥水平来，说的和电视上的 pundit 没啥区别
trump要是都听这些话，根本到不了现在的位置，
trump的竞选策略有些我也不理解，但这几个月的成功让我相信trump多过这些七嘴八舌
的意见 |
|
p*****n
发帖数: 3678 | 25 同满意。Trump 已经创造了历史。让 pundit 们的预言一个接一个的破产。rewrite
the political rules. |
|
|
c*******e
发帖数: 5818 | 27 1976 年， Ford 对 Reagan，Ford 1187， Reagan 1070; 领先117个 delegate，最后
Ford 胜出。
当然，Ford 是建制派，Reagan 是outsider，跟今年很不同，trump和cruz GOP 建制派
都不喜欢，kasich落后太多，如果大会强插进来，太反选民意见，GOP这个党基本完了
，估计一代人内都缓不过来。
另外，trump对cruz要是领先比较大，GOP怎么玩，也得想想。
现在，GOP里的几个大头，应该多听听Newt，跟trump，cut a deal， move on，没人能
have everything，现在是GOP里的一些“虾米”很难受，trump上台，他们估计饭碗就
没了。
尤其是哪些所谓的pundit，媒体政治达人，他们就靠忽悠候选人过日子。今年，trump
基本没有什么advisor之类的，he is his own man，多数靠自己的instinct 竞选。
这帮人，不但一点油水没捞到，未来还可能没了饭碗。估计气疯了，所以，就现在这帮
人跳的最欢，天天嚷嚷broker convention，挤掉trum... 阅读全帖 |
|
b*****d
发帖数: 61690 | 28 No, Not Trump, Not Ever
David Brooks
David Brooks MARCH 18, 2016
The voters have spoken.
In convincing fashion, Republican voters seem to be selecting Donald Trump
as their nominee. And in a democracy, victory has legitimacy to it. Voters
are rarely wise but are usually sensible. They understand their own problems
. And so deference is generally paid to the candidate who wins.
And deference is being paid. Gov. Rick Scott of Florida is urging
Republicans to coalesce around Trump. Pundits are comi... 阅读全帖 |
|
发帖数: 1 | 29 说穆斯林年青人本来就自卑，比利时社会还不善待他们
就差直接说“活该”了。还拿德国举例子，说德国融入工作做得好，穆斯林就不闹事。
下一个炸弹该给柏林了。
另外，说比利时安全极差。爆炸完以后记者坐车从机场一路就做到了荷兰。没有任何
SCREEN。
以前出事以后也是紧几天马上就松了。
我看欧洲还是早玩球早超生。别等普金大帝廉颇老矣。 |
|
l******d
发帖数: 1633 | 30 我心里同意你和楼主的看法，但trump这几个月来把常规竞选策略的candidate, pundit
, consultant的脸都打肿了，我目前还倾向于相信 trump ，直到事实证明他的方法不
成功为止 |
|
m****g
发帖数: 2215 | 31 Cruz can only blame himself by making such a stupid mistake.
These conservative pundits will change their minds the next day after Cruz
is out.
Trump will have more than half a year to fix the bridge before GE. Half a
year! In the past half-year,
Trump knocked out Scott Walker, Rand Paul, Jeb Bush, Mark Rubio and Ted Cruz
soon.
And don't overestimate the GOPe. Romney lost like a girl 4 years ago. Jeb
was out of the race after squandering $150mm. They are always losers.
想 |
|
a***4
发帖数: 1112 | 32 Bill Pierce VIA| The reports are coming in from Wisconsin; Trump supporters
are seeing their votes being switched to Cruz.
unitedmediapublishing.com reports: People voting for Donald Trump in today’
s Wisconsin primary are seeing their ballots changed to show a vote for Ted
Cruz.
Calls began flooding in early this morning to Madison-based ABC affiliate
WKOW with reports of voting machines across the state switching votes
entered for GOP frontrunner Donald Trump to his establishment counterpart
T... 阅读全帖 |
|
a***4
发帖数: 1112 | 33 Bill Pierce VIA| The reports are coming in from Wisconsin; Trump supporters
are seeing their votes being switched to Cruz.
unitedmediapublishing.com reports: People voting for Donald Trump in today’
s Wisconsin primary are seeing their ballots changed to show a vote for Ted
Cruz.
Calls began flooding in early this morning to Madison-based ABC affiliate
WKOW with reports of voting machines across the state switching votes
entered for GOP frontrunner Donald Trump to his establishment counterpart
T... 阅读全帖 |
|
h******y
发帖数: 351 | 34 坚定不移的反对现有的system。恰到好处的揭露Lyin` Ted的虚伪。把这次CO的选举作
弊狠狠敲打一下。
http://www.wsj.com/articles/let-me-ask-america-a-question-14606
On Saturday, April 9, Colorado had an “election” without voters. Delegates
were chosen on behalf of a presidential nominee, yet the people of Colorado
were not able to cast their ballots to say which nominee they preferred.
A planned vote had been canceled. And one million Republicans in Colorado
were sidelined.
In recent days, something all too predictable has happened: Politi... 阅读全帖 |
|
b**********s
发帖数: 9531 | 35 楼主没有提到Trump 赢得纽约市50%西裔选民，another bad sign for Hillary
GOP frontrunner Donald Trump won more than 50 percent of the Hispanic vote
in New York City, according to exit polls.
Analysis of the New York Times‘ vote tracker shows Trump won 61 percent in
areas with at least a 50 percent Hispanic population.
“It’s an unexpected victory to many political pundits and establishment
Republicans who were sure Mr. Trump would [repel] the Hispanic vote through
his bombastic statements and immigration plan,” the... 阅读全帖 |
|
w******z
发帖数: 1872 | 36 川普后面的路估计也不会太平坦
川普走到现在真不容， 完全靠走草根路线啊 |
|
|
l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 38 by Ann Coulter4 May 2016
A guy just won the Republican nomination for president by spending no money,
hiring no pollsters, running virtually no TV ads, and just saying what he
truly believed no matter how many times people told him he couldn’t say
that.
I always hoped I’d see this once before I died. It’s like to going to
Mecca, for Americans. Pay attention, because it’s the last time we’re
going to see it in our lifetimes.
For those of you not yet on the Trump Train, I know you don’t want to vo... 阅读全帖 |
|
s********t
发帖数: 4150 | 39 A Washington Post pundit who vowed in October to eat his column if Donald
Trump secured the Republican nomination for president proved Thursday his
word is good, even if it tastes bad.
Dana Milbank feasted on all 18 inches of his October column predicting Trump
’s downfall in a lunchtime event livestreamed and posted on the newspaper’
s Facebook page.
“I’ve got a little newspaper in my molar,” Milbank quipped, following the
humbling helping of newsprint crow plated by Del Campo Chef Victor Albis... 阅读全帖 |
|
c*******e
发帖数: 5818 | 40 有一点点surprise，因为原来在初选时，有几个所谓的pundit 还算说些公道话，现在
几乎一边倒的 诋毁 trump，什么 hillary 是个 破盒子，但还是可以修复，trump 是
代表 最“阴暗”的一面，这盒子打开了，就几十年都合不上了等等。
估计媒体boss 发话了，对trump 全面开战，想想要是其它GOP 候选人，估计毁之轻松
，trump 还算有些免疫力，而且对媒体运作 熟悉，有时侯甚至反操作。
现在就剩 fox 还算中立些，其它哪四个，已完全上了hillary 的 train。 |
|
h*******u
发帖数: 15326 | 41 Polls
Election 2016
Video
Writers
More
up next: Trump Exposes Liberal Journalists Disdain for American Voters
now reading: Why Trump Might Win
636 Shares
Why Trump Might Win
AP Photo/Ted S. Warren, file
Why Trump Might Win
633 Shares
By Robert Reich
May 24, 2016
A new Washington Post/ABC News poll released Sunday finds Donald Trump and
Hillary Clinton in a statistical tie, with Trump leading Clinton 46 percent
to 44 percent among registered voters. That’s an 11 percent swing ... 阅读全帖 |
|
|
m********g
发帖数: 10469 | 43 这左疯婆子一看又要悲愤了
I was wrong: Trump WILL be the next president
Jake Novak | @jakejakeny
COMMENTSJoin the Discussion
A few months ago, I wrote that Donald Trump would win the GOP presidential
nomination – but that would be the end of the line for him. I was sure that
Trump just couldn't shore up enough of the already too small Republican
base to win in November, thus nearly guaranteeing not only a loss but a big
loss to Hillary Clinton in the general election.
Well, I was wrong.
Presidential Repub... 阅读全帖 |
|
|
y***r
发帖数: 16594 | 45 下面这些人要被钉在耻辱柱上了。
Former presidents and presidential nominees
Former President George H.W. Bush
Former President George W. Bush
Former first lady Barbara Bush
Former presidential nominee Mitt Romney
Ex-2016 presidential candidates
Ohio Gov. John Kasich
Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush
South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham
Texas Sen. Ted Cruz
Sitting or former governors and members of Congress
Arizona Sen. Jeff Flake
Nevada Sen. Dean Heller
Nebraska Sen. Ben Sasse
Illinois Sen. Mark Kirk
Maine Sen. Susan ... 阅读全帖 |
|
发帖数: 1 | 46 DEM doesn't care about their lives
DEM only wants to maximize votes, wherever that comes from.
Gays can be sacrificed if that appeases Muslims.
http://pjmedia.com/trending/2016/06/12/gay-activist-after-orlando-trump-voter
I also now realize, with brutal clarity, that in the progressive hierarchy
of identity groups, Muslims are above gays. Every pundit and politician --
and that includes President Obama and Hillary Clinton and half the talking
heads on TV -- who today have said "We don't know wha... 阅读全帖 |
|
h***1
发帖数: 2263 | 47 再访肯尼索(Kennesaw)作者：杰夫·诺克斯（Jeff Knox）
（2008年10月7日）在1981年，伊利诺伊州莫顿格罗夫(Morton Grove)，成为美国第一
个通过了禁止拥有手枪的法律的城镇。只有警察和现役军人履行公务时才能有手枪。作
为对此法律的响应，乔治亚州的肯尼索镇在1982年3月通过了自己的拥枪法律。肯尼索
的法律和莫顿格罗夫的法律几乎完全相反。肯尼索不但不禁止居民拥有手枪，反而规定
每个家庭保持至少一支枪械及弹药 - 只有那些其宗教或哲学反对持有或使用武器的居
民可以不遵守此法律。换句话说，拥有枪支是强制性的。
当莫顿格罗夫瞬间成了媒体的宠儿时，肯尼索则成为一个倍受羞辱和谴责的城市。媒体
的权威人士和“记者”嘲笑并大胆地预测这个亚特兰大北边几英里外的小镇的街道上很
快就会血流成河。很长时间里大家仍可以偶尔从某个深夜脱口秀主持人或某些新闻主播
那里听到嘲笑肯尼索的笑话，但所有的西部牛仔持枪乱射的预测一点儿都不靠谱。当然
，绝大部分媒体忽略了他们预测的失败，以及这个可以比较禁枪拥枪实验数据的机会。
当实验开始时，肯尼索和莫顿格罗夫并不是站在一个公平的起跑线上。肯尼... 阅读全帖 |
|
g****e
发帖数: 1829 | 48 we are talking about polls, not opinions of pundits. please don't confuse
yourself.
of |
|
a**t
发帖数: 3833 | 49 CNN hires Corey Lewandowski as political commentator
June 23 NEW YORK
Three days after being ousted from the Donald Trump campaign, Corey
Lewandowski is a political commentator for CNN.
On Thursday Lewandowski joined CNN's stable of political experts who appear
across the channel's newscasts and talk shows.
For CNN executives, the hiring was a coup. Lewandowski brings first-hand
experience running a historic presidential campaign.
But his hiring was also highly controversial, even within the new... 阅读全帖 |
|
i**********k
发帖数: 5274 | 50 A new Reuters poll has many Republicans worried about the outcome of the
2016 presidential race--and many on the Democratic side ready to pop the
champagne corks.
The poll shows presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton leading by a
shocking 14 percent over her Republican rival Donald Trump: 47 percent to 33
percent.
Unfortunately there’s one problem with the poll. It is heavily skewed.
The Gateway Pundit reports that of Reuters’ 1,201 respondents, 626 were
Democrats and only 423 were Repub... 阅读全帖 |
|
