w*******g
发帖数: 9932 | 1 well, I had this problem before. PD current but namecheck didn't pass. Later
PD retrogressed and not until 2 years later did it become current again.
So I wrote to the white house. It worked. |
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W*********r
发帖数: 989 | 2 Will bundle with EB2I and retrogression happen to EB2C in the second
scenario? |
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w**2
发帖数: 26 | 3 没问visa number, the lady mentioned that since the TSC/USCIS are aware of
the quota might get retrogress and to get as many cases processed as
possible before that, so they overflow cases. Bad, or good news?
to ZZHN, is it normal for the employment-based case to get 面试？ |
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H**E
发帖数: 620 | 4 then EB1 will be retrogressed too... just like EB2 now....
it's useless unless they remove the visa number limits. |
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e**o
发帖数: 131 | 5 priority date retrogression |
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f*******8
发帖数: 1430 | 6 事实上很多印度人的EB3转EB2的PERM很容易就批准了，仅仅花两三个月的时间。甚至连
audit都没有, 即使当前的高失业率。看看这个：
Posted by legalalien2010 (13) 13 hours 50 minutes ago
to indiaBull:
totally false I myself got my PERM approved in 3 months and have seen about
7 more people who filed since last 6 months who have gotten eb2 PERM
approved in less than 3-4 months, avg nowadays is 2 months. guys :0 you know
why these people say this..they dont want eb3 india people suffering from
retrogression to get ahead of them in the line...ignore the two ab... 阅读全帖 |
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a****l
发帖数: 8211 | 7 I think they want to avoid retrogression now. As for the current status,
although the usage is more than monthly quota, it still stays within the
yearly quota, so the worst case is just that they stick with that date for a
year, so there is not much benefit for going back. |
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f*******e
发帖数: 4531 | 8 There is no benefit for eb2c if eb2i retrogresses. Let it be.
In fact, this create a precedence which potentially benefit us in the future
. |
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f*******e
发帖数: 4531 | 9 I think most of his response is reasonable if you try to interpret his way.
After all, he is an official and tries not to make statements that make his
job difficult. We just need to think through the caveate to find out what
he truly meant. Blaming him won't help much.
What he meant EB is fine truly meant that the movement will likely fall into
the range that he has specified in Dec VB. Not much to expect. But, there
will at least be VB movement not retrogression. |
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N*********L
发帖数: 517 | 10 Regarding Feb VB, here is response from Mr. O.
"I provided projections for the coming months in the bulletin with the
December dates. I do not expect any forward movement in the Family dates
for at least several months, and hope that I do not have to retrogress those
dates further. Employment is fine."
We will continue following up with Mr. O provide you the updates.
Your suggestion is highly appreciated.
NIU |
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f*******e
发帖数: 4531 | 11 Demand is too high. FB dates may be even retrogressed later. |
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N*********L
发帖数: 517 | 12 NIU have requested Mr. O to implement quarterly spill over. Here is
response from Mr. O regarding visa demand during Q1 FY2011.
"At this time I don’t have any idea about the date, but the December
bulletin provided estimates for the coming months. Both the China E2/E3
have exceeded their quarterly limits on the assumption that returns will
bring the level back to the limit. This is a routine process, and also
limits the potential for erratic forward/backward movement of the cut-off
date. It... 阅读全帖 |
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d***d
发帖数: 11 | 13 Yes, there have been only a few I-485 approvals recently, but your
priority date is current now and so you
are eligible for approval at any time now.
Visa number is not likely to retrogress backward in the future months
, so you will remain eligible for
approval for the next few months. There is no need to worry |
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f*******e
发帖数: 4531 | 14 What you said only helps if there is not enough ROW spill overs to let EB2I
catch up EB2C.
For FY10, "the Chinese FFA is actually throw into the same pool as ROW" did
not happen because O did not retrogress EB2C in July. However, the final
result does not change no matter whether "the Chinese FFA is actually throw
into the same pool as ROW" or not.
The key is that FFA is allocated first and ROW spill over is allocated later
. If this sequence does not change, nothing will change. You can do... 阅读全帖 |
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d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 15 EB2 Predictions (Rather Calculations)
http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showthread.php?4-EB2-Predictions-
WELCOME TO Q'S IMMIGRATION BLOG
Based on the latest 2010 EB approval reports, this is the current status and
predictions for EB2.
THIS IS THE MOST PESSIMISTIC SCENARIO BEING PAINTED. SO DON'T KILL THE
MESSENGER. TRY AND UNDERSTAND THE RATIONALE BEHIND.
Acronyms
SOFAD - Spillover Fall Across and Down
SO - Spillover
FA - Fall Across
FD - Fall Down
CD - Cutoff Date
PD - Priority Date
PD阅读全帖 |
|
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d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 17 来自：Immigration Voice ， 不过还没有做到CURRENT。
It is not data management. They need quite a few months to see the trend.
This is what I see is happening.
1. EB1 C crack down. As there is another blog saying more EB1 140 scrutiny.
Also one post about congressmen getting email about those India companies. I
also heard from our company lawyers as well, CIS started to take a close
look at those Eb1 cases since later 2010. The effect is felt now as EB1 140
takes some time approval while EB1 485 is quick (alm... 阅读全帖 |
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G******e
发帖数: 44 | 18 Thanks, Ranier. I have a few more comments.
Last year, many people had expected more EB2 ROW spillover number than what
EB2I&C actually got. This is because of the increased number (surge) of EB2
ROW approval toward the end of 2010 fiscal year.
EB3IC to EB2IC conversion is unknown. O has not retrogressed EB2I cut-off
date. This seems to indicate the EB3I upgrade mostly got offset by their own
quota and the number is not as bad as we have thought previously.
I agree with what you mentioned in ano... 阅读全帖 |
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d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 19 Originally Posted by gc_on_demand
Visa allocation chief mentioned in AILA comment that USCIS knows visa usage
pattern. Which means that they know pending I 140 for EB1 in pipeline and
they also know that average time to get approve new I 140 is X months ( 4
months ) so they know if person files in May 2011 chances are rare that he/
she can get GC from 2011 quota.I am not saying is that applicant can't get
it but when u look at I 485 complexity and add scrutinity on EB1 I 140 its
more than 4 mon... 阅读全帖 |
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d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 20 http://www.usimmlaw.com/current_information.htm
India, China and the "Otherwise Unused" Employment Visas Numbers
Is the Visa Office Discriminating Against China?
(short answer is "no")
(This posting was prepared April 4, 2011, before publication of the May Visa Bulletin)
The State Department is about to start allocating more than 12,000 extra visa numbers to EB2 applicants. Most will go to applicants from India. The EB2 India date in the May Visa Bulletin will advance for the first time since ... 阅读全帖 |
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l********r
发帖数: 28 | 21 移民局应该被我们吓坏了，出榜安民。表示不会在制定排期上与中国人民过不去。但同
时以不认为今年的排期会达到2007年
请看附件
来不及仔细阅读，希望大家一起来解读其中含义
谢谢
1
EB-2 Story
India, China and the “Otherwise Unused Employment Visas Numbers
Is the Visa Office Discriminating Against China?
(Short Answer Is “No”)
courtesy of Jay Solomon
(this posting was prepared April 4, 2011, before publication of the May Visa Bulletin)
The State Department is about to start allocating more than 12,000 extra visa numbers
to EB-2 applicants. Most will go to applicants from India. The EB-... 阅读全帖 |
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h*******r
发帖数: 909 | 22 This bulletin summarizes the availability of immigrant numbers during April.
开宗明义，visa bulletin是关于4月份’ the availability of immigrant numbers’
，也就
是关于4月的绿卡核发。
Consular officers are required to report to the Department of State
documentarily qualified applicants for numerically limited visas; the Bureau
of Citizenship and Immigration Services in the Department of Homeland
Security reports applicants for adjustment of status.
非常明确，uscis汇报‘applicants for adjustment of status’，也就是有多少
demand，也
就是有多少48... 阅读全帖 |
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f*******8
发帖数: 1430 | 23 From IV:
It is said that due to uncertainty of Portability numbers, USCIS was
conservative in advancing the dates for May 2011. If USCIS tries to be
conservative in the coming months and advances the dates only during the
last month i.e. Sep 2011, it's a concern for us. The spill over number to
EB2-I/C is higher than normal this year (unless there is a substantial
increase in the usage of EB1 numbers in the coming months which seems
unlikely) and there might be a chance of large numbers being le... 阅读全帖 |
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d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 24 来自IV，分析的头头是道，有理有据：）， 此人不当起DOS的重任，真是屈才了。至少应该做奥本的顾问，那我们的排期也就大幅前进有望了。
DOS dilemma in the coming month
1. DOS has to rely on demand data to set PD for VB.
2. DOS wishes to have some inventory, as EB2I consume about 15K-30K per year
3. According to law, they can not move it fast after Sept 2011, as there
will be visible demand > 2800 EB2I supply.
4. They will have to stay pretty much around the last PD in 2011 (Sept 2011
PD).
5. As inventory is getting low, DOS cannot still move PD too much according... 阅读全帖 |
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H**E
发帖数: 620 | 25 it's clearly explained here:
http://www.travel.state.gov/visa/bul...etin_5452.html
As mentioned in the May Visa Bulletin, Section 202(a)(5) of the Immigration
and Nationality Act (INA) prescribes rules for the use of potentially “
otherwise unused” Employment numbers. During May the India Employment
Second preference cut-off date is governing the use of such numbers, because
India had reached its Employment Second annual limit.
Since October there has been heavy demand by applicants "upgrading"... 阅读全帖 |
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d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 26 老O说话越来越谨慎，也可以说从来不说实话。不知下月能不能继续前进，千万不要后
退，估计一个月之内不会增加太多，就想５月一样。
As mentioned in the May Visa Bulletin, Section 202(a)(5) of the Immigration
and Nationality Act (INA) prescribes rules for the use of potentially “
otherwise unused” Employment numbers. During May the India Employment
Second preference cut-off date is governing the use of such numbers, because
India had reached its Employment Second annual limit.
Since October there has been heavy demand by applicants "upgrading" their
status from E... 阅读全帖 |
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Q*K
发帖数: 3464 | 27 以我对O的了解，此人极其保守，透露出来的信息更是。
就在几天前我问他06年9月的PD什么时候能到，呀居然说年底有希望（kao）
这次能在5,6月份就释放12000剩余名额，未来三个月肯定会更多。
我估计至少15000到20000，很可能清空07大潮。
他的VB里面其实就是说如果没啥变化，这样的前进幅度还会继续。我不相信能有什么变
化。大部分的人都赶在07年交了485.新来的不多。阿三每个月升级的估计有200到300，
成不了什么气候。
“Should there be a sudden or
significant increase in India and China Employment Second preference
demand it may be necessary to slow, stop, or retrogress that cut-off
date as we approach the end of fiscal year 2011.”
还没交485的赶紧做准备吧。到时候排起一到马上交。
祝大家早日拿到绿卡。今年是个大大大年！！！ |
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w*******g
发帖数: 9932 | 28 you can always be optimistic.
I got the worst story.
Before I got GC, I was laying on my bed thinking whether I should marry my
gf so
that she can get on the boat the same time.
Of course, the answer was negative and we ended up married after I got my GC.
At that time, I thought GC's I-130 petition takes a long time and should be
longer than Eb2. She is lucky to submit 485 before 2007/7. So I thought I
don't need to file I-130 since for sure she will get Eb2 approved faster.
How wrong I was. Fam... 阅读全帖 |
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d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 29 June 2011 I-485 Inventory and Notes on EB2 & EB3 Category
http://us-non-immigrants.blogspot.com/2011/05/june-2011-i-485-i
Saturday, May 28, 2011 | AOS , Green Card , I-485 Inventory , Immigration ,
June 2011 , USCIS
Edited - May, 30 - 2011 for additional information and editorial corrections.
Thank you everyone for posting the link to newly released USCIS I-485
Pending Inventory as of June 2011. I have finished analyzing inventory up to
some extent. We are glad it was released now since I am con... 阅读全帖 |
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H**E
发帖数: 620 | 30 hard to say.. you never know what they are going to do..
they may make a big step forward just to build inventory, and then
retrogress again... depending on inventory number.. who knows. |
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G*********o
发帖数: 2045 | 31 这个肯定了吧，错过大潮是啥意思？在PD retrogress之前没有交485？ |
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r****e
发帖数: 3109 | 32 if vb does not retrogress that much in oct and your pd remains current, your
case can still be approved at any time |
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s******n
发帖数: 340 | 33 How come?
You may be able to submit 485, but won't get approved in 11. Think about
the name check process. Plus, PD might retrogress after summer.
I suggest you change job. |
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r********n
发帖数: 1162 | 34 Possible timeline prediction:
1. Q1 or Q2 of 2008 by Sep 2011. 35k new demand will rush into the system
2. Retrogress back to March/April of 2007 starting from Oct. 2011(1st day of
FY2012).
3. Then move slowly from March 2007 to July 2007 by Q3 of FY 2012.
4. In the summer of 2012, they should advance PD into 2008, then open gate again, maybe move to Q1/Q2 of 2009. |
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r****e
发帖数: 3109 | 35 they moved FB ahead to build up inventory and then retrogressed last year.
didn't make it c |
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d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 36 http://us-non-immigrants.blogspot.com/2011/06/july-2011-visa-bu
Our Analysis on EB Category after July Visa Bulletin Release
EB3-ROW-M-P - EB3 ROW moved by three weeks to October 08, 2005. As seen with
last few months, EB3-ROW only used 1400 visas from the visible demand. At
this pace EB3-ROW can ONLY reach mid November by September 2011 visa
bulletin. Either lot of the annual visa consumption is going into approving
monthly cases returned from Local Offices to USCIS or these visas are
utilized ... 阅读全帖 |
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j********t
发帖数: 92 | 37 今天收到公司律师的email:
Dear XXX:
The Dept of State just posting its July 2011 Visa Bulletin, and there has
been quite a leap ahead for your priority date category, making your
priority date current as of July 1st! You do not need to do anything at this
time. Our office will continue to monitor your case, and during July, if we
see that the August Visa Bulletin shows a retrogression making your
priority date return to not being current, we will push the USCIS to
adjudicate the I-485 during the month of ... 阅读全帖 |
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r****e
发帖数: 3109 | 38 even if it's sept, the key point is whether and how much it will retrogress
in oct. |
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S*******r
发帖数: 11017 | 39 since there won't be too many PWMBers left for 2007 PD?
Is it correct to assume that how fast the VB progress after the retrogress
next FY will largely depend on how long it takes USCIS to pre-adjudicate the
newly accepted I-485s? |
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r********n
发帖数: 1162 | 40 I want to share some information from Indians.
Mr.Q is a very informative Indian guy. His information has been very
accurate in the past several months. He is super knowledgable about EB2-3.
He is also very good at data analysis. His latest comment regarding the
coming two VBs. He predicts that VB can reach the Q2/Q3 of 2008.
http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showthread.php?4-EB2-Predictions-
The key messages are:
Based on USCIS processing times and Trackitt data it seems EB1 and EB2ROW
both are ver... 阅读全帖 |
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H*********S
发帖数: 22772 | 41 in Sep or OCt bulleting thtey will probably move dates 1
year ahead to take in large applciations and then retrogress dates in
November.
跟我说的一个意思，“假排期”是必要的，收可观数量的485上来，build an
inventory，慢慢消化，积蓄力量以待明年夏天再次放水 |
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y*****w
发帖数: 1350 | 42 Their spouses (with old PD, like 2006) became current in summer 2008, so they got a chance to submit their I-485 applications, but they needed at least several months to get their name check etc. done before their I-485 could be approved, however the visa bulletin in the next month retrogressed and their status became non current and was kept unchanged till Jan 2011. Their I-485 could have already been approved by now. |
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r********n
发帖数: 1162 | 43 Mr.O does not care how many cases China EB2 has, but he bind China and India
anyway. Frankly Chinese EB2 demand is not very high at all. Mr.O binded C&I
in 2007. I think it does not make any sense. Koreans are getting more EB2
visa number than Chinese, but they never got combined with India.
There is no place to argue with Mr.O. He does what he thinks is right. EB3
China has much less number than India EB3, but he retrogress them anyway.
There is no law in this stupid immigration system. Law has... 阅读全帖 |
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r**********u
发帖数: 1343 | 44 Very reasonable,
Hopefully O is not crazy |
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a****l
发帖数: 8211 | 45 那这就是一个很坏的消息了.10月不倒退的话就是说8,9月不会大前进,特别是不会大前
进build up inventory.
all.
EB2
cases |
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y*****w
发帖数: 1350 | 46 The attorney's judgment and reasoning should be directed to O by NIU. |
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S*******r
发帖数: 11017 | 47 You are very lucky to have such an accessible and insightful lawyer.
Most of XDJMs here including me are stuck with stupid lawyers that don't
have any clue of what's going on.
Thanks again for sharing! |
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y***n
发帖数: 6764 | 48 你律师专业的解释基本上符合了我的猜想：如果这次绿潮能解决中国07大潮的话，中印
的EB2应该松绑了。
all.
EB2
cases |
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S*******r
发帖数: 11017 | 49 还得看O傻如何预测大潮后EB2C的需求啊
要是那B死活认定EB2C每年需求还大于2800
肯定不肯给我们松绑啊 |
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t*****e
发帖数: 2228 | 50 恕欧直言，您这也太消极了，横竖都不好，难道八九月大前进十月倒退才是好消息才是
可信的消息？ 如果不前进就停滞好了。anyway.. |
|
