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全部话题 - 话题: scenarios
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T8
发帖数: 157
1
只有发动战争才能拯救美国经济--诺贝尔奖得主如是说
费尔德斯坦,克鲁格曼同意:另一场战争可能有用
来自两个政治派别的经济学家预测未来几年就业状况险恶
两场战争还不够。
两位著名经济学家--一位保守主义者和一位自由主义者--今天说,美国经济前景如此险
恶,完全没有政治解决方法,只有另一场大规模的战争可能才能把美国从长期的高失业
和低速增长中解救出来。
纽约时报专栏作家、诺贝尔奖得主保罗·克鲁格曼和哈佛大学的费尔德斯坦--他曾在里
根总统时期担任过政府经济顾问委员会(Council of Economic Advisers)主席--在华盛
顿的一个经济论坛上对于未来达成令人不安的一致。第三位经济学家、高盛集团(
Goldman Sachs)的Jan Hatzius 也同意这种看法。Jan Hatzius 说,他能预测到的唯
一的经济状况不是“相当坏”就是“很坏”。
至于重新回到充分就业,克鲁格曼说他的估计是“基本上不可能。没有迹象表明那种事
会发生。”克鲁格曼说,美国陷于如此暗淡的后衰退期的低谷,相比之下,“我们要把
日本‘失去的十年’看作是一个成功的事例”。
虽然克鲁格曼和费尔德斯坦在财... 阅读全帖
t*********p
发帖数: 44
2
来自主题: SanFrancisco版 - 【JOBS】01.01 -- 01.31
Location : San Francisco Bay Area
Company Type: Commercial Bank
Contact: c***********[email protected]
Sponsor H1B
Job Summary:
The Stress Testing program, driven by Enterprise Risk Management, is part of
the risk management, capital adequacy and strategic planning processes of
the Bank and is an integral element of the Bank’s Internal Capital Adequacy
Assessment. The position will support the enterprise-wide stress testing
framework to estimate the likely impact of plausible scenarios on portfolio
cr... 阅读全帖
c*******g
发帖数: 151
3
小孩做GT三年级的数学题,答案和老师的不一样.
小孩选B,老师说是C,小孩丢分.
老师的解释: "For the question, you do not know what you will get when you
take out a ball. So you have to think of the worst case scenario so to
guarantee the result. Your scenario is not the worst."
我的答复给老师:
From the question itself, it says ""what is the least number of gumballs....
..". "Least" from Webster's 1913 Dictionary is defined as "Smallest, either
in size or degree".
Since we all know 13 is less than 16, then 13 should be the correct answer.
If bas... 阅读全帖
b*****u
发帖数: 1978
4
来自主题: Football版 - 如果我是裁判
关于最后到底是不是holding,是不是PI,是不是uncatchable,是不是uncatchable
就排除了holding,是不是uncatchable 就排除了PI... 争论所有这些scenarios,
所有这些technicality,所有这些rules, exceptions,exceptions in exceptions...
这种争论肯定不会达到共识的。
其实ESPN这个评论员说的最好,当有这么多情况要考虑的时候,就说明 rule book
在这时过于复杂了,这时,场上裁判需要简而化之,应用最简单的条款,也就是最
common sense的那一条:
http://espn.go.com/blog/nflnation/post/_/id/101796/mnf-no-call-
看看现在争论都是些啥:刚开始抱住巨汉的时候,球是否在空中?刚开始抱住巨汉
的时候,球是否已经明显将要被INT?最后INT的地方,离巨汉有多远?如果是3码远,
他有几成的概率能回身碰球?如果是5码呢?如果是4码呢?如果是3.5码呢?就算他
能碰到球,他比CB先碰到球的概率是多少?是不是仍然INT的... 阅读全帖
N*********6
发帖数: 4372
5
Scenario 1: MSU赢了OSU
National Narrative:
MSU D确实还凑合,不过OSU的Offense完全Overrated,全年打的都是
烂队,譬如a, b, c队,combined conference win < 3, blablah
OSU的24 winning streak没啥太大意义,打的都是烂队,唯一一个Wisky
才赢了7分,而且wisky还被烂队PSU给虐了,blahblah
SEC and Auburn is the BEST! 跪舔吧!
Scenario 2: OSU惊险赢了MSU
National Narrative:
MSU D确实还凑合,不过OSU完全不配打冠军赛,打个第十的球队都打成这样
还是Auburn更Deserve, SEC and Auburn is the BEST! 跪舔吧!
裁判操纵比赛,偏袒OSU,譬如A, B, C call都是有问题的,都偏向OSU!
Fxxk Refs!
Scenario 3: OSU blow out MSU
National Narrative:
MSU的D Overrated! MSU... 阅读全帖
un
发帖数: 1311
6
来自主题: Outdoors版 - GUE fundamentals diving course report
I'm probably one of the most inexperienced taking the GUE fundies, with only
31 dives under my weightbelt. Well, I don't really wear a weightbelt
nowadays, as my instructor Leon and my buddy Agnes had persuaded me out of
it in favor of the backplate system on my 18th dive.
I'd been diving with them for 27 of my 31 dives, and hanging out with some
divers from time to time. i.e., I'm well educated in horror stories about
Leon's fundies course. On our second day of the course, I actually asked
Leon... 阅读全帖
b*e
发帖数: 3845
7
来自主题: Tennis版 - 正手高球Dip Drive总结 (转载)
【 以下文字转载自 TennisOnly 俱乐部 】
发信人: bee (小蜜蜂), 信区: TennisOnly
标 题: 正手高球Dip Drive总结
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Sep 18 12:00:18 2013, 美东)
There are two scenarios of Dip Drive.
Scenario #1, the ball lands relatively short, you hit it on the rise (before
it bounces higher than your shoulder).
Scenario #2, the ball lands deep, it bounced high, you wait for it to drop
at around your shoulder level.
Here are the keys how to execute this shot.
1. Raise the racquet head high (I mean really high)
2. Open stance, Pi... 阅读全帖
T********n
发帖数: 528
8
来自主题: TexasHoldem版 - 我也初试LHE并兼向潭老师请教
不知道是不是有另外一个潭老师,可是我这个贪吃贪睡的人来回复一下吧~
Welcome to LHE! It is indeed a different type of game with different skill
sets, more social, bigger swings, and a lot of fun.
As you probably know by now, most people buy in for one to two racks, but no
more than that. As long as you have enough chips to put in the max bets
per street, you don't need more of that on the table at once.
5/10属于“no fold'em hold'em"的系列。基本上是showdown poker,best hand wins
。所以就是bet it when you have it, raise it when you have the best ... 阅读全帖
a*o
发帖数: 25262
9
CNN 刚发表这文章, very interesting..中文没找到。
http://www.cnn.com/2014/03/26/health/brain-moral-judgments/inde
How your brain makes moral judgments
By Elizabeth Landau, CNN
This image shows differences in brain activity between people who judge an
act wrong and others who say it's not wrong.
(CNN) -- Imagine a CEO wants to profit from a venture that, by the way,
involves emitting pollution toxic to the environment, but she doesn't care
because the goal is profit.
Is the CEO intentionally harming the envir... 阅读全帖
q**x
发帖数: 1636
10
【 以下文字转载自 Parenting 讨论区 】
发信人: cicixiong (熊宝宝), 信区: Parenting
标 题: 小孩做GT三年级的数学题,答案和老师的不一样.
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Feb 28 23:26:46 2011, 美东)
小孩做GT三年级的数学题,答案和老师的不一样.
小孩选B,老师说是C,小孩丢分.
老师的解释: "For the question, you do not know what you will get when you
take out a ball. So you have to think of the worst case scenario so to
guarantee the result. Your scenario is not the worst."
我的答复给老师:
From the question itself, it says ""what is the least number of gumballs....
..". "Least" from Webster's 1913 Diction... 阅读全帖
j********0
发帖数: 540
11
【 以下文字转载自 Joke 讨论区 】
发信人: quix (uglyDuck), 信区: Joke
标 题: 小孩做GT三年级的数学题,答案和老师的不一样. (转载)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Mar 1 17:19:54 2011, 美东)
发信人: cicixiong (熊宝宝), 信区: Parenting
标 题: 小孩做GT三年级的数学题,答案和老师的不一样.
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Feb 28 23:26:46 2011, 美东)
小孩做GT三年级的数学题,答案和老师的不一样.
小孩选B,老师说是C,小孩丢分.
老师的解释: "For the question, you do not know what you will get when you
take out a ball. So you have to think of the worst case scenario so to
guarantee the result. Your scenario is not the worst."
我的答复给老师:
From the q... 阅读全帖
v*****r
发帖数: 1119
12
来自主题: Database版 - Doubts about clustered index
Here are my understanding for discussion ;-)
Being relational basically means manipulating data in sets. A set is
orderless, which is typically implemented as heap table in rdbms.
In relational theory, the moment you enforcing ordering to data sets, you
are out of relational domain.
Oracle IOT or SQLServer CI are all non-relational features in rdbms to deal
with performance for specific scenarios. Given a well implemented heap table
, non-relational features should only applies to specific scena... 阅读全帖
f*****a
发帖数: 10
13
来自主题: DotNet版 - vb.net question
With the exception of configuration and the requirements of NET remoting
itself, to which one of the following is asynchronous programming in a
remoting scenario identical?
Choice 1
Asynchronous programming in a local scenario
Choice 2
Synchronous programming in a single application domain or context
Choice 3
Synchronous programming in a remoting scenario
Choice 4
Asynchronous programming in a single application domain or context
Choice 5
Synchronous programming in a local scenari
L*****e
发帖数: 8347
14
来自主题: Programming版 - 展示一下苹果的bug
很多人测试只测happy scenario,因为negative scenario的case太多,黑盒测的话会
漏掉(不特指apple这个bug,他这个基本case就应该cover),所以一般verification
code总是assume unhappy scenario will happen,all verifications passed,then
you can set error to 0。。。

现。
c********1
发帖数: 421
15
来自主题: Programming版 - Vagrant v.s. Docker
If your purpose is the isolation, I think docker is what you want.
Vagrant is a virtual machine manager, it allows you to script the virtual
machine configuration as well as the provisioning. However, it is still a
virtual machine depending on Virtual Box (or others) with a huge overhead.
It requires you to have a hard drive file that can be huge, it takes a lot
of ram, and performance can be not very good.
Docker on the other hand uses kernel cgroup and namespacing via lxc. It
means that you ar... 阅读全帖
c******1
发帖数: 1443
16
I am helping the hiring manager find a right candidate to fill the senior
manager position in the team. Please see below for the detailed job
description. feel free to send me your resume if you believe you are a good
fit. The position is in Arlington, VA.
Detailed Description

Responsibilities include:
· Manage and oversee monthly production of Balance sheet forecast
inclusive of activity (purchases, dispositions, pay-downs, etc.), size,
composition, and net free funds against ... 阅读全帖
w******e
发帖数: 1187
17
来自主题: Biology版 - hiring Scientist, RA
同行交流,不用那么客气呵呵。
大家刚出学校找工作的时候没什么相关经验,容易被打着startup旗号招廉价劳动力的
小公司忽悠,这个我理解。今天冒着被拍砖的风险说说我对找startup job的看法。
1. startup跟小公司不是对等概念。所有规模小(SBIR的定义是500人以内)的公司
都是小公司,Startup在我看来仅限于有高度增长潜力的小公司。注意这里的限定词是
“高度增长”和“潜力”。我认为进一般小公司通常比不上进大公司(training,
compensation,horizon),但进一个靠谱的startup完全可以比进大公司性价比高,成
长机会多。
2. 你问成长机会来自哪里,我认为主要来自startup的两个特点:人少事儿多;成
长快导致新生机会多。先说第一点,拿我自己举例,我也是PhD出身,创业前没有任何
工作经验。合伙创业后,我担纲负责的项目有:
a. 跟学校tech transfer office director谈判patent licensing;
b. 完成公司$1M+早期融资的大部,负责维护投资人关系;
c. 代表公司参加各种面向华人的创业... 阅读全帖
A*****s
发帖数: 13748
18
比如你有1000个scenario,关心99%的CVaR
每个secnario的loss都是weight的函数
你给每个scenario都配一个0-1变量,要求一千个另一变量的和为10
given一个weight,max这个sum{0-1变量*scenario loss},这样你就有了每个weight下
的CVaR
然后你再去改变weight来minimize CVaR
等于最后是个min max问题
不过解起来什么效果,我不知
objective怪怪的
S********a
发帖数: 359
19
请教个sample size calculation for logistic reg的问题,predictor是PM(25%的人
是在exposure下,trial的个数我自己写了个1000), outcome 是MI(4个人里有一个人
是MI,所以P=0.25,trial的个数也是自己写的1000),我想看sample size 要多少才可
以significantly odd ratio>1.
proc power;
logistic
vardist("pm")=binomial(0.25, 1000)
vardist("MI")=binomial(0.25, 1000)
testpredictor="MI"
responseprob=0.25
testoddsratio=1
alpha=0.05
power=0.8
ntotal=.;
plot y=power min=0.01 max=0.99 yopts=(ref=0.8 crossref=yes) vary(symbol);
run;
结... 阅读全帖
j****n
发帖数: 10
20
来自主题: Statistics版 - 有人做marketing mix model的吗?
To my understanding, any model could be called marketing mix model if it
could handle the following 3 scenarios:
scenario1: Diminished return
scenario2: Delay impact
scenario3: Synergy
Using sales and spending as an example:
Diminished return handle: Applying log transformation on spending to
naturally capture the diminished return. If we apply the log transformation
on sales at the same time, then the coefficient for spending is the
elasticity.
Delay impact handle: One practical way to handle t... 阅读全帖
m*****n
发帖数: 1513
21
【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: mitcoin (米特币), 信区: Military
标 题: BBC:Bayesian Stat.可找MH370,曾成功找到法航残骸
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Mar 22 11:06:03 2014, 美东)
MH370 Malaysia plane: How maths helped find an earlier crash
Statisticians helped locate an Air France plane in 2011 which was missing
for two years. Could mathematical techniques inspired by an 18th Century
Presbyterian minister be used to locate the mysterious disappearance of
Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370?
In June 2009, Air France flight 447 went m... 阅读全帖
w*******y
发帖数: 60932
22
Target.com has a number of board games, card games, craft kits, and toys on
clearance. Some of these items are offered with a flat $3.99 per item
shipping rate. Other items do not have the $3.99 flat shipping rate, instead
they have "Bullseye Shipping", which is free shipping when you spend $50 or
more in selected categories. All the items listed below have $3.99 shipping
unless otherwise noted.
Eric Carle "Animals Animals" Colors Bingo, $3.48 (was $9.99):
http://www.target.com/Eric-Carle-Animal... 阅读全帖
w*******y
发帖数: 60932
23
Whenever you spend $30 on participating items, get a FREE $10 gift card (
choose from several gift cards in store - will vary by location)! Your
coupon for a free gift card will print at the end of your receipt
immediately following qualifying purchase of $30 or more. AND, the limit is
5 free $10 gift cards per cardholder!
Link:
http://images.iheartcvs.com/ad_scans/2011/1016/101611.pdf
Check out these *HOT* deal scenarios you can score, starting 10/16-10/22:
Deal Scenario #1:
Buy 6 Wisk Laund... 阅读全帖
p**8
发帖数: 3883
24
Stocks Pricing In Recession, But That Is 'Unlikely': Cohen
ABBY JOSEPH COHEN, RECESSION, CNBC, MARGO D. BELLER, STOCK MARKET, STANDARD
& POOR'S, S&P, DOW
Posted By: Margo D. Beller | Special to CNBC.com
CNBC.com | 19 Aug 2011 | 04:27 PM ET
The stock market may be pricing in a recession, but such a severe slowdown
in the U.S. economy is an "unlikely scenario," well-known stock market guru
Abby Joseph Cohen told CNBC Friday.
"Let’s be very clear, there are some fundamental worries," the Goldman
Sa... 阅读全帖
z*s
发帖数: 1695
25
【 以下文字转载自 Parenting 讨论区 】
发信人: cicixiong (熊宝宝), 信区: Parenting
标 题: 小孩做GT三年级的数学题,答案和老师的不一样.
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Feb 28 23:26:46 2011, 美东)
小孩做GT三年级的数学题,答案和老师的不一样.
小孩选B,老师说是C,小孩丢分.
老师的解释: "For the question, you do not know what you will get when you
take out a ball. So you have to think of the worst case scenario so to
guarantee the result. Your scenario is not the worst."
我的答复给老师:
From the question itself, it says ""what is the least number of gumballs....
..". "Least" from Webster's 1913 Diction... 阅读全帖
g********n
发帖数: 2314
26
【 以下文字转载自 SanFrancisco 讨论区 】
发信人: T8 (哇啦啦), 信区: SanFrancisco
标 题: 挪威搞错了,此人才应该得诺贝尔和平奖,刘晓波算个P啊
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Oct 13 15:33:43 2010, 美东)
只有发动战争才能拯救美国经济--诺贝尔奖得主如是说
费尔德斯坦,克鲁格曼同意:另一场战争可能有用
来自两个政治派别的经济学家预测未来几年就业状况险恶
两场战争还不够。
两位著名经济学家--一位保守主义者和一位自由主义者--今天说,美国经济前景如此险
恶,完全没有政治解决方法,只有另一场大规模的战争可能才能把美国从长期的高失业
和低速增长中解救出来。
纽约时报专栏作家、诺贝尔奖得主保罗·克鲁格曼和哈佛大学的费尔德斯坦--他曾在里
根总统时期担任过政府经济顾问委员会(Council of Economic Advisers)主席--在华盛
顿的一个经济论坛上对于未来达成令人不安的一致。第三位经济学家、高盛集团(
Goldman Sachs)的Jan Hatzius 也同意这种看法。Jan Hatzius 说,他能预... 阅读全帖
g********n
发帖数: 2314
27
原来是'Performance profiling' could help to catch cheater 现在是 '
Performance profiling' could help to dispel doubts.
Why great Olympic feats raise suspicions
'Performance profiling' could help to dispel doubts.
Ewen Callaway
01 August 2012 Corrected: 03 August 2012
Chinese swimmer Ye Shiwen broke the world record for the women's 400-metre
individual medley event at the Olympic Games on 28 July.
L. NEAL /AFP / GETTY IMAGES
Article tools
print
email
rights & permissions
share/bookmark
At the Olympics,... 阅读全帖
D*V
发帖数: 3096
28
Is America Heading Towards a Collapse Worse Than 2008 and Europe?
http://finance.yahoo.com/
According to author and investor Peter Schiff, the U.S. economy is heading
for an economic crash that will make 2008 look like a walk in the park.
Stimulus programs can delay this day of reckoning, but only for so long and
only at the expense of making the eventual meltdown much, much worse.
Schiff, who famously warned investors about the housing and financial crisis
in his 2007 book Crash Proof, says the... 阅读全帖
m*****a
发帖数: 92
29
Japan Nuclear Crisis: What Is a Full Meltdown?
Tuesday March 15, 2011 2:50 PM - Leave a Comment
Japan is on the brink of a nuclear disaster in the wake of its
devastating earthquake and tsunami, with a third explosion at the
Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power station damaging the steel containment
structure of one reactor, and a fire at another spewing radioactive
material into the air. Before the latest explosion and fire, as workers
raced to stay ahead of a full meltdown, The Daily Beast spoke wi... 阅读全帖
c*****1
发帖数: 3240
30
气候决定论啊气候决定论,到底气候怎么决定的?这事情搞清楚很复杂么
1,气温上升,隋唐时代偏暖,暖多少?现在也只有竺可桢那个曲线。。。
学IPCC,设scenarios啊,1,2,4,8度肯定没哟了,青藏高原气候再特殊,那么高,
还截断了西风带,太暖和不了,娶个平均,2度就不少了。
降水更没谱,但是假设西风减弱,南亚副高肯定会钻多一些过来,这样藏北和藏西阿里
降水会好一些。
2,植被演替
森林之类的演替起来要几百年,草原结构简单而且acclimate快点,咱就不考虑干扰与
恢复的滞后问题了。年均温长个2度,有效积温能增长个500度,生长季长个15天,到头了
3,变化对比
对照一下现在的积温图
现在的西藏,山南地区,就是最红的那块靠从雅鲁藏布大峡谷吹来的暖湿空气从来就是
农耕的好地方,所以藏王最早也是从山南兴起的。横亘在湟水谷地和雅鲁藏布江谷地之
间的唐古拉山积温不到1000度日,放牧很困难。从日苛则到阿里虽然积温超过1000,但
是干的不行,所以现在去趟阿里很费劲。
这是多年降水
用我们的scenario带进去,唐古拉山的积温可能涨到接近2000度日,还包括羌塘高原的
很多地方,跟现在的... 阅读全帖
c*****1
发帖数: 3240
31
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
xiaonan (我是小囡,侬叫什么) 于 (Tue Jun 26 13:23:06 2012, 美东) 提到:
青藏高原那么恶劣的地理环境,钦陵这帮穿越者动不动就组织几十万吐蕃铁骑和唐军打
大会战。
铁从哪里来?
马从哪里来?
后勤从哪里来?
就算都是骑兵,在青藏高原能有多少机动力?
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
Ranma (ranma 1/2) 于 (Tue Jun 26 13:24:47 2012, 美东) 提到:
吐蕃应该还有川西和滇北。
当然数字是搞笑的,文科生向来数字上爱拍脑袋

☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
xiaonan (我是小囡,侬叫什么) 于 (Tue Jun 26 13:31:28 2012, 美东) 提到:
而且吐蕃不但常年累月和唐过不去,还四处出击,天竺,大食,南诏,西域,除了早期
吞并的鲜卑后裔,连个靠谱的盟友都没有。
丫是怎么支持这几百年的牛查岁... 阅读全帖
c**i
发帖数: 6973
32
My comment:
(a) over the top (adj). The Phrase Finder, undated.
http://www.phrases.org.uk
/meanings/over-the-top.html
(b) There is something about J-20. Specifically, something wrong in the
latest wording among US media. I thought--and still think--reporter Jeremy
Page was too rosy about China's military strength--and believed what China
feeded him, propangada and that kind of stuff. Then I read his report
yesterday and was startled by the caption of the first photo. (The truth is,
I do not know... 阅读全帖
u***r
发帖数: 4825
33
来自主题: Military版 - 阿穆软了?
Mubarak Won't Run in Next Elections
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142405274870344590457611739
CAIRO—Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak said he will step down from power
after his term expires this fall, for the first time setting a date to end
his three decades of authoritarian rule.
The embattled leader, in a five-minute speech on state television, said he
had shouldered many responsibilities for Egypt but needed to hand over power
to ensure the stability of the country.
"I've spent enough ... 阅读全帖
y***e
发帖数: 676
34
http://www.usatoday.com/news/nation/2011-02-26-wisconsin-deadli
Deadline nears to clear Wisconsin Capitol
MADISON, Wis. — The hundreds of people who have called the Capitol home
these past two weeks last week have formed a village, demonstrating a common
determination to sleep on marble, fight for a common cause and make a heck
of a lot of noise.
People here have papered the Capitol's pillars and walls with thousands of
signs, and they've run stands to distribute food and first aid. They've
cond... 阅读全帖
c**i
发帖数: 6973
35
来自主题: Military版 - Chinese Loom Large Over Russian Far East
(1) 俄指责中国挖界河将改变边界线. VOA Chinese, May 7, 2011
http://www.voanews.com/chinese/news
/20110507-china-russia-121434629.html
("俄罗斯边防官员说,中国在未经俄方同意的情况下擅自挖掘乌苏里江河床的举动违反
了两国边界协议中的有关规定。但俄国边防官员强调,中方有关作业目前已经停止。这
已经不是俄罗斯第一次指责中国擅自挖掘双方界河,试图改变两国边界线。俄国边防部
门以前也曾针对中国发出过相类似的指责")
(2) China's Growing Interests in Siberia; Change in Russia's Far East. Der
Spiegel, May 6, 2011.
http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,761033,00.html
Quote:
A Russian woman in Russian Far East penned a letter to the president at th... 阅读全帖
l*****7
发帖数: 8463
36
Is America Heading Towards a Collapse Worse Than 2008 and Europe?
http://finance.yahoo.com/
According to author and investor Peter Schiff, the U.S. economy is heading
for an economic crash that will make 2008 look like a walk in the park.
Stimulus programs can delay this day of reckoning, but only for so long and
only at the expense of making the eventual meltdown much, much worse.
Schiff, who famously warned investors about the housing and financial crisis
in his 2007 book Crash Proof, says the... 阅读全帖
b********n
发帖数: 38600
37
来自主题: Military版 - 看看美帝怎么算计大宋的
http://www.strategypage.com/htmw/htlead/articles/20120807.aspx
Can't We All Just Obey China?
China recently declared that most of the 3.5 million square kilometers South
China Sea had become Sansha, the latest Chinese city. The area China claims
is within the city limits comprises over two million square kilometers of
largely open ocean and a few hundred tiny islands and reefs, many of which
are only above water during low tide. Sansha is administered from one of the
Paracel islands (Woody Islan... 阅读全帖
H****g
发帖数: 14447
38
来自主题: Military版 - Newyorker杂志的评论
The court’s description of the events also conformed to the most cinematic
scenario among those making the rounds in Beijing political circles:
On the evening of November 13, 2011, Bogu Kailai went to Heywood when
he was staying in Room 1605 at Building No. 16 of the Nanshan Lijing Holiday
Hotel and drank alcoholic drinks and tea with him. After Heywood became
intoxicated, vomited and asked for a drink of water, she poured a poison
into his mouth that had been prepared beforehand and that ... 阅读全帖
D**S
发帖数: 24887
39
This is only one scenario.
The other scenario is that many CHOOSE religion because they see practical
utility in joining the church. The benefit can be manyfold.
P*******s
发帖数: 254
40
The following is provided as a strict set of guidelines which must be
adhered to for all males to ensure they follow the correct procedure when
using public toilets.
There is an etiquette which, until now, has been an unwritten rule that most
men follow, although some seem determined to breach.
Females may read on out of curiosity, although the procedures do not apply
to women's restrooms for they are an alien place with tiny, confusing bins
and queues which baffle even the greatest male scienti... 阅读全帖
b********n
发帖数: 38600
41
防长的动机:
If the US gov. can incite the Chinese so they make a misstep and invade
Taiwan or annex the Senkaku islands (any scenario that can plausibly "
embroil" the US in a war with China would do), the American military
establishment and the legion of defense contractors will be very very happy.
The US Navy's submarine fleet alone has the capacity to destroy the entire
Chinese navy and merchant marine in less than 48 hours. Just finished
reading a defense paper on exactly this scenario in my fore... 阅读全帖
b********n
发帖数: 38600
42
防长的动机:
If the US gov. can incite the Chinese so they make a misstep and invade
Taiwan or annex the Senkaku islands (any scenario that can plausibly "
embroil" the US in a war with China would do), the American military
establishment and the legion of defense contractors will be very very happy.
The US Navy's submarine fleet alone has the capacity to destroy the entire
Chinese navy and merchant marine in less than 48 hours. Just finished
reading a defense paper on exactly this scenario in my fore... 阅读全帖
i*****y
发帖数: 3449
43
美国人对台湾观感比对大陆稍微好一些,不如日本和南韩。基本中性,不特别喜欢,也
不特别讨厌和土耳其差不多,大多数美国人不认为中国是威胁,在台湾被大陆入侵的情
况下,只有26%的人支持美国介入保卫台湾
http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/taiwan/archives/2014/09/18/2003
Americans ‘neutral’ on Taiwan; China not a threat: poll
Staff writer, with CNA, LOS ANGELES
Americans have relatively “neutral” feelings about Taiwan and a large
majority feel the US should not send troops to defend Taiwan if it is
invaded by China, a survey by the Chicago Council on Global Affairs released
on Monday found.
In one of t... 阅读全帖
s********i
发帖数: 17328
44
不知道。视频里有讲,阿波罗实际上是打半个水漂,温度是限制条件之一,所以进入地
球轨道的高度是计算好的,高了就水漂了,低了就烧毁了。
阿婆罗4是5000F,烧坏0.88inch。阿波罗6温度还要高,阿婆罗8号绕月,烧坏0.6inch
。4号测试的是worst case scenario shallow entry,6号测试的是worst case
scenario steep entry。
source: Coming Home: Reentry and Recovery from Space
By Roger D. Launius, Dennis R. Jenkins
b********n
发帖数: 38600
45
Pentagon networks hacked
AMERICAN SOLDIERS,
WE ARE COMING, WATCH YOUR BACK. ISIS. #CyberCaliphate
In the name of Allah, the Most Gracious, the Most Merciful, the
CyberCaliphate under the auspices of ISIS continues its CyberJihad. While
the US and its satellites kill our brothers in Syria, Iraq and Afghanistan
we broke into your networks and personal devices and know everything about
you.
You'll see no mercy infidels. ISIS is already here, we are in your PCs, in
each military base. With Allah's p... 阅读全帖
w*********r
发帖数: 42116
46
Marko Djurica/Reuters Russian soldiers The Baltic states are becoming
increasingly unnerved by the growing number of Russian military drills close
to their borders, Damien Sharkov of Newsweek reports,
Since the start of the Ukrainian crisis, Russia has been staging military
drills close to the Baltic regions at an increasingly common pace.
Martin Hurt, the deputy director of Estonia's International Centre for
Defense and Security, believes that the increased frequency of the drills
is meant to... 阅读全帖
S**C
发帖数: 2964
47
来自主题: Military版 - Kim Davis 这个事情有点意思
Some fact check.

Which make her a hypocrite at minimum, as the book that her hold dearly also
against divorced people, adultery etc.
She was in jail because she refuse court order to issue license to gay
couples, and she also disallow her deputies to do it instead of her. So it
is not like "法官是在认为她可能会阻止下属越权审批", it is not a hypothetical
scenario, a possibility, it is real scenario. And the law says her deputies
can issue licenses when she is absent. Since before she was put in jail,
she refused ... 阅读全帖
w*p
发帖数: 16484
48
Suspensions and expulsions at American preschools are doled out
disproportionately to black students, boys, and especially black boys – a
phenomenon that could be due, in part, to implicit racial biases on the part
of their teachers, according to a Yale University study released this week.
Researchers used eye-tracking technology to observe preschool teachers look
for "challenging behaviors" in a series of videos portraying four children
in typical classroom settings. While none of the children ... 阅读全帖
m*******e
发帖数: 1598
49
BY TINA AMIRTHA8 MINUTE READ
This story contains interviews with Christian Kästner, assistant
professor at Carnegie Mellon University; Amy Hirotaka, state policy and
advocacy manager at Code.org; and Janet Siegmund, researcher at the
University of Passau.
In order to expose more students to computer science, 17 states have passed
legislation to create basic math and science requirements in the curriculum,
rather than count them as electives. But lawmakers in Texas have made
computer program... 阅读全帖
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