r*m
发帖数: 16380 | 1 事后是可以看出来的，但看出来大头已经过去了啊。
去年跌到6500，然后反弹到8000，谁敢拍胸脯说牛市来了？当时不还是一大堆人说是死
猫跳？我记得一直破了9000，9500好像这个死猫说才没市场了。
现在跌了10%，明天再跌3%，你说trend就一定向下了？ |
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r****d
发帖数: 239 | 2 呵呵，帮主很有愤世嫉俗的感觉。value investing的好处就在于不在乎底还是顶因为
timeline足
够长。而中短期散户就要在乎ta.找到trend就买卖，没找到就不应该买卖。（作为亏钱
的青蛙的感
触：）
warren buffett能挣钱，也有很多trader能。技术和心态相对策略调整才对。 |
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w*******o
发帖数: 6125 | 3 帮主果然口袋超级深啊,捞了快一个月了吧？
有一句话叫"价格是围绕着价值的一种波动"
这里面有三个关键词,价值,价格,波动
价值
其实没有人真正知道(特别是对小散来说),
因为股票反映的永远都是未来，
根据现有数据，无论你推理的模型是什么，
比如简单的DCF(Discounted Cash Flow)
对将来的价值的推测其实也是靠蒙的成分多，
因为影响一个企业的内部和外部不确定因素太多。
分歧就出来了
"价值投资者"就看价格，XOM $60,便宜!就好像一个衣服，
从$300打折到$150,便宜!但至于这衣服...
价值是多少?不知道!
"趋势交易者"就看波动，RDN一年内$1.8涨到$18，
又跌回$8,只要有波动,有Trend，就好.
价值是多少?，不知道! |
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d****a
发帖数: 2901 | 4 trend is a position makes you serious money for a significant period of time
without worrying your risks. keyword: serious profit, significant time
period, no risk |
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h*********e
发帖数: 6226 | 5 follow trend. big bulls please tell me what trend it is now. thanks. |
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y***k
发帖数: 1078 | 6
我的感觉: 很多人不是做 trend following. 他们想抓顶和底. 所以上周很牛, 但很多
人认为到了短期顶甚至中期顶, 所以空. 或者在5月捞底. |
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h****g
发帖数: 312 | 7 1.You should not choose these 2 spot to draw a trend line. How do you know
102.66 will be a lowest point? Anyway, this week is not finished yet. The
essence of TA is using closing or next bar to confirm.
2.If you connect the 3 points in the middle, you may actually find out that
you should start to short about 2 or 3 weeks ago.
3.No one can tell the future trend only possibilities.
4.There is a very interesting case in this chart. I don't know you noticed
it or not. If you blow this out to daily |
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r**s
发帖数: 266 | 8 From the daily chart, the mid/long term still down trend. The recent support
/resistance of 1040-1044 level is broken today, and will have a rebound. But
I don't expect it will break 1080-1090 because of the trend line.
For the hourly chart, I use SPY because it has volume. There's volume spike
in the last hour, but I think that probably due to short squeeze and cover.
And it reached the support of last gap down on last Tuesday. Also today's
big up is radiculous, don't see any major news, more l |
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y****i
发帖数: 1504 | 9 trend就是被套了就歇着，有cash也等着。因为现在没有trend,只有MM洗盘玩,你要一设
stop准会被震出去。 |
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f****z
发帖数: 645 | 10 现在明显是向上的trend.偏偏有不少人不信邪,做空.这些人有反骨!佩服有反叛精神的
人! 即使不看好市场也可以空仓呀!为什么非要做空?
很多FA,TA都已经看到了SPX明天1130,下周1150,下月1200.下年1500,这就是所谓的
trend.
偏偏中国A股与美股反着走,今天可能就走出第3只乌鸭了! |
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g********5
发帖数: 10335 | 11 range stocks主要要看好突破range 之后走势变化
trend主要是要看好trend momo的变化
吃亏就怕思维定势 |
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C****a
发帖数: 1639 | 12 For identifying trend strength, I am using a novel indicator called Trend
Strength Indicator, which is defined as
below. |
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b*******e
发帖数: 24532 | 13 这些我都检验过，最后我发现，这几个indicator都基于和MACD类似的计算方式，
用MACD就可以代替，如果一定要使用trend indicator. 等用了一段时间后，你又会
发现这个是浮云，因为又回到了最最基本的而又常常被忽略了的均线系统。 所以那些
什么trend indicator被我彻底的扔到了垃圾桶。 当然，这只是我的做法，合合. |
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i*******e
发帖数: 1904 | 14 周五周一的连跌已经基本confirm了trend reversal。隔着周末连跌在统计上是个很强的signal！
今天的暴跌不过是一个double confirmation。
It would last a while when the next trend reversal appears.
So 青蛙们，please be careful。 |
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b******r
发帖数: 16603 | 15 这是第二个迷思。知道follow trend的似乎总觉得自己掌握了炒股的诀窍，可以鄙视逆
势或者左侧的了，似乎trend following放之四海皆准，震荡市单边市通吃。尼玛的，
其实也就是一最简单的系统，这就能赚钱了，当街上都是后娘养的了。 |
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b******r
发帖数: 16603 | 16 发信人: wavelets02 (波士顿), 信区: AAPL
标 题: industry trend
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Jan 15 17:50:09 2013, 美东)
mobile is nothing new anymore, when there are three big player competiting
without considering any cost, it is no meat.
Apple will still do well if they could hold up market share and keep
expanding the alliance like facebook etc. it is a try of hardware+os to ally
with services like fb+twitter to fight against OS+services ally with
hardware vendors.
it is just like shifting and combinations, and f... 阅读全帖 |
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k*****o
发帖数: 1486 | 17 能筛出来trending的股票越来越少，筛出来也不敢买，说不定明天就不trending了
一个多月没怎么碰美股，再等半个月？ |
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p**********u
发帖数: 15479 | 19 【 以下文字转载自 NewYork 讨论区 】
发信人: ja94 (世上最幸福的人-- taliban的妻子), 信区: NewYork
标 题: Re: 大家留意到CRAZY PANTS的trend了吗？Like it or hate it? (转载)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Oct 16 20:43:17 2012, 美东)
发信人: YourQueen (Her Highness), 信区: Fashion
标 题: Re: 大家留意到CRAZY PANTS的trend了吗？Like it or hate it?
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Oct 8 16:33:46 2012, 美东)
哈哈其实早有准备。。。本在这里了。。。 |
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x**e
发帖数: 1794 | 20 Washington Square Nordstrom
Cosmetics Trend Show
Saturday, September 12, 8:00 AM - 10:00 AM
Join us for our beauty art show highlighting the newest makeup, skincare and
fragrance must-haves. Industry experts will update you on the latest beauty
trends and share their secrets. Tickets are $15 and are redeemable towards
your Cosmetics purchase of $15 or more on the day of the event. Plus,
receive a gift for attending the show, while the supply lasts.
早上8点就开始了有礼品有早点 有兴趣的一起去 |
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d*****r
发帖数: 33 | 21 actually, Appointments begin at 10:00 a.m.
http://www.shopwashingtonsquare.com/events.asp?id=15137
Nordstrom - Cosmetic Trend Show
Saturday, September 12, 2009
Doors open at 8:00 a.m.
Show starts at 8:30 a.m.
Appointments begin at 10:00 a.m.
Join us for our beauty art show highlighting the newest makeup, skincare and
fragrance must-haves. Industry experts will update you on the latest
beauty trends and share their secrets. Tickets are $15 and are redeemable
towards your Cosmetics purchase of $1 |
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w******t
发帖数: 216 | 22 最近大家都在讨论新出来的school API。我觉得API trend更有意思些。
房子增值潜力比较大的我想应该是那些一直API在涨的地方。（当然，现在看来没给地
方都在涨，不过涨的幅度还是不一样的。）
同时分享一下，这个网站上有11年API trend的图。http://schoolandhousing.com
可以先通过address or zip code or city找到学校，然后看school detail. |
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n****d
发帖数: 2994 | 24 【 以下文字转载自 NewYork 讨论区 】
发信人: ja94 (世上最幸福的人-- taliban的妻子), 信区: NewYork
标 题: Re: 大家留意到CRAZY PANTS的trend了吗？Like it or hate it? (转载)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Oct 16 20:43:17 2012, 美东)
发信人: YourQueen (Her Highness), 信区: Fashion
标 题: Re: 大家留意到CRAZY PANTS的trend了吗？Like it or hate it?
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Oct 8 16:33:46 2012, 美东)
哈哈其实早有准备。。。本在这里了。。。 |
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wy
发帖数: 14511 | 25 【 以下文字转载自 ChinaNews 讨论区 】
发信人: bittergourd (苦瓜), 信区: ChinaNews
标 题: google上出现对中国人负面影响的条目的真正原因：google trends
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Jan 18 13:30:44 2010, 美东)
这几天突然出现攻击中国的search suggestion, 实在不好用正常的逻辑来解释。一来
就算中国市场没了，google没必要用这种下三烂的手段报复，自毁声誉；二来cia也应
该自知在google上suggest一些无聊的词条根本没法在国内兴风作浪。
但是用google trends稍查一下就知道猜个大概了... 这几条抹黑词条都是在1月12日左
右突然开始增加搜索量，而且搜索基本都来自上海和北京。这和爆料google抹黑的时间
非常吻合。所以我猜想原因可能如下：
1. 和前段时间的google涉黄事件一样，是tg自己差人所为，目的就在于抹黑google，
给驱逐google造势
2. cia的无间道，利用前段时间的tg栽赃涉黄丑闻，借力打力，自己派人在北京上海搜
索，或者干 |
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l***i
发帖数: 373 | 26 卡巴斯基好，trend排名不错，不过实际杀毒不好，我用trend中过毒 newegg好像有
norton free 3 machine after rebate的 |
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w*********n
发帖数: 126 | 27 为什么装了TREND PC CILLIN系统就出问题了
我的笔记本是英文WINDOWS XP SP2 ，昨天把NOROTON删了，装了TREND的PC CILLIN
INTERNET SECURITY，但是重启更新以后，好多程序多不能运行，如MSN，ADOBE,REAL等，
点击以后就跳出APPLICATION NOT FOUND 或"OPEN WITH",让你选择打开的程序。我一看不
妙，想把系统恢复，但是这个功能也不能用了，想把这软件删了，也无法删。请问大侠，
什么缘故？ |
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c*******l
发帖数: 769 | 28 免费的Database Trends and Applications期刊
Database Trends and Applications (DBTA) magazine is the leading monthly
publication providing corporate information project teams with timely
coverage of the technology, intelligence and insight needed to conceptualize
, plan, initiate, implement and manage large-scale, integrated, information-
rich projects.
http://168forums.tradepub.com/free/dbta/
建议只需要地址是真的，其他像名字，公司，职位什么的都可以自己发挥了。如果有
APT#最
好改成Unit#。 |
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w*********n
发帖数: 126 | 29 为什么装了TREND PC CILLIN系统就出问题了
我的笔记本是英文WINDOWS XP SP2 ，昨天把NOROTON删了，装了TREND的PC CILLIN
INTERNET SECURITY，但是重启更新以后，好多程序多不能运行，如MSN，ADOBE,REAL等，
点击以后就跳出APPLICATION NOT FOUND 或"OPEN WITH",让你选择打开的程序。我一看不
妙，想把系统恢复，但是这个功能也不能用了，想把这软件删了，也无法删。请问大侠，
什么缘故？ |
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l******1
发帖数: 292 | 30 最近有个project，是要把一些年份的数据，大约20年的，合并到一起，最后做一个
trend analysis,看这20年的数据里其中的一些变量有没有什么trend,这20年的ID都是
不一样的人，大约8万多人，不知道哪位大侠做过这方面的数据，或者知道这方面的信
息，可不可以提供一些信息，或者是SAS code，谢谢了！ |
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l******n
发帖数: 9344 | 31 In continuation of our series exploring the data science community, we are
now exploring salary patterns of data scientists. The below chart shows data
from Indeed.com & the top 10 locations with the highest concentration of
data scientists.
The median of these top 10 cities is between $142,000 to $148,000/year. The
higher end of the scale is in New York & San Francisco which reflects the
demand from employers as well as the relative costs of living there. At the
lower end of the scale is Austin... 阅读全帖 |
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l******n
发帖数: 9344 | 32 In continuation of our series exploring the data science community, we are
now exploring salary patterns of data scientists. The below chart shows data
from Indeed.com & the top 10 locations with the highest concentration of
data scientists.
The median of these top 10 cities is between $142,000 to $148,000/year. The
higher end of the scale is in New York & San Francisco which reflects the
demand from employers as well as the relative costs of living there. At the
lower end of the scale is Austin... 阅读全帖 |
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w*******y
发帖数: 60932 | 33 Link:
http://www.walmart.com/ip/Baby-Trend-Snap-N-Go-Single-Stroller/
Description taken from their site:
Getting out and about with baby is so much easier with the Baby Single
Stroller. Featuring a carriage frame, this Baby Single Stroller is easy to
push. No need to disturb baby by taking him out of his infant car seat.
Baby Single Stroller:
Allows adult to place infant car seat on carriage frame without removing
child
Folds compact for travel or storage
Convenient alternative to a conventional... 阅读全帖 |
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w*******y
发帖数: 60932 | 36 Free ticket to the Silicon Valley International Auto Show & Free 1 Year
Motor Trend Magazine Subscription
Ticket Valid Thursday and Friday Only Jan 5-6
Link:
http://www.autoshowtickets.com/sv/index.asp?code=RADIO
Regular Admission is $10
First Motor Trend Magazine issue will be sent within 8-10 weeks.
You don't have to attend to receive the subscription.
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w*******y
发帖数: 60932 | 38 Trend Micro has a promotion for edu user in France. But seems everyone could
get a license with any email address. The license valid till end of 2015.
1. Go to Link:
http://edu.trendmicro.fr/
2. Provide your email address.
3. Hit Enter on your keyboard instead of clicking the button with mouse.
4. Check your email! You have your license in your mailbox now.
You can download Trend Micro Titanium Internet Security 2012 from the link
in the email or from their official website.
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g*********1
发帖数: 725 | 40 you may be interested to see that the VIX and market trend is negative
related by looking at the graph. I think the market will be in down trend in
the middle term because MACD HIST and Slow STO of VIX are divergent now
which means the higher chance that VIX will go higher, but this process will
be slow due to the relative high value of VIX compared to its value between
March-May. so the quick bounce back is possible. I am just a frog and
welcome any comments about it. |
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w*******o
发帖数: 6125 | 41 The time frame of trend need to be defnied,
otherwise, endless argument. For example,
I just won aother intraday ES short, Short
at 1243, covered at 1237, for me, it's the
3rd day my short win money, that's a down trend.
But for longer term, like days, or weeks, it's uptrend. |
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c**t
发帖数: 9197 | 42 Yes, time frame is very important.
In fact, I consider they are different markets even with same symbol.
For my DT, I use 30 min chart to identify trend.
Today 30 min chart showed trend down on ES since open.
But for your last two short win. there might be more of luck.
//no offense and run fast. |
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w*******o
发帖数: 6125 | 43 用MA判断Trend一般有延迟，今天刚好在家，可以用IB workstation
我贴个图大概讲讲最近几次的Setup.
供大家批判
第1次,更多是FA判断，看到盘面的Divergence，往上做没什么肉了，
于是试一下运气，1246short, set stop at 1250, 1241 covered
靠运气指数,80%
第2次,如箭头所示，我觉得那个就是Trend changed了,等到第二天开盘
运行了很久，还是无法重返上升通道，所以又在1246前高设个
钓鱼单,1246 short, set stop at 1248, 1241 covered
靠运气指数,40%
第3次,一个下降通道已经形成，在通道上延1243开Short,设Stop 1246
Covered at overnight low 1237(Should set it to 1235, that's
the real overnight low, but don't want to be too greedy)
靠... 阅读全帖 |
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j*****2
发帖数: 306 | 44
this mobile internet, in 168, has some good FA, I like ARMH alot, can it be
INTC of mobile phone, someone know can say say.
NO SUPPLY and increasing demand for next 10year.
as china cut supply to 8000ton for 2nd HALF of this year, price already
increase 3X from early JULY.($16.9 to $44.83)
country outside of CHINA, need 60,000 TON per year, outside of china only
5000 total production. So, 8000 * 2 + 21,000 TON per year for country out of
china.
next 5year's supply, assume china unchan... 阅读全帖 |
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g*********1
发帖数: 725 | 45 【 以下文字转载自 Stockcafeteria 俱乐部 】
发信人: greenolive1 (甘蓝), 信区: Stockcafeteria
标 题: HAFC trend reverse?
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Dec 29 15:50:14 2010, 美东)
HAFC was Nanji's pick long time ago. today its SMA10 crossed SMA50 for the
first time, is it time for trend reverse? |
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C****a
发帖数: 1639 | 46 【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: Caspia (情人草), 信区: Stock
标 题: Trending stocks vs. range stocks
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Apr 22 21:47:36 2011, 美东)
都说要follow the trend, 不过个人觉得range stocks交易起来更放心，
优势：底部顶部经过中期多次试探，买入／卖出／制损点比较好把握，
相比牛骨volatility相对较小，资金比较好管理
底部时买入有一种价值投资的喜悦感。
典型的比如 CEPH/CELG/AMGN/DISCA/TIE/WMT/EWZ （最近52wk) |
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b*********d
发帖数: 3539 | 47 这几天突然出现攻击中国的search suggestion, 实在不好用正常的逻辑来解释。一来
就算中国市场没了，google没必要用这种下三烂的手段报复，自毁声誉；二来cia也应
该自知在google上suggest一些无聊的词条根本没法在国内兴风作浪。
但是用google trends稍查一下就知道猜个大概了... 这几条抹黑词条都是在1月12日左
右突然开始增加搜索量，而且搜索基本都来自上海和北京。这和爆料google抹黑的时间
非常吻合。所以我猜想原因可能如下：
1. 和前段时间的google涉黄事件一样，是tg自己差人所为，目的就在于抹黑google，
给驱逐google造势
2. cia的无间道，利用前段时间的tg栽赃涉黄丑闻，借力打力，自己派人在北京上海搜
索，或者干脆hack进几台机器借助ip来爆搜索量，让人自然而然怀疑tg的所为。
反正以tg和cia在桌子底下的声誉，两种可能性都不小。 |
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o**********e
发帖数: 18403 | 50 On the left there's a text line : compose new twits...
Copy and paste any of the messages above and return.
You could also search for any media personality and follow them and twit
them by doing @media_personality_name, blah blah blah.
hash tags are the #boycottDisney. basically keywords that will enter the
trends up. so let's decide on the hash and write anything surrounding them. |
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