T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 1 重点在争取FL，OH，PA，NC，和老头拉力安排一样。
Despite Trump’s claim that he doesn’t believe the polls, his San Antonio
research team spends $100,000 a week on surveys (apart from polls
commissioned out of Trump Tower) and has sophisticated models that run daily
simulations of the election. The results mirror those of the more reliable
public forecasters—in other words, Trump’s staff knows he’s losing. Badly
. “Nate Silver’s results have been similar to ours,” says Parscale,
referring to the polling analyst and hi... 阅读全帖 |
|
w*********g
发帖数: 30882 | 2 普京：选川普就是选择和平，选希拉里就是选择战争
BREAKING: PUTIN MAKES COLD ANNOUNCEMENT, “IF HILLARY CLINTON IS ELECTED, IT
IS WAR”
https://conservativedailypost.com/breaking-putin-makes-cold-announcement-if-
hillary-clinton-is-elected-it-is-war/?utm_source=Email&utm_campaign=30_
October&utm_medium=Aweber
We Are On The Verge Of NUCLEAR WAR And Liberals Refuse To Talk About
Anything But Trump's Mean Words
We Are On The Verge Of NUCLEAR WAR And Liberals Refuse To Talk About
Anything But Trump’s “Mean Words”
Every America... 阅读全帖 |
|
n******5
发帖数: 1990 | 3 It's all over, my friend.
Too many people learned and already believed the Hillary scandal by now.
Which probably also means half of our Government are criminals.
That is why market is tanking. Huge political turmoil ahead. It is going to
last for months.
It's over. |
|
f***e
发帖数: 5443 | 4 作者：齐遨
【美国时间2016-11-05更新1】
传说中的11月5号到了。各大媒体没什么的动静，包括Wikileaks。
全国选举（General election）民调方面，今天只有两个大民调更新（http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/），川普领先2.5点。一般情况下，这是当选的节奏。
有评论说克林顿基金承认收卡塔尔1百万。这在往年是大新闻，今年连草皮都不算，而
且大家早知道了。希拉里阵营的污点总结在昨天的更新6。来自中东的问题捐款一共上
千万，卡塔尔这笔才是其中的1百万。
有评论说川普孤立无援，只有一个Fox News支持。注意Fox News的规模和黄金时间收视
率是绝对的第一，比CNN、ABC、NBC加起来略小而已，一家就占了主流媒体的半边天。
CNN在中国比较有名，但在美国仅仅是很多媒体里的一家。Fox News才是老大。
答主的感觉是希拉里绝对没有民主党媒体（CNN等）说得那么无辜，也没有共和党媒体
（Fox News）说得那么恐怖。真相在两者之间。答主个人喜欢Yahoo News，比... 阅读全帖 |
|
g********2
发帖数: 6571 | 5 DOJ Just Sent Disturbing Letter About FBI Investigation… Who Signed It Is
Turning Heads
Shameless enough to make a crime writer blush.
Joe Saunders November 1, 2016 at 8:23am
It’s a plot twist novelist John Grisham would be ashamed to try.
After a weekend of political turmoil set off by FBI Director James Comey’s
bombshell announcement that the bureau is investigating up to 650,000 emails
found on a laptop belonging to Anthony Weiner, the Department of Justice is
jumping into the mix. Loretta Ly... 阅读全帖 |
|
T******g
发帖数: 21328 | 6 转载要转全
Mattis supports a two-state solution model for Israel-Palestinian peace. He
says the current situation in Israel is “unsustainable” and argues that
the settlements harm prospects for peace and are leading to apartheid. In
particular, he believes the lack of a two-state solution is upsetting to the
Arab allies of America, which weakens US esteem amongst its Arab allies.
Mattis strongly supports John Kerry on the Middle East peace process,
praising Kerry for being wisely focused like a laser... 阅读全帖 |
|
|
T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 8 Michelle Obama: 'We’re feeling what not having hope feels like'
President Barack Obama’s administration achieved the platform he ran for
president on: hope, according to first lady Michelle Obama, who implied that
many Americans no longer have that hope as President-elect Donald Trump
transitions into the White House.
“We feel the difference now. See, now, we’re feeling what not having hope
feels like, you know,” the first lady told Oprah Winfrey in an interview
excerpt broadcast Friday on “CBS ... 阅读全帖 |
|
T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 9 Mormon choir member quits over Trump inauguration performance
Jan Chamberlin says performing with Mormon Tabernacle Choir, one of few acts
scheduled for 20 January, would be ‘endorsing tyranny and fascism’
A member of the Mormon Tabernacle Choir says she has resigned from the famed
group over its decision to perform at next month’s inauguration of Donald
Trump, a performance she said would be an endorsement of “tyranny and
fascism”.
She added: “I only know I could never ‘throw roses to Hitler.’ ... 阅读全帖 |
|
A******1
发帖数: 106 | 10 We understand far too little about Muslims leaving their homes. What is
Hijrah? Obama is well educated in the Muslim religion since he studied it
while living in Indonesia. He does not want this email to be spread all over
the US because he wants us to be totally ignorant of what is really going
on with the ISIL movement. All this turmoil now makes sense. Sad, and doesn'
t bode well for us at all.
So what is a Hijrah? Hijrah is when large scale mass migrations become
invasions. What is happening... 阅读全帖 |
|
w********t
发帖数: 12853 | 11 这个可能是错误引述（我不知道）。但是川普选的这个新官儿确实说过类似的话，下面
原网页还有他的讲话视频。
http://bigthink.com/philip-perry/potential-fda-head-could-change-drug-approval-process-significantly
FDA Head Could Change Drug Approval Process Dramatically
December 17, 2016 by PHILIP PERRY
Article Image
Drugs are proven safe and effective before hitting pharmacy shelves. Jim O'
Neill sees it differently.
President elect Donald Trump has had several controversial cabinet picks so
far for his administration. But in the medical community many... 阅读全帖 |
|
b*****d
发帖数: 61690 | 12 http://thehill.com/homenews/administration/318621-trump-white-house-besieged-by-leaks
Donald Trump’s White House has sprung a remarkable number of leaks since
his inauguration.
The question is where they’re coming from.
Barely a day goes by without some unusual tale emerging from 1600
Pennsylvania Ave. Recent examples in a single New York Times story included
the assertion that White House aides have held meetings in the dark because
they can’t figure out how the lights work and that the preside... 阅读全帖 |
|
b*****d
发帖数: 61690 | 13 Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen said Friday that the bank would likely
raise interest rates this month barring unexpected economic turmoil.
Yellen said during a speech in Chicago that the Federal Open Market
Committee (FOMC) would likely hike rates if employment and inflation
continue to move toward the Fed’s optimal goals.
“At our meeting later this month, the committee will evaluate whether
employment and inflation are continuing to evolve in line with our
expectations, in which case a furt... 阅读全帖 |
|
T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 14 停了联帮给医保公司的补贴obamacare就真的垮了，难怪老头以前对obamacare垮掉这么
有信心
Trump Threatens to Withhold Payments to Insurers to Press Democrats on
Health Bill
‘Democrats will start calling me’ if turmoil hits insurance markets,
President Donald Trump tells The Wall Street Journal
WASHINGTON—Nearly three weeks after Republican infighting sank an overhaul
of the Affordable Care Act, President Donald Trump dug back into the battle
on Wednesday, threatening to withhold payments to insurers to force
Democrats to the negotia... 阅读全帖 |
|
T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 15 小默多克对狐狸台彻底改组了，他力薄肉老婆肯定没少出力。
Adding yet another chapter to the ongoing changes at Fox News, network co-
president Bill Shine has resigned from his post, the network announced on
Monday.
Shine, who was named co-president after the ouster of long-time Fox News
chief Roger Ailes last summer, has been seen by many as the main anchor and
connection to the news organization that Ailes built.
Shine’s exit is expected to fuel the speculation within the network that a
bigger housecleaning is coming, as ow... 阅读全帖 |
|
l*h
发帖数: 4124 | 16 Asian countries shaken and in turmoil after Trump says "fire and fury"
Under cloud of fear not only of war, but also of Words
我靠，总统太牛逼了，说了个fire and fury，亚洲国家就地动山摇，人民浑身颤抖，
各国陷入混乱。不但要害怕战争，还要害怕总统的嘴像超级巨大的火焰喷射器，一张嘴
就把亚洲各国烧成焦土。 |
|
|
S*******i
发帖数: 2018 | 18 It turns out that Russia has sown distrust in the U.S. political system—
aided and abetted by the Democratic Party, and perhaps the FBI. This is an
about-face from the dominant media narrative of the last year, and it
requires a full investigation.
The Washington Post revealed Tuesday that the Hillary Clinton campaign and
Democratic National Committee jointly paid for that infamous “dossier”
full of Russian disinformation against Donald Trump. They filtered the
payments through a U.S. law firm (... 阅读全帖 |
|
a*********a
发帖数: 3656 | 19 for "the greater good". what is their greater good? is FB stock price a part
of the greater good?
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-31/facebook-turmoil-employees-uproar-
over-executives-leaked-memo
VP Andrew "Boz" Bosworth - one of Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg's most
trusted executives, wrote that connecting people is the greater good even if
it "costs someone a life by exposing someone to bullies.
“Maybe someone dies in a terrorist attack coordinated on our tools.”
On Friday, the fallout f... 阅读全帖 |
|
t******g
发帖数: 1667 | 20 http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-45274175
News that two former Trump advisers are facing prison time may have provoked
a media firestorm in the nation's capital. But to the president's core
supporters it's just a distraction from the good work he's doing.
"This is the sort of stuff that should be in People magazine," says James
Montfort III, when I call him to ask what he makes of the legal turmoil
surrounding Paul Manafort and Michael Cohen. |
|
发帖数: 1 | 21 美国有30%的人是evangelicals...
White evangelical support of Donald Trump is at an all-time high, according
to a new study. The poll, conducted by the Public Religion Research
Institute in March, found that a full 75 percent of white evangelicals
surveyed had a positive opinion of Donald Trump, compared to just 22 percent
holding an unfavorable view. Among white evangelical men, that number is
even higher — 81 percent — while 71 percent of white evangelical women
also view Trump favorably. The poll has... 阅读全帖 |
|
M******e
发帖数: 1193 | 22 Rosenstein Suggested He Secretly Record Trump and Discussed 25th Amendment
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/21/us/politics/rod-rosenstein-wear-wire-25th
-amendment.html
The deputy attorney general, Rod J. Rosenstein, suggested last year that he
secretly record President Trump in the White House to expose the chaos
consuming the administration, and he discussed recruiting cabinet members to
invoke the 25th Amendment to remove Mr. Trump from office for being unfit.
Mr. Rosenstein made these suggest... 阅读全帖 |
|
W*******n
发帖数: 4140 | 23 The Miserable World I Reflected in a Response Letter
by Limin Wang
Oct. 13, 2018
I got a "No Units Available" email from 572 Eleventh Ave
Apartments because I applied for public housing in NYC. Then,
in a few days, its regular mail arrived, with extra information
about Violence Against Women Act and family courts information.
My outrage and desperation were quite obvious in the following
email response to them, although I have held a lot of facts not
disclosed yet.
October 9, 2018
Hello,
I got a... 阅读全帖 |
|
c**i
发帖数: 6973 | 24 John W. Miller, Greek Shippers Weather Storm; Despite Economic Turmoil at
Home, Firms Appear Poised for a Strong Year. Wall Street Journal, May 13,
2010.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704879704575236190728497962.html
(a) Quote:
"The [shipping] industry [is] second only to tourism in economic importance
to Greece
"The modern incarnation of Greek shipping was born in the late 1940s, when
Greek entrepreneurs bought over 800 Liberty ships, U.S. wartime cargo
vessels, at bargain price |
|
E*V
发帖数: 17544 | 25 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: EUV (奶特都是卖国贼), 信区: Military
标 题: Re: Chinese Premier Wen Says Europe Should Refrain From See
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Oct 6 20:38:05 2010, 美东)
BRUSSELS (Reuters) – Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao told the European Union on
Wednesday to stop piling pressure on Beijing to revalue its currency, saying
a rapid shift could unleash disastrous social turmoil.
Wen told an EU-China business forum in Brussels that China would implement a
reform of its currency regime announced in Jun... 阅读全帖 |
|
w*********s
发帖数: 2136 | 26 On Friday, headlines across the United States declared that "unemployment
remains unchanged at 9.6%". Many analysts rejoiced and heralded this
announcement as a sign that we have hit bottom and that things will be
turning around soon. But is that the truth? A closer look at the
unemployment numbers reveals some disturbing facts. For example, according
to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, a broader measure of unemployment that
includes workers that have stopped looking for work rose sharply to ... 阅读全帖 |
|
t******4
发帖数: 2300 | 27 CAIRO (AP) - Egypt's military rulers called for an end to strikes and
protests Monday as thousands of state employees, from ambulance drivers to
police and transport workers, demonstrated to demand better pay in a growing
wave of labor unrest unleashed by the democracy uprising that ousted Hosni
Mubarak's regime.
The statement by the ruling military council that took power from Mubarak
appeared to be a final warning to protest organizers in labor and
professional unions before the army intervene... 阅读全帖 |
|
E*V
发帖数: 17544 | 28 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: EUV (奶特都是卖国贼), 信区: Military
标 题: 读书了，警察与赞美诗
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Jun 21 17:26:50 2011, 美东)
On his bench in Madison Square Soapy moved uneasily. When wild geese honk
high of nights, and when women without sealskin coats grow kind to their
husbands, and when Soapy moves uneasily on his bench in the park, you may
know that winter is near at hand.
A dead leaf fell in Soapy's lap. That was Jack Frost's card. Jack is kind to
the regular denizens of Madison Square, and giv... 阅读全帖 |
|
f******t
发帖数: 7283 | 29 其实Tesla自动驾驶部门的高管辞职，他们是很明智的。
不成熟的autopilot已经、并且未来肯定会继续闹出人命；说不好很可能惹上刑事官司
。一旦被定性为刑事案件，Elon Musk当然不想坐牢，所以必须找人来当替罪羊。显然
这些VP是最佳人选。在湾区又不是特别高的收入，却要时刻担心出事惹祸，这种苦差事
谁愿意长期来干呢？ |
|
y***n
发帖数: 2318 | 30 的确如此，美国交通部近期就要投票决定FL的auto-pilot命案的liability。 |
|
d*e
发帖数: 109 | 31 【 以下文字转载自 Investment 讨论区 】
发信人: armor (我爱宝贝纯纯), 信区: Investment
标 题: Worse than LTCM (ZT)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Aug 14 11:46:13 2007)
Worse than LTCM: Not Just a Liquidity Crisis; Rather a Credit Crisis and
Crunch
Nouriel Roubini | Aug 09, 2007
The global market turmoil got ugly today forcing the ECB and the Fed to
inject liquidity in the financial system as the concerns about subprime,
credit and debt turned into a full blown liquidity run and crisis. As in
1998 at the time of the LTCM crisis, th |
|
f*******e
发帖数: 142 | 32 我只关注沪市盘子大的钢铁、金融、农业、食品、能源股，所以没有太多过山车的感觉
，但是却是赚到了钱，跑赢了大盘，心理比较舒服。这一段时间以来，美国股市对于全
球其他地区股市的影响，让我也体会到美股对a股的影响，哪怕只是心理上。
这里跟大家共享一下美股历史规律，供大家参考：
1. unlucky "7",在历史上是美国股市比较衰的年份多是以以7字结尾的年份，不信的话
，可以详细查阅一下：crash in 1987；1997，beginning of asian crisis;1977, Dow
down 17.3%;1957 bear market; 1947, bear market;1937, Crash of 1937;1917,
first World War turmoil; 1907, "rich man's panic", etc.
2.在美国大选前一年，9月和10月是市场最熊的一个时间段；
3. 在美国大选前一年的8月的最后三天市场相对会走强；
4. 在美国大选前一年，8月历史平均上涨1。4%
5。 7月-10月是最volatile的一个时间段；
6。在过去13年中有11年 |
|
d*******l
发帖数: 2567 | 33 Points taken. what you said simply illustrates how the public-wait-
taxpayers are hijacked. Supply and demand is such an old and powerful
mechanism that we sometimes tend to forget. Yet my poor little
social conscientiousness smells something fishy, something unfair
when I heard massive layoffs. While we maneuver ourselves through
this life turmoil, maybe social elitism isn't such a cliche. We
the learned may have to take the pills for now, but we'll emerge
sooner and stronger. Hey, if we can't |
|
c**i
发帖数: 6973 | 34 Deanna Fei, To Keep But Not Be Kept; Hating the image of a trophy wife but
living as one. New York Times, Sept 4, 2011
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/04/fashion/modern-love
-the-trophy-wife.html?_r=1&scp=1&sq=%22Deanna%20Fei%22&st=cse
Note:
(a) I can not find the Chinese name of Deanna FEI.
(b) kept: in Taiwan, 包養 (Mandarin)， 包飼 (Hoklo)
(c) keeper (n): "one suitable for or worth keeping"
(d) for keeps: "for an indefinitely long time : PERMANENTLY"
Both definitions are from www.m-w.com |
|
s******d
发帖数: 323 | 35 Even if you are outright bearish, don't short the market. Stocks could touch
crazy levels, but they may be in currencies which are worthless.
Indeed, a sovereign default and currency turmoil could rattle world markets
in a year or two. In a chat with ET, global investor Jim Rogers says cotton,
silver and sugar can be hot picks. Read on.
At one stage we were inundated with gloomy forecasts, which were further
reinforced by the IMF and World Bank. And then suddenly stocks surged —
something most w |
|
h*******y
发帖数: 864 | 36 It is better in terms of volatility but not necessarily in terms of return (
if you believe in US' economy future). PP gave you the extra protection from
high inflation or dollar crash scenario. That's the beauty of asset
allocation.
Although, Harry Browne did recommend storing gold in the foreign bank safety
deposit box in case there is a turmoil in US. I don't think that's easy to
accomplish.
xx% |
|
p********r
发帖数: 1980 | 37 Why? Rents are mostly stable over time. If one has calculated ROI on the
investment, it is one of the safest way to invest despite market turmoil. |
|
k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 38 stagflation is more likely
oil supply can go down too, especially if there are further turmoils in
the mideast driven by the food crisis.
food>energy>PM is the ticket to go through this difficult time |
|
D*****t
发帖数: 558 | 39 Both did poorly last year. By no means should any one take these seriously.
But just for the fun of it, predictions for 2014 are:
Kass:
http://www.thestreet.com/story/12210901/1/doug-kass-15-surprise
Surprise No. 1: Slowing global economic growth and fears of stagflation
emerge.
Surprise No. 2: Corporate profits disappoint.
Surprise No. 3: Stock prices and P/E multiples decline.
Surprise No. 4: Bonds outperform stocks.
Surprise No. 5: A number of major surprises affect individual stocks and
sect... 阅读全帖 |
|
M********r
发帖数: 278 | 40 What are you afraid of? If you are afraid of losing money because of bad
investment choice ( say you invest in a very agressive sector fund and lose
money because of market turmoil), the choice is yours. You need to make wise
investment selections based on your investment objectives. You want to be
safe? Vanguard has money market funds for your safety needs.
If you are afraid of vangaurd as a company, keep in mind that vanguard is
one of, if not THE most reputable company arround with a giganti... 阅读全帖 |
|
M********r
发帖数: 278 | 41 What u said is true and is proved by LZ' s original post. If u have 20plus
yrs on the time horizon, you can affordnto lose a lot. Simply keep adding
more to ur acount and ride out market turmoil. In the end u will end up
betterr than who bails out. Thats exactly what LZ did. Problem is psychology
. When u see your account getting a 50%haircut, when u see people around you
bailing out , do u still have the stomach to keep dca. Most people dont.
And lots of them sell at market bottom and miss the... 阅读全帖 |
|
J****h
发帖数: 623 | 42 Investors thinking of selling amid the current market turmoil should resist
the urge, Vanguard Group founder Jack Bogle said Wednesday
"Just stay the course. Don't do something, just stand there. This is
speculation that we're seeing out there, and you can't respond to it," |
|
N*D
发帖数: 3641 | 43 简单的说，到了四年的都走了，这个数据可以估算四年前招人的比例。高官不算。 |
|
p*u
发帖数: 2454 | 44
TWTR went down below IPO price, no need 2 wait for 4-year mark... |
|
f*****d
发帖数: 2285 | 45 大牛啥时候走？
[在 NND (牛牛的) 的大作中提到：]
：简单的说，到了四年的都走了，这个数据可以估算四年前招人的比例。高官不算。 |
|
h*******y
发帖数: 864 | 46
Clinging to cash equivalents or long-term government bonds at present yields
is almost certainly a terrible policy if continued for long. Holders of
these instruments, of course, have felt increasingly comfortable – in fact,
almost smug – in following this policy as financial turmoil has mounted.
They regard their judgment confirmed when they hear commentators proclaim “
cash is king,” even though that wonderful cash is earning close to nothing
and will surely find its purchasing power eroded o |
|
r******e
发帖数: 289 | 47 Bond market is going up a little higher with the flush of earning news from
energy stock and the short-term easement of Egyptian turmoil.
Conforming Loan (<=417k)
Purpose of Loan 30 YR 15 YR 5/1
Purchase Loan 4.625 4.000 3.125
Refinance Loan 4.750 4.125 3.250
The rates are based on criterion below and good for the time when they are
quoted:
Loan $ >=400K, FICO>=740, LTV<=80%( SFH) or 75%( Condo), primary residence.
There is no point, no fee for refinance but there is... 阅读全帖 |
|
j*******0
发帖数: 347 | 48 It seems that Greek Gods and Goddesses will do trick or treat this year.
The whole market was totally spooked by their democratic dream.
In California, the best rate for 30-year purchase could be 3.75 while for 15
-year purchase it could be as low as 3.125. The refinance rate will be 3.875
and 3.25 respectively for well-qualified candidates.
This year, stock market's return in October was not as bad as expected. But
the jinx might extend to November as financial turmoil is looming again.
Nobody ... 阅读全帖 |
|
h****3
发帖数: 187 | 49 these are "generally" fair assessment of the current mkt in Southern CA.
we had 2 headfakes in the last 2 springs, the so-called "selling seasons".
Spring of '10--induced by federal government's $8k credit--many buyers found
out later they over paid much more than $8k.
Spring of '11--momentum lost due to turmoils in Europe.
coming Spring of '12--looks promising so far. activities have been up and
strong since late Nov/early Dec of '11.
Current housing downturn is entering the 6th yr. prices ha... 阅读全帖 |
|
|
