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f*****g
发帖数: 15860 | 2 30stand posts more when he's in upswing...
". |
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c*****a
发帖数: 447 | 3 if you are playing this way, even through with 2 ids, you are still one
person playing the same game. I think you only get into trouble when you
think of those two ids as seperate identities.
In fact, there is only you, one person, playing the same game. If you put
the data for both ids together, you will have a very normal looking graph
with up and downs. pokeryjj is not that lucky and soleeyeboy is not that
unlucky. It just happened that pokeryjj caught all the upswing and
soleeyeboy c |
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L****n
发帖数: 490 | 4
This happens to me when I am still in a huge upswing.
I am thinking about switching to HU. When I play RUSH, I just put into
autopilot mode nowadays. No improvement, no excitement, I just want to
finish the required points. |
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W********m
发帖数: 7793 | 5 nothing to do with downswing or upswing. no interest? play less.. get enough
points? play something else~~ It is like playing on-line games. We all have been there~~~
HU is more fun than FR granted. Probably more money to be made as well. I
mean HU cash. HU sng seems pretty boring to me as well~~~ Another thing that might excites you is to play a higher level if bankroll is enough. Probably more fun playing NL200 NL400 for sure~~~
One last thing, post more brags and beats. It is very inte... 阅读全帖 |
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f*****g
发帖数: 15860 | 6 来自主题: TexasHoldem版 - Tax~ chinese only? lol, i doubt many top american pros will be in big troubles if
IRS gets tough on this issue.
many with so called career winnings of, say, $2M, if this number is reliable
, at least half would go to IRS, even you're qualified as a pro (and thus a
professional income like others), still, you'll pay tax on every penny you
win, but only be able to deduct your "loss" to some degree.
imagine you have an upswing in year A, you have to pay all your taxes, then
in year B, you have a big dow... 阅读全帖 |
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T********n
发帖数: 528 | 7 我的Fantasy Football队。=（
打牌也是。最近搬家，打球手受伤，去打个牌还真是挺折腾的。
最近一直跟LP讨论打牌值不值得我们的时间。从一个副业的角度来看，打牌娱乐价值高
，时间的commitment很flexible。可是短期的variance高，感觉也不是什么光明正大可
以跟同事聊聊一家子周末做了什么的事。
我们爱吃面包。每个礼拜会去面包店。LP就问，为啥我们不考虑不打牌了，去
franchise一个小面包店。也会很有乐趣，也有可能赚的比打牌多（我多次认真考虑过
franchise波霸店，subway，etc）
考虑的细节就不重要了。反正结论还是打牌又好玩又是可进可退的副业。
然后就是我一直输输输。输。
这两个月来已经突破我从2005就没有更新过的连输记录。
现在谈把时间用在不同的东西也是说先等upswing后再说。
反正打牌就是赢的时候认为自己天下无敌。输的时候就只能反复run simulation，和朋
友讨论，尽可能的确认战略和execution都好，和自己自我催眠unluckiest ever。而每
次继续输，自信就越弱小。
还好这两个月来LP牌的技术越来越好。... 阅读全帖 |
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f*****g
发帖数: 15860 | 8 滥打了这么些年牌，如果就要总结成一句话，技术是问题，但是其实更大的问题往往是
心态。
其实但凡玩了一些牌，爱琢磨一下，就平时玩得起的级别，技术上都可以算及格的，但
各人的心态问题很多样化：
1)觉得花几小时开车，N大洋住酒店....的种种不易，对寻刺激的潜意识其实不低；
2)同上，觉得“耐心”玩半天(其实才百来把牌)，输赢个小数字就走人，不甘心；
3)好了，不慎杯具几把(少数真coolers，其实还有几把不过是coin flip了2:1了之类的
)，心态开始失衡了，开始多玩marginal hands了；
4)得，又稀里糊涂下去2 buy-ins，坑大了，考虑填一点算一点；
5)泥马那头毛驴运气咋这么好？这桌基本都这样的，就那谁谁觉得还行...
6)不切实际的目标，upswing, downswing，在live的那点小样本空间屁也不是；
7)不认真记帐，记吃不记打，或者反之，不能较客观的看待自己，选择性遗忘；
8).....(起码还几十种)
打牌其实挺磨炼人的，修心养性。 |
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d*****0
发帖数: 1500 | 9 这牌信息不全，对手是good reg，怎么个good，数据是怎样的？你在对手眼里是怎么样
的image？
如果只是简单的说，你们都有good image，那只要看到自己有50%以上的equity，凶一
点的话，两个人就基本都进去了。但是，实际上，还存在的其他的好几种处理方法，并
且在很多情况下，看似不是standard的play往往能够保持甚至获得更多的价值。
还有，小popo，哥友情提示，你要处理好你的ego问题。想要打得更好，没错，想要尽
快升级，并且站到世界之巅，没错。但是，如果这种想法在将来的某一天，突然暴走，
比如一个tilt session让你打牌失控，或者一个长的upswing或者downswing，让你跃级
打牌，都是非常非常危险的事，你要时刻警醒，避免悲剧发生。
对于99%的玩家，poker都是没有捷径可以走的，因为打得太苦逼，保持一个良好的心态
，做好持久战的准备，在哥看来，是重中之重，是survive的前提。 |
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p******a
发帖数: 975 | 10 关键问题是很多人不清楚“短期”和“长期”是个什么概念。
我在网上见过的最大的downswing是20万手牌，EV和profit相差了近30个buy-in。当然
这个是个很极端的例子，安全的说3-5万手牌的downswing应该是正常的。
假设从小说3万手，那么基本上所有非职业的live game，除非真的有巨大的edge，都是
赌博，赌的是自己在upswing还是downswing。
online除非玩的volume非常大（一年上百万手），否则也是赌博，所以输赢看开点，反
正都不是职业的 |
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w***w
发帖数: 6301 | 11 online的咱们不要拿来做标准。
lz说live，就说live。
online这个我都不能相信任何一家不作弊。
所以online swing大是由于作弊还是由于对抗强，这个也没办法确定。
但live肯定远没online这么大swing。
一个downswing就3-5万手，打live的很多人一辈子都没打过3-5万手。那么说岂不是
live的winner赢了一辈子只不过是刚好碰上了upswing？
我打online可以连续几天不停的river out，这种搞法downswing太容易。
live哪里见过这种。我打live最多输过的就是3个buying。 |
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p******a
发帖数: 975 | 12 关键问题是很多人不清楚“短期”和“长期”是个什么概念。
我在网上见过的最大的downswing是20万手牌，EV和profit相差了近30个buy-in。当然
这个是个很极端的例子，安全的说3-5万手牌的downswing应该是正常的。
假设从小说3万手，那么基本上所有非职业的live game，除非真的有巨大的edge，都是
赌博，赌的是自己在upswing还是downswing。
online除非玩的volume非常大（一年上百万手），否则也是赌博，所以输赢看开点，反
正都不是职业的 |
|
w***w
发帖数: 6301 | 13 online的咱们不要拿来做标准。
lz说live，就说live。
online这个我都不能相信任何一家不作弊。
所以online swing大是由于作弊还是由于对抗强，这个也没办法确定。
但live肯定远没online这么大swing。
一个downswing就3-5万手，打live的很多人一辈子都没打过3-5万手。那么说岂不是
live的winner赢了一辈子只不过是刚好碰上了upswing？
我打online可以连续几天不停的river out，这种搞法downswing太容易。
live哪里见过这种。我打live最多输过的就是3个buying。 |
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s*****s
发帖数: 1130 | 14 upswing和downswing的时候教育方针是不一样的. |
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q****8
发帖数: 3281 | 15 我觉得最起码200K，500K就很可信了。
一个upswing或者downswing可以达到10万手。
10k |
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N****f
发帖数: 546 | 16 It's supposed to be on the upswing now. |
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E*****m
发帖数: 25615 | 17 http://guardianlv.com/2013/07/religion-to-disappear-by-2041-cla
Religion to Disappear By 2041 Claims New Study
Added by Rebecca Savastio on July 23, 2013.
Saved under Rebecca Savastio, World
Religion to Disappear By 2038 Claims New Study
Author and noted biopsychologist Nigel Barber has completed a new study that
shows Atheism is most prevalent in developed countries, and, according to
his projections, religion will completely disappear by 2041. His findings
are discussed in his new book “Why At... 阅读全帖 |
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g****1
发帖数: 261 | 18
Sanford-Burnham Medical Institute is often shadowed by Salk and Scripps,
and less known in China.
In general, if one wants to take advantage of the growing opportunities
and funding in China, I think that it's better to work with a Chinese PI
who has got tenure and on an upswing in a good field. In the next 10
years, the hot money is in China. Unless you have chance to work with an
Nobel Prize caliber boss in U.S., a mediocre U.S. boss wouldn't be able to
help you much to land a good job in C... 阅读全帖 |
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s******s
发帖数: 55 | 19 http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/05/15/us-cancer-chemo-idUSB
(Reuters) - After decades of using one-size-fits-all therapies to combat
cancer, doctors are using new tools to help decide when their patients can
skip chemotherapy or other harsh treatments.
An approach to oncology that has been in place for decades is beginning to
yield to an arsenal of long-term clinical studies, genetic tests and novel
drugs that target cancer cells and their infrastructure.
"What is happening is a combination ... 阅读全帖 |
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b*******0
发帖数: 1695 | 20 Chem Eng job market is very cyclical. It was very tough 10 years ago. Albeit
it is upswing now. So it is possible that you heard that from some people
who entered job market that time
Let us focus on Supertech, ji/ya gong gong |
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q**i
发帖数: 174 | 21 competitive pressure + firm's pricing behavior?
Most companies have a retro-look on pricing and there is usually a lag
between making lower profits and realizing it. The competitive pressure
plays into the game in the sense that the first company who adjusts its
prices during a cost upswing will price itself out of the market.
customer expectation plus willingness to pay for price stability (
thus long-term contract and its use) may also contribute to this. |
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a*****g
发帖数: 19398 | 22 With more state money available to reduce class sizes, school districts in
California are using incentives such as bonuses and housing subsidies to
recruit teachers. Schools have hired 7,700 teachers over the past two years
who have only temporary permits, waivers or intern credentials, data show.
BY DIANA LAMBERT
[email protected]
/* */
A growing teacher shortage has California school districts offering
subsidized housing and signing bonuses in an effort to woo potential
recruits.
The hir... 阅读全帖 |
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o****e
发帖数: 195 | 23 EECS. Everyone is hiring, in both litigation and prosecution. Based on the
Loyola job fair, the upswing is inevitable. International IP litigation is
also growing fast.
But, firms are still being picky. Average tech background (e.g., BS in EE/CS)
does not go very far. MS degree, or patent-related work experience, are very
desirable. |
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B*S
发帖数: 1328 | 24 I know I am not supposed to do this here. But both the view point and
the conclusion are interesting...
************************************************************************
In a recent report Stöferle went on to say:
1) The Dow/gold ratio suggests a possible future $10,400 price
for gold.
At 8.5x the Dow/gold ratio is currently slightly above the long-term
median of 8x. This means that gold is still relatively inexpensive in
comparison with the Dow Jones. Bull markets tend to en... 阅读全帖 |
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t******g
发帖数: 462 | 25 又长又臭，中统选举前后，巴朗错的厉害，估计压错宝了
大概说，no easy compromise,不过股市是跌是涨不知道，option好像便宜，可以买点
做保险
The stock market is bracing for a protracted fight over the fiscal cliff.
Apple dives, bond yields dip.
It looks like it's going to be a real cliff-dweller.
As long-time (and thus long-suffering) New York Mets fans may recall, the
Amazin's second manager, one Wes Westrum, outdid their illustrious original
skipper -- The Old Perfesser, Casey Stengel -- with his own malapropism to
describe long, drawn-out contests who... 阅读全帖 |
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w******s
发帖数: 16209 | 26 here is the full article:
Emerging Wild Card: Inflation
By TOM LAURICELLA
While many investors have been fixated on the European debt crisis, concerns
have been quietly building about the potential for inflation problems in
emerging markets.
The fear isn't that emerging-market countries will return to the kind of
hyperinflation that was so damaging in the past. Rather, the worry is that
high food and energy prices, combined with capacity constraints and the
Federal Reserve's easing move in the U... 阅读全帖 |
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y*****l
发帖数: 5997 | 27 http://seekingalpha.com/article/246874-denison-mines-an-investm
Denison Mines: An Investment in Uranium's Growth Potential
31 comments | by: Michael Filloon January 17, 2011
| about: CCJ / DNN
Uranium is a difficult investment to make. Eric Bolling was on Fast Money a
while back and made the comment that only a handful of people on Earth truly
understand the mechanics of pricing with respect to this specific commodity
. Although I am not an expert, I have followed this sector for some tim... 阅读全帖 |
|
y*****l
发帖数: 5997 | 28 http://seekingalpha.com/article/246874-denison-mines-an-investm
Denison Mines: An Investment in Uranium's Growth Potential
31 comments | by: Michael Filloon January 17, 2011
| about: CCJ / DNN
Uranium is a difficult investment to make. Eric Bolling was on Fast Money a
while back and made the comment that only a handful of people on Earth truly
understand the mechanics of pricing with respect to this specific commodity
. Although I am not an expert, I have followed this sector for some tim... 阅读全帖 |
|
y*****l
发帖数: 5997 | 29 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
DNMT2009 (giantpanda) 于 (Mon Dec 13 23:11:02 2010, 美东) 提到:
可以开捞DAL， LCC了吗
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
zhdu (Pringle) 于 (Mon Dec 13 23:19:43 2010, 美东) 提到:
听说油价还要涨
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
DNMT2009 (giantpanda) 于 (Tue Dec 14 10:39:40 2010, 美东) 提到:
油价再涨， 我咋觉得机票长得更快呢
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
purp (小狗狗， 仅次于狼) 于 (Tue Dec 14 10:48:10 2010, 美东) 提到:
Airline Profits to Drop 40% on Taxes, Oil。 (ZT！！！)
Airl... 阅读全帖 |
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f**********g
发帖数: 2252 | 30 YRC & Knight Transportation Show Signs of Recovery
1 hours 4 minutes ago - INW via Comtex
MarketwireThe trucking industry represents a very important component of the
US economy. According to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, the trucking
industry adds about 5% to the Gross Domestic product each year. The trucking
industry was hit exceptionally hard during the economic crisis with nearly
2000 companies going out of business and others reducing the size of their
fleets. Only in the last eight m... 阅读全帖 |
|
f**********g
发帖数: 2252 | 31 YRC & Knight Transportation Show Signs of Recovery
1 hours 4 minutes ago - INW via Comtex
MarketwireThe trucking industry represents a very important component of the
US economy. According to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, the trucking
industry adds about 5% to the Gross Domestic product each year. The trucking
industry was hit exceptionally hard during the economic crisis with nearly
2000 companies going out of business and others reducing the size of their
fleets. Only in the last eight m... 阅读全帖 |
|
f**********g
发帖数: 2252 | 32 http://finviz.com/screener.ashx?v=341&t=NOG,ROYL
Northern Oil & Gas Raised To Strong Buy From Add By CapitalOne Southcoast >
NOG
1 hours 40 minutes ago - Dow Jones News
"Drill Baby, Drill" -- Northern Oil and Gas and Royale Energy Boost
Production
1 hours 56 minutes ago - Marketwire via Comtex
MarketwireOil explorers and producers are on the upswing this week as
sources surfaced that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries
(OPEC) plans to raise its oil production quota for the firs... 阅读全帖 |
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