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全部话题 - 话题: wlezien
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发帖数: 1637
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来自主题: USANews版 - The Romney campaign is in trouble
The Romney campaign is in trouble
Posted by Ezra Klein on September 17, 2012 at 10:54 am
There are two sure signs a campaign is in trouble. The first is that it
begins changing its strategy rapidly and erratically. The second is that it
begins attacking its strategists fiercely and
First came the changes in strategy. It went from doing everything possible
to assure a “referendum” election to picking Paul Ryan as the vice
presidential nominee and going for a choice election. It went from focusing... 阅读全帖
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发帖数: 2651
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来自主题: Salon版 - 中国有个很有趣的现象
>>>>>>把科学的方法论引入政治科学,是从来没有人做过的。
In the area of risk management and strategy planning, it has been done long
time ago.
Not a good reference:
http://74.125.155.132/search?q=cache:PmVOc8OLHeIJ:www.temple.edu/polsci/wlezien/documents/PredictorsSeptembe2009.doc+steven+kou+columbia+campaign&cd=10&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us
Steven Kou at Columbia predicted the Year 2000 US Presidential Election
outcome a month before the voting. The prediction matched the actual vote
result in every single state.

平。把科学的方法论引入政
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