z*****o
发帖数: 45 | 1 25这个底之前我就觉得守不住，本来还以为要去24.3$，结果熊熊只砸到24.62，熊熊用
尽最后的力气也没砸下去，看来也就这样了。明天怎么样都会涨一下，15天后的收盘就
看明天的rally有多高了。 最不济也应该收在26左右。
现在这个价格GPRO，市值才3.5B不到，PE更是只有16.5. Nasdaq 100都有20的PE。 虽
然长线不知道他们的无人机，VR，和media做的怎么样（得看Q4以后的财报以后再说）
，短期
回调是应该的。 |
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e*********r
发帖数: 337 | 3 Since you asked for it… I am happy to provide it.
Worst case scenario:
Products do not gain mainstream appeal, slower sales, increased marketing
cost, pricing pressure from competitors, margin compression --- lower
earnings. Current annual earning is about $150 millions, not that much by
the way. In the worst case scenario, the earnings could be shaved down to $
100 million, giving EPS approximately $1.00.
Growth deceleration --- P/E contraction from current 20 down to 15, for a
one-product har... 阅读全帖 |
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F****5
发帖数: 128 | 4 总是有很高明而且英文很好的人在这儿泼渔夫大牛的冷水，就像中国有个叫李大霄的人
一样。 |
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z*****o
发帖数: 45 | 6 我从来没说24.6是支撑，24.3才是硬支撑。
今天金气油大盘vix 唯独gpro金鸡独立说明什么？？ |
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f*********9
发帖数: 1986 | 7
$
People are free to have their opinion, I don't want to comment your thoughts
, but one thing I have to point out. You call 60% of daily average volume is
the trending change sign, what a joke! Go back to read your stock 101 book
again. 只增笑耳！ |
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b********2
发帖数: 546 | 9 en , 不错，虽然我也同意英文大牛的一些观点。但觉得25的价钱已经是超跌了，怎么
着也能反弹一下 |
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e*********r
发帖数: 337 | 10 6% of float is not enough volume? get yourself prepared for even thinner
trading in GPRO as time goes on.
You really should not be giving advice to the inexperienced and gullible on
this board, let alone encouraging these fools to follow your trades. You
clearly have no clue on a lot of things, yet you seem to have the ego of
the wolf on the wall street.
thoughts
is
book |
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e*********r
发帖数: 337 | 11 can you tell me 英文很好 is an advantage or a disadvantage in evaluating an
america company?
Have you seen any 冷水 with that much info with numbers, facts and rational
analysis?
I am the angel who is watching out for your hard earned $$$... hahahaha...
Be thankful that you have someone like me here to provide some sensible
advice on investing. |
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F****5
发帖数: 128 | 12 你这个人真矫情，本来不想回应你，但你实在有点烦人，所以回应你两句。
你应该看到我是跟着渔夫大牛买了1000股的，兴冲冲地想挣钱。你却不知趣地对我们心
中的大神冷嘲热讽，打击我们的持股信心，这不是很讨人厌吗！我们即使赔钱我们自己
认栽，不需要你在这里当好人。我们不感激你，不要在这吹魔笛，我们听着烦。莫非你
是做空的人的代表？那你更应该走开，哪凉快哪呆着。李大霄在中国不招人待见就是因
为这，虽然他一个劲说他是为股民利益着想的。
an
rational |
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e*********r
发帖数: 337 | 13 I had a good laugh at .... "我们心中的大神" . Thank you! |
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z*****o
发帖数: 45 | 14 英文大哥，其实我挺支持你的，在这里请只针对股，不要针对人。
每个人都有自己的想法。 我觉得不同的声音挺好，可以让我掂量一下最差的结果。
其实我觉得gpro去15也不是不可能。不过在下个季报前，如果没有进入熊市的话，没有
理由再下24了。所以我还hold我的gpro，我觉得明年一月前去28的概率大于去24。既然
要割也要等反弹以后在割吧？不然就是高买低卖了。 |
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m*****e
发帖数: 1054 | 15 同意，言论自由，我喜欢这个贴子，针对GPRO有不同分析，有内容！
希望古板多这样的帖子，青蛙能学东西 |
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e*********r
发帖数: 337 | 16 "请只针对股，不要针对人" --- tell Mr. Fisher that. Dude apparently is
starting to take it personally.
"没有理由再下24"? Why, just because it went public at $24? Think again...
Insiders were awarded stock options at a few bucks or even less, same goes
for the early VCs. Since you are holding it still... let me give a piece of
advice --- watch insider activity closely ... if they start to sell in large
quantities, that would be your cue to get out ASAP. |
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m*****e
发帖数: 1054 | 17 watch insider activity closely
YES!!! Keep a close eye on it.
最近没有吧，都这么低了，我记得50，60 左右，卖得还挺多的
不过，最近在25 左右如果还有很多insider selling, 那是不乐观
of
large |
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e*********r
发帖数: 337 | 18 $25 low was made only during most recent days... besides, there is a delay
in reporting and recording insider activities... it's not real-time. |
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w**********2
发帖数: 26 | 19 各位大神都很lihai，不过我关心的是买股票能赚钱不@eddiebutter
如果我在25买能赚钱吗？或者你觉得会赔，那我就不买了 |
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w**********2
发帖数: 26 | 20 各位大神都很lihai，不过我关心的是买股票能赚钱不@eddiebutter
如果我在25买能赚钱吗？或者你觉得会赔，那我就不买了 |
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e*********r
发帖数: 337 | 23 that's Mr. Fisher's secret crystal ball... he still has not revealed what
exact meaningful info he can extract from it though. |
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e*********r
发帖数: 337 | 24 there is no 大神 in this world. I have already said what needs to be said.
Do your own homework, and make your own rational decision and live with the
results. |
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m*****e
发帖数: 1054 | 25 EB 大牛，这样就没意思了，你知道，你就分享下？
the |
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f*********9
发帖数: 1986 | 26 不多说了，上几张图看看option的分布，经过一周的布局，你看出MM要干什么了吗？多
说无益，言多必失，别问我，自己想吧 |
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e*********r
发帖数: 337 | 27 Nobody can predict the future... I used to have a crystal ball, but then I
lost it. :-)
My money is not in it... does that answer your question? All I was trying to
rationalize is this: risk/reward in GPRO does not favor the long side, and
there are safer and better names out there for your investment dollars. |
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f*********9
发帖数: 1986 | 28
别跟纸交或口交的人多啰嗦，他们站着说话不腰疼。 |
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a*******t
发帖数: 1886 | 29 大牛，我看不太懂这个option跟股价的关系，只是肉眼看股价图，觉得一步步重心在缓
慢往下。如果说下礼拜有突发事件平地拔葱，也有可能，但是现在进是不是风险太大？ |
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e*********r
发帖数: 337 | 31 he is trying to use the max-pain being where the stock will be closed at the
option expiration.... It does not always work out that way. The easy check
is see if GPRO closes at $25.5 today. |
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e*********r
发帖数: 337 | 32 pure speculation again... based on the reading from your crystal ball, Mr.
Fisher? |
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f*********9
发帖数: 1986 | 33
the
check
You dumb or what? Max pain is 25.5, calls are obviously more than puts,
closing at anywhere between 25 and 25.5 works. Again, read book of option
101 before you say anything, don't pretend you are the expert |
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e*********r
发帖数: 337 | 34 oh...my bad... looks like it is not going to work out that way at the close,
huh? and now it is suppose to be a range instead of a price point. Losing
your temper is never a good thing for a trader, Mr. Fisher. Besides, what do
you have to worry about? The worst case scenario for GPRO in your mind is
being taken over at $40+, why do you even pay attention to weekly and
monthly expiration? |
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f*********9
发帖数: 1986 | 35
close,
do
I have nothing to say to save you. Just come back and read your own post
again in next couple weeks, you will learn more, and what you said will be
just a joke. |
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e*********r
发帖数: 337 | 36 what makes you think that I need to saved? |
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f*********9
发帖数: 1986 | 38
木有，不一定要天天操作的。等下周的反转吧，今早就一个很明显的熊套，又装进去不
少，下周吃熊掌吧 |
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z*****o
发帖数: 45 | 39 今天盘尾收的不错，散户没有抢着逃命
weekly close bullish reversal doji |
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a*******t
发帖数: 1886 | 40 我没有仓位，也没有想做gpro，股市里还有很多很好的票。我这两天有一个问题，如果
一只票，有人买了巨额ER后一天到期的call，同时交易量是平时的N倍，能说明什么呢
？这两天股价的确在涨。过俩礼拜ER了。你觉得庄家该怎么走？ |
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a*******t
发帖数: 1886 | 43 只有跌掉才能杀call吧，那是不是现在几天拉升，然后ER那天暴跌，这样ER后那天的
call就全死了？根本没几个Put在交易，基本全是call。 |
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f*********9
发帖数: 1986 | 46
简单说，跌不用说，涨不过strike price就杀call了。hedge fund 也常常干这种事，
他们其实是看好一只股票的，但为了规避ER的风险，就买call instead, 如果ER不如预
期，那就损失点call的小钱而已，如果ER后暴涨，他们就让call 兑现，在比现在价位
低的strike price 吃进股票 |
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a*******t
发帖数: 1886 | 47 不敢在股版讨论具体股票。咱们就泛泛而谈吧。strike就是比这个巨量call出现时的股
价要高大概15%，现在股价马上就到这个strike值了，我很好奇，股票价ER低于等于高
于strike都会有什么样的结果。股价现在在52周Low的25%之内。也是科技股，跟网络无
关。 |
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f*********9
发帖数: 1986 | 49
NND,我的钓鱼单24.49愣是没有hit,一分钱逼死英雄汉啊 |
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f*******t
发帖数: 7549 | 50 25.50不见得买的到。我是想着很可能庄家开盘震仓吸筹，25.50数字太整了不一定抢的
到，就加几分钱吧，结果真的收获了 |
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