g**********y 发帖数: 14569 | 1 Fred Gitelman 在那边表演, 92个人观战. Fred真是倒霉, 一上来就勉强push了两把6S,
都是-1结束, 亏了20IMP. 第三把边缘的6C, 他好歹忍住没去偷, 还算明智, 要不又是-1.
第四次边缘满贯出现, 总算是一个makeable的, 他考虑了半天, 放过了.
偶的感想: 人得相信概率, 除非你是上帝. 不到50%机率的slam, 还是不偷的好. | w****b 发帖数: 623 | 2 Talking about 50% slams, last weekend, in a 32-board imp match, we bid 4
slams, 3 of which about 50% or better, all went down. The other one is not as
good, but makes.
Would you rather be in slam in
AQxx x xx ATxxxx vs xx KJ AQxx KQxxx after HA lead or
ATxxx Qx AKQJ9 x vs xx KJT9xxx xx Ax after SK lead?
Oh by the way, on the 1st one, after the 15 count hand opens 1N, left
overcalled 2D showing both majors.
I happened to be declarer on both hands, and I felt pretty happy with the 1st
one, and reg
【在 g**********y 的大作中提到】 : Fred Gitelman 在那边表演, 92个人观战. Fred真是倒霉, 一上来就勉强push了两把6S, : 都是-1结束, 亏了20IMP. 第三把边缘的6C, 他好歹忍住没去偷, 还算明智, 要不又是-1. : 第四次边缘满贯出现, 总算是一个makeable的, 他考虑了半天, 放过了. : 偶的感想: 人得相信概率, 除非你是上帝. 不到50%机率的slam, 还是不偷的好.
| c****u 发帖数: 3277 | 3 Most players don't like to bid 50% slams that have
no play but like to bid 40% percent slams that are cold. hehe
【在 w****b 的大作中提到】 : Talking about 50% slams, last weekend, in a 32-board imp match, we bid 4 : slams, 3 of which about 50% or better, all went down. The other one is not as : good, but makes. : Would you rather be in slam in : AQxx x xx ATxxxx vs xx KJ AQxx KQxxx after HA lead or : ATxxx Qx AKQJ9 x vs xx KJT9xxx xx Ax after SK lead? : Oh by the way, on the 1st one, after the 15 count hand opens 1N, left : overcalled 2D showing both majors. : I happened to be declarer on both hands, and I felt pretty happy with the 1st : one, and reg
| w****b 发帖数: 623 | 4 Yeah... and most players are above average, too....
【在 c****u 的大作中提到】 : Most players don't like to bid 50% slams that have : no play but like to bid 40% percent slams that are cold. hehe
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