f*****x 发帖数: 545 | 1 Vul.: Both
Dealer: West,
You hold:
S: JXX
H: J8642
D: KQX
C: KX
auction goes as follows:
W N E S
P P 1C P
1D P 1S P
2C P 3S P
6C ALL PASS
What do you lead?
I saw four hands, but I think right reasoning will give you right answer. | c****n 发帖数: 21367 | 2 闭上眼睛抽一张... 敌人什么体系啊?pass过的跳6C......
没看懂叫牌,攻H6好了
【在 f*****x 的大作中提到】 : Vul.: Both : Dealer: West, : You hold: : S: JXX : H: J8642 : D: KQX : C: KX : auction goes as follows: : W N E S : P P 1C P
| x***e 发帖数: 2449 | 3 heihei
I think you have some talent.
I will lead H6 as well
【在 c****n 的大作中提到】 : 闭上眼睛抽一张... 敌人什么体系啊?pass过的跳6C...... : 没看懂叫牌,攻H6好了
| d***a 发帖数: 57 | 4 seems a heart lead is necessary, since west is marked with
long D and C, so that his total cards on the major suits
should be at most 2, and a heart loser can easily be
covered by spade winners. if there were any diamond losers,
that won't go anywhere at all.
【在 f*****x 的大作中提到】 : Vul.: Both : Dealer: West, : You hold: : S: JXX : H: J8642 : D: KQX : C: KX : auction goes as follows: : W N E S : P P 1C P
| f*****x 发帖数: 545 | 5 呵呵,我们这里的水平明显比BBO论坛的水平高。斑竹的分析非常准确,看到了问题的关
键,即红桃舒张可能跑掉,但方块却跑不掉。
四手牌如下:
NORTH:
S:XXXX
H:AQTX
D:TXXX
C:X
S:K S:AQTXX
H:KTX H:X
D:J9XXX D:A
C:Q8XX C:AJTXXX
S:JXX
H:J986X
D:KQX
C:KX
在BBO上,大部分人都选择了明显的方块。
【在 d***a 的大作中提到】 : seems a heart lead is necessary, since west is marked with : long D and C, so that his total cards on the major suits : should be at most 2, and a heart loser can easily be : covered by spade winners. if there were any diamond losers, : that won't go anywhere at all.
| c****u 发帖数: 3277 | 6 they are close, if you change east's hand to HADx, D would be killing
and H lead would cost you the defeat of the slam. You may argue that
they need HAK to pitch a D under HK, however, it also needs SAKQ to pitch
dummy's possible hearts.
The true layout can easily be something like this:
Sx HAKxx Dxxxx Cxxxx vs. SAKxxx Hx Dx CAQJxxx
This time, some would argue that heart would be the very possible suit for
east to pitch his diamond loser under.
【在 f*****x 的大作中提到】 : 呵呵,我们这里的水平明显比BBO论坛的水平高。斑竹的分析非常准确,看到了问题的关 : 键,即红桃舒张可能跑掉,但方块却跑不掉。 : 四手牌如下: : NORTH: : S:XXXX : H:AQTX : D:TXXX : C:X : S:K S:AQTXX : H:KTX H:X
| f*****x 发帖数: 545 | 7
This is impossible given the auction.
vs. SAKxxx Hx Dx CAQJxxx
This is possible, but much less likely. Leading H is definitely a percentage
play.
的关
【在 c****u 的大作中提到】 : they are close, if you change east's hand to HADx, D would be killing : and H lead would cost you the defeat of the slam. You may argue that : they need HAK to pitch a D under HK, however, it also needs SAKQ to pitch : dummy's possible hearts. : The true layout can easily be something like this: : Sx HAKxx Dxxxx Cxxxx vs. SAKxxx Hx Dx CAQJxxx : This time, some would argue that heart would be the very possible suit for : east to pitch his diamond loser under.
| c****u 发帖数: 3277 | 8 impossible? The auction is simply maniac. Still, the hand I gave is a possible
layout for such kind of insane auctions. As I said, they are very close. It's
none of bridge logic. You are talking about that spade suit is more likely to
pitch heart loser than H suit to pitch diamond losers, which doesn't make
sense to me at all.
题
【在 f*****x 的大作中提到】 : : This is impossible given the auction. : vs. SAKxxx Hx Dx CAQJxxx : This is possible, but much less likely. Leading H is definitely a percentage : play. : 的关
|
| x***e 发帖数: 2449 | 9 嗯,小扣的分析很入情入理。
就这个叫牌, 哪个都是有可能的。
建议大家审阅。
possible
It's
to
pitch
for
percentage
问
【在 c****u 的大作中提到】 : impossible? The auction is simply maniac. Still, the hand I gave is a possible : layout for such kind of insane auctions. As I said, they are very close. It's : none of bridge logic. You are talking about that spade suit is more likely to : pitch heart loser than H suit to pitch diamond losers, which doesn't make : sense to me at all. : : 题
| f*****x 发帖数: 545 | 10
possible
Yes, 6C is insane, but first two rounds are difinitely ok.
As I said, they are very close.
This I agree. If it wasnot close then I wouldnot post it out.
It's
to
chances of pitching diamond on heart or pitching heart on diamond are equal.
However, diamond can never be pitched on the declarer's long spade, but heart
can be
which doesn't make
pitch
for
percentage
问
【在 c****u 的大作中提到】 : impossible? The auction is simply maniac. Still, the hand I gave is a possible : layout for such kind of insane auctions. As I said, they are very close. It's : none of bridge logic. You are talking about that spade suit is more likely to : pitch heart loser than H suit to pitch diamond losers, which doesn't make : sense to me at all. : : 题
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