d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 1 在黑暗的时候，有时候学学老印的傻乐观也好。生活总的继续，心存一丝希望，总比一
点希望没有要好。即使到时候，远远没有到达预测日期，大家尽可一笑了之。没有什么
大不了，大部分人也不是靠VB安排我们的工作生活。
From IV Teddykoochu
Let me draw out a rough estimate here is what I feel.
Sep 2011 - Feb 2007
Sep 2012 - Jan 2008
Sep 2013 - Jun 2009
This is a very rough estimate assuming 30K SOFAD every year which in itself
is a huge assumption. 2007 has very heavy traffic and the density is very
light starting mid 2008. I feel 2012 seems to be a very optimistic scenario
for your case 2013 is both the conservative and worst case of what we can
think now. However think about this in 2009 the SOFAD was only 10K if we
were to go back to those levels by any chance like EB2 ROW filing increasing
etc it would be disastrous. For now we should just focus year by year
anything beyond that is very hard to predict. I hope we are all out of this
mess with our GC's soon. Please don't take table to heart its out of my gut
feeling but maybe lets all start debating this because when once can hope to
get GC is very important to every one of us.
Try this formula EB2-I
Best Case - PD + 4 Years (If this date falls before Sep)
Worst Case - PD + 5 Years.
Just a thought about our friends whose PD is in May 2006 and not current it
must be a really sad.
I don't know if it makes people feel happy this year only 6 more months to
go so think like 6 months, 18 months 30 months ... |
Q*K
发帖数: 3464 | 2 典型的阿Q，自我欺骗
按照烙印的预测，咱们现在早都current了。 |
d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 3 呵呵，有时候阿Q也是很可爱的。
【在 Q*K 的大作中提到】
: 典型的阿Q，自我欺骗
: 按照烙印的预测，咱们现在早都current了。
|
S**G
发帖数: 180 | 4 这个预测很糟糕。老印向来是预测current的。这次都不current了。
itself
【在 d******8 的大作中提到】
: 在黑暗的时候，有时候学学老印的傻乐观也好。生活总的继续，心存一丝希望，总比一
: 点希望没有要好。即使到时候，远远没有到达预测日期，大家尽可一笑了之。没有什么
: 大不了，大部分人也不是靠VB安排我们的工作生活。
: From IV Teddykoochu
: Let me draw out a rough estimate here is what I feel.
: Sep 2011 - Feb 2007
: Sep 2012 - Jan 2008
: Sep 2013 - Jun 2009
: This is a very rough estimate assuming 30K SOFAD every year which in itself
: is a huge assumption. 2007 has very heavy traffic and the density is very
|
a******s
发帖数: 598 | 5 阿Q你好
itself
【在 d******8 的大作中提到】
: 在黑暗的时候，有时候学学老印的傻乐观也好。生活总的继续，心存一丝希望，总比一
: 点希望没有要好。即使到时候，远远没有到达预测日期，大家尽可一笑了之。没有什么
: 大不了，大部分人也不是靠VB安排我们的工作生活。
: From IV Teddykoochu
: Let me draw out a rough estimate here is what I feel.
: Sep 2011 - Feb 2007
: Sep 2012 - Jan 2008
: Sep 2013 - Jun 2009
: This is a very rough estimate assuming 30K SOFAD every year which in itself
: is a huge assumption. 2007 has very heavy traffic and the density is very
|
