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EB23版 - at least 160k between 2007-2010
相关主题
凑个热闹,俺们10年PD的是个啥情况呢?剩余名额去哪里了?
08/09/10/11 PD看过来PERM Calculation
给排期靠后点的泼点冷水。劳工部08-14年的PERM数据
EB23 number after 08-2007, and new PD waiting time predictionEB2 Demand for Oct'2007 to Sept'2010
08年8月的PD,13年夏能拿卡吗?真实的08,09,10 485需求。
Backlog will become worse!2012不会发生排期倒退的依据
关于quarterly spillPD2008下半FY的看过来,聊聊看法.
对于大潮后到底有多少demand,我是这么估计的【TSC】485、131、765、140统计
相关话题的讨论汇总
话题: perm话题: 2007话题: total话题: china话题: between
进入EB23版参与讨论
1 (共1页)
r********n
发帖数: 1162
1
EB- INDIA
PD2007 - 14.2k (approval after July 2007)
PD2008 - 23.3k
PD2009 - 16.0k
PD2010 - 21.0k (up to FY2011 Q2 PERM disclosure)
Total - 74.5K
EB- China
PD2007 - 3.2k (approval after July 2007)
PD2008 - 4.1k
PD2009 - 2.2k
PD2010 - 2.3k (up to FY2011 Q2 PERM disclosure)
Total - 11.8K
Combined (EBI&C) Total = 86.3k (assume porting in = porting out, from this
total)
At least 70.0k out of 86.3k will be EB2, you can do the math now!
If you count the family members, the addtional visas needed are 70*1.5=105k.
Plus NIW and their family members, the total demand could be 160k between
2007 and 2010. This can cause significant backlog again!!!
Another interesting fact is that: India PERM density will become 7 times of
China PERM density. Currently it is around 2 times.
b****g
发帖数: 1912
2
suppose china has 15k EB2 between 07-10, we have 3k/year
need 5 years to get GC, quite normal

【在 r********n 的大作中提到】
: EB- INDIA
: PD2007 - 14.2k (approval after July 2007)
: PD2008 - 23.3k
: PD2009 - 16.0k
: PD2010 - 21.0k (up to FY2011 Q2 PERM disclosure)
: Total - 74.5K
: EB- China
: PD2007 - 3.2k (approval after July 2007)
: PD2008 - 4.1k
: PD2009 - 2.2k

p***e
发帖数: 29053
3
that is true........

【在 r********n 的大作中提到】
: EB- INDIA
: PD2007 - 14.2k (approval after July 2007)
: PD2008 - 23.3k
: PD2009 - 16.0k
: PD2010 - 21.0k (up to FY2011 Q2 PERM disclosure)
: Total - 74.5K
: EB- China
: PD2007 - 3.2k (approval after July 2007)
: PD2008 - 4.1k
: PD2009 - 2.2k

d**u
发帖数: 1065
4
EB2C不用担心,吃光自己的外加每年稍微拿点剩余,就没什么问题。

【在 r********n 的大作中提到】
: EB- INDIA
: PD2007 - 14.2k (approval after July 2007)
: PD2008 - 23.3k
: PD2009 - 16.0k
: PD2010 - 21.0k (up to FY2011 Q2 PERM disclosure)
: Total - 74.5K
: EB- China
: PD2007 - 3.2k (approval after July 2007)
: PD2008 - 4.1k
: PD2009 - 2.2k

r********n
发帖数: 1162
5
Don't expect any spillover after cleaning up 2007 mess.
Look at the data: Indian PERM is 20k/year and their demand will be more than
30k per year from 2007 to 2010. Do you think we can get 30k spillover every
year?
China EB2 can only rely on its own visa from 2007!

【在 d**u 的大作中提到】
: EB2C不用担心,吃光自己的外加每年稍微拿点剩余,就没什么问题。
c****r
发帖数: 969
6
我们自己什么时候能清光2007 7月前的?
你说的pd 2007-3.2k 是指 pd 从2007年1月到12月的还是2007年8月到12月的(大潮后
的)?

【在 r********n 的大作中提到】
: EB- INDIA
: PD2007 - 14.2k (approval after July 2007)
: PD2008 - 23.3k
: PD2009 - 16.0k
: PD2010 - 21.0k (up to FY2011 Q2 PERM disclosure)
: Total - 74.5K
: EB- China
: PD2007 - 3.2k (approval after July 2007)
: PD2008 - 4.1k
: PD2009 - 2.2k

r********n
发帖数: 1162
7
3.2k is the number of people who filed PERM in 2007, but approved after the
August of 2007.
There is a time gap between filing and approval. For example, If you file
PERM in 2007.04, you can be approved in 2007.05, but also you can be
approved in 2007.10.
3.2k is the number that is not included in the current pending 485 inventory
report, but these people have PD of 2007.
Usually these people have families, so the total visa demand will be 3.2k*2=
6.4k.

【在 c****r 的大作中提到】
: 我们自己什么时候能清光2007 7月前的?
: 你说的pd 2007-3.2k 是指 pd 从2007年1月到12月的还是2007年8月到12月的(大潮后
: 的)?

c****r
发帖数: 969
8
多谢耐心回答
也不知道到底有多少SO?

the
inventory
2=

【在 r********n 的大作中提到】
: 3.2k is the number of people who filed PERM in 2007, but approved after the
: August of 2007.
: There is a time gap between filing and approval. For example, If you file
: PERM in 2007.04, you can be approved in 2007.05, but also you can be
: approved in 2007.10.
: 3.2k is the number that is not included in the current pending 485 inventory
: report, but these people have PD of 2007.
: Usually these people have families, so the total visa demand will be 3.2k*2=
: 6.4k.

1 (共1页)
进入EB23版参与讨论
相关主题
【TSC】485、131、765、140统计08年8月的PD,13年夏能拿卡吗?
大家看看我的分析对不对Backlog will become worse!
PD2008年以后的需要考虑的若干因素(EB2 C&I)关于quarterly spill
最新的485 inventory出来了(as of July17)对于大潮后到底有多少demand,我是这么估计的
凑个热闹,俺们10年PD的是个啥情况呢?剩余名额去哪里了?
08/09/10/11 PD看过来PERM Calculation
给排期靠后点的泼点冷水。劳工部08-14年的PERM数据
EB23 number after 08-2007, and new PD waiting time predictionEB2 Demand for Oct'2007 to Sept'2010
相关话题的讨论汇总
话题: perm话题: 2007话题: total话题: china话题: between