p***e
发帖数: 29053 | 1 If you can submit your 485 now, it can not be approved in 3 months hehe |
r********n
发帖数: 1162 | 2 I doubt SO will go to EB3 this year.
Some people missed the 2007 boat, the new demand plus the existing demand
will be close to the SO this year.
They have to open the gate in this summer, otherwise SO will go to EB3 next
year.
【在 p***e 的大作中提到】
: If you can submit your 485 now, it can not be approved in 3 months hehe
|
w*******r
发帖数: 2792 | 3 I heard that if there is still a lot number unused for EB2 before the
deadline, they will use some for EB3.
So whether there is any SO goes to EB3 is not only decided by the EB2 number
before 07/07, but also depends on the how fast the USCIS processes the EB2
485 cases. |
r********n
发帖数: 1162 | 4 Some corrections and thoughts:
Currently there are 21k pending cases (excluding the cases before 10/15/2006
).
I estimate there are around 6k new demand before 2007/07 because some
people missed the 2007 event.Totally there are 27k demand before 2007/07.
However, the new demand cannot be approved in 3 months, so the real demand (pre-processed cases)will be 21k. The available visa numbers will be around 24k-25k.
It is possible that they will move 3-4k to EB3.
If only 80% of the 21k EB2 can be approved, 6k visas will go to EB3 this year.
In a word, they must open gate for EB2 in this summer!
number
EB2
【在 w*******r 的大作中提到】
: I heard that if there is still a lot number unused for EB2 before the
: deadline, they will use some for EB3.
: So whether there is any SO goes to EB3 is not only decided by the EB2 number
: before 07/07, but also depends on the how fast the USCIS processes the EB2
: 485 cases.
|
p***e
发帖数: 29053 | 5 6k SO= 2 years china quota...
6k SO= only half month advanced for EB3? |
c****r
发帖数: 969 | 6 以前交上485的可能结婚又家属，不过也有些原来EB2的分流到EB1。不知道哪个多
2006
(pre-processed cases)will be 21k. The available visa numbers will be around
24k-25k.
year.
【在 r********n 的大作中提到】
: Some corrections and thoughts:
: Currently there are 21k pending cases (excluding the cases before 10/15/2006
: ).
: I estimate there are around 6k new demand before 2007/07 because some
: people missed the 2007 event.Totally there are 27k demand before 2007/07.
: However, the new demand cannot be approved in 3 months, so the real demand (pre-processed cases)will be 21k. The available visa numbers will be around 24k-25k.
: It is possible that they will move 3-4k to EB3.
: If only 80% of the 21k EB2 can be approved, 6k visas will go to EB3 this year.
: In a word, they must open gate for EB2 in this summer!
:
|
a******1
发帖数: 201 | 7 All will go to EB3I.
【在 p***e 的大作中提到】
: 6k SO= 2 years china quota...
: 6k SO= only half month advanced for EB3?
|
r********n
发帖数: 1162 | 8 Maybe their numbers will be close.
This summer will be a huge summer for EB2. It looks like that the visa
numbers will be bigger than the "pre-adjusted cases".
I think the SO will clear all the pending cases in this summer. They have no
choice, but to open the gate in this summer.
People, stay tuned and get ready for 485.
around
【在 c****r 的大作中提到】
: 以前交上485的可能结婚又家属，不过也有些原来EB2的分流到EB1。不知道哪个多
:
: 2006
: (pre-processed cases)will be 21k. The available visa numbers will be around
: 24k-25k.
: year.
|
w***7
发帖数: 5568 | 9 It is pretty clear PWMB may not use this year's SO because of processing
time. All unused SO will go to EB3I. Sorry, the reality is ugly.
demand
next
【在 r********n 的大作中提到】
: I doubt SO will go to EB3 this year.
: Some people missed the 2007 boat, the new demand plus the existing demand
: will be close to the SO this year.
: They have to open the gate in this summer, otherwise SO will go to EB3 next
: year.
|
c****r
发帖数: 969 | 10 你这个PWMB是啥缩写？ 是pre-adjusted cases的吗？就是那些大潮中已经交了485的。
如果是的话，印度的EB3应该也是 "pre-adjusted cases, 那为啥没时间批EB2的，有时
间批EB3的？
如果你这个缩写指的错过大潮的新交的485,来不及用SO了，倒是很有道理。
【在 w***7 的大作中提到】
: It is pretty clear PWMB may not use this year's SO because of processing
: time. All unused SO will go to EB3I. Sorry, the reality is ugly.
:
: demand
: next
|
|
|
w***7
发帖数: 5568 | 11 People Who Missed Boat
我一转贴预测就有人跟我提这个，我以为这个词已经是本版言必称了呢。
【在 c****r 的大作中提到】
: 你这个PWMB是啥缩写？ 是pre-adjusted cases的吗？就是那些大潮中已经交了485的。
: 如果是的话，印度的EB3应该也是 "pre-adjusted cases, 那为啥没时间批EB2的，有时
: 间批EB3的？
: 如果你这个缩写指的错过大潮的新交的485,来不及用SO了，倒是很有道理。
|
c****r
发帖数: 969 | 12 看来我业务有待提高
【在 w***7 的大作中提到】
: People Who Missed Boat
: 我一转贴预测就有人跟我提这个，我以为这个词已经是本版言必称了呢。
|
r****e
发帖数: 3109 | 13 people who missed the boat
【在 c****r 的大作中提到】
: 你这个PWMB是啥缩写？ 是pre-adjusted cases的吗？就是那些大潮中已经交了485的。
: 如果是的话，印度的EB3应该也是 "pre-adjusted cases, 那为啥没时间批EB2的，有时
: 间批EB3的？
: 如果你这个缩写指的错过大潮的新交的485,来不及用SO了，倒是很有道理。
|
c***3
发帖数: 527 | 14 Should be EB3ROW before EB3I. |
a******1
发帖数: 201 | 15 That is SO, so the PD is the only factor.
【在 c***3 的大作中提到】
: Should be EB3ROW before EB3I.
|
c****r
发帖数: 969 | 16 在名额范围内，应该一样对待的吧。
【在 c***3 的大作中提到】
: Should be EB3ROW before EB3I.
|
r********n
发帖数: 1162 | 17 yes, that's why I am worrying about this summer.
PWMB will not be approved until next year.
Currently only 21k pending C/I EB2 (exclude PD < 10/15/2006), the spill over
is estimated 24k-25k for now.
The 21k pending C/I EB2 will not be approved 100% and the Spillover may go
to EB3 (3k-9k).
The DOS MUST open gate in this summer, otherwise they will waste BIG number
next year!
【在 w***7 的大作中提到】
: It is pretty clear PWMB may not use this year's SO because of processing
: time. All unused SO will go to EB3I. Sorry, the reality is ugly.
:
: demand
: next
|
r*******3
发帖数: 711 | 18 如果EB2没有current，凭哪条法律他们能把SO给EB3呢？这样是违法的，我们得和USCIS
，DOS大喊了！！！ |
r********n
发帖数: 1162 | 19 Therefore, there is a small chance that they may set current for EB2. But it
will be another disaster for USCIS. They will move PD to Q1/Q2 of 2008 for
sure!
Otherwise their current operation system will be in a disorder next year.
Nobody wants to see that happen.
USCIS
【在 r*******3 的大作中提到】
: 如果EB2没有current，凭哪条法律他们能把SO给EB3呢？这样是违法的，我们得和USCIS
: ，DOS大喊了！！！
|
r*******3
发帖数: 711 | 20 EB2IC current??这显然不可能。
it
for
【在 r********n 的大作中提到】
: Therefore, there is a small chance that they may set current for EB2. But it
: will be another disaster for USCIS. They will move PD to Q1/Q2 of 2008 for
: sure!
: Otherwise their current operation system will be in a disorder next year.
: Nobody wants to see that happen.
:
: USCIS
|
|
|
c**s
发帖数: 3796 | 21 首先这都是没有必要讨论的问题。今年的剩余最多处理到２００７年７月，８月左右。
不可能再多了。
就算名额分到中国EB３，那也是好事。大家还是多想办法怎么让O把闸门打大点，多让
后面的人交485。 |
r*******3
发帖数: 711 | 22 "如果能分到EB3C"，那的确是好事，但是这不合法。
我知道老印在搞campaine,他们的EB3人数众多，声势远大于EB2，所以我担心的是USCIS
就要大手一挥，把EB2限制在2007某个月份，不肯把EB2的排期按照SO放开，然后声称多
出来的SO，为了“避免浪费”，只能分给EB3（当然主要是EB3I，老中EB3太少了，老中
主要是EB2).
这个SO不能流向EB3的问题，不是EB2，EB3之争，而是EB的中印之争。
【在 c**s 的大作中提到】
: 首先这都是没有必要讨论的问题。今年的剩余最多处理到２００７年７月，８月左右。
: 不可能再多了。
: 就算名额分到中国EB３，那也是好事。大家还是多想办法怎么让O把闸门打大点，多让
: 后面的人交485。
|
g********9
发帖数: 196 | 23 这样怎么也会到2007年7月底吧。没有可能到07年5月，然后分给eb3i 吧
USCIS
【在 r*******3 的大作中提到】
: "如果能分到EB3C"，那的确是好事，但是这不合法。
: 我知道老印在搞campaine,他们的EB3人数众多，声势远大于EB2，所以我担心的是USCIS
: 就要大手一挥，把EB2限制在2007某个月份，不肯把EB2的排期按照SO放开，然后声称多
: 出来的SO，为了“避免浪费”，只能分给EB3（当然主要是EB3I，老中EB3太少了，老中
: 主要是EB2).
: 这个SO不能流向EB3的问题，不是EB2，EB3之争，而是EB的中印之争。
|
r********n
发帖数: 1162 | 24 if they have approved all the approvable cases and sill have leftover, they
can give to eb3 india.
【在 g********9 的大作中提到】
: 这样怎么也会到2007年7月底吧。没有可能到07年5月，然后分给eb3i 吧
:
: USCIS
|
r*******3
发帖数: 711 | 25 Are you kidding me? Why would we call for "Recapture" if they haven't wasted
our visa number in the past 10 years? we will be current for now whithout
their wasting visa numbers.
【在 g********9 的大作中提到】
: 这样怎么也会到2007年7月底吧。没有可能到07年5月，然后分给eb3i 吧
:
: USCIS
|
