EB23版 - 奥本和AILA8月13日问答记录-转 |
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y******0
发帖数: 8807 | 1 Here are the notes from the most recent (August 13th) chat with Charlie
Oppenheim:
QUESTION 1: Last month you were hopeful that EB-2 India/China would hold
steady or possibly advance for September. However both categories have
retrogressed significantly. What caused this to occur?
ANSWER: The September retrogression of EB-2 China and India can primarily be
attributed to skyrocketing demand for EB-2 Worldwide, which has left fewer
numbers available for India and China. Currently, the availability of visas
for India and China is largely driven by Worldwide demand. Earlier this year
, EB-2 Worldwide demand was around 2,400 per month and started creeping up
in March. In June, demand peaked at 6,700, and with July usage totaling 4,
400 it was necessary to take corrective action for EB-2 China and India to
limit future number use.
Similarly, fewer EB-1 numbers are available to fall down to EB-2 China and
India. During the second quarter of the fiscal year, 9,300 EB-1 numbers were
used. That jumped to 13,500 EB-1 numbers in the third quarter.
In particular, overall EB-2 India usage is down significantly this year due
to the fact that fewer unused numbers are available for this category. Last
fiscal year, EB-2 India used approximately 23,000 numbers. This year, it is
expected that EB-2 India will use approximately 7,500 numbers. This is
approximately 9,700 fewer numbers than that which were used in FY 2013.
QUESTION 2: How likely is it that EB-2 India and China will advance
significantly with the start of the fiscal year on October 1?
It is expected that the dates will advance in October as we enter the new
fiscal year. EB-2 India is likely to advance to a date between February and
April 2005.
QUESTION 3: Is it expected that all numbers in all categories will be
exhausted by the end of the fiscal year?
ANSWER: Yes. All visa numbers in all categories will be exhausted. There has
been some concern about EB-3 number use because there appeared to be a
decrease in demand which caused the Worldwide cut-off date to advanced
rapidly. There is sufficient EB-3 India applicants in the pending demand
file to ensure that all "otherwise" unused numbers will be used this fiscal
year.
QUESTION 4: The "Visa Modernization" proposal promises to refine the monthly
allocation of visas, increasing the number of visas allocated during the
first three quarters, and implementing new processes for allocation during
the final quarter of the fiscal year. Can you please elaborate on this plan?
Do you expect to implement the changes effective 10/1/15?
ANSWER: This is still a work in progress but members should be happy with
what is ultimately rolled out. Some changes have already been implemented.
As stated in the Visa Modernization proposal, members may see more
aggressive cut-off date movements for some preference categories earlier in
the year. Similar movement occurred earlier this year with regard to EB-2
India; advancement of that category started much earlier than in prior years
to allow USCIS sufficient time to complete processing of the cases, many of
which were EB-3 upgrades, earlier within the fiscal year. However,
aggressive movement earlier in the year can have "negative" consequences
during the final quarter when there are fewer numbers available. As a result
it could be necessary to take corrective action if it becomes clear that
there would be fewer numbers available from other categories.
In addition to accelerating cut-off date movements earlier in the fiscal
year, other options are being explored. As plans are refined, the
information will be made available to the public. | s*******n
发帖数: 4402 | 2 Accelerating...earlier, other option..., very promising.
In addition to accelerating cut-off date movements earlier in the fiscal
year, other options are being explored. As plans are refined, the
information will be made available to the public.
【在 y******0 的大作中提到】
: Here are the notes from the most recent (August 13th) chat with Charlie
: Oppenheim:
: QUESTION 1: Last month you were hopeful that EB-2 India/China would hold
: steady or possibly advance for September. However both categories have
: retrogressed significantly. What caused this to occur?
: ANSWER: The September retrogression of EB-2 China and India can primarily be
: attributed to skyrocketing demand for EB-2 Worldwide, which has left fewer
: numbers available for India and China. Currently, the availability of visas
: for India and China is largely driven by Worldwide demand. Earlier this year
: , EB-2 Worldwide demand was around 2,400 per month and started creeping up
| d*********4
发帖数: 409 | | G***D
发帖数: 288 | 4 This is approximately 9,700 fewer numbers than that which were used in FY
2013.
这句话的意思是ROW的剩余名额比去年少了9700？
烙印总共比去年少拿了23500-7500=15500个啊。这中间差的5800个呢，求指点 | m********1
发帖数: 681 | 5 "It is expected that the dates will advance in October as we enter the new
fiscal year. EB-2 India is likely to advance to a date between February and
April 2005."
No credibility at all. EB2I will be JAN01 2006 in September. Then it will "
advance" to a date between February and April 2005? | y******0
发帖数: 8807 | 6 eb3 升级
★ 发自iPhone App: ChineseWeb 8.7
【在 m********1 的大作中提到】
: "It is expected that the dates will advance in October as we enter the new
: fiscal year. EB-2 India is likely to advance to a date between February and
: April 2005."
: No credibility at all. EB2I will be JAN01 2006 in September. Then it will "
: advance" to a date between February and April 2005?
| y******0
发帖数: 8807 | 7 比FY13的17000还少9700
★ 发自iPhone App: ChineseWeb 8.7
【在 G***D 的大作中提到】
: This is approximately 9,700 fewer numbers than that which were used in FY
: 2013.
: 这句话的意思是ROW的剩余名额比去年少了9700？
: 烙印总共比去年少拿了23500-7500=15500个啊。这中间差的5800个呢，求指点
| f***r
发帖数: 528 | 8 "It is expected that the dates will advance in October as we enter the new
fiscal year. EB-2 India is likely to advance to a date between February and
April 2005."
only 2-4 months move? there is only ~60 in that time window according to the
latest pending inventory.
which means EB2C will be moving to sometime in 2009 and EB3C to moving
early 2010.
how is this possibly be called 'aggressive'?
be
fewer
visas
year
【在 y******0 的大作中提到】
: Here are the notes from the most recent (August 13th) chat with Charlie
: Oppenheim:
: QUESTION 1: Last month you were hopeful that EB-2 India/China would hold
: steady or possibly advance for September. However both categories have
: retrogressed significantly. What caused this to occur?
: ANSWER: The September retrogression of EB-2 China and India can primarily be
: attributed to skyrocketing demand for EB-2 Worldwide, which has left fewer
: numbers available for India and China. Currently, the availability of visas
: for India and China is largely driven by Worldwide demand. Earlier this year
: , EB-2 Worldwide demand was around 2,400 per month and started creeping up
| f***r
发帖数: 528 | 9 yeah its bullshit. I suspect he only looks at visa bulletin and data once a
month then goes fishing the rest of time.
and
【在 m********1 的大作中提到】
: "It is expected that the dates will advance in October as we enter the new
: fiscal year. EB-2 India is likely to advance to a date between February and
: April 2005."
: No credibility at all. EB2I will be JAN01 2006 in September. Then it will "
: advance" to a date between February and April 2005?
| N********E
发帖数: 303 | 10 版主解读一下呗 这个意思是EB3C新财年可能会早放水吗？ |
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