C**N
发帖数: 27 | 1 http://canteyhanger.com/news/immigration-news/
Check-in with DOS’s Charlie Oppenheim Regarding the September Visa Bulletin
Family-Based Preference Categories
September brings a one-month retrogression in the final action dates for FB-
1 Worldwide, China and India, from May 8, 2011 back to April 8, 2011.
FB-3 Worldwide, China and India also retrogress approximately 6 weeks, from
June 15, 2006 to May 1, 2006. In October 2018, when the new fiscal year
commences, these categories will recover and return to the previously held
August final action dates.
All Philippines family-based preference categories will advance in September
except FB-2A Philippines.
FB-1 Mexico, FB-2B Mexico and FB-3 Mexico all advance modestly in September.
In the first few months of FY 2019, it is predicted that the Worldwide
family-based preference categories will advance as follows: FB-1: up to
three weeks, following an October recovery; FB-2A: up to three to five weeks
; FB-2B: up to six weeks; FB-3: up to three to five weeks, following an
October recovery; FB-4: up to five weeks. Members should keep in mind that
whenever the Visa Bulletin indicates there will be movement “up to” a
certain amount of time, there could be no movement or movement up to the
maximum of the referenced period.
Employment-Based Preference Categories
EB-1. Despite a one-month advancement in September and previously expressed
hopes that EB-1 Worldwide would return to current on October 1, 2018 (as it
has in past years), heavy demand will preclude the category from returning
to current in October. Charlie further believes that EB-1 China and EB-1
India will continue to have final action dates in October which are earlier
than those established for Worldwide. It is unlikely that any of the EB-1
categories will have much forward movement before December or possibly into
Q2 of FY 2019.
EB-2 Worldwide. This category will return to current in October and will
remain so for the foreseeable future.
EB-2 China and EB-3 China Flip Again, but is it Too Soon to Downgrade? In
September, EB-2 China will retrogress from March 1, 2015 to the Worldwide
date of January 1, 2013, resulting in EB-3 China having a more favorable
date than EB-2 China. Despite this dramatic retrogression, Charlie predicts
that EB-2 China will fully recover to at least the August Visa Bulletin date
of March 1, 2015 in October, once again causing EB-2 China’s final action
date to be later than that of EB-3 China. EB-2 China will move very slowly
through the first quarter of the fiscal year, as Charlie assesses demand
from earlier movements.
EB-3 China advances four months in September to November 1, 2014 and is
expected to advance from this date by up to three weeks at a time, starting
in October. While EB-2 China is likely to stay ahead of EB-3 China for the
first quarter of the fiscal year, members should continue to watch these
categories closely as their dates are only within a few months of one
another.
EB-2 and EB-3 India. After its long-awaited movement into 2009, EB-2 India
retrogresses more than two years to January 1, 2007 in September. This
abrupt retrogression should be short-lived as Charlie expects EB-2 India to
recover to a 2009 date in October and to advance at a pace of up to two
weeks at a time. In September, EB-3 and Other Workers India retrogresses six
years to January 1, 2003 but will recover in October and then move slowly
pending receipt of demand from recent advances. The dramatic retrogression
of these categories was required to stop further number use in light of the
recent increase in demand by all other countries, resulting in a lack of “
otherwise unused” numbers available for India EB-2/EB-3.
EB-3 and Other Workers. A final action date of November 1, 2016 is briefly
imposed for EB-3 Worldwide, Mexico and Vietnam (as well as El Salvador,
Guatemala, and Honduras), and Other Workers Worldwide, Mexico, and Vietnam,
but all of these categories will return to current in October.
EB-3 China. This category advances four months to November 1, 2014, and
Other Workers China holds at May 1, 2007. These categories are expected to
move at a pace of up to three weeks.
EB-3 Philippines. In September, this category and Other Workers Philippines
retrogresses seven months to November 1, 2016 but is expected to recover
some in October.
EB-4 El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, EB-4 Mexico and EB-4 India all
advance one week to February 15, 2016. Members should expect variances in
these categories starting in October.
Given the complexity of processing Special Immigrant Juvenile cases, it is
very difficult for Charlie to predict when pending cases will mature into
demand for visa numbers. Members should expect EB-4 El Salvador, Guatemala
and Honduras to at least hold at February 15, 2016 for October.
EB-4 Mexico will fully recover in October to its June Visa Bulletin date of
October 22, 2016, and EB-4 India will return to current in October.
EB-5 Non-Regional Center and Regional Center for both China and Vietnam will
advance one week to August 8, 2014 in September. Charlie expects that for
both countries, these categories will continue to operate under a final
action date as we enter FY19. Their dates are likely to be different,
however, with Vietnam’s date being later than that of China for the first
five to six months of the fiscal year, until EB-5 Vietnam hits it’s per
country limit. At that time, its final action date will track that of China. | c*********8
发帖数: 1327 | 2 谢谢
高亮一下
Charlie (奥本) further believes that EB-1 China and EB-1 India will continue
to have final action dates in October which are earlier than those
established for Worldwide. It is unlikely that any of the EB-1 categories
will have much forward movement before December or possibly into
Q2 of FY 2019.
Bulletin
FB-
from
September
【在 C**N 的大作中提到】
: http://canteyhanger.com/news/immigration-news/
: Check-in with DOS’s Charlie Oppenheim Regarding the September Visa Bulletin
: Family-Based Preference Categories
: September brings a one-month retrogression in the final action dates for FB-
: 1 Worldwide, China and India, from May 8, 2011 back to April 8, 2011.
: FB-3 Worldwide, China and India also retrogress approximately 6 weeks, from
: June 15, 2006 to May 1, 2006. In October 2018, when the new fiscal year
: commences, these categories will recover and return to the previously held
: August final action dates.
: All Philippines family-based preference categories will advance in September
| o*******h
发帖数: 64 | 3 所以什么时候485才能current呢?还是要开始漫漫排期路,变得像EB23一样了呢? | w********s
发帖数: 659 | 4 我认为：近两年内不太可能C了，会一直有排期，但是排期应该不会超过（T-2yr）吧
【在 o*******h 的大作中提到】
: 所以什么时候485才能current呢?还是要开始漫漫排期路,变得像EB23一样了呢?
| p*********h
发帖数: 16 | 5 真是搞不懂为什么row对EB1也有很高的需求，这是不是意味着以后每年China只能分到
自己那3k了？请大牛指教 | x****2
发帖数: 421 | 6 ROW来美国的应该都不是靠工签或者学位，搞不好都是川大大夫人的那种职业:p
【在 p*********h 的大作中提到】
: 真是搞不懂为什么row对EB1也有很高的需求，这是不是意味着以后每年China只能分到
: 自己那3k了？请大牛指教
| c**********e
发帖数: 3298 | 7 row的spillover以后是越来越吃不到了，说明其他国家也过得挺惨，那么高要求不还是
想移民美帝
【在 p*********h 的大作中提到】
: 真是搞不懂为什么row对EB1也有很高的需求，这是不是意味着以后每年China只能分到
: 自己那3k了？请大牛指教
| l******a
发帖数: 81 | 8 问题是ROW的EB23长期current啊，为什么要吃力不讨好的申请EB1?
【在 c**********e 的大作中提到】
: row的spillover以后是越来越吃不到了，说明其他国家也过得挺惨，那么高要求不还是
: 想移民美帝
| a**o
发帖数: 108 | 9 我身边一个德国人就是。。。人家的说法是，我觉得我qualify，应该申请这个。。。
：问题是ROW的EB23长期current啊，为什么要吃力不讨好的申请EB1?
：【 在 cherubtessie (月桂花) 的大作中提到: 】 | c*********8
发帖数: 1327 | 10 这个德国人果然傲娇。。。
【在 a**o 的大作中提到】
: 我身边一个德国人就是。。。人家的说法是，我觉得我qualify，应该申请这个。。。
:
: ：问题是ROW的EB23长期current啊，为什么要吃力不讨好的申请EB1?
: ：【 在 cherubtessie (月桂花) 的大作中提到: 】
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