H********t
发帖数: 4 | 1 Check-In with DOS’s Charlie Oppenheim (8-16-19)
Following a review of the dates listed in the September 2019 visa bulletin,
the entire EB-3 category has immediately been made “unavailable” for the
remainder of FY2019. This means that the annual limits have been reached on
these categories and additional numbers are thus unavailable until the
beginning of the next fiscal year. This status is not limited to EB-3 China
and EB-3 India. It also includes, effective immediately, the EB-3 Worldwide,
EB-3 El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras, EB-3 Mexico, Philippines, and EB-
3 Vietnam categories.
In addition to this change, it is also important to flag that several other
categories are listed as unavailable for the remainder of the fiscal year
including the entirety of EB-4 and EB-4 Religious Workers categories, as
well as EB-1 India. EB-1 China is not listed as unavailable but did
retrogress 2.5 years due to increased demand.
Unless otherwise advised, applicants should still appear for a scheduled AOS
interview. There is a possibility that an officer decides to not proceed
with the interview and/or reschedules it for another time. If the interview
moves forward and the application is deemed approvable, the officer will
request a visa number and that request will subsequently be sent to Charlie
Oppenheim’s “pending demand file” at the Department of State. Once this
occurs, the visa number will be automatically authorized for use by USCIS,
effective the first day of the month in which the applicant’s priority date
becomes current. | H********t
发帖数: 4 | 2 来源:
https://www.shusterman.com/visa-bulletin-predictions/
好像真的只有这么长。。。
,
on
China
Worldwide,
EB-
other
【在 H********t 的大作中提到】
: Check-In with DOS’s Charlie Oppenheim (8-16-19)
: Following a review of the dates listed in the September 2019 visa bulletin,
: the entire EB-3 category has immediately been made “unavailable” for the
: remainder of FY2019. This means that the annual limits have been reached on
: these categories and additional numbers are thus unavailable until the
: beginning of the next fiscal year. This status is not limited to EB-3 China
: and EB-3 India. It also includes, effective immediately, the EB-3 Worldwide,
: EB-3 El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras, EB-3 Mexico, Philippines, and EB-
: 3 Vietnam categories.
: In addition to this change, it is also important to flag that several other
| h********n
发帖数: 1 | | b**********r
发帖数: 26 | 4 If the interview moves forward and the application is deemed approvable,
the officer will
request a visa number and that request will subsequently be sent to Charlie
Oppenheim’s “pending demand file” at the Department of State. Once this
occurs, the visa number will be automatically authorized for use by USCIS,
effective the first day of the month in which the applicant’s priority date
becomes current.
automatically authorize???
这是说面试过了的话，PD到了绿卡自动approve？真能这么好么？ | I**********d
发帖数: 1 | 5 这是不是意味着，下个月开始，又有可能有些人不需要面试就能拿卡了？
,
on
China
Worldwide,
EB-
other
【在 H********t 的大作中提到】
: Check-In with DOS’s Charlie Oppenheim (8-16-19)
: Following a review of the dates listed in the September 2019 visa bulletin,
: the entire EB-3 category has immediately been made “unavailable” for the
: remainder of FY2019. This means that the annual limits have been reached on
: these categories and additional numbers are thus unavailable until the
: beginning of the next fiscal year. This status is not limited to EB-3 China
: and EB-3 India. It also includes, effective immediately, the EB-3 Worldwide,
: EB-3 El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras, EB-3 Mexico, Philippines, and EB-
: 3 Vietnam categories.
: In addition to this change, it is also important to flag that several other
| s**d
发帖数: 258 | 6 先面试再pending吧
【在 I**********d 的大作中提到】
: 这是不是意味着，下个月开始，又有可能有些人不需要面试就能拿卡了？
:
: ,
: on
: China
: Worldwide,
: EB-
: other
| C**N
发帖数: 27 | 7 只是说automatically authorized for use by USCIS, 不是自动批卡。uscis啥时候把
那些current的翻出来发卡还是另外一个变数。
Charlie
date
【在 b**********r 的大作中提到】
: If the interview moves forward and the application is deemed approvable,
: the officer will
: request a visa number and that request will subsequently be sent to Charlie
: Oppenheim’s “pending demand file” at the Department of State. Once this
: occurs, the visa number will be automatically authorized for use by USCIS,
: effective the first day of the month in which the applicant’s priority date
: becomes current.
: automatically authorize???
: 这是说面试过了的话，PD到了绿卡自动approve？真能这么好么？
| H********t
发帖数: 4 | 8 根据版上之前在月末面试 转个月倒退依旧拿到卡的帖子 提出一个猜想 不一定对
在EB面试常态化之后 DOS根据USCIS每个field office(包括海外领馆 下同)的需求 每
个月给每个field office预批一些名额
USCIS的field office依照预批名额安排面试 面试过了给批卡
如果一切顺利的话 每个月DOS/USCIS统计一次 如果有没用完的名额可以退还给国务院
国务院再因此预估转个月每个USCIS field office的需求 再来一遍
我猜现实可能不尽如人意
一方面 USCIS面试官毕竟不是什么特别高大上的工作(参考国内派出所片警) 有很多很
mean很不专业 甚至靠AA/diversity hire上来的人 故意找人麻烦(参考EB23版芝加哥变
态面试帖 我相信那个帖里提到的东南亚大妈一定以此claim自己做事“认真负责”)
另外一方面 USCIS的系统更新并不是那么迅速 很可能月末面试 一直到下个月月初才更
新状态 这样的话有一些名额并不能成功回流给国务院
因此国务院在七月底八月初发现数据太混乱 因为又是本财年最后一个月 于是拖了很久
然后才给九月排期
我猜很可能今年EB123都发不满 其他blog里有人说了关于USCIS的2018年报告的统计 摘
要就是 2018财年EB绿卡(准确说 I485)创了新低 (对比2014-18财年) 然后庇护难民绿
卡创了新高
按照今年这么瞎几把搞的状态 很可能今年的EB绿卡更发不满
Charlie
date
【在 b**********r 的大作中提到】
: If the interview moves forward and the application is deemed approvable,
: the officer will
: request a visa number and that request will subsequently be sent to Charlie
: Oppenheim’s “pending demand file” at the Department of State. Once this
: occurs, the visa number will be automatically authorized for use by USCIS,
: effective the first day of the month in which the applicant’s priority date
: becomes current.
: automatically authorize???
: 这是说面试过了的话，PD到了绿卡自动approve？真能这么好么？
|
| h********n
发帖数: 1 | 9 确实听说过去一年庇护发的特别欢。现在的政策真是难以琢磨，一方面说要merit-
based，一方面执行的却是另一套 | a**********y
发帖数: 233 | 10 确实是傻逼
和当前政府有关
院
【在 H********t 的大作中提到】
: 根据版上之前在月末面试 转个月倒退依旧拿到卡的帖子 提出一个猜想 不一定对
: 在EB面试常态化之后 DOS根据USCIS每个field office(包括海外领馆 下同)的需求 每
: 个月给每个field office预批一些名额
: USCIS的field office依照预批名额安排面试 面试过了给批卡
: 如果一切顺利的话 每个月DOS/USCIS统计一次 如果有没用完的名额可以退还给国务院
: 国务院再因此预估转个月每个USCIS field office的需求 再来一遍
: 我猜现实可能不尽如人意
: 一方面 USCIS面试官毕竟不是什么特别高大上的工作(参考国内派出所片警) 有很多很
: mean很不专业 甚至靠AA/diversity hire上来的人 故意找人麻烦(参考EB23版芝加哥变
: 态面试帖 我相信那个帖里提到的东南亚大妈一定以此claim自己做事“认真负责”)
| H********t
发帖数: 4 | 11 确实同意 DACA也没废 边境墙形式大于实际意义 移民改革喊得凶 但对真正偷渡来的那
些人影响几乎忽略不计
最后整的都是合法的EB
【在 a**********y 的大作中提到】
: 确实是傻逼
: 和当前政府有关
:
: 院
| D********i
发帖数: 103 | 12 “If the interview moves forward and the application is deemed approvable,
the officer will
request a visa number and that request will subsequently be sent to Charlie
Oppenheim’s “pending demand file” at the Department of State. Once this
occurs, the visa number will be automatically authorized for use by USCIS,
effective the first day of the month in which the applicant’s priority date
becomes current.”
这个应该在某种程度上帮助国务院更好的控制和预测排期。和版上大拿说的是一致的，
因为大量case积压在field office，USCIS又有意无意的混淆视听，奥本19年3月以来给
出的排期可以用chaos形容。面试之后直接预留visa number，应该可以在某种程度上避
免排期到处跳来跳去的情况，毕竟demand可以确定了。
问题是对于已经面试过的人来说，这个visa number预留了吗？会不会出现后来先得的
情况？ |
|
