o*****c 发帖数: 241 | 1 entry: 871.25.
stop: 888:50
target: 800 SP Points?
holding period: 2-5 days. |
a******g 发帖数: 1538 | |
s********n 发帖数: 1962 | 3 wrong board, stock board please.
【在 o*****c 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : entry: 871.25. : stop: 888:50 : target: 800 SP Points? : holding period: 2-5 days.
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a******g 发帖数: 1538 | 4 老大网开一面吧,olympic几次阶段顶都call的不错,希望他这次能再铁嘴走江湖一把
【在 s********n 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : wrong board, stock board please.
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K****D 发帖数: 30533 | 5 Really? 可惜偶把小本本销毁了, //sigh.
【在 a******g 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 老大网开一面吧,olympic几次阶段顶都call的不错,希望他这次能再铁嘴走江湖一把
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K****D 发帖数: 30533 | 6 //sigh, 偶还是想周5的时候把badcompany 3个月前的那个预测总结一下。
【在 a******g 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 老大网开一面吧,olympic几次阶段顶都call的不错,希望他这次能再铁嘴走江湖一把
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a*******9 发帖数: 2265 | 7 agreee with you to short. but will not follow.
it's trick time again. hold for 2 more days, when shorter got burn, then
start to short |
s**********r 发帖数: 16 | 8 也是我的偶像,哈哈。
虽然我觉得short从哪方面讲都没有道理。
【在 a******g 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 你是我的偶像,别让我失望
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r****e 发帖数: 867 | 9 支持, olympic同志不灌水,偶尔发帖就那么几个字, 前几次都很准. |
a******g 发帖数: 1538 | 10 以后能不能改在盘内预测啊? 你这盘后铁嘴菜都凉了
【在 o*****c 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : entry: 871.25. : stop: 888:50 : target: 800 SP Points? : holding period: 2-5 days.
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o*****c 发帖数: 241 | 11 breakeven stop is triggered.
new stop is 871.25.
【在 o*****c 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : entry: 871.25. : stop: 888:50 : target: 800 SP Points? : holding period: 2-5 days.
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o*****c 发帖数: 241 | 12 sp futures (ES) is trader 23 hrs and 45 mins everyday.
you can still trade ES at the open 4:30PM (EST), which usually is pretty
close to the closing price at 4:15PM.
【在 a******g 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 以后能不能改在盘内预测啊? 你这盘后铁嘴菜都凉了
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S******n 发帖数: 617 | 13 few people have that deep pockets to trade ES bah
【在 o*****c 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : sp futures (ES) is trader 23 hrs and 45 mins everyday. : you can still trade ES at the open 4:30PM (EST), which usually is pretty : close to the closing price at 4:15PM.
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o*****c 发帖数: 241 | 14 prelimary result shows this trade will be covered before close.
5.5% profit in 2 days is not bad.
good luck, guys.
【在 o*****c 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : entry: 871.25. : stop: 888:50 : target: 800 SP Points? : holding period: 2-5 days.
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a******g 发帖数: 1538 | 15 偶像别走,给call个底吧
下次再做预测请给我站内信箱发一个,这次没跟上
【在 o*****c 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : prelimary result shows this trade will be covered before close. : 5.5% profit in 2 days is not bad. : good luck, guys.
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s********n 发帖数: 1962 | 16 amazing!
Next time, stock board please. Thanks.
【在 o*****c 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : prelimary result shows this trade will be covered before close. : 5.5% profit in 2 days is not bad. : good luck, guys.
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K****D 发帖数: 30533 | 17 So you will inherit my notebook? @_@
【在 a******g 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 偶像别走,给call个底吧 : 下次再做预测请给我站内信箱发一个,这次没跟上
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a******g 发帖数: 1538 | 18 ^_^
说到记变天帐evaluate大牛的预测,我认为正确率比盈利率重要
以前在你的小本本里搞过投资大赛,某几个大牛一开始采用比较risky的策略就能得到
30+%的profit,随后用比较conservative的pick也能保住领先地位。
而另一种大牛每次赚的不多,就像Olympic这样每次只有5%,但是如果成功率有80%。
我觉得这后者对跟风的人更有意义。
不过我发现大牛还是很难跟的,他们stop/target设的都很tight. 往往你比大牛慢一步
的话,不是错过了最佳点,就是你进去人家已经stop了
【在 K****D 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : So you will inherit my notebook? @_@
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s********n 发帖数: 1962 | 19 what's the difference between a 大牛 who has kept betting right for 5 times
and a stock which has kept going up for 5 days?
【在 a******g 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : ^_^ : 说到记变天帐evaluate大牛的预测,我认为正确率比盈利率重要 : 以前在你的小本本里搞过投资大赛,某几个大牛一开始采用比较risky的策略就能得到 : 30+%的profit,随后用比较conservative的pick也能保住领先地位。 : 而另一种大牛每次赚的不多,就像Olympic这样每次只有5%,但是如果成功率有80%。 : 我觉得这后者对跟风的人更有意义。 : 不过我发现大牛还是很难跟的,他们stop/target设的都很tight. 往往你比大牛慢一步 : 的话,不是错过了最佳点,就是你进去人家已经stop了
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K****D 发帖数: 30533 | 20 The difference is that you can sell the stock after 5 days, but
you can hardly dump the 大牛 after 5 correct bets. There aren't
as many 大牛 out there as stocks.
times
【在 s********n 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : what's the difference between a 大牛 who has kept betting right for 5 times : and a stock which has kept going up for 5 days?
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s********n 发帖数: 1962 | 21 wrong, the base number doesn't matter. This is just a matter of
probability.
【在 K****D 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : The difference is that you can sell the stock after 5 days, but : you can hardly dump the 大牛 after 5 correct bets. There aren't : as many 大牛 out there as stocks. : : times
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K****D 发帖数: 30533 | 22 What I meant is that if you dump a big cow, your cash will sit there
for some time before you can find another big cow.
Following big cows is like long-term investment -- buy and hold.
【在 s********n 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : wrong, the base number doesn't matter. This is just a matter of : probability.
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s********n 发帖数: 1962 | 23 So do you buy and hold a stock just because it has been going up
for 5 days in a row?
【在 K****D 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : What I meant is that if you dump a big cow, your cash will sit there : for some time before you can find another big cow. : Following big cows is like long-term investment -- buy and hold.
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K****D 发帖数: 30533 | 24 No, I trade less in 401k since I only have a dozen choices. I only hold
two MFs in my 401k.
I trade more in Zecco since there are tons of stocks to choose from. I
usually hold more than 2 stocks at a time.
The trading frequency has little to do with the performance.
【在 s********n 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : So do you buy and hold a stock just because it has been going up : for 5 days in a row?
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s********n 发帖数: 1962 | 25 ft, are we talking about the same thing?
I didn't ask about your trade frequency. I am talking about how to pick
stocks and da niu ...
【在 K****D 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : No, I trade less in 401k since I only have a dozen choices. I only hold : two MFs in my 401k. : I trade more in Zecco since there are tons of stocks to choose from. I : usually hold more than 2 stocks at a time. : The trading frequency has little to do with the performance.
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K****D 发帖数: 30533 | 26 oh. Well, for me, there is not much difference. If a stock rises 5 days,
I got scared and tend to dump it. If a big cow is correct for 5 times,
I got scared too and tend not be believe him any more.
But I never followed big cows, so no first hand experience.
【在 s********n 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : ft, are we talking about the same thing? : I didn't ask about your trade frequency. I am talking about how to pick : stocks and da niu ...
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o*****c 发帖数: 241 | 27 sorry. no more...
【在 s********n 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : amazing! : Next time, stock board please. Thanks.
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a******g 发帖数: 1538 | 28 大牛,830现在算底吗?
【在 o*****c 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : entry: 871.25. : stop: 888:50 : target: 800 SP Points? : holding period: 2-5 days.
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s********n 发帖数: 1962 | 29 nonsense question, stock board please.
【在 a******g 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 大牛,830现在算底吗?
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a******g 发帖数: 1538 | 30 信不过那边的水平
【在 s********n 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : nonsense question, stock board please.
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s********n 发帖数: 1962 | 31 okay, nonsense question, don't even ask.
【在 a******g 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 信不过那边的水平
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