b****e
发帖数: 28 | 1 打算靠新闻前建仓，猜大小+-1%止盈止损，兑现以后就平仓
头寸=本金，每个月猜1，2次，假设猜对概率略大于50%
一年下来收益能有5-10%么？ 呵呵 |
m******t
发帖数: 2416 | 2
You'll need a tighter stop loss, or do a lot better than 50%.
Every time you lose 1%, you'll have to make 1.01% to get back
even.
【在 b****e 的大作中提到】
: 打算靠新闻前建仓，猜大小+-1%止盈止损，兑现以后就平仓
: 头寸=本金，每个月猜1，2次，假设猜对概率略大于50%
: 一年下来收益能有5-10%么？ 呵呵
|
k****t
发帖数: 12697 | 3 forex is not stock. there is no win-win. stocks can be win-win as the market
goes up. in forex your gain is someone else's loss. someone else's gain is
your loss. plus, all traders lose the spread to the brokage on every trade.
day trade is more like a gamble. buy/hold may be better. for example, for
the past year USD/CAD came from 0.9 to 1.28 and may head to the other
direction now. buy it and hold 6-12 month may give you big gain. |
c*********t
发帖数: 2341 | 4 呵呵，说的很中肯
market
is
【在 k****t 的大作中提到】
: forex is not stock. there is no win-win. stocks can be win-win as the market
: goes up. in forex your gain is someone else's loss. someone else's gain is
: your loss. plus, all traders lose the spread to the brokage on every trade.
: day trade is more like a gamble. buy/hold may be better. for example, for
: the past year USD/CAD came from 0.9 to 1.28 and may head to the other
: direction now. buy it and hold 6-12 month may give you big gain.
|
b****e
发帖数: 28 | 5 -4% loss on gold now :((
【在 m******t 的大作中提到】
:
: You'll need a tighter stop loss, or do a lot better than 50%.
: Every time you lose 1%, you'll have to make 1.01% to get back
: even.
|
m******t
发帖数: 2416 | 6
market
is
+1, unless you get super slim spreads, day trading forex is like
blackjack - you start with -3% against the house.
Speaking of USD/CAD, it actually doesn't seem to me that the trend is
reverting, which IMHO needs two things to happen first: a) crude oil
needs to get into at least mid-term up trend, and b) the Canadian
economy needs to do better than the US, which seems very unlikely
considering how interconnected the two are.
【在 k****t 的大作中提到】
: forex is not stock. there is no win-win. stocks can be win-win as the market
: goes up. in forex your gain is someone else's loss. someone else's gain is
: your loss. plus, all traders lose the spread to the brokage on every trade.
: day trade is more like a gamble. buy/hold may be better. for example, for
: the past year USD/CAD came from 0.9 to 1.28 and may head to the other
: direction now. buy it and hold 6-12 month may give you big gain.
|
s********n
发帖数: 1962 | 7 Talking about forex. I think AUDUSD is bottomed.
【在 m******t 的大作中提到】
:
: market
: is
: +1, unless you get super slim spreads, day trading forex is like
: blackjack - you start with -3% against the house.
: Speaking of USD/CAD, it actually doesn't seem to me that the trend is
: reverting, which IMHO needs two things to happen first: a) crude oil
: needs to get into at least mid-term up trend, and b) the Canadian
: economy needs to do better than the US, which seems very unlikely
: considering how interconnected the two are.
|
s********n
发帖数: 1962 | 8 My only question is: Without betting on fundamentals and long-term
trend, no matter what method you use, how can you extract profit
from random walk?
对的
【在 b****e 的大作中提到】
: -4% loss on gold now :((
|
m******t
发帖数: 2416 | 9
Haven't been following Aussie. I can never seem to grasp
where their economy stands in relate to others.
【在 s********n 的大作中提到】
: Talking about forex. I think AUDUSD is bottomed.
|
M****e
发帖数: 2803 | 10 外汇市场没有牛熊市，如果只是打算10％的收益还是别介入FX。
风险控制的好，合理的资金管理情况下，用些基本的技术分析，一年收益100％～300％
应该是正常的。 |
k****t
发帖数: 12697 | |
M****e
发帖数: 2803 | 12 每个月小损+大止赢 双向开单堵非农或者重要数据，一年10％应该没问题，但是似乎没
啥意义阿。
【在 b****e 的大作中提到】
: 打算靠新闻前建仓，猜大小+-1%止盈止损，兑现以后就平仓
: 头寸=本金，每个月猜1，2次，假设猜对概率略大于50%
: 一年下来收益能有5-10%么？ 呵呵
|
f*******7
发帖数: 2210 | |
