s********n
发帖数: 1962 | 1 【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: Rilla (一生命悬), 信区: Stock
标 题: 对与错 ztt
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Oct 7 01:47:08 2009, 美东)
对与错
我的老师薛宝庆先生曾经教过我
看涨看跌如果不加上时间概念就没有意义
天天喊空,总有一天会跌的
天天喊涨,总有一天会涨的
如果没有时间概念,都是对的
当然,如果随便安上一个时间概念,也都是错的
所以,要讲清楚多少时间里看涨,从哪一个时间点到哪一个时间点看跌
我们才能鉴别对错
其次呢，还要看看对的时候对多少，看错的时候错多少
10次看对100点，1次看错1000点，其实跟瞎蒙还是没区别
但是从观众的角度看，对的次数蛮多的，错的时候勇于认错，还可以作为人品好的一个
佐证
所以涨多了就说看跌,跌多了就说看涨,错了就扛,扛到准为止,实在扛不回来就勇于认错
这是一个比较讨巧的做法
还有些分析师总是建议赚钱的一方平仓,一来平仓没风险,二来可以给人之前看对了的错
觉,其实他从来没做过开仓建议......
有的总是说一些永远不会错的车轱辘话
有的干脆直接拿个布林通道照本宣科 | c****o
发帖数: 32446 | | s********n
发帖数: 1962 | 3 what do you mean?
【在 c****o 的大作中提到】
: 那现在呢？
| c****o
发帖数: 32446 | 4 涨还是跌
【在 s********n 的大作中提到】
: what do you mean?
| B***r
发帖数: 79 | 5 My understanding:
For short-term investment, listen to Soros.
For long-term investment, listen to 罗奇.
For mid-term investment, listen to LaoDa. | s********n
发帖数: 1962 | 6 LOL, didn't you see that I am played by market badly recently?
You can learn from Soros. The guy is really a genious. But don't listen
to his comment, he is a Jewish and nothing but a cold blood business man.
He'll say whatever he needs to say only for money but not truth.
【在 B***r 的大作中提到】
: My understanding:
: For short-term investment, listen to Soros.
: For long-term investment, listen to 罗奇.
: For mid-term investment, listen to LaoDa.
| h*******y
发帖数: 864 | 7 The market is getting increasingly hard to play.
People are investing less because of prospects of good returns, rather
because other investment options are often much worse.
Maybe this will become the decade of lower return? But after all, lower
return may not be that bad for young workers/savers. A booming stock/
property market just transfer the wealth from young buyers to retirees.
On that thought, I am getting a little bit pessimistic about investing today
. The biggest drivers of investmen
【在 s********n 的大作中提到】
: LOL, didn't you see that I am played by market badly recently?
: You can learn from Soros. The guy is really a genious. But don't listen
: to his comment, he is a Jewish and nothing but a cold blood business man.
: He'll say whatever he needs to say only for money but not truth.
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