m*******e
发帖数: 21667 | 1 如果美国不改变能源消费方式。
http://www.nola.com/business/index.ssf/2010/10/former_shell_president_john_h
o.html
The United States must change the way it consumes, creates and regulates ene
rgy or risk major fuel shortages that could plunge the nation into third-wor
ld country status by the end of the decade, the former president of Shell Oi
l Company said on Tuesday.
"I would submit to you we are in worse condition today than the day Presiden
t Nixon declared energy independence within seven years in 1973," keynote sp
eaker John Hofmeister told an audience assembled for the 2010 Energy Summit
at the Louisiana State University Center for Energy Studies in Baton Rouge.
If the nation is unwilling to renovate it's aging coal-powered plants, nucle
ar plants, oil pipelines and other crumbling infrastructure and change its n
egative perception of deepwater drilling and coal production, the United Sta
te's way of life and status as an economic world leader is at risk, he said.
"Here we have a fundamental problem that is of the industry's own making, in
my judgement," Hofmeister said, adding that the energy industry has for too
long accepted and encouraged the status quo and taken consumers for granted
.
Hofmeister, founder and chief executive of Citizens for Affordable Energy, a
lso touched on the theme for this year's energy summit -- deepwater explorat
ion and the future of the Gulf of Mexico.
"There will not be deepwater drilling in the Gulf of Mexico prior to the 201
2 election," he said. "All the indicators are there....Too many constituenci
es to please before a decision could be made."
Lawmakers are hesitant to side with energy corporations who support deepwate
r drilling because of negative public perception. This perception was exacer
bated by the April 2010 Deepwater Horizon oil rig explosion that killed 11 m
en and unleashed a months-long Gulf of Mexico oil spill, he said.
Despite the court system overturning a recent moratorium on deepwater drilli
ng in the Gulf, no companies are drilling, Hofmeister said.
Lawsuits slow down any submitted regulatory permits to drill and counter law
suits are then filed by the opposition.
"We are in essence turning over the future of the gulf to the courts," Hofme
ister said.
Meanwhile, energy corporations still must decide where to drill. If it becom
es too difficult to drill off the Gulf Coast, smaller, independent oil compa
nies will "wilt" and the larger oil companies will go overseas, he said.
That could cause oil production to decline in the Gulf of Mexico as early as
next year, he said. If the expectation of supply can't keep up with the exp
ectation of demand, the cost of a barrel of oil could skyrocket.
And that means higher gas prices for Americans, he said.
"If we stay on the path we're on, we're third-world by the end of the decade
," he said. "Unless we change how we govern energy."
To keep the country from falling into crisis, Hofmeister suggested the creat
ion of an independent energy regulatory agency created by the U.S. Congress.
The agency would be similar to the federal reserve and would manage the fut
ure of the nation's energy supply, efficiency and infrastructure.
The agency would be funded not by taxpayers but by the energy companies it o
versees, Hofmeister said.
Also speaking at the summit was Jim Diffley, senior director of IHS Global I
nsight's U.S. Regional Services Group, who spoke about the future of indepen
dent, smaller oil companies in the Gulf of Mexico.
The role of independent oil companies in increasing, Diffley said. In 1988,
independent companies drilled less than 15 percent of wells. For four of the
past seven years, independent companies drilled more than 50 percent of wel
ls, he said.
Today, independent companies hold a majority interest in 81 percent of all p
roducing Gulf of Mexico leases including 46 percent of all deepwater leases.
Their collaborations with major oil companies allow the majors to diversify
their portfolios, Diffley said.
Because major oil companies rely on these collaborations, "There is some con
cern about independents being excluded from the Gulf that would actually res
ult not in the majors expanding their presence....but maybe a decrease in ov
erall activity..."
By 2020, independent energy companies are predicted to create more than 300,
000 Gulf economy jobs with more than 265,000 from deepwater drilling, he sai
d. | r********n
发帖数: 7441 | 2 这个有点危言耸听了，美国近海大多数海域过去都是禁止勘探的（勘探本身对环境对海
洋生物破坏比较大，因为要大规模制造超声波来轰击海床），都还没有勘探过，直到小
布什和奥巴马推动近海勘探解冻，美国interior自己的官方数据说美国目前探明的天然
气够用60年 | l*******g
发帖数: 28502 | 3 60年很多吗？全世界天然气还不够全世界人民用60年?
【在 r********n 的大作中提到】
: 这个有点危言耸听了，美国近海大多数海域过去都是禁止勘探的（勘探本身对环境对海
: 洋生物破坏比较大，因为要大规模制造超声波来轰击海床），都还没有勘探过，直到小
: 布什和奥巴马推动近海勘探解冻，美国interior自己的官方数据说美国目前探明的天然
: 气够用60年
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