c**i
发帖数: 6973 | 1 魏國金, 駐中大使︰美應防解放軍恫嚇台. Liberty Times, Dec. 6, 2010.
http://www.libertytimes.com.tw/2010/new/dec/6/today-fo2.htm
My comment:
(a) The above report is based on a cable (see below), as well as
Ewen MacAskill, WikiLeaks cables: 'Aggressive' China losing friends around
the worldBritain, India and Japan complain of Beijing's diplomatic 'muscle-
flexing', while Africans talk of coercion in aid-for-resources deals.
Guardian, Dec. 4, 2010.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/dec/04/wikileaks-embassy-cables-diplomacy-china
* The Guardian report does not mention Taiwan.
(b) Taiwan was mentioned in paragraphs 27 and 30 in the cable.
(c) The Cable:
Clark T. Randt, Looking at the next 30 years of US-China relations. Jan. 6,
2009 (posted by Guardian on Dec. 4, 2010).
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/us-embassy-cables-documents/185826
Quote:
"In 1979, Chinese urbanites on average made the equivalent of five dollars
per month." Paragraph 2.
"China has been plagued over the millennia by unforeseen events that
devastated formerly prosperous regimes. Mongol invasion, the Black Death,
uncountable peasant uprisings, warlords, tax revolts, communist dictatorship
, colonialism, famine, earthquakes and other plagues were largely unforeseen
by the China watchers of the past." Paragraph 4.
"Many speculate that China has reached the limit to easy productivity gains
by rationalizing the state-planned economy. The Economist Intelligence Unit[
, the research arm of Economist magazine] expects China's annual growth to
slow from around 10 percent in the last 30 years to 4.5 percent by 2020.
After 2015 when the labor force peaks as a share of the population, labor
costs will rise faster. This will increasingly make other countries like
India and Vietnam more attractive for labor-intensive investment." Paragraph
15.
(c) Mr. Clark T. Randt was US ambassador to Beijing from July 23, 2010 to
Janu. 20, 2009. So his term coincided with that of George W. Bush. And he
wrote the table just days before his retirement. | x*********g
发帖数: 11508 | 2 http://213.251.145.96/cable/2009/01/09BEIJING22.html
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 07 BEIJING 000022
SIPDIS
DEPARTMENT FOR THE SECRETARY, DEPUTY SECRETARY, EAP A/S
HILL, S/P, EAP/CM
NSC FOR DWILDER
EO 12958 DECL: 01/05/2034
TAGS PREL, PGOV, ECON, EFIN, MARR, MASS, CH
SUBJECT: LOOKING AT THE NEXT 30 YEARS OF THE U.S.-CHINA
RELATIONSHIP
Classified By: Ambassador Clark T. Randt. Reasons 1.4 (b/d)
¶1. (C) January 1, 2009, marked the 30th Anniversary of the
establishment of diplomatic relations between the United States and the
People’s Republic of China. This anniversary followed the PRC commemoration
of roughly 30 years of China’s “reform and opening” policy under Deng
Xiaoping, which led to China’s staggering economic growth.
¶2. (C) Thirty years ago, China was just emerging from the nightmare of
the Cultural Revolution and 30 years of fratricidal misrule. China’s
economy was crippled by years of disastrous policies like the Great Leap
Forward. The population was coming to terms with the world’s most draconian
population controls enacted in 1976 after decades of Maoist state-subsidies
encouraging large families. Chinese foreign relations tended to be more
influenced by ideological yardsticks than economic links since China had
very few commercial links with the outside world. In 1979, Chinese urbanites
on average made the equivalent of five dollars per month.
¶3. (C) Just as no one in 1979 would have predicted that China would
become the United States’ most important relationship in thirty years, no
one today can predict with certainty where our relations with Beijing will
be thirty years hence. However, given the current significance of the
bilateral relationship and the risk of missing opportunities to jointly
address ongoing and predictable future challenges, below we look at trends
currently affecting China with an eye to how those trends might affect
relations. Several issues leap out, including China’ insatiable resource
needs, our growing economic interdependence, China’s rapid military
modernization, a surge in Chinese nationalism, China’s demographic
challenges, and the PRC’s increasing influence and confidence on the world
stage.
¶4. (C) China has been plagued over the millennia by unforeseen events
that devastated formerly prosperous regimes. Mongol invasion, the Black
Death, uncountable peasant uprisings, warlords, tax revolts, communist
dictatorship, colonialism, famine, earthquakes and other plagues were
largely unforeseen by the China watchers of the past. This report focuses
generally on more optimistic projections. Given China’s history, however,
the United States should also gird itself for the possibility that China
will fall short of today’s mostly sanguine forecasts.
Resource Consumption | x*********g
发帖数: 11508 | 3 这份文件说中国是the United States’ most important relationship
大致浏览了一下这份文件，只有一个感想：美国才是真正的小白兔。。。。。
【在 x*********g 的大作中提到】
: http://213.251.145.96/cable/2009/01/09BEIJING22.html
: C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 07 BEIJING 000022
: SIPDIS
: DEPARTMENT FOR THE SECRETARY, DEPUTY SECRETARY, EAP A/S
: HILL, S/P, EAP/CM
: NSC FOR DWILDER
: EO 12958 DECL: 01/05/2034
: TAGS PREL, PGOV, ECON, EFIN, MARR, MASS, CH
: SUBJECT: LOOKING AT THE NEXT 30 YEARS OF THE U.S.-CHINA
: RELATIONSHIP
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