w*******s
发帖数: 3417 | 1 贸易战可能一触即发， 美国把美国失业率持续居高怪罪于中国， 美国要对最大的金主
动手了
U.S. consumers, businesses would be the victims of his proposed 25% tariff
on Chinese goods
http://money.cnn.com/2011/04/17/news/economy/trump_china_trade_
How 'The Donald' could incite a trade war
NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Donald Trump's call for a 25% tariff on Chinese goods
is winning him a lot of attention as he weighs a presidential run in 2012.
But Trump seems to be overlooking the consequences that his economic policy
would likely trigger -- a destructive trade war and higher prices, according
to some experts.
181Email Print 10 largest economies
"In a trade war, everybody loses. Some may lose more than others, but
everybody loses," said Nicholas Lardy, senior fellow at the Peterson
Institute for International Economics, who has been a vocal critic of China'
s trade and currency policies.
Most economists would agree with Trump's logic that China is holding down
the value of its currency to give its manufacturers an advantage when
selling goods to the U.S.
"They have manipulated their currency so violently towards this country, it
is almost impossible for our companies to compete with Chinese companies,"
Trump told CNNMoney last month, during which he laid out plans for his 25%
tariff.
He insists that if the right messenger -- "somebody like me" -- makes the
threat of imposing that kind of tax on Chinese goods, that Chinese leaders
would quickly acquiesce.
But most experts argue that tariffs are the wrong response to currency
manipulation, and come with steep costs.
Trade wars could arise: Imposing a tariff on China would do little more than
irritate the world's second largest economy, economists say.
China could simply appeal to the World Trade Organization, the international
body charged with enforcing global trading rules, which could challenge the
tax.
0:00 /4:25Trump: Tax China's goods 25%
China could also respond by closing its increasingly important market to U.S
. exporters, which would be a major blow to American jobs and manufacturing.
China has become the No. 3 market for U.S. exporters, with sales jumping 31
% from the previous year.
And that doesn't even count the goods being made in China by U.S. companies.
General Motors sells more cars in China today than it does in the United
States, for example.
"The sad story is we don't have much leverage," said Lardy. "But a tariff
certainly would not advance our interests."
Prices would rise: A tariff on China could also be a very expensive
proposition for the United States.
That's because a rise in the value of the China's currency would make
imported goods more expensive. At the same time, China would likely move to
increase prices directly to cover the cost of the tariff.
Interactive: World's largest economies
But that's a risk Trump is willing to take. He says his son can live with
fewer toys, as long as jobs come back to the United States.
"I have a son, and he loves little airplanes ... Most of them are made in
China ... He has so many of 'em," Trump told CNBC's Larry Kudlow last month.
"If he had half of 'em, and if they were made in this country, I'd be very
happy ... and he'd be just as happy."
Jobs won't come back: Even if China caved and allowed its currency to trade
freely tomorrow, and prices of Chinese goods climbed 25% to 30% overnight,
there's little evidence to suggest that would bring jobs back to the United
States, as Trump has argued.
Lardy said that if U.S. imports of Chinese goods dropped off, many of those
imports would simply be replaced with goods from other low-wage, low cost
countries, like Bangladesh.
"Most of the stuff we're buying from China has not been produced in the U.S.
for decades," Lardy said.
Trump did not respond to numerous requests for comment on the criticism.
0:00 /6:09Trump: U.S. should control Iraq oil
Not everyone thinks Trump's call for a tariff is bad idea.
A 25% tariff might not be high enough, according to Alan Tonelson, research
fellow at the U.S. Business and Industry Council, which is made up of both U
.S. manufacturers and some unions
"The real degree of Chinese undervaluation is at least 40%," he said. "
Tariffs are the only way to fix this. Nothing else has worked, nothing else
will work."
But even Tonelson concedes it'd be difficult for a tariff to survive a
challenge from the WTO.
And much of the American public is interested in hearing more of Trump's
ideas too -- polls show that he is now a leading candidate for the
Republican ticket.
He says he'll make up his mind about running for president later this spring
and announce his intentions following the season finale of his reality show
"Celebrity Apprentice" in May. |
d****z
发帖数: 9503 | 2 谁是美国下届总统？就出结果了？
tariff
http://money.cnn.com/2011/04/17/news/economy/trump_china_trade_
.htm
goods
2012.
policy
according
【在 w*******s 的大作中提到】
: 贸易战可能一触即发， 美国把美国失业率持续居高怪罪于中国， 美国要对最大的金主
: 动手了
: U.S. consumers, businesses would be the victims of his proposed 25% tariff
: on Chinese goods
: http://money.cnn.com/2011/04/17/news/economy/trump_china_trade_
: How 'The Donald' could incite a trade war
: NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Donald Trump's call for a 25% tariff on Chinese goods
: is winning him a lot of attention as he weighs a presidential run in 2012.
: But Trump seems to be overlooking the consequences that his economic policy
: would likely trigger -- a destructive trade war and higher prices, according
|
m*****5
发帖数: 23482 | 3 this guy is an attention whore |
g***j
发帖数: 40861 | |
e********3
发帖数: 18578 | 5 他要能选上，老母猪都会爬树了。
goods
policy
according
【在 w*******s 的大作中提到】
: 贸易战可能一触即发， 美国把美国失业率持续居高怪罪于中国， 美国要对最大的金主
: 动手了
: U.S. consumers, businesses would be the victims of his proposed 25% tariff
: on Chinese goods
: http://money.cnn.com/2011/04/17/news/economy/trump_china_trade_
: How 'The Donald' could incite a trade war
: NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Donald Trump's call for a 25% tariff on Chinese goods
: is winning him a lot of attention as he weighs a presidential run in 2012.
: But Trump seems to be overlooking the consequences that his economic policy
: would likely trigger -- a destructive trade war and higher prices, according
|
m*t
发帖数: 7490 | 6 征吧
星期五出的md这边的CPI是2.2%，
如果MIC的收25%，CPI能<8%都是神仙 |
p***B
发帖数: 66 | |
v***t
发帖数: 27100 | 8 丫女儿长得还不错
goods
policy
according
【在 w*******s 的大作中提到】
: 贸易战可能一触即发， 美国把美国失业率持续居高怪罪于中国， 美国要对最大的金主
: 动手了
: U.S. consumers, businesses would be the victims of his proposed 25% tariff
: on Chinese goods
: http://money.cnn.com/2011/04/17/news/economy/trump_china_trade_
: How 'The Donald' could incite a trade war
: NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Donald Trump's call for a 25% tariff on Chinese goods
: is winning him a lot of attention as he weighs a presidential run in 2012.
: But Trump seems to be overlooking the consequences that his economic policy
: would likely trigger -- a destructive trade war and higher prices, according
|
C*******f
发帖数: 13152 | |
a**e
发帖数: 8800 | 10 Realllllly hot!
【在 v***t 的大作中提到】
: 丫女儿长得还不错
:
: goods
: policy
: according
|
|
|
b********6
发帖数: 35437 | 11 不征是孙子
不过他们会不会把美国物价上涨归咎于中国？ |
l******g
发帖数: 1623 | 12 LOL 那个老色鬼想当总统,再轮回N+1次排我孙子的孙子的孙子后面吧
goods
policy
according
【在 w*******s 的大作中提到】
: 贸易战可能一触即发， 美国把美国失业率持续居高怪罪于中国， 美国要对最大的金主
: 动手了
: U.S. consumers, businesses would be the victims of his proposed 25% tariff
: on Chinese goods
: http://money.cnn.com/2011/04/17/news/economy/trump_china_trade_
: How 'The Donald' could incite a trade war
: NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Donald Trump's call for a 25% tariff on Chinese goods
: is winning him a lot of attention as he weighs a presidential run in 2012.
: But Trump seems to be overlooking the consequences that his economic policy
: would likely trigger -- a destructive trade war and higher prices, according
|
f****i
发帖数: 9419 | 13 肯定呀，为啥你要存在，导致我给你征税呢？否则我们不就不会有通胀了？
【在 b********6 的大作中提到】
: 不征是孙子
: 不过他们会不会把美国物价上涨归咎于中国？
|
m*****5
发帖数: 23482 | 14
中庭太长，有点马脸了
【在 v***t 的大作中提到】
: 丫女儿长得还不错
:
: goods
: policy
: according
|
k*****a
发帖数: 7389 | 15 中国产品统统征收25% is good for both US and China, and I agree that 美国失业
率持续居高 has something related to 中国 |
w*****9
发帖数: 365 | 16
goods
policy
according
【在 w*******s 的大作中提到】
: 贸易战可能一触即发， 美国把美国失业率持续居高怪罪于中国， 美国要对最大的金主
: 动手了
: U.S. consumers, businesses would be the victims of his proposed 25% tariff
: on Chinese goods
: http://money.cnn.com/2011/04/17/news/economy/trump_china_trade_
: How 'The Donald' could incite a trade war
: NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Donald Trump's call for a 25% tariff on Chinese goods
: is winning him a lot of attention as he weighs a presidential run in 2012.
: But Trump seems to be overlooking the consequences that his economic policy
: would likely trigger -- a destructive trade war and higher prices, according
|
w*********r
发帖数: 42116 | 17 MN通过法律, 国旗, 警察, 消防等等政府采购都必须使用美国造产品.
最近警察在抱怨制服靴子质量差, 而且没钱换新的.
goods
policy
according
【在 w*******s 的大作中提到】
: 贸易战可能一触即发， 美国把美国失业率持续居高怪罪于中国， 美国要对最大的金主
: 动手了
: U.S. consumers, businesses would be the victims of his proposed 25% tariff
: on Chinese goods
: http://money.cnn.com/2011/04/17/news/economy/trump_china_trade_
: How 'The Donald' could incite a trade war
: NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Donald Trump's call for a 25% tariff on Chinese goods
: is winning him a lot of attention as he weighs a presidential run in 2012.
: But Trump seems to be overlooking the consequences that his economic policy
: would likely trigger -- a destructive trade war and higher prices, according
|
l******i
发帖数: 104 | 18 It seems that he has already give up... |
w*********g
发帖数: 30882 | 19 没啥大用处，只能刺激中国加强本国能源、原材料勘探与产业升级，转向内需支撑的经
济发展模式。结果10年后，更加不依赖美国，军事技术上更先进，外交上更加咄咄逼人
，搞不好就把台湾、冲绳、钓鱼岛一勺烩了。
伊拉克这样的小国就好比一支蜡烛，一口气就能吹灭。
中国这样的超级国家就好比一个装满了煤炭的大壁炉，吹得越卖力相当于风鼓得越旺，
燃烧的只能更充分，温度更高。 |
c*****t
发帖数: 10738 | 20 OMG, 这身材。。。
【在 a**e 的大作中提到】
: Realllllly hot!
|
|
|
xt
发帖数: 17532 | 21 专门泡名模和世界小姐的啊，跟萨科齐说起来应该是
在一个地方战斗过
【在 v***t 的大作中提到】
: 丫女儿长得还不错
:
: goods
: policy
: according
|
N*****m
发帖数: 42603 | 22 really？
【在 xt 的大作中提到】
: 专门泡名模和世界小姐的啊，跟萨科齐说起来应该是
: 在一个地方战斗过
|
O*******d
发帖数: 20343 | 23 美国选民傻啊。 提税，谁来交税？是中国人交税吗？ |
g*********o
发帖数: 4653 | 24 还＂可能一触即发＂呢，早都交手不知道多少回合了。
不要只盯着带有硝烟的战争，
不带烟的到处都时无时不有无处不在 |
l*******g
发帖数: 28502 | 25 如果美国有替代产品，消费者可以不交这笔税。
【在 O*******d 的大作中提到】
: 美国选民傻啊。 提税，谁来交税？是中国人交税吗？
|
T******y
发帖数: 14506 | 26 lousy job, you are fired. |
xt
发帖数: 17532 | 27 跟布鲁尼搞过啊
【在 N*****m 的大作中提到】
: really？
|
O*******d
发帖数: 20343 | 28 美国的替代产品价钱提高25％，和交25％的税有什么区别？
【在 l*******g 的大作中提到】
: 如果美国有替代产品，消费者可以不交这笔税。
|
O*******d
发帖数: 20343 | |
b*******s
发帖数: 3614 | 30 米蒂造飞机等大件不错，这种衣服鞋子什么的现在是造不好了，不然就是成本极高。
【在 w*********r 的大作中提到】
: MN通过法律, 国旗, 警察, 消防等等政府采购都必须使用美国造产品.
: 最近警察在抱怨制服靴子质量差, 而且没钱换新的.
:
: goods
: policy
: according
|
|
|
e**o
发帖数: 6038 | 31 下届政府还没谱那
goods
policy
according
【在 w*******s 的大作中提到】
: 贸易战可能一触即发， 美国把美国失业率持续居高怪罪于中国， 美国要对最大的金主
: 动手了
: U.S. consumers, businesses would be the victims of his proposed 25% tariff
: on Chinese goods
: http://money.cnn.com/2011/04/17/news/economy/trump_china_trade_
: How 'The Donald' could incite a trade war
: NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Donald Trump's call for a 25% tariff on Chinese goods
: is winning him a lot of attention as he weighs a presidential run in 2012.
: But Trump seems to be overlooking the consequences that his economic policy
: would likely trigger -- a destructive trade war and higher prices, according
|
