c*******2 发帖数: 617 | 1 China’s growth rate in a global recession could be shockingly low,
according to Barclays estimates — remember, 8% is considered a soft landing
for this fast-growing behemoth:
。。。。
We estimate that stimulus measures could add 1-2ppt to China’s growth,
implying that GDP growth could be supported at 5.5-6.5% in 2012 in the case
of another global recession. This would undoubtedly be viewed as a hard
landing by both the market and the public, especially as growth might be
even slower in some areas. | r**********g 发帖数: 22734 | |
|