w*j
发帖数: 6104 | 1 美国这些年油产量增长很快，对中国有好处。 供应多了，价格想拉也不那么容易了。
Record petroleum exports helped shrink the U.S. trade deficit in December to
the smallest in almost three years as America moved closer to energy self-
sufficiency, a goal the nation has been pursuing since the 1973 Arab oil
embargo.
The gap narrowed 20.7 percent to $38.5 billion, the smallest since January
2010 and lower than any estimate in a Bloomberg survey of 73 economists,
Commerce Department figures showed today in Washington. Oil exports climbed
$11.6 billion. Another report showed wholesale inventories unexpectedly
declined in December.
Enlarge image
Trade Deficit in U.S. Plunges on Record Petroleum Exports Tim Rue/Bloomberg
The gap shrank 20.7 percent to $38.5 billion, lower than any estimate in a
Bloomberg survey of 73 economists and the least since January 2010, Commerce
Department figures showed today in Washington.
The gap shrank 20.7 percent to $38.5 billion, lower than any estimate in a
Bloomberg survey of 73 economists and the least since January 2010, Commerce
Department figures showed today in Washington. Photographer: Tim Rue/
Bloomberg
4:34 Feb. 8 (Bloomberg) -- Leland Miller, president of China Beige Book
International, talks about the outlook for China's economy. Miller speaks
with Tom Keene, Sara Eisen, Hans Nichols and Scarlet Fu on Bloomberg
Television's "Surveillance." (Source: Bloomberg)
4:43 Dec. 12 (Bloomberg) -- John Mauldin, president of Millennium Wave
Advisors, talks about the U.S. economy, fiscal policy and investment
strategy. Mauldin speaks with Tom Keene and Sara Eisen on Bloomberg
Television's "Surveillance." (Source: Bloomberg)
Sponsored Links
Attend a World-Class Uni...
Choose from 37 career-building degrees offered 100% o...
www.FloridaTechOnline.com
QuickBooks Online
QuickBooks Online for Small Business. Manage Your Ent...
www.QuickBooks.com
Integrated Desktop Manag...
Affordable Web-based Windows Desktop Management Softw...
DOWNLOAD YOUR FREE TRI...
Buy a link
In addition to trimming the trade deficit, greater fuel autonomy helps boost
household incomes, jobs and government revenue and makes American companies
more competitive. An improving global economy, reflected by record exports
to South and Central America, also means manufacturers such as Caterpillar
Inc. will benefit.
“The trend toward energy independence is there, and it is picking up,”
said Andy Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates LLC in Houston with more
than 30 years of experience in refining and trading. “This bodes well for
our economy. As our oil production increases, our reliance on other parts of
the world for oil comes down.”
Stocks climbed after the report and on corporate earnings that topped
estimates. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 0.5 percent to 1,516.3 at
12:52 p.m. in New York. Shares of oil and gas companies such as Hess Corp.
and Valero Energy Corp. also advanced.
Wholesale Inventories
Another Commerce Department report showed stockpiles at the nation’s
wholesalers dropped 0.1 percent in December, the first decrease in six
months. The decline followed a revised 0.4 percent gain that was less than
initially reported.
The drop in stockpiles at distributors means inventories will probably
subtract even more from fourth-quarter economic growth than currently
estimated, partially offsetting the benefit from the narrower trade deficit.
The reports prompted JPMorgan Chase & Co., Barclays Plc and Morgan Stanley
economists to revise their tracking estimates of fourth-quarter gross
domestic product to show a gain compared with the 0.1 percent decline
initially reported by the Commerce Department.
After eliminating the influence of prices to produce the numbers used to
calculate GDP, the trade deficit narrowed to $44.1 billion in December, the
smallest in six months, from $51.8 billion.
Petroleum Gap
The jump in fuel sales to overseas buyers, combined with purchases of the
fewest barrels of imported crude in almost 16 years, led to the smallest
petroleum deficit since August 2009, the trade data showed.
A surge in U.S. oil production has made the nation the world’s largest fuel
exporter. Petroleum-product exports to Brazil grew by 59 percent in the
first 11 months of 2012, to 255,000 barrels a day, according to data from
the Energy Information Administration. Venezuelan imports from the U.S. rose
56 percent.
The U.S. met 84 percent of its own energy needs in the first 10 months of
2012, on track to be the highest annual rate since 1991, according to data
from the EIA, the statistical arm of the Energy Department. The country’s
crude output grew by a record 766,000 barrels a day last year to the highest
level in 15 years, the biggest annual jump since the first commercial well
was drilled in Pennsylvania in 1859.
As the U.S. makes further strides in energy production, the economy will
benefit from a narrowing trade gap, job and income growth and improvement in
manufacturing and services.
More Jobs
“We’ve begun to see the repatriation of manufacturing jobs back to the
country in small amounts, and that trend is likely to continue,” said Lipow
, who worked for 16 years at Amoco Oil Company and Amoco Corp., according to
the consulting firm’s website.
The median forecast in the Bloomberg survey of economists called for the U.S
. trade deficit to shrink to $46 billion. Estimates ranged from gaps of $42.
3 billion to $48 billion. The Commerce Department revised the November
shortfall to $48.6 billion from an initially reported $48.7 billion.
For all of 2012, exports climbed 4.4 percent to a record $2.2 trillion.
Imports advanced 2.7 percent to $2.74 trillion. That pushed the trade gap
last year down to $540.4 billion from $559.9 billion in 2011.
“The improvement in exports is encouraging,” said Brian Jones, a senior U.
S. economist at Societe Generale in New York, who projected the December gap
would drop to $43.3 billion, the third-lowest in the Bloomberg survey. “
With Europe looking less weak and Asia getting better, the outlook for U.S.
exports has got to be pretty positive.”
December Exports
In December, exports increased 2.1 percent to $186.4 billion, the second-
highest on record after September’s $187.1 billion. In addition to the
pickup in energy exports, the gain reflected a $1.2 billion jump in overseas
shipments of gold.
Imports dropped 2.7 percent to $224.9 billion in December. The U.S. imported
223 million barrels of crude oil, the fewest since February 1997.
Combined with a lower price per barrel, the value of petroleum purchases
decreased to $21.2 billion in December, the smallest since February 2011.
Consumer goods imports climbed to a record $45.2 billion, reflecting a jump
in purchases of clothing, furniture and appliances that show demand was
holding up as the year drew to a close. |
|
