w*********g
发帖数: 30882 | 1 美媒：中国12月13日试射DF-41导弹 发射地点山西五寨
来源: mrict. 于 2013-12-18 04:25:17 [档案] [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已
被阅读：71次 字体：调大/调小/重置 | 加入书签 | 打印 | 所有跟帖 | 加跟贴 | 查
看当前最热讨论主题
原标题：美媒：中国第二次试射东风-41新型远程导弹
据美国自由灯塔报12月17日报道，据美国防务官员称，中国第二次试射了其最新型远程
导弹，据称这款导弹能够击中美国境内目标。据熟悉此次试射内情的官员称，此次东风
-41洲际导弹试射试验于上周五(12月13日)进行，导弹在中国山西省五寨导弹及航天测
试中心向中国西部弹着点目标区发射。
报道称，这是中国第二次试射这款新型公路机动远程洲际导弹。据美国情报机构估计，
这款导弹可携带多达10枚分导式核弹头。东风-41导弹于2012年7月24日首次试射。五角
大楼发言人没有回复华盛顿《自由灯塔报》要求其就导弹试验做出评论的电子邮件。不
过，最新导弹试射试验暗示中国远程导弹发展仍在继续，而且该导弹也引发了人们有关
中国在冲突中不首先使用核武器政策的担忧。
报道指出，此次导弹试射试验的披露，正值美中两国因本月5日美军导弹巡洋舰“考本
斯”号和中国海军一艘坦克登陆舰在南海险些相撞事件后紧张局势继续升级之际。美国
国务院和五角大楼就此事向中国提出了抗议。当时中国军舰挡住“考本斯”号导弹巡洋
舰的去路，导致后者为避免碰撞紧急机动。事件发生在中国首艘航母“辽宁”号附近。
报道称，东风-41射程在6835至7456英里之间，预计其还将具备携带分导式核弹头的能
力。这款导弹被视为是一种潜在的“首轮打击”武器，或一款能够发动可摧毁敌方核武
库并限制其反击能力的突然核攻击的武器。
今年5月，美国空军国家航空航天情报中心发表报告，提到了除现有东风-31和东风-31A
机动洲际弹道导弹之外，中国还在研发一款可携带分导式多弹头的新型远程导弹。报告
称，“中国拥有全球最活跃和多样化的弹道导弹发展项目。它正在发展和测试攻击型导
弹，组建额外的导弹部队，在质量上升级导弹系统，以及发展弹道导弹防御系统。”“
中国弹道导弹部队正在导弹规模和类型方面扩大。”
虽然报告并未提及东风-41导弹，但却指出“中国可能正在发展一款可携带分导式多弹
头的新型公路机动洲际导弹，预计在未来十五年内，中国洲际弹道导弹可对美产生威胁
的弹头数量会超过100枚。”据美国防务官员称，报告提到的正是东风-41导弹。
美国智库“国际评估与战略中心”的中国军事问题专家里克?费舍尔称，最新东风-41导
弹试射试验与中国军事爱好者网站曝光新型18轮移动起竖发射车几乎同时发生。“看来
这种可携带分导式多弹头的新型洲际弹道导弹晃正在达到作战状态。”费舍尔称，有报
道称，二炮部队至少为每套机动导弹发射装置准备了一枚备用导弹。如果未来新型东风
-41导弹部署时，每套发射装置也配有一枚备用导弹，那么就会大幅度增加中国武器库
中核弹头的数量，每套东风-41发射装置可配备多达120至140枚核弹头。
报道称，除了东风-41，中国也已经开始部署自己的潜艇弹道导弹巨浪-2，而且后续可
能会研究可以搭载多达三个弹头的巨浪-2A。费舍尔指出：“美国海军估计中国将有五
艘可搭载12枚导弹的094型核动力弹道导弹潜艇，这至少表明(导弹潜艇)会成为中国弹
头快速增长的又一原因”。
据简氏2012年的《战略武器系统》报告称，中国正在研发东风-41(北约代号CSS-X-10)
，目的是替代很容易被定位的井基东风-5和东风-5A导弹。前美国军事情报官员，国会
美中经济与安全评估委员会成员拉里?沃策尔在11月20日的众议院武装部队委员会会议
上称，新型东风-41是中国不断增长的核导弹武库的一部分。
他说：“中国正在通过核部队现代化活动提升核威慑能力。中国正在采取的措施包括研
发新型道路机动洲际弹道导弹——东风-41。这种导弹可配备分导式多弹头，使之可携
带多达10枚核弹头。”沃策尔指出，除分导式多弹头，中国还可能会在导弹上配备“突
防装置”，用于突破美国的导弹防御。中国也可能正在研发铁路机动洲际弹道导弹。
报道称，中国的核建设可能会对地区安全产生深远影响。中国最近一直在与邻国，尤其
是日本和菲律宾就岛屿和海上宣称产生争端。费舍尔说：“中国正在获得核平等地位，
甚至更高，我们可以预计，中国会对美国提出更高的要求，这对美国及友国和盟国的安
全不利”。
五角大楼前官员，中国战略核系统专家马克?斯托克斯称，中国的军事著作中已经提到
了东风-41，而且似乎涉及更大的衍生自东风-31系列洲际弹道导弹的固体燃料火箭发动
机。在过去几年中，东风-41发动机曾被发现进行地面测试。美国情报分析人士怀疑东
风-41是以俄罗斯的机动洲际弹道导弹SS-27为基础的，东风-41将融合俄罗斯的导弹制
导技术。
8月，中国的东风-31A洲际弹道导弹进行了两次飞行测试，2012年11月，另一枚东风-
31A进行了试射。
台湾安全局局工蔡得胜告知台湾立法机关，中国还正在研发东风-41和潜射弹道导弹巨
浪-2。4月15日，官方中央通讯社报道称，蔡得胜指出：“这两款导弹并没有在中国的
军事基地进行部署”。他说，中国军事科技飞速发展，因此解放军未来可能很快会部署
携带分导式多弹头的东风-41。 | M******8
发帖数: 10589 | 2 美国人测错了，是在山西岢岚。
不过差不多，都在管涔山里。
TG称为“太原卫星发射中心”。
好像当年的“北京24号信箱（原子弹基地通讯地址）”一样，单位实际上在新疆。
竟然有不少服役人员的家属，跑到北京探亲，出了车站就问“24号信箱在哪儿”，自然
无人知道。 | t***h
发帖数: 5601 | 3 http://freebeacon.com/china-conducts-second-flight-test-of-new-
China's military conducted the second flight test of its newest long-range
missile that is capable of hitting targets in the United States with a
nuclear warhead, according to defense officials.
The flight test of the new Dong Feng-41, or DF-41, took place Friday from
the Wuzhai missile launch center in Shanxi province to an impact range in
western China, said officials familiar with details of the tests.
It was the second test of the new, road-mobile, long-range ICBM that U.S.
intelligence agencies assess will be outfitted with up to 10 multiple,
independently-targetable reentry vehicles, or MIRVs.
Prior to Friday's flight test, the last DF-41 flight test took place July 24
, 2012.
Pentagon spokesmen did not return emails seeking comment on the missile test.
The most recent test indicates that China's long-range missile development
is continuing, and the missile is raising new concerns about China's
professed nuclear doctrine of not being the first to use nuclear weapons in
a conflict.
Disclosure of the nuclear missile flight test comes as tensions remain
heightened between the United States and China over the near collision
between the USS Cowpens, a guided missile cruiser, and a Chinese navy tank
landing ship in the South China Sea on Dec. 5.
The State Department and Pentagon protested the incident, which involved the
Chinese ship stopping in the path of the Cowpens, forcing the cruiser to
make an abrupt maneuver to avoid a collision. The incident took place near
China's first aircraft carrier, the Liaoning.
The DF-41, with its range of between 6,835 miles and 7,456 miles and
expected multiple-warhead capability, is viewed as a potential "first strike
" weapon, or a weapon capable of carrying out a surprise nuclear attack that
would knock out an enemy's arsenal and limit its counterstrike capability.
A report by the Air Force National Air and Space Intelligence Center made
public in May referred to China's development of a new long-range missile
with multiple warheads, in addition to current long-range DF-31 and DF-31A
mobile ICBMs.
"China has the most active and diverse ballistic missile development program
in the world," the NASCI report said. "It is developing and testing
offensive missiles, forming additional missile units, qualitatively
upgrading missile systems, and developing methods to counter ballistic
missile defenses."
"The Chinese ballistic missile force is expanding in both size and types of
missiles."
Without mentioning the DF-41, the report said, "China may also be developing
a new road-mobile ICBM capable of carrying a MIRV payload, and the number
of warheads on Chinese ICBMs capable of threatening the United States is
expected to grow to well over 100 in the next 15 years."
Defense officials said the report was referring to the DF-41.
Rick Fisher, a China military affairs expert and senior fellow at the
International Assessment and Strategy Center, said reports of the latest DF-
41 test coincide with disclosures on Chinese military enthusiast websites
showing a new 18-wheel transporter erector launcher for the new DF-41.
"It appears that this new large MIRV-capable ICBM is making progress toward
achieving an operational status," Fisher said.
Fisher said there are reports that the Second Artillery Corps, as China's
missile service is called, includes at least one reload missile for each
mobile missile-launcher system.
If the new DF-41 is deployed in the future with a reload missile per
launcher, it would vastly increase the numbers of nuclear warheads in the
Chinese arsenal, as many as 120 to 240 warheads for each DF-41 unit.
"What this means is that Obama administration suggestions that the United
States can continue to reduce its number of deployed warheads, perhaps to 1,
000 or less, is simply irrational," Fisher said.
"What we know and don't know about China's ability to rapidly increase its
warhead numbers points to an unacceptable level of risk for the United
States."
In addition to the DF-41, China also has begun to deploy its submarine-
launched ballistic missile called the JL-2 and may develop a follow-on JL-2A
with up to three warheads.
"Inasmuch as the U.S. Navy estimates there will be up to five of the 12-
missile carrying Type 094 nuclear powered ballistic missile submarines, this
at least indicates that [missile submarines] could become another source
for fast Chinese warhead growth," he said.
The publication Jane's Strategic Weapon Systems reported in 2012 that the
Chinese were developing the DF-41, also designated the CSS-X-10, and that it
is intended to replace easy-to-target silo-based DF-5 and DF-5A missiles.
Larry Wortzel, a former military intelligence officer and member of the
congressional U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, told the
House Armed Services Committee in testimony last month that the new DF-41 is
part of China's growing nuclear missile arsenal.
"China is enhancing its nuclear deterrent capability by modernizing its
nuclear force," Wortzel said Nov. 20. "It is taking measures such as
developing a new road-mobile intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM), the
DF-41. This missile could be equipped with a multiple independently
targetable reentry vehicle (MIRV), allowing it to carry as many as 10
nuclear warheads."
Wortzel said the Chinese, in addition to MIRVs, could outfit their missiles
with "penetration aids" designed to defeat U.S. missile defenses. China also
may be developing rail-mobile ICBMs, he said.
The Chinese nuclear buildup could have a profound impact on regional
security. China recently has been bullying its neighbors, specifically Japan
and Philippines, over islands and maritime claims.
"When China achieves a position of nuclear parity or even superiority, we
can expect that it will make far more vigorous demands on the United States
that could diminish the security of America and its friends and allies,"
Fisher said.
Mark Stokes, a former Pentagon official and specialist on China's strategic
nuclear systems has said the DF-41 has been mentioned in Chinese military
writings and appears to involve a larger, solid fuel rocket motor derived
from the DF-31 series ICBMS.
Ground tests of the DF-41 motor have been detected over the past several
years.
There are suspicions among U.S. intelligence analysts that the DF-41 is
based on Russia's mobile ICBM known as the SS-27 and that the DF-41 will
incorporate Russian missile guidance technology.
China in August conducted two flight tests of the DF-31A ICBM and in
November 2012, another DF-31A was flight-tested.
Tsai The-sheng, Taiwan's director of the National Security Bureau, as the
intelligence service for the island nation is called, told Taiwan's
legislature that China is still developing the DF-41 and the sub-launched JL
-2.
"Neither of them has been deployed at any Chinese military base yet," Tsai
said, the official Central News Agency reported April 15.
Tsai said that China's fast pace of military technology development makes it
very likely the People's Liberation Army will deploy a multi-warhead DF-41
in the future. | l*********u
发帖数: 19053 | 4 顶
【在 w*********g 的大作中提到】
: 美媒：中国12月13日试射DF-41导弹 发射地点山西五寨
: 来源: mrict. 于 2013-12-18 04:25:17 [档案] [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已
: 被阅读：71次 字体：调大/调小/重置 | 加入书签 | 打印 | 所有跟帖 | 加跟贴 | 查
: 看当前最热讨论主题
: 原标题：美媒：中国第二次试射东风-41新型远程导弹
: 据美国自由灯塔报12月17日报道，据美国防务官员称，中国第二次试射了其最新型远程
: 导弹，据称这款导弹能够击中美国境内目标。据熟悉此次试射内情的官员称，此次东风
: -41洲际导弹试射试验于上周五(12月13日)进行，导弹在中国山西省五寨导弹及航天测
: 试中心向中国西部弹着点目标区发射。
: 报道称，这是中国第二次试射这款新型公路机动远程洲际导弹。据美国情报机构估计，
| c****e
发帖数: 209 | 5 我看到射程是9000多英里。
【在 w*********g 的大作中提到】
: 美媒：中国12月13日试射DF-41导弹 发射地点山西五寨
: 来源: mrict. 于 2013-12-18 04:25:17 [档案] [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已
: 被阅读：71次 字体：调大/调小/重置 | 加入书签 | 打印 | 所有跟帖 | 加跟贴 | 查
: 看当前最热讨论主题
: 原标题：美媒：中国第二次试射东风-41新型远程导弹
: 据美国自由灯塔报12月17日报道，据美国防务官员称，中国第二次试射了其最新型远程
: 导弹，据称这款导弹能够击中美国境内目标。据熟悉此次试射内情的官员称，此次东风
: -41洲际导弹试射试验于上周五(12月13日)进行，导弹在中国山西省五寨导弹及航天测
: 试中心向中国西部弹着点目标区发射。
: 报道称，这是中国第二次试射这款新型公路机动远程洲际导弹。据美国情报机构估计，
| c****e
发帖数: 209 | 6 竟然有按信箱探亲的，保密观念太强了。
【在 M******8 的大作中提到】
: 美国人测错了，是在山西岢岚。
: 不过差不多，都在管涔山里。
: TG称为“太原卫星发射中心”。
: 好像当年的“北京24号信箱（原子弹基地通讯地址）”一样，单位实际上在新疆。
: 竟然有不少服役人员的家属，跑到北京探亲，出了车站就问“24号信箱在哪儿”，自然
: 无人知道。
| M******8
发帖数: 10589 | 7 家属不懂啊，服役者也不能告诉他们详细情况，那时候有几个人到过北京？有几个人出
过远门？
他们就以为北京的“信箱”跟他们那里的街道门牌或者公社大队生产队一样是实体地点
呢。
【在 c****e 的大作中提到】
: 竟然有按信箱探亲的，保密观念太强了。
|
|
