w*********r 发帖数: 42116 | 1 Marko Djurica/Reuters Russian soldiers The Baltic states are becoming
increasingly unnerved by the growing number of Russian military drills close
to their borders, Damien Sharkov of Newsweek reports,
Since the start of the Ukrainian crisis, Russia has been staging military
drills close to the Baltic regions at an increasingly common pace.
Martin Hurt, the deputy director of Estonia's International Centre for
Defense and Security, believes that the increased frequency of the drills
is meant to lull Europe into a false sense of security as the exercises
become increasingly normal.
“My take would be that the Russian authorities want to raise the readiness
of their forces and also make European nations more relaxed to a new norm
where the Russian Air Force often conduct snap exercises,” Hurt told
Newsweek.
“A realistic scenario against the Baltics would be a 'normal' Russian snap
exercise that without notice turns into a quick assault on one or several of
the Baltic states’ capitals," Hurt continued. "Such an attack would have
greater probability of success than the hybrid scenario we saw in Crimea."
A Russian invasion of the Baltic nations of Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia
would either lead to a continent wide war as NATO would be forced to respond
to Russia's attack, or, in the absence of a NATO response, a Russian
invasion would shatter the defensive alliance.
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