x**8 发帖数: 1939 | 1 http://finance.yahoo.com/news/what-could-prevent-donald-trumps-recession-064927716.html
On immigration, Trump is operating on the assumption that fewer working
immigrants will mean more work for native-born Americans. But that’s a
dicey assumption many economists disagree with, since it’s not obvious many
Americans even want to do the tough work in landscaping, construction or
agriculture that immigrants often do. And shrinking the labor force, whether
legal or illegal, would ordinarily depress growth. | x**8 发帖数: 1939 | 2 此文的观点和我基本相同:
1. 美国人民会为他们今天的决定受到惩罚,尤其是Trump的支持者。
2. 所有移民,无论合法非法,会被排挤出labor force.
So the real question for markets is whether Trump means everything he says.
If he does, the odds of a recession during the next four years are probably
well above 50%. The people hurt most would be the most economically
vulnerable, many of them Trump supporters.
many
whether
【在 x**8 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : http://finance.yahoo.com/news/what-could-prevent-donald-trumps-recession-064927716.html : On immigration, Trump is operating on the assumption that fewer working : immigrants will mean more work for native-born Americans. But that’s a : dicey assumption many economists disagree with, since it’s not obvious many : Americans even want to do the tough work in landscaping, construction or : agriculture that immigrants often do. And shrinking the labor force, whether : legal or illegal, would ordinarily depress growth.
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