c*******2 发帖数: 617 | 1 现在大家都在看热闹。
其实, 就算中美全面贸易战, 对中美经济的影响也有限。大大小小的预测, 对中国
的影响最高也就2%的GDP。
美国确实影响更加有限。
可惜, 贸易战不是孤立的。
最新的报告, 中国今年上半年对美投资, 断崖式下跌90%, 加上出逃, 中国对美投
资是负数。
这个不是特例。 世界对美国的投资, 从2016年的4570亿美元, 跌到2750亿美元。下
跌40%
Another report, released in June by the U.N. Conference on Trade and
Development, found that growth in FDI around the globe is on the decline.
Global FDI flows fell by 23 percent in 2017, to $1.43 trillion from $1.87
trillion a year earlier. Flows to developed economies dropped by one-third,
while investment into the United States fell by 40 percent, to $275 billion
from $457 billion in 2016.
The fallout from an 'America first' strategy
There are several reasons why FDI is falling, but not surprisingly,
antitrade rhetoric, more protectionist attitudes and investment-reducing
policies is causing investors and companies to think twice about buying
assets in foreign nations. It’s not as compelling to pour money into a
country with an "America first, everyone else second" policy, for instance.
“America first is an inherently inward-looking, not pro-globalization
policy,” said Zandi. “Pulling back on TPP may be a pullback on trade, but
FDI is also being affected by this sentiment.”
Talk of a trade war is also making it more difficult for companies to plan
— and this is especially true for Chinese companies. Trump has already
implemented tariffs on $100 billion worth of goods, but he’s threatened to
slap duties on $800 billion of imports.
If the China-U.S. relationship worsens — and China has imposed its own
tariffs on U.S. imports — then that could cause more companies to stay home.
“Foreign investors are looking for both economic opportunities and
political stability, and certainty the latter has suffered quite
tremendously under this administration,” said Thilo Hanemann, a director at
Rhodium Group and the author of its China FDI report, “Uncertainty is
turning off foreign investors.” | c*******i 发帖数: 178 | 2 脑残舔肛黄皮川粉表示这都不是事。这帮孙子是吃拉稀屎的,最怕的是川胖来不及拉!
其他的都是毛毛雨!LOL! | n********d 发帖数: 7676 | | c****3 发帖数: 6038 | 4 美国霸权的核心是航母和F-22.中国在贸易战里面敢带头,那是中国没有军事依赖。反
而,增强和中国的摩擦会导致美国的军事消费更大,更不健康。 |
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