M*********d
发帖数: 1 | | a******9
发帖数: 20431 | 2 外资逃离是美国
Q1的FDI断崖式下跌
：白宫经济顾问库德洛说
： | d*****t
发帖数: 7903 | 3 嘴巴还是蛮硬的，呵呵
【在 M*********d 的大作中提到】
: 白宫经济顾问库德洛说
: 中国六百亿关税太弱
: 中国经济遇到问题：疲软 外资逃离
: 川普会强硬到底
: http://gbcode.rthk.hk/TuniS/news.rthk.org.hk/rthk/ch/component/k2/1410557-20180804.htm
| d*****w
发帖数: 688 | 4 美国自己搞不下去还说人家？600亿会对Apple iPhone加税，Apple会损失几十亿美金，
坐看Apple搞掉川普
下一步，取消波音的订单买空客，看美国的大企业不收拾你？ | g******t
发帖数: 18158 | 5 裤子漏是纯傻逼，活的
6 of Larry Kudlow’s Not-So-on-the-Money Predictions
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/03/15/business/larry-kudlows-not-so-on-the-
money-predictions.html
【在 M*********d 的大作中提到】
: 白宫经济顾问库德洛说
: 中国六百亿关税太弱
: 中国经济遇到问题：疲软 外资逃离
: 川普会强硬到底
: http://gbcode.rthk.hk/TuniS/news.rthk.org.hk/rthk/ch/component/k2/1410557-20180804.htm
| m**********n
发帖数: 27535 | 6 美国最近一直说中国要撑不住了，说明美国快撑不住了 | g******t
发帖数: 18158 | 7 预测错了不难，难的是长期稳定的预测错误
这逼还是个瘾君子，吸的可卡因，进过戒毒所
大嘴本来有个白宫经济顾问，不支持大嘴打毛衣战被大嘴赶走了
实在找不到人了找了个吸毒犯来当白宫经济顾问
President Trump has a new chief economic adviser. Larry Kudlow, the CNBC
commentator who served in President Ronald Reagan’s Office of Management
and Budget, will become the director of the National Economic Council, a
position being vacated by Gary D. Cohn, who said he would resign after
losing an internal battle over the president’s plan to impose tariffs on
foreign metals.
Mr. Kudlow, often on-air and with a flair for provocative punditry, has
prognosticated on many economic and political issues in a way that mirrors
his future boss.
His predictions, which will soon carry new weight as the president’s top
economic adviser, have not always been on the mark. The following is a look
back at some of his economic predictions that did not bear out.
Housing bubble
“Homebuilders led the stock parade this week with a fantastic 11 percent
gain. This is a group that hedge funds and bubbleheads love to hate. All the
bond bears have been dead wrong in predicting sky-high mortgage rates. So
have all the bubbleheads who expect housing-price crashes in Las Vegas or
Naples, Fla., to bring down the consumer, the rest of the economy and the
entire stock market.” — June, 2005
Analysis: Well, we all know what happened. By 2008, the housing bubble
popped, home prices were in a free-fall and the mortgage-backed securities
that banks had loaded up on were threatening to plunge those firms — and
the economy — into the abyss.
Home prices in 20 metropolitan areas across the country dropped at a record
rate of 18 percent in October 2008 from a year earlier as the fallout from
the financial collapse reverberated through the housing market. The housing
market has still not recovered completely or evenly and prices in many
cities are still below their pre-recession peak.
Housing bubble aftermath
“What’s even more incredible is Team Obama’s stubborn refusal to have any
faith in the free market. In some of the hardest hit areas of the country,
markets are already solving the housing problem.
If the government really wants to help, instead of bailing out irresponsible
mortgage holders, it should support new and younger families who want to
buy starter homes and begin to climb the ladder of prosperity.
All this is free-market economics 101. And I say, let free-markets work.”
— February, 2009
Analysis: The Obama administration’s plan to help homeowners included a
litany of programs, including reducing the debt that distressed borrowers
owed. The success of these programs was mixed but recent studies show that
they did, in fact, help millions of people stay in their homes.
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Mr. Kudlow’s claim that the markets were already “solving” the housing
problem was not accurate, given that the housing market still has not
recovered in many areas, including those hardest hit.
In 2009, banks were — and in many cases remain — incredibly reluctant to
make loans to all but the highest-quality borrowers. That does not generally
include new and younger families, who have little credit history and are
considered riskier than those with a track record of on-time payments.
Without the government assisting borrowers who were in danger of foreclosure
, the economic fallout from the crisis would have been even deeper, more
severe and longer-lasting.
Before the Great Recession
“At home in the U.S., there are still housing-slump worries and concerns
about an inventory correction in autos and factories. Former Federal Reserve
Chairman Alan Greenspan this week even predicted a recession, naming the
budget deficit as the cause. Huh? The deficit is evaporating as record tax
revenues are being generated by a solid economy, itself a function of the
low marginal tax rates put in place by President Bush.” — March, 2007
Analysis: That solid economy was not so solid after all and Mr. Greenspan’s
prediction of a recession came true. By December 2007, the United States
was officially in the Great Recession. The budget deficit did not evaporate
but ballooned and continues to grow today, with the nation approaching a $1
trillion annual deficit.
EDITORS’ PICKS
What the Mystery of the Tick-Borne Meat Allergy Could Reveal
Her Husband Was a Princeton Graduate Student. Then He Was Taken Prisoner in
Iran.
George Soros Bet Big on Liberal Democracy. Now He Fears He Is Losing.
The Great Recession
“Recessions are therapeutic. They cleanse excess from the economy. Think
about excessive risk speculation, leverage, and housing. Recessions are
curative: They restore balance and create the foundation for the next
recovery. Despite the housing and credit problem and the sub-prime virus,
banks are still lending to businesses. So we don’t have a genuine credit
crunch across the board. That is very good.” — April, 2008
Analysis: Recessions do help reduce leverage — or debt — that households
and businesses have since loans are no longer easy to come by and creditors
demand repayment of past debts. But Mr. Kudlow’s “credit crunch”
assessment was flawed. Households and businesses did face a real “credit
crunch” as banks retrenched and restricted lending to all but the most
sterling borrowers.
Bull market
“There's no question that President Clinton's across-the-board tax
increases on labor, capital and energy will throw a wet blanket over the
recovery and depress the economy's long-run potential to grow.” — March,
1993
Analysis: The period between 1990 and 1999 was the longest bull market in
history. The S&P 500 more than tripled during that time and there was not a
single bear market or dip. The so-called dot com bubble helped fuel that
rise until it all came crashing down in the spring of 2000, a situation
created by speculation rather than Washington’s economic policies.
Stock market
“And let’s not forget: The stock market, which is a leading indicator of
the future economy, is in a wee bit of a correction. Given the recent rise
of presidential candidate Donald Trump, we should all be thankful that
stocks haven’t plunged. Trump’s agenda of trade protectionism, dollar
devaluation, and immigrant deportation is completely anti-growth. It’s like
Fortress America in an economy that is completely globalized and where the
U.S. must compete in the worldwide race for capital and labor. Trump’s
policies don’t fit.” — August, 2015 | g******t
发帖数: 18158 | 8 Will Larry Kudlow’s Past Cocaine Addiction Change the Nature of the
Presidency?
http://observer.com/2018/03/larry-kudlow-cocaine-addiction-white-house-precedent/
Surprise! Another White House hire has sparked controversy.
Many are criticizing President Donald Trump for appointing Larry Kudlow as
the White House’s chief economic advisor, given the economist’s past
struggles with addiction.
The Times UK published a piece on Thursday titled, “Trump names cocaine TV
pundit Larry Kudlow as chief economic advisor.” A Newsweek story detailing
Kudlow’s past drug use is currently being cited by many Twitter users to
disqualify Trump’s hiring judgment.
But given ongoing scandals involving a porn star and a former aide accused
of domestic violence, is employing a rehabilitated addict with 23-years
sobriety a PR problem?
Or does Kudlow’s hire establish a new precedent at the White House?
Ed Krassenstein
@EdKrassen
Fun Fact:
Larry Kudlow, the man who Trump just appointed as his top economic advisor,
was forced to resign from Bear Stearns in 1994 because of his frequent
cocaine binges and alcohol problems.
2:40 PM - Mar 14, 2018
10.4K
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A former staffer for Ronald Reagan’s administration, Kudlow parlayed from
the extravagant world of Manhattan finance to media after revelations of his
past drug use became public.
The New York Times reported in 1995 that Kudlow underwent six months of
treatment for cocaine addiction—with some sources speculating that Kudlow
spent roughly tens of thousands of dollars a month on the drug, a number
Observer has not been able to confirm.
“This was the end of the line. I was unemployable,” reflected Kudlow at a
Silver Hill Hospital gala in 2013.
Though many of America’s Founding Fathers are said to have frequently
consumed opium, reports of drug abuse have ended the careers of past
political figures: Most notoriously, former Washington, D.C. mayor Marion
Barry was videotaped smoking crack during a 1990 sting operation.
But the past three presidencies have each set new precedents for past drug
use.
In his 1992 campaign, former president Bill Clinton admitted to smoking
marijuana, but claimed “he did not inhale.” Former president George W.
Bush struggled with alcoholism, while his successor Barack Obama admitted to
inhaling marijuana and consuming “maybe a little blow” before entering
politics.
“As for the current situation with the economic advisor [Larry Kudlow], I
think people will give him a pass with alcohol; the country certainly did
with President Bush, and I think he’d get a pass for marijuana,” Sam
Abrams, a professor of politics at Sarah Lawrence College, told Observer.
Earlier this year, a Pew Research Center published a poll estimating that
six-in-10 Americans support legalized marijuana use, a sharp turn from the
roughly 60 percent of Americans who opposed the initiative a decade ago. But
drug legalization may end there: A survey conducted by VOX in 2016 found
that 86 percent of Americans opposed legalizing cocaine.
“When it comes to certain recreational drugs, like marijuana, it’s
becoming increasingly accepted,” explained Abrams. “Historically, a big
section of the Republican Party was very supportive of this as well, given
its libertarian approach. As for hard drugs and opioid use, people are much
more concerned.”
Despite emblazoning his name on vodka and wine bottles, Trump has repeatedly
denounced drugs and alcohol, citing the death of his older brother Fred
Trump as the reason for his sobriety.
But even in abstaining from substance use, the president has pushed White
House norms regarding one’s past behavior. Never before in American history
has a porn star, like Stormy Daniels, courted media appearances over an
alleged affair with a president.
“The whole cognitive approach to thinking about Trump has warped
traditional public opinion. Whereas normally sex standards would be a
disaster for a president, it’s a nonissue now because people are happy
Trump allegedly represents them and their values,” concluded Abrams. “If
this had been a less crazy set up, heavy cocaine use would have been
considered a question of one’s judgment and relative standing. But nowadays
, the people who are going to support him are going to figure out a way to
look past it… much how they look past Stormy Daniels.” | g******t
发帖数: 18158 | 9 这傻逼如果参加谈判，中方应该直接当众问他最近吸啥毒呢，会不会影响判断 | m**********s
发帖数: 518 | 10 如果要玩政治，那就直接一刀切断了经贸往来。
否则用政治立场先入为主的折腾经济，弄的不伦不类，只能自己干嚎对手不行了我又要
赢了，贻笑大方 | c****3
发帖数: 6038 | 11 行了，行了，美或最赢，中或最输是双方共识，然后大家该干点正事了吧。 | M*********d
发帖数: 1 | 12 一刀两断就不是政治了 那是直接上刀子了
【在 m**********s 的大作中提到】
: 如果要玩政治，那就直接一刀切断了经贸往来。
: 否则用政治立场先入为主的折腾经济，弄的不伦不类，只能自己干嚎对手不行了我又要
: 赢了，贻笑大方
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