V*******n
发帖数: 1 | 1 New battleground-state polls from Baldwin Wallace University showed Biden
beating Trump in both Pennsylvania and Wisconsin (with a 5 percentage point
lead in the former and a 7 percentage point lead in the latter).
If he can’t win at least one state in the Midwestern trifecta — Michigan,
Pennsylvania, or Wisconsin — that won him the White House in 2016, Trump
effectively has no path to 270 Electoral College votes, barring the highly
unlikely scenario that he is able to flip states considered safely
Democratic on election night.
In the most important swing states, the odds are against Trump right now,
based on FiveThirtyEight’s polling average:
In Michigan, Biden is averaging an 8 percentage point lead over Trump
Biden enjoys an average lead of 7.3 percentage points in Pennsylvania
Biden is also leading Trump by 7.2 percentage points on average in Wisconsin
Two of the more Republican Midwestern states, Iowa and Ohio, are also
drifting away from Trump after he won them by 8 percentage points or more in
2016:
Biden currently holds a 1 percentage point lead in the FiveThirtyEight
polling average for Iowa
The former vice president is also ahead by an average of 0.7 percentage
points in Ohio
Biden also leads Trump by 3 or 4 percentage points in both Arizona and
Florida, two additional states Trump won in 2016 that Democrats don’t need
to win to prevail in the Electoral College, but that would pad the margins
of a Biden victory — making it harder for the president to challenge the
results.
http://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2020/10/11/21511538/2020-presidential-election-polls-trump-biden-today |
V*******n
发帖数: 1 | 2 Likely voter是指过去几年投过票的选民，主要是2016，2018投票的选民。这里面包含
了16年投疮肿的所谓沉默的“大多数”傻逼。16年没投的新注册选民几乎100%支持拜登
，疮逼要是能赢太阳从西边出来。 |
Y****1
发帖数: 1 | 3 黄皮疮粪看了，默默的看了一下Lowe's的绳子库存。 |
i****d
发帖数: 724 | 4 recap: Biden在WI,MI,PA这三个2016年Trump以极弱的优势拿下的传统蓝州都至少领先7
个点（Biden只要赢下2016年所有希拉里赢的州，再加上这三个蓝州，就搞定大选了）
然后Biden在FL，IA，和OH还都保持一定的领先优势
结论：Biden会以KO的优势赢下大选，所以Trump也别废心思来challenge result了
point
,
【在 V*******n 的大作中提到】
: New battleground-state polls from Baldwin Wallace University showed Biden
: beating Trump in both Pennsylvania and Wisconsin (with a 5 percentage point
: lead in the former and a 7 percentage point lead in the latter).
: If he can’t win at least one state in the Midwestern trifecta — Michigan,
: Pennsylvania, or Wisconsin — that won him the White House in 2016, Trump
: effectively has no path to 270 Electoral College votes, barring the highly
: unlikely scenario that he is able to flip states considered safely
: Democratic on election night.
: In the most important swing states, the odds are against Trump right now,
: based on FiveThirtyEight’s polling average:
|
V*******n
发帖数: 1 | 5 黄疮不都号称舞枪弄棍，可以加入不噶路一起绑架州长嘛。
【在 Y****1 的大作中提到】
: 黄皮疮粪看了，默默的看了一下Lowe's的绳子库存。
|
d****o
发帖数: 32610 | 6 不能过于乐观
也可能有16年倾向于主党但厌恶女克没出来投票的
现在铁了心做川粉
point
,
【在 V*******n 的大作中提到】
: New battleground-state polls from Baldwin Wallace University showed Biden
: beating Trump in both Pennsylvania and Wisconsin (with a 5 percentage point
: lead in the former and a 7 percentage point lead in the latter).
: If he can’t win at least one state in the Midwestern trifecta — Michigan,
: Pennsylvania, or Wisconsin — that won him the White House in 2016, Trump
: effectively has no path to 270 Electoral College votes, barring the highly
: unlikely scenario that he is able to flip states considered safely
: Democratic on election night.
: In the most important swing states, the odds are against Trump right now,
: based on FiveThirtyEight’s polling average:
|
V*******n
发帖数: 1 | 7 这种基本都是可以忽略的轮子黄疮吧。
【在 d****o 的大作中提到】
: 不能过于乐观
: 也可能有16年倾向于主党但厌恶女克没出来投票的
: 现在铁了心做川粉
:
: point
: ,
|
b*********3
发帖数: 1709 | 8 Best thing is the fact that he is funny has literally broken the mind of
many leftists like Bill Maher and John Oliver and Colbert
【在 d****o 的大作中提到】
: 不能过于乐观
: 也可能有16年倾向于主党但厌恶女克没出来投票的
: 现在铁了心做川粉
:
: point
: ,
|
V*******n
发帖数: 1 | 9 这几位的收视率都因为疮肿暴涨，不愧为国际级笑料。
【在 b*********3 的大作中提到】
: Best thing is the fact that he is funny has literally broken the mind of
: many leftists like Bill Maher and John Oliver and Colbert
|
p*****h
发帖数: 1369 | 10 估计是联合国历史上唯一的全体一致...
上次新冠投票都还缺了美国跟xx两票
【在 V*******n 的大作中提到】
: 这几位的收视率都因为疮肿暴涨，不愧为国际级笑料。
|
|
|
w*****k
发帖数: 177 | 11 川粉和川普共同点就是说自己的家乡是地狱
【在 b*********3 的大作中提到】
: Best thing is the fact that he is funny has literally broken the mind of
: many leftists like Bill Maher and John Oliver and Colbert
|
Y****1
发帖数: 1 | 12 疮粪一个字就是：贱
【在 w*****k 的大作中提到】
: 川粉和川普共同点就是说自己的家乡是地狱
|
e*****w
发帖数: 1 | 13 你们China plague唯一可以建议的是党妈习特勒自杀，屁眼里插着川普的鸡吧，疼不疼？
[在 VladPutin (Trump's Master) 的大作中提到：]
:New battleground-state polls from Baldwin Wallace University showed Biden
:beating Trump in both Pennsylvania and Wisconsin (with a 5 percentage point
lead in the former and a 7 percentage point lead in the latter).
:If he can’t win at least one state in the Midwestern trifecta — Michigan,
Pennsylvania, or Wisconsin — that won him the White House in 2016, Trump
:effectively has no path to 270 Electoral College votes, barring the highly
:unlikely scenario that he is able to flip states considered safely
:Democratic on election night.
:In the most important swing states, the odds are against Trump right now,
:based on FiveThirtyEight’s polling average:
:In Michigan, Biden is averaging an 8 percentage point lead over Trump
:Biden enjoys an average lead of 7.3 percentage points in Pennsylvania
:.......... |
e*****w
发帖数: 1 | 14 你们这帮翻墙China plague畜生，翻墙出来吃屎才是贱
[在 YouHi1 (YouHi1) 的大作中提到：]
:疮粪一个字就是：贱
:☆ 发自 Android 大灌 20.06.08 |
w*****k
发帖数: 177 | 15 川普和川粉还擅长人身攻击
【在 e*****w 的大作中提到】
: 你们这帮翻墙China plague畜生，翻墙出来吃屎才是贱
: [在 YouHi1 (YouHi1) 的大作中提到：]
: :疮粪一个字就是：贱
: :☆ 发自 Android 大灌 20.06.08
|
x******1
发帖数: 56 | 16 希拉里16年的十月这时候这几个州民调领先川普都快10个点了，最后还不是输了? 媒体
民调就是个joke，完全没有参考价值
【在 V*******n 的大作中提到】
: Likely voter是指过去几年投过票的选民，主要是2016，2018投票的选民。这里面包含
: 了16年投疮肿的所谓沉默的“大多数”傻逼。16年没投的新注册选民几乎100%支持拜登
: ，疮逼要是能赢太阳从西边出来。
|
e*****w
发帖数: 1 | 17 你们这群China plague狗奴才怎么可能有人身？
[在 wythink ( b) 的大作中提到：]
:川普和川粉还擅长人身攻击
:☆ 发自 iPhone 买买提 1.24.07 |
f***z
发帖数: 1 | 18 霉心版的疯狗怎么都跑出来了？
【在 e*****w 的大作中提到】
: 你们这群China plague狗奴才怎么可能有人身？
: [在 wythink ( b) 的大作中提到：]
: :川普和川粉还擅长人身攻击
: :☆ 发自 iPhone 买买提 1.24.07
|
w*****k
发帖数: 177 | 19 疯狗疯狂的咬人说明快灭亡了 狂犬病是这个样子的
【在 f***z 的大作中提到】
: 霉心版的疯狗怎么都跑出来了？
|
e*****w
发帖数: 1 | 20 草泥马烂逼，用你的狗眼去找找老子在眉心版发了几贴，你屁眼翘起来找草？贱货，草
泥马烂逼。
【在 f***z 的大作中提到】
: 霉心版的疯狗怎么都跑出来了？
|
