l***a 发帖数: 12410 | 1 need come up with some to build a predictive model, but don't have many in
my mind... now what I can think of are unemployment rate, prime rate, home
owner pct, consumer confidence index, gas price, maybe also dow index...
what else there are easy to get and reliable? |
c********y 发帖数: 30813 | 2 currency exchange rate
base metal price
precious metal price
inflation |
l***a 发帖数: 12410 | 3
usually use which foreign currency?
are these integrated price index or I have to decide the metal to use?
this sounds great. any website to get official data for free?
【在 c********y 的大作中提到】 : currency exchange rate : base metal price : precious metal price : inflation
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a********l 发帖数: 39524 | 4 price indices, gdp growth. |
v***a 发帖数: 23651 | 5 你揉进去的内容太多了
很难胡诌出什么结论来
【在 l***a 的大作中提到】 : need come up with some to build a predictive model, but don't have many in : my mind... now what I can think of are unemployment rate, prime rate, home : owner pct, consumer confidence index, gas price, maybe also dow index... : what else there are easy to get and reliable?
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a********l 发帖数: 39524 | 6 get them at federal reserve and bureau of labor statistics websites. |
c********y 发帖数: 30813 | 7 usually use which foreign currency?
usd index (DXY) is easy
are these integrated price index or I have to decide the metal to use?
i think there must be some index there. but don't know the name.
worst case, you can use copper, which is a very strong indicator of
industrial activity.
this sounds great. any website to get it for free?
free? no idea.... |
l***a 发帖数: 12410 | 8 thanks. gdp might be useful to reflect the recession factor
【在 a********l 的大作中提到】 : price indices, gdp growth.
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l***a 发帖数: 12410 | 9 now I am at the very beginning to come up as many candidates as I can. this
will be followed by multiple steps to eliminate most of them
back to your opinion, what do you suggest
【在 v***a 的大作中提到】 : 你揉进去的内容太多了 : 很难胡诌出什么结论来
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l***a 发帖数: 12410 | 10 will definitely search from there, and bls
【在 a********l 的大作中提到】 : get them at federal reserve and bureau of labor statistics websites.
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l***a 发帖数: 12410 | 11 that's helpful. thanks
【在 c********y 的大作中提到】 : usually use which foreign currency? : usd index (DXY) is easy : are these integrated price index or I have to decide the metal to use? : i think there must be some index there. but don't know the name. : worst case, you can use copper, which is a very strong indicator of : industrial activity. : this sounds great. any website to get it for free? : free? no idea....
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v***a 发帖数: 23651 | 12 看你侧重点在哪里
比如关心制造业,就找铜价、钢价
关心贸易,找汇率
this
【在 l***a 的大作中提到】 : now I am at the very beginning to come up as many candidates as I can. this : will be followed by multiple steps to eliminate most of them : back to your opinion, what do you suggest
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l***a 发帖数: 12410 | 13 none of these... it's about the delinquency rate of our portfolio
【在 v***a 的大作中提到】 : 看你侧重点在哪里 : 比如关心制造业,就找铜价、钢价 : 关心贸易,找汇率 : : this
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g********r 发帖数: 8017 | 14 大公司的profit?据说最近都很高。下一轮雇人潮就在眼前了。
不是我说得,是clark howard说得。
【在 l***a 的大作中提到】 : need come up with some to build a predictive model, but don't have many in : my mind... now what I can think of are unemployment rate, prime rate, home : owner pct, consumer confidence index, gas price, maybe also dow index... : what else there are easy to get and reliable?
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v***a 发帖数: 23651 | 15 你要研究的主体太具体了,实在跟宏观经济数据没啥联系
【在 l***a 的大作中提到】 : none of these... it's about the delinquency rate of our portfolio
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l***a 发帖数: 12410 | 16 that's a multi-million pool all over the nation. their behavior reflects the
macro-economic performance, doesn't it?
【在 v***a 的大作中提到】 : 你要研究的主体太具体了,实在跟宏观经济数据没啥联系
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v***a 发帖数: 23651 | 17 multi-million砸在boa这样的大盘股上,股价都不怎么动的 :)
需要multi-billion :P
the
【在 l***a 的大作中提到】 : that's a multi-million pool all over the nation. their behavior reflects the : macro-economic performance, doesn't it?
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l***a 发帖数: 12410 | 18 -__-//... multi-million units = multi-billion dollars
【在 v***a 的大作中提到】 : multi-million砸在boa这样的大盘股上,股价都不怎么动的 :) : 需要multi-billion :P : : the
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v***a 发帖数: 23651 | 19 哦 我看错了
【在 l***a 的大作中提到】 : -__-//... multi-million units = multi-billion dollars
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l***a 发帖数: 12410 | 20 we have different definition on "portfolio"... lol
【在 v***a 的大作中提到】 : 哦 我看错了
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