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Quant版 - another Goldman interview question
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1 (共1页)
j******n
发帖数: 271
1
Weather forecast: 50% chance of rain tomorrow, 75% chance of rain the day
after tomorrow. What is the chance of rain for both tomorrow and the day
after tomorrow?
x**y
发帖数: 10012
2
我怎么觉得我概率太weak了

【在 j******n 的大作中提到】
: Weather forecast: 50% chance of rain tomorrow, 75% chance of rain the day
: after tomorrow. What is the chance of rain for both tomorrow and the day
: after tomorrow?

z****n
发帖数: 17
3
50% * 75% if independent..
有trick?
m********0
发帖数: 2717
4
从题目看不出什么tricky的地方。
g****y
发帖数: 71
5
i think they actually look for a range, if not independent, i guess it
should be 1/4 to 1/2.
m********0
发帖数: 2717
6
P(A ^ B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A V B) = 3/4+ 1/2 - [3/4,1]
J*****n
发帖数: 4859
7

........
第一次看加法定理是这么用的。

【在 m********0 的大作中提到】
: P(A ^ B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A V B) = 3/4+ 1/2 - [3/4,1]
m********0
发帖数: 2717
8
anything wrong?

【在 J*****n 的大作中提到】
:
: ........
: 第一次看加法定理是这么用的。

J*****n
发帖数: 4859
9

当然错了。这里用乘法原理。

【在 m********0 的大作中提到】
: anything wrong?
u********e
发帖数: 263
10
其实他没错。。。因为这里or的上下限更容易弄出来,所以他把加法稍微换了下左右。

【在 J*****n 的大作中提到】
:
: 当然错了。这里用乘法原理。

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J*****n
发帖数: 4859
11

What is the chance of rain for both tomorrow and the day after tomorrow?
。。。。。,你这里怎么用or的,给解释一下?

【在 u********e 的大作中提到】
: 其实他没错。。。因为这里or的上下限更容易弄出来,所以他把加法稍微换了下左右。
u********e
发帖数: 263
12
a or b = a + b - a and b
so a and b = a + b - a or b 啊

【在 J*****n 的大作中提到】
:
: What is the chance of rain for both tomorrow and the day after tomorrow?
: 。。。。。,你这里怎么用or的,给解释一下?

z****n
发帖数: 17
13
那答案是什么...
c***l
发帖数: 26
14
Answer is
[25%,50%]

【在 z****n 的大作中提到】
: 那答案是什么...
r*******s
发帖数: 303
15
画两个大饼,overlap一点点,看看范围是什么就行了。
[25%,50%]
或者说,0到1之间有两个长度 为 0.5 0.75的条,他们overlap的长度的范围是什么。
1 (共1页)
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