s*********5
发帖数: 5637 | 1 刚收到redfin的newsletter。题目是“Happiness is Inevitable, Too (Even in Real
Estate)”。敢情他们挺乐观的。我看到张SD和peak比掉了39.9%，有点肉痛。。。
------------
December Numbers Finally Came In. They're Bad
Yikes, the numbers just out for December 2011 show another 1.1% price drop:
Market MoM Price Change YoY Price Change Date of Max Price
Change from Max Price Prices Last at This Level # of Months of
Decrease
Phoenix 0.8% -1.2% Jun-06 -55.2% Mar-00 0
LA -1.1% -5.2% Sep-06 -40.8% Aug-03 5
San Diego -0.7% -5.4% Nov-05 -39.9% Sep-02 5
Bay Area -0.8% -5.4% May-06 -41.1% Dec-00 5
Denver -0.9% -0.4% Aug-06 -11.9% Apr-02 4
DC Area -1.2% -1.6% May-06 -28.4% Apr-04 3
Atlanta -1.8% -12.8% Jul-07 -36.0% Dec-97 5
Chicago -2.0% -6.5% Sep-06 -34.6% Mar-01 4
Boston -1.2% -2.6% Sep-05 -18.6% Feb-03 5
Las Vegas -0.8% -8.8% Aug-06 -61.4% Jan-97 6
New York -1.2% -2.9% Jun-06 -24.4% Dec-03 4
Portland -0.4% -4.0% Jul-07 -28.8% Sep-04 3
Dallas -0.7% -1.3% Jun-07 -10.5% Apr-02 4
Seattle -1.3% -5.6% Jul-07 -31.9% May-04 5
20 City Index -1.1% -4.0% Jul-06 -33.8% Feb-03 4
But Prices Will Probably Stop Falling
January will probably be down too just because the index is a three-month
moving average but, as we predicted last year, the market is turning:
•Pending sales for January 2012 rose 8% from January 2011.
•The supply of homes nationwide dropped to a six-year low.
•Over the past year, inventory declined in 145 of 146 U.S. markets.
•In the last three months of 2011, foreclosure inventory dropped 27%.
•A survey of 1,331 Redfin buyers shows that 73% are concerned about
limited inventory.
•Price-to-rent ratios are at 1998 levels, and rents are rising.
•Futures contracts now reflect investor sentiment that home prices
have bottomed.
•The percentage of mortgages that are delinquent has declined for 23
months, but is still high.
•In California, more than 65% of 2012 Redfin offers have faced
competition. Nationwide, the number is one in three.
•Bubble-bloggers, the gadflies who created blogs during the bubble
dedicated to the thesis that real estate was over-valued, have now mostly
bought homes, in New Jersey, Portland, Seattle and San Diego. | s******t
发帖数: 12883 | 2 san diego哪里跌回02年水平了？ 那是差区拉低了平均值， 比如el cajon,
escondido之类的。 好区的房价比03年还是高不少。
Real
【在 s*********5 的大作中提到】
: 刚收到redfin的newsletter。题目是“Happiness is Inevitable, Too (Even in Real
: Estate)”。敢情他们挺乐观的。我看到张SD和peak比掉了39.9%，有点肉痛。。。
: ------------
: December Numbers Finally Came In. They're Bad
: Yikes, the numbers just out for December 2011 show another 1.1% price drop:
: Market MoM Price Change YoY Price Change Date of Max Price
: Change from Max Price Prices Last at This Level # of Months of
: Decrease
: Phoenix 0.8% -1.2% Jun-06 -55.2% Mar-00 0
: LA -1.1% -5.2% Sep-06 -40.8% Aug-03 5
| y****i
发帖数: 17878 | 3 December?
Feb., 2012 data is out already
Real
【在 s*********5 的大作中提到】
: 刚收到redfin的newsletter。题目是“Happiness is Inevitable, Too (Even in Real
: Estate)”。敢情他们挺乐观的。我看到张SD和peak比掉了39.9%，有点肉痛。。。
: ------------
: December Numbers Finally Came In. They're Bad
: Yikes, the numbers just out for December 2011 show another 1.1% price drop:
: Market MoM Price Change YoY Price Change Date of Max Price
: Change from Max Price Prices Last at This Level # of Months of
: Decrease
: Phoenix 0.8% -1.2% Jun-06 -55.2% Mar-00 0
: LA -1.1% -5.2% Sep-06 -40.8% Aug-03 5
|
|
